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DSU

Delaware State 6 at Florida State 77

FSU
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:04 · Logan Tyler punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the DelSt 25 , Fatu Sua-Godinet returns for 15 yds to the DelSt 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+47.0Home team on offense+3.1Score differential+0.6Blowout margin−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:04: Nyfease West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wisdom Nzidee PAT MISSED) — DSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: DSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:38: Keenan Black pass intercepted for a TD Derwin James return for 41 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: DSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:03: Cam Akers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:41: Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3DSU made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 9:08DSU 4th & 2 at FSU 25, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:04DSU 4th & 1 at FSU 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:04FSU 4th & 3 at FSU 41, up 8
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:42DSU 4th & 1 at DSU 34, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:15DSU 4th & 19 at DSU 16, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:58DSU 4th & 11 at DSU 18, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:00DSU 4th & 10 at DSU 39, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:29DSU 4th & 2 at DSU 24, down 43
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:03DSU 4th & 10 at DSU 25, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:39DSU 4th & 8 at DSU 27, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:11FSU 4th & 4 at FSU 29, up 50
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:32DSU 4th & 9 at DSU 24, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:47DSU 4th & 13 at DSU 40, down 57
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:07DSU 4th & 25 at DSU 10, down 64
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:02DSU 4th & 2 at FSU 20, down 71
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:06FSU 4th & 9 at FSU 21, up 71
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 11 of 11DSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:24FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:08FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:04DSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:38FSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:03FSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 10:41FSU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 7:34FSU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 4:47FSU Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 1:25FSU Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 3:50FSU Touchdown, up 56 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:38FSU Touchdown, up 63 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 6:30FSU Touchdown, up 70 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:08100% → 100%
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.8%
Cam Akers run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
99.8%
Cam Akers run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.8%
James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 5 yds to the DelSt 46Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+13
99.8%
Nyqwan Murray run for 13 yds to the DelSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Cam Akers run for no gain to the DelSt 33Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+19
99.8%
James Blackman pass complete to Keith Gavin for 19 yds to the DelSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.8%
Jacques Patrick run for 14 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 2MISSED FG TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Nyfease West run for no gain to the DelSt 25Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+42
99.7%
Keenan Black pass complete to Taronn Selby for 42 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.7%
WEST,N. rush up middle for no gain to the FS33 (Hoskins, R), PENALTY FS offside defense (James, D) 5 yards to the FS28, NO PLAY, clock 10:18.Similar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 5
OPP 28
0
99.7%
Keenan Black pass incomplete to Taronn SelbySimilar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
99.7%
Keenan Black pass incomplete to Taronn SelbySimilar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+3
99.7%
Brycen Alleyne run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q1 9:08
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+63
99.7%
Tarvarus McFadden 63 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Ricky Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:440% → 1%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.7%
Nyfease West run for a loss of 2 yards to the DelSt 23Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
99.7%
Keenan Black pass complete to Trey Gross for 7 yds to the DelSt 30Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
99.7%
Keenan Black run for 12 yds to the DelSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+24
99.7%
Keenan Black pass complete to Kwannah Kollie for 24 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+27
99.7%
Keenan Black pass complete to Kwannah Kollie for 27 yds to the FlaSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
99.6%
Giovanni Downie run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 3Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.6%
Nyfease West run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 1Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.6%
Keenan Black run for no gain to the FlaSt 1Similar
Q1 4:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Nyfease West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wisdom Nzidee PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.6%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
99.5%
James Blackman pass complete to Keith Gavin for 7 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
99.5%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+15
99.5%
Logan Tyler punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the DelSt 25 , Fatu Sua-Godinet returns for 15 yds to the DelSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 5INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
99.6%
Keenan Black pass intercepted for a TD Derwin James return for 41 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:300% → 1%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.6%
Nyfease West run for a loss of 3 yards to the DelSt 22Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-8
99.6%
Keenan Black sacked by Arthur Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the DelSt 14Similar
Q1 0:42
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+20
99.5%
Keenan Black run for 20 yds to the DelSt 34Similar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-1
99.5%
Nyfease West run for a loss of 1 yard to the DelSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
99.6%
Cam Akers run for 8 yds to the DelSt 25Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+8
99.6%
Cam Akers run for 8 yds to the DelSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
99.5%
Cam Akers run for 12 yds to the DelSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.5%
Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the DelSt 2 DELAWARE ST Penalty, personal foul (1 Yards) to the DelSt 1Similar
Q2 13:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.5%
Cam Akers run for no gain to the DelSt 1Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Cam Akers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Keenan Black pass incomplete to Kwannah KollieSimilar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Keenan Black pass incomplete to Kwannah KollieSimilar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-9
99.7%
Keenan Black pass complete to Keenan Black for a loss of 9 yards to the DelSt 16Similar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+47
99.7%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the DelSt 27 , D.J. Matthews returns for 47 yds to the DelSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:04100% → 100%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.7%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+10
99.7%
James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 10 yds to the DelSt 17 for a 1ST down DELAWARE ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
99.7%
Jacques Patrick run for 12 yds to the DelSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 0
OPP 5
+3
99.7%
Blackman, J sideline pass incomplete to Tate, A, PENALTY DSU pass interference (SELBY,K.) 3 yards to the DSU2, NO PLAY, clock 10:43.Similar
Q2 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
99.9%
Giovanni Downie run for a loss of 1 yard to the DelSt 18Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+1
99.9%
Keenan Black pass complete to Taronn Selby for 1 yd to the DelSt 19Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 10
OWN 19
-1
99.9%
Keenan Black sacked by Derwin James and Brian Burns for a loss of 1 yard to the DelSt 18Similar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 11
OWN 18
+22
99.9%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 42 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for 22 yds to the DelSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 0:17100% → 100%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+34
99.8%
James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 34 yds to the DelSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q2 7:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 4 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
99.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Nyqwan Murray) to the FlaSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:250% → 0%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Keenan Black pass incomplete to Trey GrossSimilar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-5
99.9%
DELAWARE ST Penalty, false start (Kwannah Kollie) to the DelSt 34Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 15
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Keenan Black pass incomplete to Fatu Sua-GodinetSimilar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 15
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Keenan Black run for 5 yds to the DelSt 39Similar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+41
99.9%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 48 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for 41 yds to the DelSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+43
99.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Ermon Lane for 43 yds to the DelSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
Amir Rasul run for 2 yds to the DelSt 1Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.9%
Amir Rasul run for a loss of 1 yard to the DelSt 2Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Gabe Nabers for 2 yds for a TD DELAWARE ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Brycen Alleyne run for 2 yds to the DelSt 18Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+6
99.9%
Keenan Black pass complete to Taronn Selby for 6 yds to the DelSt 24Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 2
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Keenan Black pass incomplete to Taronn SelbySimilar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+43
99.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Keith Gavin for 43 yds to the DelSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
James Blackman run for 3 yds to the DelSt 12Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+9
99.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Keith Gavin for 9 yds to the DelSt 3 for a 1ST down DELAWARE ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 3 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:100% → 0%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Keenan Black pass incomplete to Trey Gross, broken up by Stanford Samuels IIISimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Keenan Black pass incomplete to Kwannah KollieSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Keenan Black pass incomplete to Trey GrossSimilar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 42 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for no gain to the FlaSt 25 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Gabe Nabers) to the FlaSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
J.J. Cosentino run for no gain to the FlaSt 23 J.J. Cosentino fumbled,Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+13
99.9%
Ryan Green run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Nyfease West run for 1 yd to the DelSt 26Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Bryant Dallas pass incomplete to Giovanni DownieSimilar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+1
100.0%
Jack McDaniels run for 1 yd to the DelSt 27Similar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:57100% → 100%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
99.9%
Amir Rasul run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
J.J. Cosentino pass complete to Ermon Lane for 5 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
99.9%
J.J. Cosentino pass incomplete to Justin MotlowSimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Logan Tyler punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Fatu Sua-Godinet at the DelSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
100.0%
Nyfease West run for 1 yd to the DelSt 24Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Jordan Hannah for no gain to the DelSt 24Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Jordan HannahSimilar
Q3 5:32
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+28
100.0%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the DelSt 44 , D.J. Matthews returns for 28 yds to the DelSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
99.9%
J.J. Cosentino pass complete to Amir Rasul for 11 yds to the DelSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
99.9%
Ryan Green run for 16 yds to the DelSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
99.9%
J.J. Cosentino pass complete to Justin Motlow for 12 yds to the DelSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Ryan Green run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
100.0%
Jack McDaniels sacked by Joshua Kaindoh for a loss of 3 yards to the DelSt 40Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Giovanni DownieSimilar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 13
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Trey GrossSimilar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 45 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 8:47100% → 100%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
99.9%
Amir Rasul run for 23 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
99.9%
Amir Rasul run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
50
+12
99.9%
Amir Rasul run for 12 yds to the DelSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
100.0%
Ryan Green run for 5 yds to the DelSt 33Similar
Q3 0:18
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+8
100.0%
Ryan Green run for 8 yds to the DelSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
100.0%
Ryan Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the DelSt 26Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+10
100.0%
J.J. Cosentino pass complete to Jared Jackson for 10 yds to the DelSt 16Similar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+3
100.0%
Amir Rasul run for 3 yds to the DelSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
100.0%
J.J. Cosentino pass complete to Justin Motlow for 1 yd to the DelSt 12Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
100.0%
J.J. Cosentino pass complete to Justin Motlow for 12 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
100.0%
Jack McDaniels sacked by Joshua Kaindoh for a loss of 11 yards to the DelSt 14Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 21
OWN 14
-4
100.0%
Jack McDaniels sacked by Joshua Kaindoh for a loss of 4 yards to the DelSt 10Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 25
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Taronn Selby, broken up by Herbans PaulSimilar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 49 yds, downed at the FlaSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 25TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:27100% → 100%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
100.0%
Amir Rasul run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line Amir Rasul fumbled, forced by Kyle Taylor, recovered by FlaSt , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 1
50
+50
100.0%
Ryan Green run for 50 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 26DOWNS
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:060% → 0%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Trey Gross for 9 yds to the DelSt 34Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-7
100.0%
Jack McDaniels sacked by Joshua Kaindoh for a loss of 7 yards to the DelSt 27Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+45
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Brycen Alleyne for 45 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Brycen Alleyne for 4 yds to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Fatu Sua-Godinet, broken up by Stanford Samuels IIISimilar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+4
100.0%
Jack McDaniels run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 2
OPP 20
0
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Trey GrossSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Amir Rasul run for no gain to the FlaSt 20 Amir Rasul fumbled, forced by Kyle Taylor, recovered by FlaStSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
100.0%
Jake Rizzo pass complete to Bryan LaCivita for 6 yds to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Jake Rizzo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 4
OWN 26
-5
100.0%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Logan Tyler punt for 29 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 28INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
50
+3
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Brycen Alleyne for 3 yds to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Trey GrossSimilar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+18
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Trey Gross for 18 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass intercepted, touchback. Stanford Samuels III return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
Blaik Middleton run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:03
Cam Akers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q1 4:04
Nyfease West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wisdom Nzidee PAT MISSED)
-0.1
TD · Q1 2:38
Keenan Black pass intercepted for a TD Derwin James return for 41 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com