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WAKE

Wake Forest 64 at Syracuse 43

SYR
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-1.7SYR 69.5%Mike Weaver 43 yd FG GOODAWAY 27 - HOME 38 · Q3 12:29
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:29 · Mike Weaver 43 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 136Home team on offense+8.5Pregame prior−4.5Score differential+3.8Garbage-time factor+1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:16: Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 18 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +12.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:20: John Wolford run for 9 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +13.6 pts (now 38%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:08: John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 19 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver PAT BLOCKED) — WAKE win probability +11.9 pts (now 50%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:48: John Wolford run for 29 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +26.7 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:17: John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 6 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +15.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 11 of 12WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:05SYR 4th & 10 at WAKE 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    45.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:33SYR 4th & 2 at WAKE 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    43.9%−0.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    44.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:27SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:44WAKE 4th & 14 at WAKE 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−1.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00SYR 4th & 5 at WAKE 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    42.4%−0.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:08WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:05WAKE 4th & 12 at WAKE 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:13SYR 4th & 4 at WAKE 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    59.7%−0.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:03SYR 4th & 5 at WAKE 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−5.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:09WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 44, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:43SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−3.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:29WAKE 4th & 6 at SYR 25, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.1%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−6.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:09SYR 4th & 8 at WAKE 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−5.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:20SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−2.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:00WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.3%−3.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:11SYR 4th & 10 at WAKE 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−2.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:48WAKE 4th & 1 at SYR 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    34.9%−4.0
    58% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−14.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:17SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.1%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:58WAKE 4th & 3 at SYR 12, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.7%−0.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−3.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:00SYR 4th & 10 at WAKE 37, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WAKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:30WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:33SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:26WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:52SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 2:27WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 12:08SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 9:05SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:16SYR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 6:20WAKE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 1:08WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 11:48WAKE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 7:17WAKE Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 2:00WAKE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1MISSED FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 1:5540% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
40.2%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+36
40.2%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 36 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
40.2%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 11 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
40.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
40.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
40.2%
Zack Mahoney run for no gain to the WFrst 27 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 13:05
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+45
40.9%
Cole Murphy 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:3559% → 61%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
40.8%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
40.7%
John Wolford run for no gain to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-5
40.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 25Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+30
40.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 30 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
40.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 22 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
40.5%
John Wolford run for no gain to the Syrac 23Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
40.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+20
40.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 20 yds to the Syrac 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
39.4%
John Wolford run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5740% → 42%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
40.0%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 11 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
40.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 13 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
40.4%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
40.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+2
40.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+43
42.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 43 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:0758% → 62%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
42.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 8 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
41.7%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
41.9%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+22
41.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 22 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
41.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 13 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
41.2%
Matt Colburn run for 15 yds to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
41.1%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the Syrac 17Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+3
41.1%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+11
41.4%
Matt Colburn run for 11 yds to the Syrac 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
38.3%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3440% → 45%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.5%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+47
39.6%
Moe Neal run for 47 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
41.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
41.0%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the WFrst 24Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+5
40.6%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the WFrst 19Similar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+19
44.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 19 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2557% → 62%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
43.4%
John Wolford run for 9 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
42.7%
John Wolford run for 6 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
42.7%
John Wolford run for 19 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
42.2%
Matt Colburn run for 10 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
37.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 31 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.0%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
38.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
38.2%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 49 yds , Alex Bachman returns for no gain to the WFrst 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
38.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+11
38.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 11 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
38.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-5
38.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 28Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+3
38.8%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q1 1:44
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
39.1%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 14
OWN 31
+9
39.4%
Dom Maggio punt for 34 yds , Sean Riley returns for 9 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:0040% → 48%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
39.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+7
40.2%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
40.4%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
40.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+5
39.4%
Zack Mahoney run for 5 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+26
39.3%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 26 yds to the WFrst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
41.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Jamal Custis for 7 yds to the WFrst 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+3
41.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the WFrst 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
41.1%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (2 Yards) to the WFrst 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
41.1%
Chris Elmore run for 1 yd to the WFrst 1Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.4%
Chris Elmore run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
44.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 7 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
43.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
44.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete, broken up by Jonathan ThomasSimilar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
45.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 1:5846% → 57%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
46.4%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 9 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 1
OWN 32
0
47.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Moe NealSimilar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+3
46.6%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
46.6%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 21 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
48.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 16 yds to the WFrst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
48.9%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Grant Dawson for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+30
56.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 30 yds for a TD WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
54.2%
Matt Colburn run for 9 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
52.7%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
53.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Chuck WadeSimilar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
53.7%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-5
53.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 35Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+9
55.4%
Dom Maggio punt for 47 yds , Sean Riley returns for 9 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
55.0%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:1057% → 63%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
57.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 5 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+17
57.8%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 17 yds Ravian Pierce fumbled, forced by Chris Calhoun, recovered by Syrac Airon Servais for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
58.8%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 16 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
59.0%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 6 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
59.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
58.4%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Coby DavisSimilar
Q2 7:13
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+13
57.1%
Zack Mahoney run for 13 yds to the WFrst 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
59.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Jamal Custis for no gain to the WFrst 17Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-4
59.1%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 21Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 14
OPP 21
+9
57.3%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Moe Neal for 9 yds to the WFrst 12Similar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+30
62.8%
Cole Murphy 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:5438% → 38%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
62.3%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
61.6%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
61.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 2 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
61.6%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
62.0%
Matt Colburn run for 6 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
60.9%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
62.5%
Dom Maggio punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:1864% → 64%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
64.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete, broken up by Essang BasseySimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
63.9%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-1
62.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 21Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
63.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 51 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the WFrst 26 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Syrac Andrew Armstrong , return for 2 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16TD
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:1768% → 79%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
68.3%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+13
68.3%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 13 yds to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
68.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 18Similar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+18
79.2%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 18 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17FG
7 plays · 52 yds · 0:1625% → 29%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
75.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 44 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
72.1%
Matt Colburn run for 8 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+41
70.7%
Mike Weaver 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:3127% → 31%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
72.8%
John Wolford run for 14 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
71.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 16 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
71.1%
Matt Colburn run for 11 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
69.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari Hines, broken up by Jonathan ThomasSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
70.1%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+1
71.2%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the Syrac 25Similar
Q3 12:29
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
69.5%
Mike Weaver 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 3:2071% → 80%
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.0%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 26Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
70.9%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
69.8%
Zack Mahoney run for 12 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
72.2%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 3 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+8
72.4%
Zack Mahoney run for 8 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
72.5%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+16
72.6%
Moe Neal run for 16 yds to the WFrst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
72.7%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ravian PierceSimilar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
72.6%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
71.7%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete, broken up by Luke MastersonSimilar
Q3 9:09
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+47
79.9%
Cole Murphy 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 2:4921% → 38%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
78.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
78.9%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+21
78.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 21 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
76.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+15
76.9%
Matt Colburn run for 15 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+18
76.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 18 yds to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
74.6%
John Wolford sacked by Alton Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 12
OPP 20
-5
75.2%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 25Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 17
OPP 25
+16
75.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 16 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+9
62.2%
John Wolford run for 9 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
71.2%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 8 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
72.4%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ravian PierceSimilar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
71.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
72.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
71.6%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 2 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-3
71.3%
Zack Mahoney run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
69.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 28 yds, downed at the WFrst 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 2:5233% → 48%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
67.1%
Matt Colburn run for 7 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-5
65.2%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 39Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+6
66.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 6 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+1
65.6%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the WFrst 46Similar
Q3 4:00
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+23
67.2%
John Wolford run for 23 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
62.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 9 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+3
62.1%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
50.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 19 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 0
OPP 3
0
51.6%
Scoop Bradshaw return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23MISSED FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 1:5762% → 65%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
62.3%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+11
63.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 11 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
64.7%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+13
65.2%
Devin C. Butler pass complete to Ervin Philips for 13 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
66.6%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Devin C. Butler, broken up by Ja'Sir TaylorSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
66.4%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
64.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
64.5%
Cole Murphy 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 2:2339% → 69%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
61.3%
Matt Colburn run for 15 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
57.9%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WFrst 38Similar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+3
61.8%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 17
OWN 41
+16
61.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 16 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+5
57.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
57.1%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
57.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 4 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+5
57.6%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 11:48
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+29
31.0%
John Wolford run for 29 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0038% → 44%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
38.0%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 5 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-1
40.9%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+11
37.3%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Jamal Custis for 11 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
42.0%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+10
42.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (10 Yards) to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
44.4%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ravian Pierce for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+52
44.1%
Zack Mahoney pass intercepted Jaboree Williams return for 52 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26TD
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:3476% → 91%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
24.3%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 20
OPP 30
0
25.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 20
OPP 30
+4
26.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 4 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 16
OPP 26
+21
28.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 21 yds to the Syrac 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
24.3%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 6Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
9.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 6 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
12.4%
Zack Mahoney run for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
12.9%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Carlos Basham Jr.Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
12.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
10.8%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 28FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:4291% → 96%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
9.2%
John Wolford run for 9 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+2
9.1%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
9.1%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
9.1%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the Syrac 12Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
7.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt ColburnSimilar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
4.3%
Mike Weaver 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 29INT
8 plays · 48 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
4.8%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 11 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
5.2%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 3
50
+13
5.6%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 13 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
5.6%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
5.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+17
5.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Moe Neal for 17 yds to the WFrst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
6.3%
Zack Mahoney pass intercepted Justin Strnad return for no gain to the WFrst 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 30TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 1:5497% → 100%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
3.5%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+8
3.4%
John Wolford run for 8 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
3.3%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 25Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 11
OWN 25
-1
3.4%
John Wolford run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 24Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+76
0.5%
Matt Colburn run for 76 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 31DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
0.3%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
50
+13
0.3%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 13 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
0.3%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 3
OPP 30
0
0.3%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 30
-7
0.3%
Rex Culpepper sacked by Paris Black for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+6
0.3%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Markenzy Pierre for 6 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 32END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:48
John Wolford run for 29 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
-26.7
TD · Q4 7:17
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 6 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
-15.2
TD · Q3 6:20
John Wolford run for 9 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
-13.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com