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VT

Virginia Tech 10 at Virginia 0

UVA
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2017 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:09 · Lester Coleman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 95Home team on offense−11.8Pregame prior−6.8Score differential−5.0Garbage-time factor−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:50: Kurt Benkert run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 39 — UVA win probability +4.9 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00: Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the VTech 28 — VT win probability +3.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:15: Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 25 yds to the Virg 15 for a 1ST down — VT win probability +4.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:44: Chris Cunningham 8 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Brian Johnson Kick) — VT win probability +9.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:09: Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the Virg 20 — VT win probability +3.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 8 of 11VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 10
  1. Q1 12:13VT 4th & 4 at VT 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:10UVA 4th & 13 at UVA 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:00VT 4th & 4 at UVA 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    64.3%−0.2
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:39UVA 4th & 8 at UVA 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:55VT 4th & 3 at VT 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:48UVA 4th & 9 at UVA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:50VT 4th & 2 at UVA 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.3%−0.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    57.0%−3.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:59UVA 4th & 22 at UVA 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−2.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:21VT 4th & 1 at VT 45, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:49UVA 4th & 13 at UVA 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−2.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:30UVA 4th & 1 at VT 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    39.7%−1.9
    49% to make
    Punt
    38.2%−3.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:27UVA 4th & 2 at VT 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−1.0
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−5.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:09UVA 4th & 1 at UVA 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:39VT 4th & 1 at UVA 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.6%−2.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    71.2%−3.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:05VT 4th & 28 at UVA 35, up 10
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−2.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    77.4%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:32UVA 4th & 4 at UVA 45, down 10
    Close callPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:36VT 4th & 1 at UVA 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.8%−4.0
    51% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−5.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:27VT 4th & 1 at UVA 14, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.8%−2.7
    84% to make
    Punt
    74.4%−11.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:54UVA 4th & 25 at VT 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    12.9%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:52VT 4th & 17 at UVA 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−1.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:58UVA 4th & 11 at UVA 19, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 12:44VT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:3765% → 64%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
34.8%
Steven Peoples run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
35.0%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
35.1%
Josh Jackson run for 3 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
35.3%
Steven Peoples run for 5 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+1
35.4%
Steven Peoples run for 1 yd to the VTech 43Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
35.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Hezekiah GrimsleySimilar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
35.8%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5836% → 36%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
35.9%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Jordan EllisSimilar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-3
36.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 17Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
36.0%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Joe ReedSimilar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
36.0%
Lester Coleman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:1064% → 63%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
35.9%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+12
35.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 12 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
36.0%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
36.2%
Steven Peoples run for 7 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 3
OPP 36
-1
36.4%
Josh Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 37Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
36.7%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:2137% → 38%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
37.1%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
37.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 22Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+23
37.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Joe Reed for 23 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
38.3%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
38.1%
Joe Reed run for 2 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
38.1%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
37.8%
Lester Coleman punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:4462% → 61%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
37.8%
Cam Phillips run for 10 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
37.9%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
38.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 4 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+3
38.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Travon McMillian for 3 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
38.7%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Daniel Hamm at the Virg 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:0739% → 39%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
38.6%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 6 yds to the Virg 24Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
39.1%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+8
38.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 8 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
39.6%
Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Virg 32Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
39.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Evan Butts for 1 yd to the Virg 33Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
39.4%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre LevroneSimilar
Q1 1:48
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
39.1%
TEAM punt for 37 yds, downed at the VTech 30 (blocked by Jovonn Quillen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:3261% → 62%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
39.1%
James Clark run for 4 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-1
38.9%
Steven Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+23
39.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 23 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
38.2%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+11
38.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 11 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
38.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Deshawn McClease for 9 yds to the Virg 22Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+2
37.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the Virg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
38.0%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the Virg 18Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
38.1%
Steven Peoples run for no gain to the Virg 18Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+6
39.1%
Josh Jackson run for 6 yds to the Virg 12Similar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+30
38.1%
Brian Johnson 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:4139% → 38%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
39.3%
Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 21Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-4
39.3%
Kurt Benkert sacked by Terrell Edmunds for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 17Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-4
38.6%
Joe Reed run for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 13Similar
Q2 9:59
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
37.9%
Lester Coleman punt for 51 yds , Greg Stroman returns for no gain to the VTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1962% → 61%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
38.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 7 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
37.6%
Josh Jackson run for 2 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
37.9%
Steven Peoples run for no gain to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
39.0%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Daniel Hamm at the Virg 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:2139% → 38%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
38.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 4 yds to the Virg 22Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+5
39.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Trevon Hill) to the Virg 27Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 1
OWN 27
0
40.3%
Kurt Benkert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+4
38.5%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 4 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
39.4%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-3
39.4%
Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 28 Jordan Ellis fumbled, recovered by Virg Jordan EllisSimilar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 13
OWN 28
0
38.0%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 13
OWN 28
+19
37.5%
Lester Coleman punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VT 38 VIRGINIA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Joe Spaziani) to the Virg 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3563% → 62%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
37.2%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Eric KumahSimilar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
37.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 5 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
37.6%
Josh Jackson pass intercepted Juan Thornhill return for no gain to the Virg 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 36 yds · 4:2343% → 43%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
42.6%
Kurt Benkert run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 39Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+10
41.5%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 10 yds to the Virg 49Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+9
42.8%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 9 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
44.1%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
43.8%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Evan Butts for 6 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+3
43.8%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+2
43.1%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
46.2%
Kurt Benkert run for no gain to the VTech 31Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
46.1%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre LevroneSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+8
44.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 8 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+41
43.2%
A.J. Mejia 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
39.8%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the VTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:2740% → 41%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
40.3%
Kurt Benkert run for 11 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
40.9%
Chris Sharp run for 4 yds to the Virg 40 Chris Sharp fumbled, forced by Reggie Floyd, recovered by VTech Houshun GainesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:3164% → 74%
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+25
36.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 25 yds to the Virg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
35.0%
Josh Jackson run for 7 yds to the Virg 8Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 3
OPP 8
0
34.9%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the Virg 8Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+8
25.9%
Chris Cunningham 8 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Brian Johnson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2126% → 25%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
26.3%
Kurt Benkert sacked by Houshun Gaines for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 23Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
25.9%
Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the Virg 24Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
24.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 10 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
24.8%
Lester Coleman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:5574% → 76%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
25.8%
Steven Peoples run for no gain to the VTech 24Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
26.1%
Steven Peoples run for 6 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+12
25.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 12 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
23.8%
Jalen Holston run for 13 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
23.6%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the Virg 44Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
23.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+8
23.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 8 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q3 7:39
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+19
24.5%
Josh Jackson run for 19 yds to the Virg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
21.9%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 20Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 13
OPP 20
-16
21.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the Virg 36 TEAM fumbled, recovered by VTech Josh JacksonSimilar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 29
OPP 36
+1
22.5%
Josh Jackson run for 1 yd to the Virg 35Similar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 28
OPP 35
0
23.6%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Daniel Hamm at the Virg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:1821% → 21%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
20.8%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Evan Butts for 2 yds to the Virg 11Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+28
21.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 28 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
22.7%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
23.1%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre LevroneSimilar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+3
21.2%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q3 2:32
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
20.8%
Lester Coleman punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19MISSED FG
18 plays · 66 yds · 7:4379% → 87%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
21.4%
Steven Peoples run for 7 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
20.2%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
20.3%
Hezekiah Grimsley run for 4 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+5
19.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 5 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
19.0%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
18.5%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+4
18.9%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+11
18.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 11 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
17.7%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dalton KeeneSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-5
17.9%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Kyle Chung) to the Virg 46Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+1
18.3%
Josh Jackson run for 1 yd to the Virg 45Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+13
17.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 13 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q4 11:36
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+9
17.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 9 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
14.1%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the Virg 20Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+5
13.5%
Steven Peoples run for 5 yds to the Virg 15Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+1
12.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 1 yd to the Virg 14Similar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+32
13.2%
Brian Johnson 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 1:3314% → 13%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
13.8%
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Doni Dowling) to the Virg 15Similar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 15
OWN 15
-6
13.6%
Kurt Benkert sacked by Ricky Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 9Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 21
OWN 9
+51
12.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 51 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
15.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 10 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
17.3%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
17.1%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
15.6%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q4 8:01
4TH & 10
OPP 30
-15
13.5%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Doni Dowling) to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 25
OPP 45
0
12.6%
Lester Coleman punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:5087% → 92%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
12.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 8 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+6
11.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the VTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
10.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 11 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
9.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
50
+15
8.7%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Andrew Brown) to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
8.5%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+2
7.7%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 5
OPP 30
-2
7.7%
Steven Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 32Similar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 7
OPP 32
-5
8.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the Virg 37, Virginia Tech False Start to the Virg 42. Similar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 17
OPP 42
0
8.2%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:527% → 4%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
7.0%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 22Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-3
6.6%
Kurt Benkert sacked by Tremaine Edmunds for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 19Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
5.8%
Kurt Benkert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+9
4.4%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Terrell Jana for 9 yds to the Virg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23Uncategorized
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:3095% → 97%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
4.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the Virg 22Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+2
3.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the Virg 20Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+11
3.7%
Steven Peoples run for 11 yds to the Virg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
3.5%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the Virg 5Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
3.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:44
Chris Cunningham 8 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Brian Johnson Kick)
-9
KEY PLAY · Q2 4:50
Kurt Benkert run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 39
+4.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 14:15
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 25 yds to the Virg 15 for a 1ST down
-4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com