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UVA

Virginia 28 at Miami 44

MIA
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadUVA aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreUVA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:53 · Lester Coleman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Pregame prior+31.5Home team on offense−4.1Score differential−1.4Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:30: Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 33 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK) — UVA win probability +14.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:21: Kurt Benkert pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 26 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK) — UVA win probability +14.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:04: Malik Rosier pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +17.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:57: Kurt Benkert pass intercepted for a TD Jaquan Johnson return for 30 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +12.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:03: Malik Rosier run for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley PAT MISSED) — MIA win probability +11.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 2 of 6UVA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 4:37MIA 4th & 20 at UVA 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:53UVA 4th & 5 at MIA 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:20MIA 4th & 2 at MIA 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:43UVA 4th & 4 at MIA 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:29MIA 4th & 4 at MIA 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:13MIA 4th & 19 at MIA 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−4.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:28UVA 4th & 6 at MIA 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    29.9%−0.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:24UVA 4th & 16 at UVA 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−6.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:21MIA 4th & 2 at UVA 27, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.6%−1.9
    62% to make
    Punt
    60.2%−10.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:52UVA 4th & 10 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:48MIA 4th & 1 at MIA 14, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.8 ptsPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%−3.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:45UVA 4th & 3 at MIA 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    25.9%−3.0
    34% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−4.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:50UVA 4th & 6 at UVA 29, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UVA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:49UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:12UVA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:14MIA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:14MIA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:30UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:21UVA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:04MIA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:57MIA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:03MIA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:16MIA Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UVADrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:0610% → 12%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.2%
Joe Reed run for 4 yds to the Virg 29Similar
Q1 14:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
90.2%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Joe Reed for 6 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
89.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 2 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
89.7%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 1 yd to the Virg 38Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+14
89.5%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 14 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
89.2%
Kurt Benkert sacked by Trent Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 49Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+15
89.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Evan Butts for 15 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
88.7%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+33
87.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 33 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2INT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:1888% → 87%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.9%
Travis Homer run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
87.7%
Travis Homer run for no gain to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+16
87.2%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 16 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
87.4%
Travis Homer run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
87.0%
Malik Rosier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
86.7%
Malik Rosier pass intercepted Quin Blanding return for no gain to the Virg 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:1414% → 15%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
86.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 39Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
85.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 5 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+11
85.5%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 11 yds Olamide Zaccheaus fumbled, forced by Zach McCloud, recovered by MiaFl Michael JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:1586% → 85%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
86.2%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 25 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
86.4%
Rosier, Malik pass incomplete to Berrios, Braxton, PENALTY MIAMI personal foul 15 yards to the VIRGINIA45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 25
OPP 45
+5
85.9%
Malik Rosier run for 5 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 20
OPP 40
0
85.4%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Christopher Herndon IVSimilar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 20
OPP 40
0
85.1%
Malik Rosier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 20
OPP 40
0
84.7%
Zach Feagles punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Daniel Hamm at the Virg 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5TD
5 plays · 92 yds · 2:1715% → 20%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
84.9%
Joe Reed run for 5 yds to the Virg 13Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 13
-5
84.5%
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (John Montelus) to the Virg 8Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+6
84.3%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 6 yds to the Virg 14Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+11
83.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Lamont Atkins for 11 yds to the Virg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
79.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Joe Reed for 75 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6TD
8 plays · 40 yds · 1:4681% → 83%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
80.7%
Malik Rosier sacked by Bryce Hall for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 45Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+33
79.8%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 33 yds to the Virg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
79.8%
Travis Homer run for 2 yds to the Virg 10Similar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
79.3%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Braxton BerriosSimilar
Q1 0:14
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
83.4%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 10 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:0719% → 20%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
81.5%
Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the Virg 36Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
81.4%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Evan Butts for 6 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
80.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 4 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
80.3%
Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 43Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 13
OWN 43
0
80.5%
Kurt Benkert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+8
80.6%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 8 yds to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
79.7%
Lester Coleman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:2581% → 78%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
80.5%
Travis Homer run for no gain to the MiaFl 12Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+10
80.3%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Mike Harley for 10 yds to the MiaFl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
79.7%
Travis Homer run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+7
79.0%
Malik Rosier run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
78.6%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for no gain to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+2
77.5%
Zach Feagles punt for 36 yds , Daniel Hamm returns for 2 yds to the Virg 36 Daniel Hamm fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Travis HomerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9TD
1 play · 36 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
85.2%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Dayall Harris for 36 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:2218% → 20%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+22
82.3%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 7 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Roughing Passer (Joe Jackson) to the Virg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
81.2%
Joe Reed run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 7
50
+5
79.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 5 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-2
79.5%
Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
80.0%
Lester Coleman punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:1183% → 82%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
82.8%
DeeJay Dallas run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+9
82.6%
DeeJay Dallas run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
82.5%
Malik Rosier run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
82.4%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Dayall HarrisSimilar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+8
81.8%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 8 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
82.6%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Darrell LanghamSimilar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
82.4%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 6 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
82.6%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Darrell LanghamSimilar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
81.8%
Zach Feagles punt for 36 yds, downed at the Virg 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:5021% → 39%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
79.2%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 6 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+16
78.0%
Joe Reed run for 16 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
76.5%
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Jake Fieler) to the Virg 36Similar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+9
77.6%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 9 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-5
75.1%
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Dillon Reinkensmeyer) to the Virg 40Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+6
76.5%
Kurt Benkert run for 6 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+21
75.5%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 21 yds to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
61.2%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 33 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
66.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:3866% → 62%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
66.2%
Malik Rosier sacked by Chris Peace for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaFl 18Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-5
65.3%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (Navaughn Donaldson) to the MiaFl 13Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
65.1%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Travis HomerSimilar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+3
63.7%
Malik Rosier run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 16Similar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
62.1%
TEAM punt for 5 yds, blocked by C. Snowden, downed at the MiaFl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15TD
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:4141% → 55%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
59.0%
Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+26
44.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 26 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:0249% → 66%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
49.2%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
48.3%
Travis Homer run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+24
48.8%
Malik Rosier run for 24 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
50.2%
Malik Rosier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
49.8%
Travis Homer run for 1 yd to the Virg 33Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+24
47.6%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 24 yds to the Virg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
65.5%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 17INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
72.9%
Kurt Benkert pass intercepted for a TD Jaquan Johnson return for 30 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:2227% → 31%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
72.8%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 9 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
70.9%
Kurt Benkert run for 3 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
70.9%
Joe Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 36Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+26
70.8%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 26 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
67.6%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 4 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
65.6%
Kurt Benkert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
67.5%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 6
OPP 34
0
69.4%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19INT
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:4774% → 76%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
73.6%
DeeJay Dallas run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+14
74.0%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
50
+5
75.7%
DeeJay Dallas run for 5 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+10
75.6%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Michael Irvin II for 10 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
76.3%
Malik Rosier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
76.2%
Malik Rosier pass intercepted Juan Thornhill return for no gain to the Virg 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:4432% → 30%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-7
68.5%
Kurt Benkert sacked by RJ McIntosh and Joe Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 4Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 17
OWN 4
-1
68.9%
Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 3Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 18
OWN 3
+2
69.6%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 5Similar
Q3 2:24
4TH & 16
OWN 5
0
70.4%
Lester Coleman punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 21FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5475% → 76%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
75.1%
Travis Homer run for 4 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-2
74.9%
Malik Rosier sacked by Mandy Alonso and Andrew Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 33Similar
Q3 0:43
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+6
72.9%
Travis Homer run for 6 yds to the Virg 27Similar
Q3 0:21
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+44
76.4%
Michael Badgley 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 13 yds · 4:0825% → 25%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 5 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
73.9%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 4 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
74.3%
Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 33Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+5
76.0%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Running Into Kicker (Zach McCloud) to the Virg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
73.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 4 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+8
71.3%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
50
0
70.2%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre LevroneSimilar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 10
50
-15
71.4%
Benkert, Kurt pass sacked for loss of 5 yards to the VIRGINIA45 (Harris, Trent), PENALTY VIRGINIA illegal use of hands (Montelus, John) 15 yards to the VIRGINIA35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 25
OWN 35
+5
74.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 5 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 20
OWN 40
+10
75.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 10
50
0
74.7%
Lester Coleman punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jeff Thomas at the MiaFl 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5677% → 74%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
76.7%
Travis Homer run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 7Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+7
76.0%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Dayall Harris for 7 yds to the MiaFl 14Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 1
OWN 14
0
75.0%
Travis Homer run for no gain to the MiaFl 14Similar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 1
OWN 14
0
73.6%
Zach Feagles punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Daniel Hamm at the Virg 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:5630% → 30%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
69.8%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 12 yds to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-6
66.9%
Kurt Benkert sacked by Joe Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 47Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 16
OWN 47
+13
70.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 13 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
67.7%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 3
OPP 40
-13
70.2%
Kurt Benkert sacked by Trent Harris for a loss of 13 yards to the Virg 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 25TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:3382% → 93%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
81.6%
Travis Homer run for 8 yds to the Virg 39Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+36
81.8%
Travis Homer run for 36 yds to the Virg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-7
81.1%
DeeJay Dallas run for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 10Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
82.3%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Darrell Langham for 2 yds to the Virg 8Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
93.3%
Malik Rosier run for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:107% → 5%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.0%
Kurt Benkert sacked by Joe Jackson and Chad Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 20Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
93.3%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Daniel HammSimilar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+9
93.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 9 yds to the Virg 29Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
95.3%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre LevroneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 27TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 1:2695% → 99%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
94.7%
Travis Homer run for 3 yds to the Virg 26Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+7
96.0%
Travis Homer run for 7 yds to the Virg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
98.8%
Travis Homer run for 19 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:022% → 2%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.7%
Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-5
97.5%
Benkert, Kurt pass complete to Dubois, Hasise for 6 yards to the VIRGINIA31, PENALTY VIRGINIA ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the VIRGINIA20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+23
97.7%
Jordan Ellis run for 23 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:04
Malik Rosier pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)
+17.9
TD · Q2 0:30
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 33 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)
-14.2
TD · Q3 12:21
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 26 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)
-14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com