Try the model
LAM

Lamar 14 at North Texas 59

UNT
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · DATCU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadLAM aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreLAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:28 · Andrew Allen run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lamar 47 Andrew Allen fumbled, recovered by Lamar Andrew Allen
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Pregame prior+27.4Home team on offense+13.7Score differential+9.6Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:26: Jeffery Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +4.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:28: Jeffery Wilson run for 62 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +2.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:59: Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Martell Hawthorne for 68 yds for a TD, (Elvin Martinez KICK) — LAM win probability +3.1 pts (now 8%) (top driver: LAM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:56: Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 44 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +3.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:31: Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 9 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7LAM made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00LAM 4th & 13 at LAM 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:01LAM 4th & 3 at UNT 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:04UNT 4th & 7 at LAM 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:04LAM 4th & 10 at midfield, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:34LAM 4th & 1 at UNT 1, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UNT 4th & 1 at LAM 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.7%−0.9
    45% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:26LAM 4th & 3 at LAM 38, down 17
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:28LAM 4th & 1 at UNT 49, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:56UNT 4th & 13 at midfield, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:11LAM 4th & 17 at LAM 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:31LAM 4th & 11 at LAM 49, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:02UNT 4th & 1 at LAM 1, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:02LAM 4th & 5 at LAM 30, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:19UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 33, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:50LAM 4th & 15 at LAM 25, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:59LAM 4th & 10 at LAM 37, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:11UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 47, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:25LAM 4th & 1 at UNT 40, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:25LAM 4th & 3 at UNT 31, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:39UNT 4th & 6 at LAM 34, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 8 of 8LAM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:01UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:38UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:34LAM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:26UNT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:28UNT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:59LAM Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:56UNT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 12:31UNT Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 6:02UNT Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:54UNT Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LAMDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
88.7%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Marcus Daggs for 8 yds to the Lamar 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
88.7%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Zae Giles for 3 yds to the Lamar 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
88.7%
Kendrick King run for 2 yds to the Lamar 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
88.7%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Zae GilesSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
88.7%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Marcus DaggsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 38
-5
88.7%
LAMAR Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lamar 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 33
+8
88.7%
Elvin Martinez punt for 35 yds , Eric Jenkins returns for 8 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:5589% → 89%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
88.5%
Jeffery Wilson run for 13 yds to the Lamar 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
88.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 15 yds to the Lamar 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
88.5%
Jeffery Wilson run for 18 yds to the Lamar 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
88.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffery Wilson for 4 yds to the Lamar 10Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
88.5%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
88.5%
Jeffery Wilson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
88.3%
Kendrick King run for 4 yds to the Lamar 21Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+8
88.4%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Zae Giles for 8 yds to the Lamar 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
88.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Khairi Muhammad) to the Lamar 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
88.3%
Kendrick King run for 7 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+1
88.2%
Kendrick King run for 1 yd to the NoTex 48Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 2
OPP 48
-1
88.2%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
88.3%
Elvin Martinez punt for 32 yds, downed at the NoTex 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4TD
3 plays · 83 yds · 1:1088% → 89%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+49
88.1%
Jeffery Wilson run for 49 yds to the Lamar 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
88.4%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the Lamar 31Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+31
89.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Quinetin Jackson for 31 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.8%
Kendrick King run for 5 yds to the Lamar 30Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
88.8%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Zae Giles for 15 yds Zae Giles fumbled, forced by Khairi Muhammad, recovered by NoTex Khairi MuhammadSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:0290% → 90%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
89.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 10 yds to the Lamar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
89.5%
Mason Fine run for 6 yds to the Lamar 31Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+15
89.5%
Nic Smith run for 15 yds to the Lamar 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
89.5%
Jeffery Wilson run for 3 yds to the Lamar 13Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
89.5%
Jeffery Wilson run for no gain to the Lamar 13Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+5
89.4%
LAMAR Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Shyler Staton) to the Lamar 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
89.5%
Jeffery Wilson run for no gain to the Lamar 8Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
89.5%
Nic Smith run for 1 yd to the Lamar 7Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
89.4%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Kelvin Smith, broken up by Tariq GordonSimilar
Q1 4:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
90.2%
Trevor Moore 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
90.0%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for 12 yds to the Lamar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
89.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Marcus Daggs for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
50
+3
89.7%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for 3 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-5
89.7%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Zae Giles for a loss of 5 yards to the Lamar 48Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+2
90.0%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to James White for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 10
50
0
90.0%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 40 yds , Eric Jenkins returns for no gain to the NoTex 5 Eric Jenkins fumbled, recovered by Lamar Brandon DabneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 8TD
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0611% → 13%
Q1 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
89.5%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for 2 yds to the NoTex 3Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
89.5%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for 2 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
89.7%
Kendrick King run for no gain to the NoTex 1Similar
Q1 0:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.2%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Jarod Wood for 1 yd for a TD, (Elvin Martinez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9TD
14 plays · 44 yds · 5:0888% → 93%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
88.0%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the Lamar 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
87.9%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+5
87.7%
LAMAR Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Lamar 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+2
87.8%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the Lamar 35Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
87.6%
Jeffery Wilson run for 2 yds to the Lamar 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
88.1%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the Lamar 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+1
88.1%
Nic Smith run for 1 yd to the Lamar 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+11
87.8%
Jeffery Wilson run for 11 yds to the Lamar 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
88.1%
Mason Fine run for 2 yds to the Lamar 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-8
88.1%
Mason Fine sacked by Cameron Hampton for a loss of 8 yards to the Lamar 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 24
+16
87.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 16 yds to the Lamar 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
88.1%
Jeffery Wilson run for 6 yds to the Lamar 2Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.9%
Jeffery Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
91.2%
Kendrick King run for 5 yds to the Lamar 36Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
91.1%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lamar 38Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
91.1%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Zae GilesSimilar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
91.3%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 30 yds, downed at the NoTex 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:4493% → 96%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
92.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 6 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+62
95.7%
Jeffery Wilson run for 62 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
94.5%
Kendrick King run for no gain to the Lamar 42Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
94.5%
Andrew Allen run for 5 yds to the Lamar 47Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+4
94.4%
Andrew Allen pass complete to Darrel Colbert Jr. for 4 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q2 8:28
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-5
94.4%
Andrew Allen run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lamar 47 Andrew Allen fumbled, recovered by Lamar Andrew AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.8%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
95.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Nate BrooksSimilar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-3
95.7%
Mason Fine sacked by Daniel Crosley for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 13
50
0
95.4%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lamar 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 14TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 1:115% → 8%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
94.8%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+5
94.9%
Kendrick King run for 5 yds to the Lamar 22Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+10
94.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Zae Giles for 10 yds to the Lamar 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
94.6%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Zae GilesSimilar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+68
91.6%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Martell Hawthorne for 68 yds for a TD, (Elvin Martinez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:0393% → 97%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
93.0%
Nic Smith run for 5 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+9
93.2%
Nic Smith run for 9 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
93.3%
Mason Fine run for 4 yds to the Lamar 48Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+8
93.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 8 yds to the Lamar 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
93.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (Creighton Barr) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 20
50
+6
93.2%
Evan Johnson run for 6 yds to the Lamar 44Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+44
96.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 44 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 0:454% → 5%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
95.6%
Kirkland Banks run for 10 yds to the Lamar 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
95.4%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Kirkland BanksSimilar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
95.5%
James White run for no gain to the Lamar 33Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-7
95.6%
Darrel Colbert Jr. sacked by T.J. Tauaalo for a loss of 7 yards to the Lamar 26Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 17
OWN 26
0
95.5%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 45 yds, downed at the NoTex 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17END OF HALF
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:3197% → 97%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
96.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 15 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+19
96.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 19 yds to the Lamar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
96.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 3 yds to the Lamar 34Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-5
97.0%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Jordan Murray) to the Lamar 39Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 12
OPP 39
0
96.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+3
96.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 3 yds to the Lamar 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:2997% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
96.5%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+9
96.6%
Nic Smith run for 9 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
96.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 6 yds to the Lamar 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+35
96.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 35 yds to the Lamar 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
96.7%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the Lamar 9Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
99.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 9 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
99.3%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Martell Hawthorne for 11 yds to the Lamar 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.3%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for 6 yds to the Lamar 45Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
99.3%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Trenton Swinton for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
50
0
99.3%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Zae Giles for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 10
50
0
99.3%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Martell HawthorneSimilar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 10
50
-1
99.3%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to James White for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 49Similar
Q3 12:31
4TH & 11
OWN 49
+1
99.3%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 35 yds , Eric Jenkins returns for 1 yd to the NoTex 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 4:12100% → 100%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
99.5%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 12Similar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+8
99.5%
Nic Smith run for 8 yds to the NoTex 20Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+28
99.5%
Quinn Shanbour run for 28 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.5%
Quinn Shanbour run for 3 yds to the Lamar 49Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+32
99.5%
Nic Smith run for 32 yds to the Lamar 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.5%
Evan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Lamar 15Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+10
99.5%
Evan Johnson run for 10 yds to the Lamar 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.5%
Nic Smith run for 1 yd to the Lamar 4Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.5%
Nic Smith run for 1 yd to the Lamar 3Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.4%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the Lamar 1Similar
Q3 6:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Nic Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Kendrick King run for 5 yds to the Lamar 30Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Zae GilesSimilar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Zae GilesSimilar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 37 yds, downed at the NoTex 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.7%
Quinn Shanbour run for no gain to the NoTex 33Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
99.7%
Quinn Shanbour pass complete to Evan Johnson for no gain to the NoTex 33Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
99.7%
Quinn Shanbour pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
99.7%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 37 yds, downed at the Lamar 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.8%
Kendrick King run for 3 yds to the Lamar 33Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-8
99.8%
Darrel Colbert Jr. sacked by Tony Krasniqi for a loss of 8 yards to the Lamar 25Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 15
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 38 yds , Eric Jenkins returns for no gain to the NoTex 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:54100% → 100%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.8%
Andrew Tucker run for 6 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+8
99.8%
Quinn Shanbour pass complete to Caleb Chumley for 8 yds to the Lamar 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.8%
Evan Johnson run for 4 yds to the Lamar 45Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+16
99.8%
Evan Johnson run for 16 yds to the Lamar 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
99.8%
Evan Johnson run for 9 yds to the Lamar 20Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+8
99.8%
Andrew Tucker run for 8 yds to the Lamar 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Andrew Tucker run for 12 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 10 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Lamar 32Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for 3 yds to the Lamar 35Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Myles Wanza run for 2 yds to the Lamar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Martell Hawthorne, broken up by Andy FluscheSimilar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Martell HawthorneSimilar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Kirkland Banks, broken up by Corey MannSimilar
Q4 13:59
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Eric Jenkins at the NoTex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Evan Johnson run for 8 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Evan Johnson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Christian Hosley run for 2 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Evan Johnson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q4 13:11
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Evan Johnson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Zae Giles at the Lamar 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 27DOWNS
16 plays · 55 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
100.0%
Myles Wanza run for 4 yds to the Lamar 18Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+6
100.0%
Andrew Allen run for 6 yds to the Lamar 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
100.0%
Andrew Allen pass complete to Zae Giles for 2 yds to the Lamar 26Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Andrew Allen pass incomplete, broken up by William LeMastersSimilar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+11
100.0%
Andrew Allen pass complete to Case Robinson for 11 yds to the Lamar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
Myles Wanza run for 2 yds to the Lamar 39Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+7
100.0%
Andrew Allen pass complete to Kirkland Banks for 7 yds to the Lamar 46Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
Andrew Allen run for 5 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Andrew Allen pass incomplete to Kirkland BanksSimilar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Andrew Allen pass incomplete to Marcus Daggs, broken up by Andy FluscheSimilar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+9
100.0%
Andrew Allen pass complete to Marcus Daggs for 9 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
Myles Wanza run for 2 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Andrew Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Andrew Allen pass incomplete to Kirkland BanksSimilar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+7
100.0%
Andrew Allen pass complete to Myles Wanza for 7 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 3
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Andrew Allen pass incomplete to Zae Giles, broken up by William LeMastersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 28DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
100.0%
Evan Johnson run for 7 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+12
100.0%
Evan Johnson run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
50
+12
100.0%
Evan Johnson run for 12 yds to the Lamar 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
100.0%
Andrew Tucker run for 3 yds to the Lamar 35Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
100.0%
Christian Hosley run for 2 yds to the Lamar 33Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 5
OPP 33
-1
100.0%
Christian Hosley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 34Similar
Q4 5:39
4TH & 6
OPP 34
-1
99.9%
Christian Hosley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 29INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Myles Wanza run for 3 yds to the Lamar 38Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Myles Wanza run for no gain to the Lamar 38Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Blake McKenzie pass intercepted William LeMasters return for no gain to the Lamar 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lamar 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:26
Jeffery Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
+4.8
TD · Q2 1:56
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 44 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
+3.5
TD · Q2 4:59
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Martell Hawthorne for 68 yds for a TD, (Elvin Martinez KICK)
-3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com