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BC

Boston College 42 at Syracuse 14

SYR
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFUMBLETDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:05 · Darius Wade run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:26: Rex Culpepper pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 37 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +3.7 pts (now 47%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:32: Jeff Smith run for 64 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +9.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q2 7:09: Rex Culpepper run for a loss of 4 yards Rex Culpepper fumbled, forced by Hamp Cheevers, recovered by BC Will Harris , return for 30 yds, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +7.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:52: Rex Culpepper pass complete to Ervin Philips for 17 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +8.9 pts (now 31%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:57: AJ Dillon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +13.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 8BC made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:50BC 4th & 5 at SYR 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    58.4%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    58.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:20SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00BC 4th & 4 at SYR 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    61.1%−0.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    61.0%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:56SYR 4th & 7 at BC 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:59BC 4th & 2 at SYR 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    75.8%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−6.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:12SYR 4th & 17 at BC 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    10.7%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:03BC 4th & 2 at SYR 45, up 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    90.9%−2.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:46SYR 4th & 1 at BC 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−3.7
    23% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−2.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00SYR 4th & 1 at BC 5, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−1.8
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−6.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:37SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 46, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:18BC 4th & 8 at SYR 36, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:12SYR 4th & 8 at BC 39, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:05BC 4th & 9 at BC 33, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:24BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:26SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:20BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:32BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:52SYR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:57BC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:37BC Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
43.0%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 3 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+1
43.0%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+3
43.0%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 3 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
43.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 5:2656% → 59%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
43.6%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
43.6%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 27Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+20
43.7%
Darius Wade pass complete to Kobay White for 20 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
43.4%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+1
43.4%
Thadd Smith run for 1 yd to the Syrac 48Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+13
43.4%
Darius Wade pass complete to Michael Walker for 13 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
43.3%
Jeff Smith run for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 42Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 17
OPP 42
-8
43.5%
Darius Wade pass complete to Jon Hilliman for 7 yds to the BC 35 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 25
50
+5
43.5%
Darius Wade pass complete to Travis Levy for 5 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 20
OPP 45
+15
43.6%
Darius Wade pass complete to Michael Walker for 15 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+8
43.5%
Darius Wade pass complete to Kobay White for 8 yds to the Syrac 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
41.1%
AJ Dillon run for 22 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:5842% → 47%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
42.3%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
42.8%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Ervin Philips for 1 yd to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+9
42.5%
Moe Neal run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
50
+13
43.0%
Ervin Philips run for 13 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
46.7%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 37 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:0655% → 60%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
45.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to Chris Garrison for 7 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+50
44.8%
AJ Dillon run for 50 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
44.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Syrac 12Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+4
44.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+8
40.3%
AJ Dillon run for 8 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
41.5%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Syrac 8Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
41.5%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Ervin Philips SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+24
41.1%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 24 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
41.9%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Sean Riley for 3 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+4
41.9%
Ervin Philips run for 4 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
42.2%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Moe NealSimilar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
41.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:4759% → 60%
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
40.7%
Thadd Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 20Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+5
40.8%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+8
40.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Korab Idrizi for 8 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
40.0%
Thadd Smith run for 5 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
39.4%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+15
39.6%
AJ Dillon run for 15 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
39.1%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+3
39.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
39.3%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
40.0%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
40.9%
Ervin Philips run for 3 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
41.6%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Ravian PierceSimilar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+8
40.6%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 8 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
42.0%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Ervin Philips for 3 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+3
42.4%
Rex Culpepper run for 3 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 4
OPP 46
-3
42.1%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 49Similar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
40.3%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:5961% → 71%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
39.2%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+13
39.0%
Darius Wade pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 13 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
29.2%
Jeff Smith run for 64 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9FUMBLE TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:2330% → 22%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
29.8%
Rex Culpepper run for 7 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+30
22.1%
Rex Culpepper run for a loss of 4 yards Rex Culpepper fumbled, forced by Hamp Cheevers, recovered by BC Will Harris , return for 30 yds, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1722% → 31%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
21.6%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
21.5%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 12 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+44
22.5%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 44 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
31.4%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Ervin Philips for 17 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0071% → 72%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
28.7%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 20Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+22
28.9%
Darius Wade pass complete to Ray Marten for 22 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
27.6%
Thadd Smith run for 6 yds to the BC 48 Thadd Smith fumbled, forced by Christopher Fredrick, recovered by Syrac Ryan GuthrieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
29.6%
Moe Neal run for 8 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+4
29.5%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+46
29.5%
Rex Culpepper pass intercepted Lukas Denis return for 46 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:2874% → 76%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
25.6%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+8
25.3%
AJ Dillon run for 8 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
25.4%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+3
25.4%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
25.7%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the Syrac 19Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 2
OPP 19
-7
23.8%
Darius Wade sacked by Parris Bennett for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14MISSED FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:5125% → 26%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
25.4%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Ervin Philips for 11 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
26.1%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Sean Riley for 9 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+14
26.8%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Ervin Philips for 14 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
27.3%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Ervin Philips for 8 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+50
25.7%
Cole Murphy 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:0376% → 91%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
24.2%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+17
24.2%
Darius Wade pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
22.8%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+8
22.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 8 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
23.0%
Darius Wade run for 2 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
22.8%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the Syrac 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+19
22.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Jeff Smith for 19 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
22.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the Syrac 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+18
22.5%
Darius Wade pass complete to Chris Garrison for 18 yds to the Syrac 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.9%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:4514% → 10%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
14.0%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 18 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
15.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 38Similar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+28
14.2%
Moe Neal run for 28 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
16.0%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
16.0%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 8
OPP 32
-9
15.5%
Rex Culpepper sacked by Zach Allen for a loss of 9 yards to the BC 41Similar
Q3 8:12
4TH & 17
OPP 41
0
10.3%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 50 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+18
7.5%
AJ Dillon run for 18 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
7.4%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
7.4%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Korab IdriziSimilar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+22
7.5%
Darius Wade pass complete to Jon Hilliman for 22 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
6.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 7
50
+5
6.9%
Ben Glines run for 5 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
7.0%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the Syrac 45Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
7.7%
Mike Knoll punt for 37 yds, downed at the Syrac 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18DOWNS
15 plays · 87 yds · 4:466% → 5%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
5.9%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+22
5.9%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 22 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
6.3%
Moe Neal run for 15 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
6.6%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
6.7%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+6
6.6%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Moe Neal for 6 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+3
6.8%
Rex Culpepper run for 3 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
6.8%
Moe Neal run for 13 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
7.3%
Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
7.3%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Moe NealSimilar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+10
7.2%
Rex Culpepper run for 10 yds to the BC 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
7.3%
Rex Culpepper run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 16Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+10
7.1%
Ervin Philips run for 10 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+1
7.2%
Chris Elmore run for 1 yd to the BC 5Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
4.7%
Chris Elmore run for no gain to the BC 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19TD
5 plays · 95 yds · 2:1897% → 99%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+34
2.9%
AJ Dillon run for 34 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
2.6%
AJ Dillon run for 9 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+3
2.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
2.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+46
0.6%
Darius Wade pass complete to Travis Levy for 46 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 0%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
0.5%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 7 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 3
OWN 48
-2
0.5%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Steve Ishmael for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 46Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
0.4%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q4 12:37
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
0.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 49 yds · 7:0099% → 100%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
0.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+6
0.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
0.5%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 24Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+26
0.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
50
+2
0.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+6
0.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+4
0.4%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
0.5%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 43Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+6
0.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+1
0.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the Syrac 36Similar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
0.2%
Thadd Smith run for no gain to the Syrac 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
0.1%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Ervin Philips for 6 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+17
0.1%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 17 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
0.1%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 4 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-2
0.1%
Rex Culpepper run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 39Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
0.1%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Devin C. Butler, broken up by Darius WadeSimilar
Q4 4:12
4TH & 8
OPP 39
+5
0.1%
Rex Culpepper run for 5 yds to the BC 32 Rex Culpepper fumbled, forced by Ty Schwab, recovered by BC Will Harris , return for 3 yds to the BC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
0.1%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+1
0.1%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the BC 36Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-4
0.1%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 33 Travis Levy fumbled, recovered by BC Travis LevySimilar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 9
OWN 33
-3
0.1%
Darius Wade run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:57
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)
-13.6
TD · Q2 7:32
Jeff Smith run for 64 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)
-9.9
TD · Q2 5:52
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Ervin Philips for 17 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
+8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com