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BC

Boston College 39 at UConn 16

CONN
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Fenway Park
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:28 · Mike Knoll punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Quayvon Skanes at the UConn 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior−37.6Home team on offense+1.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 11:03: Michael Tarbutt 50 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +1.7 pts (now 11%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:13: Darius Wade pass complete to Chris Garrison for 2 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) CONNECTICUT Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined — BC win probability +4.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:07: AJ Dillon run for 53 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +6.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:04: Jon Hilliman run for 38 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +6.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:41: David Pindell pass intercepted for a TD Taj-Amir Torres return for 65 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg PAT MISSED) — BC win probability +4.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 10 of 13BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 11:03CONN 4th & 21 at BC 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:03BC 4th & 5 at BC 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:26BC 4th & 5 at CONN 25, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.5%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    84.8%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:28CONN 4th & 9 at BC 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:28BC 4th & 5 at BC 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:26CONN 4th & 10 at BC 36, up 3
    Close callPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    16.5%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00BC 4th & 1 at BC 24, down 3
    Close callPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:41CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:13CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:20BC 4th & 25 at BC 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−1.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:27CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:07CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:51BC 4th & 8 at BC 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:41CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 19, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:18CONN 4th & 9 at BC 29, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−2.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:18CONN 4th & 7 at BC 11, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−3.3
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:06CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 12, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00BC 4th & 3 at CONN 42, up 30
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:16CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 30, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:20BC 4th & 1 at CONN 3, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:31BC 4th & 4 at BC 30, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:53BC 4th & 13 at BC 22, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:46CONN 4th & 16 at CONN 39, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q2 6:13BC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:07BC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:04BC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:41BC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:06BC Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:20BC Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:31CONN Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:15CONN Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 3:579% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
9.2%
PINDELL, David pass incomplete to MAYALA, Hergy, PENALTY BC offside defense 5 yards to the UCONN11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 11
+4
9.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+3
9.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+50
9.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 50 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
9.2%
David Pindell run for 8 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+2
9.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
9.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 23
-1
9.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 24
-9
9.2%
PINDELL, David rush for 4 yards to the BC20 (Denis,L), PENALTY UCONN holding 9 yards to the BC33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 33
0
9.2%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Arkeel NewsomeSimilar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 21
OPP 33
+50
10.9%
Michael Tarbutt 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
10.9%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
10.9%
Thadd Smith run for 1 yd to the BC 28Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
11.0%
Darius Wade pass complete to Jeff Smith for 2 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
11.1%
Mike Knoll punt for 29 yds, downed at the UConn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
11.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 4 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+1
11.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+16
11.8%
David Pindell pass intercepted Hamp Cheevers return for 16 yds to the BC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4MISSED FG
7 plays · 58 yds · 1:5388% → 87%
Q1 8:19
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+48
12.4%
AJ Dillon run for 48 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
12.4%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
12.0%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
12.0%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+3
12.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 6:26
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
13.4%
Colton Lichtenberg 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Luke Carrezola Luke Carrezola return for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5MISSED FG
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:5814% → 16%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+49
13.5%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 49 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
14.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+3
14.1%
David Pindell run for 3 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+6
13.9%
Donovan Williams run for 6 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
14.1%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Donovan WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+1
14.1%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the BC 12Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
13.9%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+30
15.5%
Michael Tarbutt 30 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Wyatt Ray Wyatt Ray return for no gain to the BC 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
15.5%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
15.5%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
15.6%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
15.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Quayvon Skanes at the UConn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
15.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 11 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+28
16.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Alec Bloom for 28 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
16.6%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-2
16.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 38Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+2
16.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q1 2:26
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
15.8%
Brett Graham punt for 32 yds, downed at the BC 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:2082% → 82%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
17.7%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+5
18.0%
Dillon,A rush for 3 yards to the BC9 (DIGGS, Vontae;STERLING, Sant.), PENALTY UCONN offside defense 5 yards to the BC11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+4
17.7%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
17.7%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
17.8%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+9
18.1%
Darius Wade pass complete to Chris Garrison for 9 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
18.2%
Mike Knoll punt for 40 yds, downed at the UConn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
19.6%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
19.5%
David Pindell run for no gain to the UConn 36Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
19.0%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy Mayala, broken up by Noa MerrittSimilar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
18.7%
Brett Graham punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 5:4680% → 83%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
19.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 4 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
19.5%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 34Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+7
19.9%
Darius Wade run for 7 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
19.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 42Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-1
19.2%
Darius Wade pass complete to Kobay White for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 41Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+38
19.7%
Darius Wade pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 38 yds to the UConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
18.3%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 4
OPP 15
-1
18.3%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 16Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+8
18.7%
AJ Dillon run for 8 yds to the UConn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
20.8%
AJ Dillon run for 7 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
20.8%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 2Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
16.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Chris Garrison for 2 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) CONNECTICUT Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
18.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
18.3%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
17.7%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Quayvon Skanes CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
17.4%
Brett Graham punt for 33 yds, downed at the BC 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 0:0083% → 80%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
17.4%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-15
17.7%
Dillon,A rush for no gain to the BC43 (TERRY, Marshe), PENALTY BC personal foul 15 yards to the BC28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 25
OWN 28
0
19.0%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 25
OWN 28
0
19.4%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Tommy Sweeney, broken up by Marshe TerrySimilar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 25
OWN 28
0
19.8%
Mike Knoll punt for 63 yds, downed at the UConn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1219% → 20%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
18.9%
David Pindell run for 4 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+3
19.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 3
OWN 16
-6
18.4%
David Pindell sacked by Noa Merritt for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 14 David Pindell fumbled, recovered by UConn Matt Peart , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 3:27
4TH & 5
OWN 14
0
19.9%
Brett Graham punt for 39 yds, downed at the BC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14TD
1 play · 53 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
13.2%
AJ Dillon run for 53 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
14.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 31Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
14.1%
David Pindell run for 2 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
13.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
13.5%
Brett Graham punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5487% → 87%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
13.0%
Thadd Smith run for 1 yd to the BC 48Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
13.1%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+1
13.2%
Darius Wade pass complete to Kobay White for 1 yd to the BC 49Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
12.8%
Mike Knoll punt for 46 yds, downed at the UConn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
13.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:5687% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
12.9%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
12.9%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+7
13.2%
AJ Dillon run for 7 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
12.9%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+38
6.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 38 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19INT TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:238% → 4%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
7.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 12Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+3
7.7%
David Pindell run for 3 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+12
7.7%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 12 yds to the UConn 27 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+24
7.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 24 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
8.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+4
8.8%
David Pindell run for 4 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+6
8.9%
David Pindell run for 6 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+65
4.3%
David Pindell pass intercepted for a TD Taj-Amir Torres return for 65 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
3.7%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy Mayala, broken up by Lukas DenisSimilar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-5
3.7%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, illegal participation (-5 Yards) to the UConn 13Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+1
3.7%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 1 yd to the UConn 14Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 14
OWN 14
+5
3.6%
PINDELL, David pass incomplete to MAYALA, Hergy (Yiadom,I), PENALTY BC offside defense 5 yards to the UCONN19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
3.6%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
3.6%
Brett Graham punt for 48 yds , Michael Walker returns for no gain to the BC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21FUMBLE
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
2.9%
AJ Dillon run for 11 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
2.8%
Darius Wade run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 41 Darius Wade fumbled, recovered by UConn Cole OrmsbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22INT
11 plays · 30 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
3.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the BC 40Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+7
3.8%
David Pindell run for 7 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+3
4.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
4.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the BC 29Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
4.0%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
3.9%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+15
3.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 15 yds to the BC 14 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
4.1%
David Pindell run for no gain to the BC 14Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
4.1%
Nate Hopkins run for 3 yds to the BC 11Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
4.0%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Ryan Van DemarkSimilar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+56
3.8%
David Pindell pass intercepted Lukas Denis return for 56 yds to the UConn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 1:2298% → 99%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
2.0%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Jeff Smith, broken up by Jamar SummersSimilar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
2.0%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+15
2.0%
Wade,D pass incomplete to Walker,M (BELL, Tre), PENALTY UCONN roughing passer (JOSEPH, Junior) 15 yards to the UCONN21, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
2.0%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the UConn 20Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+20
1.4%
AJ Dillon run for 20 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
1.2%
MENSAH, Kevin rush for 2 yards to the UCONN12, out-of-bounds (Lamot,J), PENALTY UCONN holding (VAN DEMARK, Ry.) 5 yards to the UCONN5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+3
1.2%
David Pindell run for 3 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 12
OWN 8
-1
1.2%
Keyion Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 7Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 13
OWN 7
+5
1.1%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 8
OWN 12
0
1.2%
Brett Graham punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the UConn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5499% → 99%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
0.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+1
0.6%
Darius Wade run for 1 yd to the UConn 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+4
0.5%
Thadd Smith run for 4 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
0.6%
Mike Knoll punt for 40 yds, downed at the UConn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
0.6%
Nate Hopkins run for 1 yd to the UConn 3Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+1
0.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 4Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+22
0.5%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 22 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
0.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 5 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
0.6%
David Pindell run for 4 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 1
OWN 35
-5
0.6%
Tyraiq Beals run for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
0.5%
Brett Graham punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 27TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:38100% → 100%
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
0.4%
Jeff Smith run for 4 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+8
0.4%
Jon Hilliman run for 8 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+45
0.4%
Jon Hilliman run for 45 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
0.3%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the UConn 12Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+7
0.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 7 yds to the UConn 5Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
0.3%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the UConn 5Similar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+2
0.4%
Wade,D rush for loss of 9 yards to the UCONN14, fumble by Wade,D recovered by UCONN CARREZOLA, Luke at UCONN25, PENALTY UCONN holding 2 yards to the UCONN3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
0.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 28TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 0:490% → 0%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
0.2%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kevin Mensah, broken up by Taj-Amir TorresSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
0.1%
David Pindell run for 9 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+70
0.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 70 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
0.2%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the BC 25Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+1
0.2%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+4
0.2%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q4 6:31
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
0.2%
Mike Knoll punt for 13 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 30TD
1 play · 43 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
1.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 43 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 31PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:2299% → 99%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
0.7%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 22Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+3
0.8%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-3
0.8%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 22Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
0.6%
Mike Knoll punt for 33 yds, downed at the UConn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 32PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
0.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
0.9%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Arkeel NewsomeSimilar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-10
0.9%
David Pindell sacked by Noa Merritt for a loss of 10 yards to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 16
OWN 39
0
0.8%
Brett Graham punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 33END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
0.4%
Travis Levy run for 5 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
0.4%
Richard Wilson run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:07
AJ Dillon run for 53 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)
-6.6
TD · Q3 13:04
Jon Hilliman run for 38 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)
-6.6
TD · Q3 9:41
David Pindell pass intercepted for a TD Taj-Amir Torres return for 65 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg PAT MISSED)
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com