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FIU

Florida International 17 at UCF 61

UCF
2017 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2017 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDSAFETYTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:40 · Stone Wilson punt for 37 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 163Pregame prior+6.1Home team on offense+35.8Score differential+29.7Blowout margin+16.3Garbage-time factor+10.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:30: Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 75 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +1.0 pts (now 15%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q2 12:49: Jose Borregales 39 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +2.1 pts (now 19%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 12:49: McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 61 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST down — UCF win probability +4.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. SAFETY · Q2 7:52: Team Safety — UCF win probability +1.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 7:52: Jawon Hamilton run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 16 — UCF win probability +5.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:43FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 38, down 8
    Close callPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:28FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:10UCF 4th & 9 at UCF 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:57FIU 4th & 13 at FIU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:49FIU 4th & 6 at UCF 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:44FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:50UCF 4th & 12 at FIU 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:52UCF 4th & 4 at FIU 34, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%−0.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:48FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 18, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00FIU 4th & 2 at UCF 42, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:01FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 40, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:25UCF 4th & 1 at FIU 45, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:54UCF 4th & 23 at FIU 44, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:40FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 10, down 37
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:38UCF 4th & 2 at FIU 39, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:00FIU 4th & 2 at UCF 48, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:43UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:30FIU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:28UCF Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:01UCF Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:16UCF Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:25FIU Touchdown, down 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:00UCF Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1786% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.1%
N/A run for no gain to the UCF 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the UCF 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+19
86.1%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 19 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
86.1%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 26 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
86.1%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 7 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+22
86.1%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Jordan Akins for 22 yds for a TD, (Mac Loudermilk pass to Jordan Franks for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
85.9%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
85.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 8 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
85.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+43
85.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 47 yds , Mike Hughes returns for 43 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
86.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+22
86.0%
McKenzie Milton run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, targeting (Niko Gonzalez) to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
86.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 13 Jawon Hamilton fumbled, forced by Andrew Brown, recovered by FlaIn Newton SalisburySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 87 yds · 1:0714% → 15%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
85.7%
Alex Gardner run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
85.7%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+75
84.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 75 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:0285% → 86%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
84.5%
UCF Penalty, FA (-5 Yards) to the UCF 8Similar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 15
OWN 8
-1
84.5%
Taj McGowan run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 7Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 16
OWN 7
+12
84.5%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 12 yds to the UCF 19Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+25
84.4%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 25 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
84.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 4
50
+50
85.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 50 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
85.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
85.4%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 7
OWN 17
0
85.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Mike HughesSimilar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 7
OWN 17
+6
85.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 57 yds , Mike Hughes returns for 6 yds to the UCF 23 UCF Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the UCF 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
85.3%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 15 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
85.4%
HAMILTON, Jawon rush for 15 yards to the FIU48 (WINT, Anthony), PENALTY UCF holding (EVANS, Aaron) 10 yards to the UCF27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+5
85.3%
Jawon Hamilton run for 5 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+6
85.2%
Jawon Hamilton run for 6 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
85.2%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
85.0%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
84.9%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+5
84.9%
UCF Penalty, Defensive offside (Chequan Burkett) to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+14
84.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 14 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
84.7%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
84.8%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
84.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian Williams, broken up by Mike HughesSimilar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 8
OWN 38
-5
85.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (Stone Wilson) to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
85.3%
Stone Wilson punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:1585% → 85%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
84.6%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCF 26Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+8
84.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 8 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
84.7%
Taj McGowan run for 6 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
85.0%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre'Quan SmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+33
84.7%
McKenzie Milton pass intercepted Olin Cushion III return for 33 yds to the UCF 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5217% → 19%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
82.7%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 27Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 11
OPP 27
0
82.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for no gain to the UCF 27Similar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+5
83.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 5 yds to the UCF 22Similar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+39
81.3%
Jose Borregales 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:0082% → 86%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
81.8%
McKenzie Milton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 29Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
81.6%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Jawon HamiltonSimilar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+61
85.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 61 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
85.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
85.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete, broken up by Joey ConnorsSimilar
Q2 11:44
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
85.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2587% → 86%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
86.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 18 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
87.0%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
86.9%
Cordarrian Richardson run for no gain to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 9
OPP 39
-3
86.3%
McKenzie Milton run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 8:50
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
85.5%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 41 yds, downed at the FlaIn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14SF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
87.3%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 15TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 0:0088% → 93%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
50
+10
88.3%
MILTON, M. pass incomplete, PENALTY FIU holding (BROWN, Isaiah) 10 yards to the FIU40, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
88.3%
KILLINS, Adrian rush for 6 yards to the FIU34, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UCF holding 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 20
50
+10
88.1%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 10 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
88.3%
Jawon Hamilton run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-1
88.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+12
87.6%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
93.3%
Jawon Hamilton run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
93.8%
Maurice Alexander run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
93.5%
Maurice Alexander run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
93.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 6 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+8
93.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 8 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+29
93.1%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Tre Neal return for 29 yds to the UCF 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:5698% → 98%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
98.1%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 38Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+60
98.0%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Cam Stewart for 60 yds to the FlaIn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.1%
Taj McGowan run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.3%
Taj McGowan 1 Yd Run (Matthew Wright Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:052% → 2%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
98.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 5 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
98.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Joey ConnorsSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 5
OWN 18
0
98.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 5
OWN 18
+1
98.5%
Stone Wilson punt for 38 yds , Mike Hughes returns for 1 yd to the UCF 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19FG
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:3399% → 99%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
98.7%
MILTON, M. pass incomplete to SMITH, Tre'Quan, PENALTY FIU pass interference (BROWN, Andrew) 15 yards to the FIU40, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+23
98.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Jordan Akins for 23 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
98.7%
MILTON, M. rush for 6 yards to the FIU11, PENALTY UCF holding (JOHNSON, Jordan) 10 yards to the FIU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 20
OPP 27
+44
98.7%
Matthew Wright 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20FUMBLE
8 plays · 51 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
98.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 14 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
98.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
98.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian Williams, broken up by Mike HughesSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+4
98.7%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the UCF 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+4
98.6%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+7
98.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 7 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+36
98.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 13 yds Thomas Owens fumbled, forced by Mike Hughes, recovered by UCF Kyle Gibson , return for 36 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 1:4399% → 100%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
99.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (13 Yards) to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.2%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Otis AndersonSimilar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
99.2%
Jawon Hamilton run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
99.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for no gain to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+15
99.0%
MILTON, M. pass incomplete to SMITH, Tre'Quan (BROWN, Isaiah), PENALTY FIU pass interference (BROWN, Isaiah) 15 yards to the FIU4, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.2%
Jawon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.5%
Tre'Quan Smith 3 Yd pass from McKenzie Milton (Matthew Wright Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+19
99.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
99.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shawndarrius Phillips for 6 yds to the FlaIn 46 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, illegal batting (-10 Yards) to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 14
OWN 36
+4
99.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 4 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Napoleon MaxwellSimilar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.6%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 9 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+9
99.6%
Team run for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Shermarke Spence) to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
99.6%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Dredrick Snelson for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Anthony Wint) to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 6 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+6
99.6%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Michael Colubiale for 9 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+10
99.7%
Cordarrian Richardson 10 Yd Run (Matthew Wright Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
99.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 3 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+9
99.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 9 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
99.7%
Napoleon Maxwell 51 Yd Run (Jose Borregales Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 25MISSED FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 7:39100% → 100%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.7%
Taj McGowan run for 1 yd to the UCF 25Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+10
99.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Otis Anderson for 10 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 11 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.7%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Anthony Roberson, broken up by Andrew BrownSimilar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Otis Anderson for 3 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+6
99.7%
Noah Vedral run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+27
99.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Marlon Williams for 27 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.7%
Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+8
99.8%
Noah Vedral run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Noah Vedral run for no gain to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.8%
Taj McGowan run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-7
99.8%
Taj McGowan run for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 0
OPP 12
-5
99.8%
UCF Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 0
OPP 17
+34
99.9%
Matthew Wright 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 11 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
99.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 31 Napoleon Maxwell fumbled, forced by Antwan Collier, recovered by UCF Gabriel LuyandaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
99.9%
UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 15
OPP 36
-4
99.9%
Cordarrian Richardson run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 19
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Chris Larsen for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 17
OPP 38
-1
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 18
OPP 39
-5
99.9%
UCF Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 23
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tony Gaiter IV at the FlaIn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
99.9%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+4
99.9%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+2
99.9%
Maurice Alexander run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 1
OPP 0
0
99.8%
WILSON, Stone punt 43 yards to the UCF37, JOHNSON, Chris return to the FIU42 (MAXWELL, N.), PENALTY FIU substitution infraction off-setting, PENALTY UCF illegal block off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 1
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 29TD
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:38100% → 100%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 8
OPP 45
-2
99.9%
Noah Vedral run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Greg McCrae for 8 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 6:38
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Alex Harris for 4 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Greg McCrae run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Greg McCrae run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
99.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Brad Muhammad) to the FlaIn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
99.9%
Greg McCrae run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+4
99.9%
Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
100.0%
Greg McCrae 6 Yd Run (Matthew Wright Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 30FUMBLE
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+5
100.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 5 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 2
OPP 48
+3
100.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-7
100.0%
Maurice Alexander sacked by Shawn Burgess-Becker for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line Maurice Alexander fumbled, recovered by UCF Eric Mitchell , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:52
Jawon Hamilton run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 16
+5.8
TD · Q2 12:49
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 61 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST down
+4
FG · Q2 12:49
Jose Borregales 39 yd FG GOOD
-2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com