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M-OH

Miami (OH) 26 at Marshall 31

MRSH
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:05 · Kaare Vedvik punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 8 , Jared Murphy returns for 9 yds to the MiaOh 49 MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (-8 Yards) to the MiaOh 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Home team on offense+14.4Pregame prior−3.6Garbage-time factor+8.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Score differential+3.0Time remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:36: Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 22 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK) — MRSH win probability +7.1 pts (now 51%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:03: Samuel Sloman kickoff for 62 yds , Keion Davis return for 97 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK) — MRSH win probability +14.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:30: Gus Ragland pass intercepted for a TD Chris Jackson return for 72 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK) — MRSH win probability +17.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:05: Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 11 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +11.2 pts (now 28%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:01: Ryan Smith 19 Yd pass from Gus Ragland (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — M-OH win probability +15.5 pts (now 32%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6M-OH made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 8:34M-OH 4th & 8 at MRSH 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:34MRSH 4th & 5 at M-OH 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    43.8%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    42.5%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:44M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:57M-OH 4th & 1 at MRSH 1, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    51.5%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    48.1%−4.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:15M-OH 4th & 4 at MRSH 25, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.5%−0.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:43M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 40, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:56MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 46, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:30M-OH 4th & 6 at MRSH 33, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    16.6%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    15.6%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:05MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 40, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 17, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%−3.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:31MRSH 4th & 10 at M-OH 10, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−1.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    73.8%−9.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:31M-OH 4th & 7 at MRSH 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:19MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 43, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%−4.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:10M-OH 4th & 15 at M-OH 38, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:04MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 31, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 14:48MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:57M-OH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:36MRSH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:03MRSH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:30MRSH Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:05M-OH Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:01M-OH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    25.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    24.3%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 2FG
17 plays · 66 yds · 6:1463% → 59%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
37.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
37.5%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:48
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+18
37.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 18 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
37.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 12 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
37.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 8 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+2
39.0%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
38.9%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
38.9%
Gus Ragland run for 3 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+9
39.1%
Gus Ragland run for 9 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
38.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 9 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+2
38.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the Marsh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
38.9%
Leonard Ross run for 2 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
38.9%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
39.0%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+27
40.9%
Samuel Sloman 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 43 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.6%
Trey Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
40.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 9 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
40.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 5 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
41.1%
Trey Rodriguez run for 4 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
41.0%
Anthony Anderson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
41.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 20 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
41.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 5 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 5
OPP 29
-4
41.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+4
41.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 4 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 5
OPP 29
-3
41.0%
Kaare Vedvik run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
43.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 2 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-1
43.7%
Maurice Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
44.3%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:44
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
44.6%
Kyle Kramer punt for 42 yds, downed at the Marsh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
44.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 8 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
44.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Marcel Williams, broken up by Doug CostinSimilar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
44.2%
Trey Rodriguez run for 4 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
44.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
44.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 4 yds Willie Johnson fumbled, forced by Brad Koenig, recovered by MiaOh Heath Harding , return for 35 yds to the Marsh 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6TD
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5557% → 60%
Q1 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
43.2%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the Marsh 2Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
43.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the Marsh 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.2%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the Marsh 1Similar
Q2 13:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.0%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7TD
13 plays · 98 yds · 4:2141% → 51%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
40.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+1
40.9%
Trey Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the Marsh 3Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+26
40.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 26 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
41.4%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to BRADY, Tyre, QB hurry by ASSEH, Cedric, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (REID, Tony) 11 yards to the MAR40, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
42.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 4 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
42.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 5 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+14
42.5%
Trey Rodriguez run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
43.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 9 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+2
44.0%
Trey Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
44.0%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
43.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Trey Rodriguez for 4 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+22
51.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 22 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8FG
16 plays · 50 yds · 6:2149% → 51%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.7%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
50.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
50.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Sam Martin for 6 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
48.8%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+5
49.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 5 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
48.7%
Kenny Young run for 10 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
50.8%
Maurice Thomas run for 2 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+3
50.9%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-5
51.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, delay of game (Gus Ragland) to the Marsh 43Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+12
51.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 12 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
49.5%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
49.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
50.4%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the Marsh 25Similar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+42
49.5%
Samuel Sloman 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:0035% → 36%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.7%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete, broken up by Ryan BeeSimilar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
64.9%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 25 Gus Ragland fumbled, forced by Davon Durant, recovered by MiaOh Gus RaglandSimilar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
65.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 12 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
63.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 16 yds James Gardner fumbled, forced by Brandon Drayton, recovered by Marsh Omari Cobb , return for 12 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11INT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0066% → 67%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
65.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Trey Rodriguez, broken up by Brad KoenigSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
65.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 6 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+4
65.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Trey Rodriguez for 4 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
66.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 11 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
66.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
66.7%
Chase Litton pass intercepted, touchback. Joshua Allen return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
65.6%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:1737% → 35%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
62.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 13 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
61.5%
Gus Ragland sacked by Chase Hancock for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 16
OWN 32
0
64.6%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Ryan Smith, broken up by Chase HancockSimilar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 16
OWN 32
+8
65.7%
Gus Ragland run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q3 13:43
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
65.5%
Kyle Kramer punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trey Rodriguez at the Marsh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
67.9%
Trey Rodriguez run for 7 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+7
68.4%
Trey Rodriguez run for 7 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
68.2%
Trey Rodriguez run for 4 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+9
69.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Trey Rodriguez for 9 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
70.0%
Anthony Anderson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-8
70.5%
Chase Litton sacked by Junior McMullen for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 12
OWN 44
-5
67.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Jordan Dowrey) to the Marsh 39Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 17
OWN 39
+7
67.7%
Trey Rodriguez run for 7 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
66.7%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15INT TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 3:2532% → 18%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
68.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-7
67.4%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 29 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding (James Gardner) to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+5
68.5%
Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+22
69.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 22 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
65.3%
Gus Ragland run for 5 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+9
64.6%
Gus Ragland run for 9 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+72
82.1%
Gus Ragland pass intercepted for a TD Chris Jackson return for 72 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2516% → 28%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.1%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
84.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 18 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
82.9%
Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
82.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+15
82.7%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to GARDNER, James (JACKSON, Chris), QB hurry by BEE, Ryan, PENALTY MAR personal foul (REAVIS, C.J.) 15 yards to the MAR37, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
82.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+2
81.3%
Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
82.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Ryan Smith, broken up by Malik GantSimilar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+22
82.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 22 yds to the Marsh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
71.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 11 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0082% → 80%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
81.6%
Trey Rodriguez run for no gain to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
81.2%
Anthony Anderson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
81.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan Yurachek, broken up by Brad KoenigSimilar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+9
80.0%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 8 , Jared Murphy returns for 9 yds to the MiaOh 49 MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (-8 Yards) to the MiaOh 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:4120% → 19%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
79.8%
Maurice Thomas run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
79.2%
Maurice Thomas run for no gain to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 11
+6
80.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 6 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 17
0
81.0%
Kyle Kramer punt for 37 yds , Trey Rodriguez returns for no gain to the Marsh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:5185% → 87%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
85.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
84.8%
Trey Rodriguez run for no gain to the Marsh 46Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+49
83.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 49 yds to the MiaOh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
86.0%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Nathaniel Devers) to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q4 14:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
86.0%
Trey Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
86.0%
Trey Rodriguez run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
84.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q4 11:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
87.1%
Kaare Vedvik 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 3:3012% → 32%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+20
87.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 20 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
86.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+9
85.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 9 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
85.1%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+11
85.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 11 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
84.7%
Gus Ragland run for 3 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
83.4%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Ryan SmithSimilar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
85.2%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Alonzo SmithSimilar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+14
86.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 14 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
83.4%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
67.9%
Ryan Smith 19 Yd pass from Gus Ragland (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:4280% → 85%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+18
80.1%
Trey Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Nate Trawick) to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
80.5%
Trey Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-4
81.3%
Trey Rodriguez run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 32Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+11
78.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 11 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
84.7%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
79.1%
Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 25 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding (Jared Murphy) to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+10
79.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 10 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
77.9%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+18
80.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 18 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
76.4%
Gus Ragland sacked by Marquis Couch for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 18
OWN 35
0
79.6%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Kenny YoungSimilar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 18
OWN 35
+3
81.0%
Gus Ragland run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q4 5:10
4TH & 15
OWN 38
0
81.3%
Kyle Kramer punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trey Rodriguez at the Marsh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:5693% → 94%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.5%
Trey Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the Marsh 26Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
93.4%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Marsh 27Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
93.0%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
94.4%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 52 yds, downed at the MiaOh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24END OF GAME
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:4810% → 12%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
90.4%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Ryan SmithSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+5
90.7%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to GARDNER, James, PENALTY MAR offside (TYLER, Ty) 5 yards to the MIAMI22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+23
90.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 23 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
88.5%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to YOUNG, Kenny (COUCH, Marquis), PENALTY MAR 12 men on the field 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 5
50
0
85.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Malik GantSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 5
50
0
87.0%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Ryan Smith, broken up by Jestin MorrowSimilar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 5
50
+9
87.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 9 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
86.3%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
87.8%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:30
Gus Ragland pass intercepted for a TD Chris Jackson return for 72 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)
+17.4
TD · Q4 8:01
Ryan Smith 19 Yd pass from Gus Ragland (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-15.5
TD · Q2 3:03
Samuel Sloman kickoff for 62 yds , Keion Davis return for 97 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)
+14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com