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GT

Georgia Tech 20 at Duke 43

DUKE
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Wallace Wade Stadium
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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:13 · Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 8 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Home team on offense−5.9Pregame prior−6.0Score differential−2.0Garbage-time factor−2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:09: TaQuon Marshall run for 8 yds for a TD, (Brenton King PAT BLOCKED) — GT win probability +8.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:26: Brittain Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker KICK) — DUKE win probability +13.9 pts (now 52%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:58: Daniel Jones pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 16 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker KICK) — DUKE win probability +13.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:17: Austin Parker 25 yd FG GOOD — DUKE win probability +8.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:57: Shaun Wilson pass complete to Daniel Helm for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker PAT MISSED) — DUKE win probability +8.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 6GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 3:53DUKE 4th & 12 at GT 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    33.0%−1.9
    average punt
  2. Q2 7:48DUKE 4th & 6 at GT 7, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−5.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:13DUKE 4th & 5 at GT 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    33.5%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    32.3%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q3 11:53GT 4th & 7 at GT 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−1.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  5. Q3 5:17DUKE 4th & 8 at GT 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−9.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:19GT 4th & 8 at GT 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−1.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:03DUKE 4th & 1 at GT 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−2.8
    81% to make
    Punt
    64.0%−11.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:57GT 4th & 4 at DUKE 29, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    10.3%−0.5
    58% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−4.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:15DUKE 4th & 5 at DUKE 34, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:56GT 4th & 9 at GT 32, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:34GT 4th & 7 at GT 28, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:31GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:13GT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:46DUKE Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:09GT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:26DUKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:58DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:57DUKE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:39DUKE Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:2961% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.6%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
38.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 8 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
38.6%
Nathan Cottrell run for 3 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
38.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 8 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
38.6%
KirVonte Benson run for 8 yds to the Duke 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+2
38.6%
KirVonte Benson run for 2 yds to the Duke 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
38.6%
KirVonte Benson run for 2 yds to the Duke 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+7
38.6%
KirVonte Benson run for 7 yds to the Duke 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
38.6%
KirVonte Benson run for 2 yds to the Duke 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
38.6%
KirVonte Benson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 34
-1
38.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 35Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+35
37.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Qua Searcy for 35 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:3339% → 41%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+39
38.5%
Shaun Wilson run for 39 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
39.4%
Daniel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
39.4%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Brittain Brown for 3 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+6
39.1%
Daniel Jones run for 6 yds to the GTech 15 Daniel Jones fumbled, forced by Step Durham, recovered by Duke Brittain Brown for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
39.4%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 9 yds to the GTech 6Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 1
OPP 6
0
39.4%
Daniel Jones run for no gain to the GTech 6Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+4
39.1%
Daniel Jones run for 4 yds to the GTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
39.5%
Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the GTech 1Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-11
39.5%
Daniel Jones run for a loss of 11 yards to the GTech 12 Daniel Jones fumbled, recovered by Duke Daniel JonesSimilar
Q1 4:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
39.6%
Daniel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
40.6%
Austin Parker 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:3559% → 65%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
40.8%
KirVonte Benson run for 7 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+9
40.2%
KirVonte Benson run for 9 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+30
40.3%
J.J. Green run for 30 yds to the Duke 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
39.5%
KirVonte Benson run for 3 yds to the Duke 30Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-12
39.5%
Clinton Lynch run for 3 yds to the Duke 27 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, illegal block (Qua Searcy) to the Duke 42Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 19
OPP 42
+25
40.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 25 yds to the Duke 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
39.5%
KirVonte Benson run for 3 yds to the Duke 14Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+9
39.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 9 yds to the Duke 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
39.7%
KirVonte Benson run for 2 yds to the Duke 3Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
34.8%
J.J. Green run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:2036% → 44%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
35.8%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 7 yds to the Duke 34Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+27
36.1%
Brittain Brown run for 27 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+27
36.9%
Brittain Brown run for 27 yds to the GTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
37.7%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-1
37.7%
Shaun Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 11Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+11
44.0%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 11 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
40.1%
Clinton Lynch run for 22 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
39.7%
KirVonte Benson run for 2 yds to the Duke 36Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+2
39.7%
KirVonte Benson run for 2 yds to the Duke 34Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+26
39.9%
TaQuon Marshall pass intercepted Victor Dimukeje return for 26 yds to the GTech 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:0945% → 46%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
45.2%
Daniel Jones run for 7 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+9
45.2%
Brittain Brown run for 9 yds to the GTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
45.2%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the GTech 7Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
45.2%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Noah Gray for no gain to the GTech 7Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
44.1%
Daniel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:48
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+25
45.8%
Austin Parker 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 5:3458% → 70%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
42.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
42.6%
KirVonte Benson run for 6 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+5
42.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
42.2%
KirVonte Benson run for 5 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
41.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the GTech 35Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+48
42.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 48 yds to the Duke 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
39.6%
KirVonte Benson run for 4 yds to the Duke 13Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+5
39.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the Duke 8Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+3
40.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Duke 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
39.6%
Jerry Howard run for no gain to the Duke 5Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
39.6%
Nathan Cottrell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 8Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
30.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 8 yds for a TD, (Brenton King PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8TD
15 plays · 72 yds · 1:3734% → 52%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
34.2%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Brittain Brown for 17 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
35.9%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 14 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
37.1%
Daniel Jones sacked by Antonio Simmons for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 44Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 13
OPP 44
0
35.5%
Daniel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+8
34.9%
Daniel Jones run for 8 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+8
35.7%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 8 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
38.4%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Brittain BrownSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+17
38.3%
Daniel Jones run for 17 yds to the GTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
38.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+9
38.4%
Jones, D pass incomplete to Young, A, PENALTY GT pass interference (Gray, A.) 9 yards to the GT2, 1ST DOWN DU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
38.4%
Brittain Brown run for no gain to the GTech 2Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
52.4%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
44.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the GTech 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0249% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
48.8%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 9 yds to the Duke 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
50.7%
Shaun Wilson run for 13 yds to the Duke 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
51.6%
Daniel Jones run for 6 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+4
52.2%
Shaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
52.2%
Daniel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+12
52.0%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 12 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
52.9%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 9 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+6
52.9%
Shaun Wilson run for 6 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
66.7%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 16 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
62.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 22Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+2
62.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
63.3%
TaQuon Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
64.3%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 28 , T.J. Rahming returns for no gain to the Duke 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 5:1065% → 75%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
64.6%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 10 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
66.1%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the Duke 41Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+7
66.8%
Brittain Brown run for 7 yds to the Duke 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
67.2%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 5 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+19
67.5%
Brittain Brown run for 19 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
67.9%
Brittain Brown run for 7 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+6
67.9%
Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the GTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
67.9%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Brittain Brown for 11 yds to the GTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
67.9%
Shaun Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 5Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
67.9%
Daniel Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 8Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
66.6%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Shaun WilsonSimilar
Q3 5:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
75.0%
Austin Parker 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:5426% → 21%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.1%
TaQuon Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
78.7%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q3 4:19
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-2
79.4%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 40 yds , T.J. Rahming returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 5:0679% → 94%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
78.6%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 8 yds to the Duke 39Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+3
79.9%
Shaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the Duke 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
79.8%
Daniel Jones run for 6 yds to the Duke 48Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+27
79.9%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 27 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
80.9%
Daniel Jones run for 6 yds to the GTech 19Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+1
80.9%
Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the GTech 18Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+2
79.8%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+1
79.0%
Daniel Jones run for 1 yd to the GTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
80.9%
Daniel Jones run for 5 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+5
85.0%
Daniel Jones run for 5 yds to the GTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
85.0%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the GTech 4Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.8%
Shaun Wilson pass complete to Daniel Helm for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 46 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
91.2%
KirVonte Benson run for 3 yds to the GTech 28 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, illegal block (-14 Yards) to the GTech 14Similar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 21
OWN 14
+6
91.4%
KirVonte Benson run for 6 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+45
91.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 45 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
89.6%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Clinton LynchSimilar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
89.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the Duke 35Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+6
90.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 6 yds to the Duke 29Similar
Q4 13:57
4TH & 4
OPP 29
0
90.7%
TaQuon Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
94.8%
Shaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the Duke 33Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+1
94.7%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 1 yd to the Duke 34Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
94.8%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming, broken up by Lance AustinSimilar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 5
OWN 34
+10
94.4%
Austin Parker punt for 45 yds , Brad Stewart returns for 10 yds to the GTech 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
93.8%
KirVonte Benson run for 1 yd to the GTech 32Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
93.9%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
94.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the GTech 32Similar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
94.4%
Pressley Harvin III pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18TD
1 play · 32 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.0%
Daniel Jones run for 32 yds for a TD, (William Holmquist KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
98.8%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (-10 Yards) to the GTech 11Similar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
98.8%
KirVonte Benson run for 6 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+8
98.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 8 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune, broken up by Jordan Hayes GEORGIA TECH Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
98.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Qua SearcySimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.8%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20END OF GAME
13 plays · 43 yds · 4:1499% → 100%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.3%
Shaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the Duke 33Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+5
99.3%
Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Duke 38Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
99.3%
Quentin Harris run for 2 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.3%
Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Duke 45Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
99.3%
Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Duke 49Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
99.7%
Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.7%
Nicodem Pierre run for no gain to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+21
99.8%
Parker Boehme run for 21 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.8%
Nicodem Pierre run for 3 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-3
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 27Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:26
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker KICK)
+13.9
TD · Q3 11:58
Daniel Jones pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 16 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker KICK)
+13.8
TD · Q4 13:57
Shaun Wilson pass complete to Daniel Helm for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker PAT MISSED)
+8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com