Try the model
FSU

Florida State 14 at Clemson 31

CLEM
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadFSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreFSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:54 · Logan Tyler punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the CLEMSON 36 CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Clem 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior+24.9Home team on offense+2.8Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:34: Travis Etienne 28 Yd Run (Alex Spence Kick) — CLEM win probability +4.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:13: Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +8.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:53: James Blackman pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 60 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +20.3 pts (now 28%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:25: Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the FlaSt 44 — CLEM win probability +12.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:05: Travis Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK) — CLEM win probability +8.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7FSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:33CLEM 4th & 13 at CLEM 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:44FSU 4th & 8 at FSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:28CLEM 4th & 10 at FSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    83.7%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54FSU 4th & 13 at FSU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:39FSU 4th & 9 at FSU 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:05FSU 4th & 11 at FSU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:39CLEM 4th & 8 at FSU 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:25FSU 4th & 3 at FSU 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:24FSU 4th & 2 at CLEM 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.7%−0.9
    66% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−5.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:51CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 38, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:25FSU 4th & 10 at FSU 16, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:51CLEM 4th & 8 at FSU 43, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:49CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:47FSU 4th & 14 at FSU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−1.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:22CLEM 4th & 4 at FSU 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    87.4%−1.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:13FSU 4th & 9 at FSU 28, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 2:51CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:34CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:13FSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:53FSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.3%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.9%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:05CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:35CLEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:2282% → 82%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
82.1%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Sean Pollard) to the Clem 12Similar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 15
OWN 12
0
82.1%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 15
OWN 12
+6
82.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 6 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 9
OWN 18
-4
81.9%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Brian Burns for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 14Similar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 13
OWN 14
0
81.6%
Will Spiers punt for 45 yds, downed at the FlaSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3119% → 19%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
81.5%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+3
81.5%
Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
81.2%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Keith GavinSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+7
81.3%
Logan Tyler punt for 37 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for 7 yds to the Clem 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 4:0781% → 80%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
81.2%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+16
81.1%
Kelly Bryant run for 16 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
81.2%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+4
81.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 4 yds to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+5
81.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 5 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
81.0%
Adam Choice run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 15
OPP 47
-4
80.5%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 19
OWN 49
+9
80.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
79.8%
Will Spiers punt for 32 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:4620% → 21%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
79.8%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Auden TateSimilar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+7
79.7%
Cam Akers run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+12
79.8%
Cam Akers run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
79.4%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Mavin SaundersSimilar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
79.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 6 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 4
OWN 35
-15
79.1%
James Blackman sacked by Tre Lamar for a loss of 15 yards to the FlaSt 20 James Blackman fumbled, forced by Tre Lamar, recovered by Clem Tre Lamar , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:3180% → 82%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
80.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Diondre Overton for 5 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+4
80.0%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+1
79.6%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
79.8%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 7Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
79.6%
Kelly Bryant run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 2Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.0%
Kelly Bryant 2 Yd Run (Alex Spence Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:4119% → 18%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
81.2%
Cam Akers run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 19Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+4
81.1%
Cam Akers run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+5
81.1%
Cam Akers run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
80.9%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Keith GavinSimilar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
81.0%
Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 30
-5
81.2%
James Blackman sacked by Austin Bryant for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 13
OWN 25
+49
81.6%
Logan Tyler punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the CLEMSON 36 CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Clem 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7FUMBLE
17 plays · 71 yds · 6:3081% → 82%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
81.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 2 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
81.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to C.J. Fuller for 5 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+9
81.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 9 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
81.8%
C.J. Fuller run for 3 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-2
81.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Trevion Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 43Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+15
81.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 15 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
82.0%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-3
81.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+15
80.8%
Bryant, Kelly pass incomplete to McCloud, Ray-Ray, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference (Taylor, Levonta) 15 yards to the FLORIDAST30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
81.9%
Kelly Bryant run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+7
81.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 7 yds to the FlaSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
81.9%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+6
82.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 6 yds to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+6
81.5%
Kelly Bryant run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
82.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 1Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
82.0%
Tavien Feaster run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 3 Tavien Feaster fumbled, forced by Brian Burns, recovered by FlaSt Demarcus ChristmasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2119% → 18%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
80.8%
Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 4Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 9
OWN 4
0
80.9%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Auden TateSimilar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+4
82.2%
James Blackman sacked by Clelin Ferrell for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 4 James Blackman fumbled, forced by Clelin Ferrell, recovered by FlaSt Alec Eberle , return for 4 yds to the FlaSt 4Similar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 9
OWN 4
+35
82.5%
Logan Tyler punt for 59 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for 35 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9TD
1 play · 28 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
86.9%
Travis Etienne 28 Yd Run (Alex Spence Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5514% → 13%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
86.3%
James Blackman sacked by Albert Huggins for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
86.6%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+4
86.7%
Cam Akers run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
86.9%
Logan Tyler punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the Clem 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:1186% → 91%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
86.4%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
86.4%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Adam Choice for 4 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+15
86.3%
Bryant, Kelly pass incomplete to Renfrow, Hunter, PENALTY FLORIDAST face mask (Samuels III, Stanford) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
50
+32
87.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to D.J. Greenlee for 32 yds to the FlaSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
87.7%
Adam Choice run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+3
87.8%
Adam Choice run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
88.1%
Adam Choice run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 1Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-7
88.7%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaSt 8 Kelly Bryant fumbled, forced by Brian Burns, recovered by Clem Kelly BryantSimilar
Q2 1:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
88.2%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
90.9%
Alex Spence 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:5511% → 9%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
89.4%
James Blackman run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+10
89.4%
James Blackman pass complete to Keith Gavin for 10 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
89.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Keith Gavin for 7 yds to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
88.8%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Auden TateSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
89.4%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Jacques PatrickSimilar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
91.5%
Logan Tyler punt for 47 yds, downed at the Clem 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
91.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 4:2810% → 10%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
89.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 10 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
89.9%
Blackman, James pass complete to Akers, Cam for loss of 2 yards to the FLORIDAST33, PENALTY CLEMSON roughing passer (Ferrell, Clelin) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
50
0
89.2%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Ryan IzzoSimilar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 10
50
-1
89.8%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+18
90.6%
James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 18 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
89.2%
Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 34Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+10
89.8%
James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 10 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 1
OPP 24
-1
90.1%
Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 25Similar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 2
OPP 25
0
90.1%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Auden TateSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:2994% → 94%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.5%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
93.7%
Kelly Bryant run for no gain to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
94.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 9 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
94.5%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the Clem 39Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+4
94.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 4 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
94.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 5
OWN 43
-5
94.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (James Skalski) to the Clem 38Similar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+6
94.1%
Will Spiers punt for 37 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for 6 yds to the FlaSt 44 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Emmett Rice) to the FlaSt 16. Emmett Rice ejected for targeting.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:208% → 7%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
91.9%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Ryan IzzoSimilar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
92.3%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
92.4%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Ryan IzzoSimilar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 10
OWN 16
+5
93.1%
Logan Tyler punt for 45 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for 5 yds to the Clem 21 CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (Isaiah Simmons) to the Clem 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:1995% → 95%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
94.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Travis Etienne for 16 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
95.1%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+8
95.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tee Higgins for 8 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
95.2%
C.J. Fuller run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
95.3%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-5
95.2%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Josh Sweat for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q3 4:51
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
94.9%
Will Spiers punt for 33 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 3:176% → 15%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
94.0%
James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 8 yds to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+3
93.9%
Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
94.2%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 19Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+15
94.7%
Blackman, James pass incomplete to Gavin, Keith, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Mullen, Trayvon) 15 yards to the FLORIDAST34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
94.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 9 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
94.1%
Jacques Patrick run for no gain to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+15
94.4%
Blackman, James pass incomplete to Gavin, Keith, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Mullen, Trayvon) 15 yards to the CLEMSON42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+39
94.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 39 yds to the Clem 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
85.5%
Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:1489% → 89%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
89.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 4 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
89.2%
Kelly Bryant run for 7 yds to the Clem 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
89.3%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
89.7%
Kelly Bryant run for no gain to the Clem 31Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
89.1%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloudSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+5
88.9%
Will Spiers punt for 37 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for 5 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:5311% → 9%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
89.4%
James Blackman sacked by Christian Wilkins for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 14
OWN 33
0
90.5%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Cam AkersSimilar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
91.0%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
91.2%
Logan Tyler punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the Clem 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:1390% → 91%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
89.7%
Travis Etienne run for 9 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+2
90.0%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
90.0%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
90.1%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+16
90.1%
Kelly Bryant run for 16 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
91.2%
Travis Etienne run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 3
OPP 44
-1
91.5%
Travis Etienne run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
91.0%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
90.8%
Will Spiers punt for 30 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 1:177% → 28%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
92.6%
James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 6 yds to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+19
92.8%
James Blackman pass complete to Cam Akers for 19 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
72.5%
James Blackman pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 60 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23FUMBLE
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:4977% → 78%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
77.0%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the Clem 15Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+9
77.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 9 yds to the Clem 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
77.3%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+10
77.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 10 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
78.5%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
78.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the Clem 40 Kelly Bryant fumbled, forced by Ro'Derrick Hoskins, recovered by FlaSt Brian BurnsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 24INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+38
68.6%
James Blackman pass intercepted Van Smith return for 38 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 3:2081% → 96%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
81.4%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+11
81.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 11 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
83.5%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+25
86.2%
Travis Etienne run for 25 yds to the FlaSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
87.9%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 1Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.0%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:274% → 3%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
96.4%
James Blackman run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
96.5%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Keith GavinSimilar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
96.7%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
96.8%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Da'Vante PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 1:3197% → 99%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
96.6%
Adam Choice run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
97.1%
Adam Choice run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+10
99.2%
Adam Choice 10 Yd Run (Alex Spence Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
98.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 6 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:53
James Blackman pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 60 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)
-20.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:25
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the FlaSt 44
+12.9
TD · Q3 1:13
Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)
-8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com