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AAMU

Alabama A&M 7 at UAB 38

UAB
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Legion Field
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadAAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreAAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:51 · Joel Dixon punt for 55 yds , Devonte King returns for a loss of 3 yards to the AlaAM 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 160Pregame prior+12.9Home team on offense+30.7Score differential+22.3Garbage-time factor+12.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.3Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:24: Aqeel Glass pass complete to Roderick Randolph for 46 yds for a TD, (Nick Carden KICK) — AAMU win probability +6.8 pts (now 16%) (top driver: AAMU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:15: Carlos Stephens run for 17 yds to the ALABAMAAM 44 for a 1ST down ALABAMA A&M Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the AlaAM 29 for a 1ST down — UAB win probability +2.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:37: A.J. Erdely pass complete to Sederian Copeland for 26 yds for a TD ALABAMA A&M Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +5.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:00: Aqeel Glass pass intercepted for a TD Anthony Rush return for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +4.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: AAMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:23: A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 8 of 10AAMU made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00UAB 4th & 3 at AAMU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:08AAMU 4th & 13 at AAMU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:14AAMU 4th & 13 at UAB 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:29UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00AAMU 4th & 1 at UAB 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%−0.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:12UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:01AAMU 4th & 3 at AAMU 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:33UAB 4th & 16 at UAB 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:39AAMU 4th & 2 at UAB 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%−0.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:29UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:27UAB 4th & 9 at AAMU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:31AAMU 4th & 7 at AAMU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:55AAMU 4th & 9 at AAMU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:56UAB 4th & 3 at AAMU 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.4%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    85.0%−0.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    80.6%−4.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:10AAMU 4th & 17 at AAMU 3, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−2.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:35UAB 4th & 1 at AAMU 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.3%−1.4
    74% to make
    Punt
    78.9%−5.8
    average punt
  17. Q3 5:53AAMU 4th & 7 at AAMU 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:55UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 9, up 17
    Close callPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q3 1:44AAMU 4th & 7 at UAB 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 13:23AAMU 4th & 3 at AAMU 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:51UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 33, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 7:54AAMU 4th & 7 at AAMU 12, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:23AAMU 4th & 9 at AAMU 15, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5AAMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:08UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:24AAMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:37UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:00UAB Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:23UAB Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:32UAB Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
16 plays · 76 yds · 5:5296% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
96.2%
James Noble III run for 6 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 30
-6
96.2%
James Noble III run for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+13
96.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 13 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+25
96.2%
James Noble III run for 25 yds to the AlaAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
96.2%
James Noble III run for no gain to the AlaAM 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
96.2%
Carlos Stephens run for 11 yds to the AlaAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
96.2%
Carlos Stephens run for 14 yds to the AlaAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
96.2%
ERDELY, A.J. rush for 3 yards to the AAMU10 (Q Kelly), PENALTY AAMU illegal participation 5 yards to the AAMU8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 8
+1
96.2%
Carlos Stephens run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
96.2%
A.J. Erdely run for no gain to the AlaAM 7Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+1
96.2%
Carlos Stephens run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 6Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+3
96.2%
A.J. Erdely run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
96.2%
Carlos Stephens run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 1Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.2%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the AlaAM 1Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.5%
A.J. Erdely run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Aqeel Glass pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Aqeel Glass pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-3
95.5%
Aqeel Glass sacked by N/A for a loss of 3 yards to the AlaAM 22Similar
Q1 9:08
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
95.5%
Nick Carden punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 31 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+21
95.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 21 yds to the AlaAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
95.5%
Carlos Stephens run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 29Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-5
95.5%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Kenneth Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the AlaAM 34Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 14
OPP 34
+11
95.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 11 yds Andre Wilson fumbled, forced by Mike Mills, recovered by AlaAM Dylan HamiltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 57 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
95.1%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-10 Yards) to the AlaAM 10Similar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+2
95.2%
Jordan Bentley run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 12Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+4
95.2%
Jordan Bentley run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 16Similar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
95.1%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Kalias Robertson for 5 yds to the AlaAM 21Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 5
OWN 21
-1
95.1%
Jordan Bentley run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 20Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
95.2%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete, broken up by Darious WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+40
95.2%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Marceles Clash for 40 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
95.0%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Kalias Robertson for 10 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
94.9%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 35Similar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 15
OPP 35
-1
95.0%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Marceles Clash for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 16
OPP 36
+3
95.1%
Jordan Bentley run for 3 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 13
OPP 33
0
95.1%
Aqeel Glass pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 13
OPP 33
0
95.2%
Nick Carden punt for 32 yds, downed at the UAB 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+12
94.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 12 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
94.4%
James Noble III run for 2 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
94.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Jonathan Haden for no gain to the UAB 15Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
94.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Jonathan Haden, broken up by Harvey HarrisSimilar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 8
OWN 15
+18
94.1%
Joel Dixon punt for 42 yds , Devonte King returns for 18 yds to the UAB 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:576% → 6%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
93.6%
Joseph Burke run for 2 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+6
93.7%
Joseph Burke run for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+1
93.4%
Joseph Burke run for 1 yd to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 30
-1
93.6%
Damion May run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
93.8%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
93.8%
James Noble III run for 3 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+9
93.7%
A.J. Erdely run for 9 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-9
94.0%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Kenneth Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 40 UAB Penalty, intentional grounding (A.J. Erdely) to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 19
OWN 34
+1
93.7%
Carlos Stephens run for 1 yd to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 18
OWN 35
+9
93.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 9 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
93.6%
Joel Dixon punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Devonte King at the AlaAM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
93.2%
Joseph Burke run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 16Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+12
93.2%
Damion May pass complete to Roderick Randolph for 12 yds to the AlaAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
93.1%
Damion May pass complete to Isaiah Bailey for 3 yds to the AlaAM 31Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-3
93.1%
Damion May run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlaAM 28Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+7
93.4%
Damion May sacked by Chris Woolbright for a loss of 8 yards to the AlaAM 20 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (Chris Woolbright) to the AlaAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
93.1%
Octayvius Miles run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 42Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
92.8%
Damion May pass incomplete, broken up by Garrison MitchellSimilar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
92.8%
Damion May pass incomplete to Marceles ClashSimilar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+11
93.2%
Nick Carden punt for 37 yds , Andre Wilson returns for 11 yds to the UAB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
92.7%
Lucious Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+1
92.6%
A.J. Erdely run for 1 yd to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 10
OWN 32
-6
92.4%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Yurik Bethune and Vernon Moland for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 16
OWN 26
0
92.1%
Joel Dixon punt for 24 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:328% → 8%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
50
+4
91.6%
Octayvius Miles run for 4 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+4
91.6%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Kalias Robertson for 4 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 2
OPP 42
0
91.6%
Octayvius Miles run for no gain to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 5:39
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
92.0%
Nick Carden punt for 37 yds, downed at the UAB 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
92.4%
James Noble III run for 6 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+2
92.4%
James Noble III run for 2 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 2
OWN 13
-1
92.2%
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 12Similar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 3
OWN 12
+1
91.9%
Joel Dixon punt for 47 yds , Devonte King returns for 1 yd to the AlaAM 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 1:199% → 16%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
91.5%
Trevon Walters run for 12 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
91.1%
Trevon Walters run for no gain to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+46
84.3%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Roderick Randolph for 46 yds for a TD, (Nick Carden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13FG
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:4888% → 89%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+32
88.1%
Carlos Stephens run for 17 yds to the ALABAMAAM 44 for a 1ST down ALABAMA A&M Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the AlaAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
89.2%
Carlos Stephens run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 28Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
89.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
88.7%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+45
88.7%
Nick Vogel 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5612% → 12%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
88.3%
Aqeel Glass sacked by Tevin Crews for a loss of 12 yards to the AlaAM 13Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
88.5%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Isaiah BaileySimilar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+15
88.9%
Joseph Burke run for 15 yds to the AlaAM 28Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-4
88.5%
Nick Carden punt for 49 yds , Andre Wilson returns for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:0087% → 88%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
87.4%
Lucious Stanley run for 14 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
87.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the UAB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
87.2%
Aqeel Glass pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
87.4%
Joseph Burke run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 20Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
87.9%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete, broken up by Tevin CrewsSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 9
OWN 20
-2
88.4%
Nick Carden punt for 38 yds , Andre Wilson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:0388% → 87%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Jonathan HadenSimilar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
87.9%
A.J. Erdely run for 11 yds to the AlaAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
88.8%
Carlos Stephens run for no gain to the UAB 49 UAB Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 20
OWN 41
+17
87.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 17 yds to the AlaAM 42Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
88.9%
Carlos Stephens run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 40Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+8
88.6%
Carlos Stephens run for 8 yds to the AlaAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
89.1%
Carlos Stephens run for 15 yds to the AlaAM 17 for a 1ST down ALABAMA A&M Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
89.1%
A.J. Erdely run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 15Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+6
89.1%
A.J. Erdely run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 9Similar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 2
OPP 9
-1
87.9%
Carlos Stephens run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 10Similar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 3
OPP 10
0
87.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin Lisa, broken up by Mike MillsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
85.6%
Trevon Walters run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlaAM 7Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 13
OWN 7
-4
86.1%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to K Robertson for 11 yards to the AAMU18 (CULVER, D.;MOFOR, F.), PENALTY AAMU illegal formation 4 yards to the AAMU3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 17
OWN 3
0
86.1%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Marceles Clash, broken up by Darious WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 17
OWN 3
0
86.7%
Aqeel Glass pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 17
OWN 3
+13
87.2%
Nick Carden punt for 40 yds , Andre Wilson returns for 13 yds to the AlaAM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19TD
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:5888% → 93%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
88.0%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 28Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+6
88.0%
A.J. Erdely run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 22Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+1
87.3%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 21Similar
Q3 8:35
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+5
86.6%
James Noble III run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
88.0%
James Noble III run for no gain to the AlaAM 16 UAB Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the AlaAM 26Similar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 20
OPP 26
+26
93.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Sederian Copeland for 26 yds for a TD ALABAMA A&M Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 20INT TD
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:318% → 4%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
91.9%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Trevon Walters for a loss of 3 yards to the AlaAM 31Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+27
96.3%
Aqeel Glass pass intercepted for a TD Anthony Rush return for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
96.3%
Damion May run for 8 yds to the AlaAM 27Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+4
96.0%
Trevon Walters run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
96.1%
Damion May pass complete to Marceles Clash for 12 yds to the AlaAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
96.0%
Trevon Walters run for no gain to the AlaAM 43Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
96.0%
Damion May pass incomplete to Isaiah BaileySimilar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+3
96.1%
Damion May pass complete to Ledarion Heath for 3 yds to the AlaAM 46Similar
Q3 5:53
4TH & 7
OWN 46
+5
96.2%
Nick Carden punt for 46 yds , Andre Wilson returns for 5 yds to the UAB 49 UAB Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the UAB 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
97.0%
Carlos Stephens run for 3 yds to the UAB 6Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+3
97.0%
A.J. Erdely run for 3 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 4
OWN 9
0
96.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q3 2:55
4TH & 4
OWN 9
0
96.7%
Joel Dixon punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Mike Mills at the AlaAM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
96.4%
Damion May pass incomplete to Roderick Randolph, broken up by Will DawkinsSimilar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+11
96.5%
Octayvius Miles run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlaAM 36 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, face mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
50
0
96.4%
Damion May pass incomplete to Ledarion HeathSimilar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 10
50
0
96.4%
Damion May pass incomplete to Kalias RobertsonSimilar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 10
50
+3
96.4%
Damion May pass complete to Isaiah Bailey for 3 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
96.5%
Nick Carden punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 1:5697% → 99%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
97.2%
Lucious Stanley run for 9 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+17
97.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 17 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
97.5%
James Noble III run for 14 yds to the ALABAMAAM 40 for a 1ST down ALABAMA A&M Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
97.5%
James Noble III run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
97.5%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+8
97.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Jonathan Haden for 8 yds to the AlaAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
97.6%
James Noble III run for 15 yds to the AlaAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
97.6%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Xavier UbosiSimilar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.2%
Trevon Walters run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlaAM 23Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
99.2%
Trevon Walters run for 9 yds to the AlaAM 32Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Trevon Walters run for no gain to the AlaAM 32Similar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-3
99.2%
Nick Carden punt for 41 yds , Andre Wilson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
99.3%
Tyler Johnston III run for 8 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+1
99.3%
Donnie Lee run for 1 yd to the UAB 33Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 1
OWN 33
0
99.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 1
OWN 33
-3
99.3%
Joel Dixon punt for 55 yds , Devonte King returns for a loss of 3 yards to the AlaAM 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:391% → 1%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
99.3%
Joseph Burke run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 11Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+5
99.3%
Damion May pass incomplete to O Miles, PENALTY UAB offside 5 yards to the AAMU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+1
99.3%
Joseph Burke run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 17Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 2
OWN 17
-5
99.5%
Damion May run for a loss of 5 yards to the AlaAM 12Similar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 7
OWN 12
-7
99.5%
Nick Carden punt for 40 yds , Andre Wilson returns for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 28TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 4:28100% → 100%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.5%
Tyler Johnston III run for 2 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
99.5%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+29
99.5%
Spencer Brown run for 29 yds to the AlaAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
99.5%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 24Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+3
99.5%
Tyler Johnston III run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 21Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+13
99.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Nick Holman for 13 yds to the AlaAM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.5%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 5Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
100.0%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, delay of game (Damion May) to the AlaAM 9Similar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+4
100.0%
Damion May pass complete to Malachi Olszewski for 4 yds to the AlaAM 13Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
100.0%
Joseph Burke run for no gain to the AlaAM 13Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+2
100.0%
Joseph Burke run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 15Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Nick Carden punt for 44 yds, downed at the UAB 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 30Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
100.0%
N/A run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:24
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Roderick Randolph for 46 yds for a TD, (Nick Carden KICK)
-6.8
TD · Q3 6:37
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Sederian Copeland for 26 yds for a TD ALABAMA A&M Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Nick Vogel KICK)
+5.1
TD · Q3 6:00
Aqeel Glass pass intercepted for a TD Anthony Rush return for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com