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VT

Virginia Tech 10 at Miami 28

MIA
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:19 · Zach Feagles punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Home team on offense+0.2Pregame prior+7.3Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q2 0:02: Malik Rosier sacked by Tremaine Edmunds for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 46 Malik Rosier fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Shaquille Quarterman , return for 0 yards — MIA win probability +5.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:39: Josh Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +14.8 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:36: Travon McMillian run for 15 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST down — VT win probability +6.9 pts (now 37%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:00: Malik Rosier pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 43 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +11.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:34: Malik Rosier run for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +8.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 1 of 5VT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:23VT 4th & 7 at VT 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:45MIA 4th & 2 at VT 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    56.6%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:55VT 4th & 17 at VT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:19MIA 4th & 1 at MIA 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:23VT 4th & 3 at VT 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:14VT 4th & 8 at VT 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:03VT 4th & 20 at MIA 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−1.3
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:59VT 4th & 2 at MIA 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    34.8%−1.8
    51% to make
    Punt
    33.7%−2.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:43VT 4th & 10 at VT 36, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:20MIA 4th & 2 at MIA 30, up 11
    Close callPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:38VT 4th & 3 at MIA 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    16.0%−1.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−1.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:25VT 4th & 10 at VT 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:46MIA 4th & 2 at VT 41, up 18
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:34MIA 4th & 20 at VT 39, up 18
    Close callPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:15VT 4th & 17 at MIA 37, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    40% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4VT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 9:41MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:09MIA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:39VT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:00MIA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:34MIA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:2741% → 41%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
59.3%
Travon McMillian run for 12 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
59.3%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+1
59.3%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
59.3%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
59.4%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2DOWNS
13 plays · 73 yds · 3:3059% → 60%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
59.4%
Braxton Berrios run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+17
59.6%
Braxton Berrios pass complete to Malik Rosier for 17 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
59.7%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (Trevor Darling) to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 15
OWN 43
-5
59.6%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (Tyree St. Louis) to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 20
OWN 38
0
59.5%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Ahmmon RichardsSimilar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+24
59.5%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 24 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
59.9%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Christopher Herndon IVSimilar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+36
59.9%
Malik Rosier run for 36 yds to the VTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
60.0%
DeeJay Dallas run for no gain to the VTech 2Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
60.1%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Darrell LanghamSimilar
Q1 9:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
59.9%
DeeJay Dallas pass incomplete to Malik RosierSimilar
Q1 9:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
59.6%
Travis Homer run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 4:4541% → 40%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
59.4%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the VTech 7Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+7
59.4%
Josh Jackson run for 7 yds to the VTech 14Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+7
59.4%
Josh Jackson run for 7 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
59.0%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+5
58.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 5 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
58.8%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 29Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+6
59.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 6 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 7
OWN 35
-10
58.9%
Josh Jackson sacked by Amari Carter for a loss of 10 yards to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 17
OWN 25
+60
59.7%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MIAMI 30 MIAMI FL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the MiaFl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:2659% → 59%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
59.0%
Travis Homer run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 18Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
59.0%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Jeff ThomasSimilar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+7
58.5%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 7 yds to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.1%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Darrell LanghamSimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
58.9%
DeeJay Dallas run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
58.8%
DeeJay Dallas run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
58.7%
Zach Feagles punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:5242% → 42%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
58.1%
Travon McMillian run for 7 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+4
57.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 4 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
57.3%
Sean Savoy run for 5 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+1
56.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the VTech 46Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+1
56.9%
Josh Jackson run for 1 yd to the VTech 47Similar
Q2 14:23
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
57.6%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 4:3459% → 67%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+18
59.1%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 18 yds to the MiaFl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
59.4%
Travis Homer run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+4
59.5%
Travis Homer run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+15
59.8%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Adonis Alexander) to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
61.1%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Jeff ThomasSimilar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+20
61.0%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Travis Homer for 20 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
61.7%
Malik Rosier run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 30Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+15
61.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Adonis Alexander) to the VTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
61.8%
DeeJay Dallas run for no gain to the VTech 15Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
61.8%
Malik Rosier run for 7 yds to the VTech 8Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+8
67.4%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1135% → 32%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
65.1%
Josh Jackson sacked by Kendrick Norton for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+4
66.0%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
66.4%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Travon McMillianSimilar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
67.6%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:5768% → 74%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
67.5%
Malik Rosier run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
69.0%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (Trevor Darling) to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+64
73.8%
Travis Homer run for 64 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:4726% → 23%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
73.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 9 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+4
72.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 4 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
73.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 16 yds to the MiaFl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
72.6%
Josh Jackson run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+4
72.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
72.5%
Josh Jackson run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
72.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
72.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 7
OPP 20
-13
73.8%
Josh Jackson run for a loss of 13 yards to the MiaFl 33 Josh Jackson fumbled, recovered by VTech Deshawn McCleaseSimilar
Q2 2:03
4TH & 20
OPP 33
+50
77.0%
Joey Slye 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10INT
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:0476% → 78%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
76.2%
Malik Rosier run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+19
76.8%
DeeJay Dallas run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
50
+18
78.1%
Malik Rosier pass intercepted Adonis Alexander return for 18 yds to the VTech 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 53 yds · 0:3224% → 26%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
76.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 10 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
75.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 12 yds to the MiaFl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+27
74.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 27 yds to the MiaFl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
73.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 4 yds Sean Savoy fumbled, recovered by MiaFl RJ McIntosh , return for 35 yds to the MiaFl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
79.6%
Malik Rosier sacked by Tremaine Edmunds for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 46 Malik Rosier fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Shaquille Quarterman , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:5577% → 78%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
76.7%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 18 yds to the MiaFl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
77.9%
Travis Homer run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+37
78.1%
Malik Rosier pass intercepted Reggie Floyd return for 37 yds to the MiaFl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:1127% → 41%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
72.9%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 15Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+6
73.2%
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 9Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+6
74.5%
Sean Savoy run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
73.5%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 1Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.7%
Josh Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:4664% → 70%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
64.3%
Malik Rosier run for 12 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
65.2%
Travis Homer run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
69.4%
Travis Homer run for no gain to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+9
68.3%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 9 yds Ahmmon Richards fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Christopher Herndon IV , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
50
+1
70.3%
Malik Rosier pass intercepted Greg Stroman return for 1 yd to the VTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:3737% → 36%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
63.4%
Travon McMillian run for 15 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
62.2%
Josh Jackson run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
61.9%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to James ClarkSimilar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+4
62.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 2
OPP 32
-7
64.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaFl 39 TEAM fumbled, recovered by VTech Josh JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:5069% → 82%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
69.4%
Malik Rosier run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+15
70.4%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
82.3%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 43 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:1220% → 17%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.8%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the VTech 25Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.3%
Josh Jackson run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
80.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to James Clark for 6 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
80.1%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dalton KeeneSimilar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
80.7%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dalton KeeneSimilar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
82.1%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to James ClarkSimilar
Q3 4:43
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
82.7%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1583% → 82%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
82.9%
Travis Homer run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+2
83.2%
Travis Homer run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
83.0%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Ahmmon RichardsSimilar
Q3 3:20
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+20
82.2%
Zach Feagles punt for 50 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 20 yds to the VTech 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 2:3218% → 17%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
81.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 19 yds to the MiaFl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
80.6%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+5
80.9%
Sean Savoy run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
81.0%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q3 0:38
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+20
83.1%
Josh Jackson pass intercepted Jaquan Johnson return for 20 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 21TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 0:5687% → 96%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
86.8%
Malik Rosier run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+42
87.2%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 42 yds to the VTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
96.1%
Malik Rosier run for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:005% → 5%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.6%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the VTech 25Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to James Clark for 10 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
94.9%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Hezekiah GrimsleySimilar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
95.2%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to James ClarkSimilar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
95.2%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 4:2997% → 97%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
96.5%
Malik Rosier run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+3
96.7%
Malik Rosier run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
96.9%
Travis Homer run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+5
97.0%
Malik Rosier pass complete to DeeJay Dallas for 5 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
97.1%
DeeJay Dallas run for 4 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+4
97.3%
Travis Homer run for 4 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 2
OPP 41
0
97.3%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Christopher Herndon IVSimilar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
97.1%
Zach Feagles punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:363% → 4%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+32
96.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 32 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
96.5%
Josh Jackson sacked by Jonathan Garvin for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 29 Josh Jackson fumbled, forced by Jonathan Garvin, recovered by MiaFl Jonathan Garvin , return for 0 yards , return for 2 yds to the VTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 2:1698% → 98%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
97.6%
Travis Homer run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 11
OPP 30
-1
97.8%
Travis Homer run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 31Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 12
OPP 31
-8
98.0%
Malik Rosier sacked by Ricky Walker for a loss of 8 yards to the VTech 39Similar
Q4 5:34
4TH & 20
OPP 39
0
97.6%
Zach Feagles punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26INT
18 plays · 66 yds · 5:173% → 3%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
97.5%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 15Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 15
OWN 15
-2
97.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Travon McMillian for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 13Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+15
97.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 15 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+7
97.7%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Malek Young) to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
97.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 7 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+11
97.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 11 yds to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
97.6%
Josh Jackson run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+2
97.4%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
97.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Deshawn McClease for 1 yd to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-2
97.4%
Josh Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 11
OPP 37
-6
97.7%
Josh Jackson sacked by Joe Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 17
OPP 37
+21
98.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 6 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the MiaFl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
97.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Deshawn McClease for 3 yds to the MiaFl 19Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 7
OPP 19
-15
97.4%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Cam Phillips) to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 22
OPP 34
+6
97.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 6 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 16
OPP 28
+14
97.8%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Roughing Passer (14 Yards) to the MiaFl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+45
97.5%
Josh Jackson pass intercepted Sheldrick Redwine return for 45 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:39
Josh Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
-14.8
TD · Q3 7:00
Malik Rosier pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 43 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)
+11.8
TD · Q4 14:34
Malik Rosier run for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)
+8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com