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Georgia Tech 36 at Virginia 40

UVA
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGSAFETYTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:05 · Pressley Harvin III punt for 34 yds , Daniel Hamm returns for 1 yd to the Virg 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Pregame prior−8.1Home team on offense−1.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:17: Brenton King kickoff for 57 yds , Joe Reed return for 92 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK) — UVA win probability +12.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:40: TaQuon Marshall run for 78 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK) — GT win probability +14.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:05: Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 28 yds for a TD, (Kurt Benkert pass to Olamide Zaccheaus for Two-Point Conversion) — UVA win probability +19.9 pts (now 52%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:10: TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 33 yds for a TD, (T. Marshall Run For Two-point Conversion) — GT win probability +45.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:22: Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 27 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK) — UVA win probability +48.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 7 of 12GT made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 12:17UVA 4th & 9 at GT 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:17GT 4th & 5 at GT 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:45UVA 4th & 7 at GT 36, up 3
    Close callPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    32.3%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:15GT 4th & 8 at UVA 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:08UVA 4th & 10 at UVA 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:53UVA 4th & 5 at GT 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    31.1%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:53GT 4th & 10 at GT 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:13UVA 4th & 15 at GT 35, down 1
    Close callPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    35.8%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:11GT 4th & 9 at UVA 44, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    63.3%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:45UVA 4th & 8 at UVA 15, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 9:57GT 4th & 10 at UVA 44, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    62.0%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:57GT 4th & 9 at UVA 41, up 1
    Close callPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    61.2%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:06UVA 4th & 1 at UVA 29, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.2
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:05GT 4th & 7 at GT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−1.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:06UVA 4th & 5 at GT 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    47.3%−2.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:57GT 4th & 4 at GT 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00UVA 4th & 4 at UVA 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.7
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:49GT 4th & 17 at GT 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−6.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:44UVA 4th & 2 at GT 15, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.0%−3.0
    83% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−21.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:29UVA 4th & 3 at UVA 39, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%−2.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 8:49UVA 4th & 8 at UVA 45, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−2.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:53GT 4th & 16 at GT 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.1%−1.2
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:24GT 4th & 15 at UVA 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    12.9%−1.0
    40% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 0:58GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:31GT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:17UVA Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:40GT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:25GT Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:39UVA Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:05UVA Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    42.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    42.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:10GT Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    58.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    58.9%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:22UVA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UVADrive 1FG
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:4332% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
31.5%
Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+11
31.5%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 11 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+6
31.5%
Kurt Benkert run for 6 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
31.5%
Kurt Benkert run for 1 yd to the GTech 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
31.5%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
31.5%
Kurt Benkert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+36
33.1%
A.J. Mejia 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
33.0%
KirVonte Benson run for 2 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+3
33.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
33.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to KirVonte BensonSimilar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
33.2%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
33.8%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Virg 37Similar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 5
OWN 37
-5
34.1%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Joe Reed) to the Virg 32Similar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+29
33.8%
Joe Reed run for 29 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
34.2%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-1
34.2%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 37Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+1
34.1%
Kurt Benkert run for 1 yd to the GTech 36Similar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
33.8%
Lester Coleman punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
35.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 19 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
35.0%
KirVonte Benson run for 3 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+5
34.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+4
34.8%
J.J. Green run for 4 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
34.7%
KirVonte Benson run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 49Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+4
34.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
34.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to J.J. GreenSimilar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 8
OPP 47
+4
35.3%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 36 yds , Daniel Hamm returns for 4 yds to the Virg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
37.2%
VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Virg 10Similar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 15
OWN 10
0
37.2%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Tanner CowleySimilar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+5
37.1%
Kurt Benkert run for 5 yds to the Virg 15Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
36.7%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus, broken up by Corey GriffinSimilar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
36.4%
Lester Coleman punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:4563% → 67%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
37.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+49
37.1%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Jalen Camp for 49 yds to the Virg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
36.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the Virg 1Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7FG
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:0537% → 38%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+33
36.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 33 yds to the GTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
37.2%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for no gain to the GTech 10Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
37.2%
Benkert, K pass incomplete to Dowling, D, PENALTY GT offside defense (Jordan-Swilling) 5 yards to the GT5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
37.2%
Kurt Benkert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
36.9%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
37.7%
A.J. Mejia 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
36.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+2
36.1%
Qua Searcy run for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
36.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 5
OWN 27
-5
37.1%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Christian Campbell) to the GTech 22Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 10
OWN 22
+1
37.3%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 43 yds , Daniel Hamm returns for 1 yd to the Virg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+34
38.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 34 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
40.1%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-5
40.0%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 35Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 15
OPP 35
0
38.9%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 15
OPP 35
0
37.9%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Jordan Ellis, broken up by Victor AlexanderSimilar
Q2 13:13
4TH & 15
OPP 35
0
36.7%
TEAM punt blocked by Antonio Simmons blocked by Antonio SimmonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
35.5%
TaQuon Marshall sacked by Jordan Mack for a loss of 8 yards to the GTech 47Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 18
OWN 47
0
36.6%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Qua SearcySimilar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 18
OWN 47
+9
37.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 9 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
37.2%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Daniel Hamm at the Virg 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
38.2%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 2 yds to the Virg 15Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
38.3%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
37.4%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre LevroneSimilar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
37.0%
Lester Coleman punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
36.2%
KirVonte Benson run for 3 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
36.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Clinton Lynch for no gain to the GTech 46Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+10
36.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 10 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
35.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 45Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+1
35.9%
J.J. Green run for 1 yd to the Virg 44Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
36.4%
TaQuon Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:57
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
37.9%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Daniel Hamm at the Virg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13FUMBLE
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
39.1%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 4 yds to the Virg 21Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+7
39.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 7 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
39.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-10
39.3%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Virg 20Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 18
OWN 20
0
38.8%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Richard BurneySimilar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 18
OWN 20
+2
37.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 2 yds Olamide Zaccheaus fumbled, forced by Bruce Jordan-Swilling, recovered by GTech Bruce Jordan-SwillingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:3965% → 74%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
34.9%
KirVonte Benson run for 3 yds to the Virg 11Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+2
34.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the Virg 9Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+8
36.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 8 yds to the Virg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.3%
KirVonte Benson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:2061% → 62%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-7
38.8%
TaQuon Marshall sacked by Eli Hanback for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 24Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 17
OWN 24
+34
38.7%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Qua Searcy for 34 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
35.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the Virg 41Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
35.2%
TaQuon Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
36.2%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Clinton LynchSimilar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
38.2%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:5540% → 41%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
40.4%
Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
40.9%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
41.2%
Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the Virg 29Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
41.1%
Lester Coleman punt for 46 yds, downed at the GTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
26.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 78 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
20.2%
Kurt Benkert pass intercepted for a TD Bruce Jordan-Swilling return for 27 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 2:4620% → 32%
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
20.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 7 yds to the Virg 29Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
20.7%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Evan Butts, broken up by Lamont SimmonsSimilar
Q3 14:25
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+6
20.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 6 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
20.5%
Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Virg 35Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
20.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 7 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q3 14:25
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+6
21.4%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 6 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
21.9%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive holding (TaQuon Marshall) to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
22.0%
Jordan Ellis run for 8 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+34
31.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 34 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
25.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 29Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-2
26.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass intercepted Quin Blanding return for 13 yds to the GTech 42 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the GTech 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22TD
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:4032% → 52%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
31.9%
Chris Sharp run for 2 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+28
51.8%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 28 yds for a TD, (Kurt Benkert pass to Olamide Zaccheaus for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0057% → 54%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
43.5%
KirVonte Benson run for 4 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+4
43.2%
KirVonte Benson run for 4 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 2
OWN 30
-5
43.4%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 25Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
44.7%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Jalen CampSimilar
Q3 10:05
4TH & 7
OWN 25
+1
46.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 34 yds , Daniel Hamm returns for 1 yd to the Virg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
50.4%
Jordan Ellis run for 11 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
51.8%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
51.5%
Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
51.3%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre LevroneSimilar
Q3 8:06
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
49.0%
Lester Coleman punt for 40 yds, downed at the GTech 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 25PUNT
11 plays · 41 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+9
45.4%
KirVonte Benson run for 9 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 1
OWN 11
0
45.1%
Clinton Lynch run for no gain to the GTech 11Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+2
46.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
45.0%
KirVonte Benson run for 9 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+2
43.9%
KirVonte Benson run for 2 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
44.7%
KirVonte Benson run for 9 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+4
42.5%
Jerry Howard run for 4 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
43.4%
Jerry Howard run for 3 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
42.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
41.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to J.J. GreenSimilar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
45.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Daniel Hamm at the Virg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0850% → 48%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
50.3%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Joe Reed for 9 yds to the Virg 26Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 1
OWN 26
-3
52.2%
Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
49.0%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni Dowling, broken up by Christian CampbellSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
47.6%
Lester Coleman punt for 63 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0053% → 49%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
47.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
47.4%
KirVonte Benson run for no gain to the GTech 16Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 8
OWN 16
-9
49.3%
TaQuon Marshall sacked by Chris Peace for a loss of 9 yards to the GTech 7Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 17
OWN 7
0
51.2%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 36 yds , Daniel Hamm returns for no gain to the GTech 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 28FG
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:1257% → 68%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
57.3%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni Dowling, broken up by Brentavious GlantonSimilar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
57.0%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre LevroneSimilar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+20
55.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 20 yds to the GTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
58.6%
Jordan Ellis run for 8 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
58.6%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
56.7%
Kurt Benkert run for no gain to the GTech 15Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+33
67.9%
A.J. Mejia 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 29INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
61.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass intercepted Brenton Nelson return for no gain to the Virg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0068% → 66%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
67.5%
Jordan Ellis run for 7 yds to the Virg 39Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
70.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Joe Reed for no gain to the Virg 39Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
68.4%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Kurt Benkert, broken up by Lawrence AustinSimilar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
65.9%
Lester Coleman punt for 58 yds, downed at the GTech 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 31SF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
66.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 3 yards for a SAFETY TaQuon Marshall fumbled, forced by Jordan Mack, recovered by GTech TaQuon Marshall for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 32PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0077% → 73%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
76.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 6 yds to the Virg 49Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-4
77.6%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 45Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
74.8%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre LevroneSimilar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
73.1%
Lester Coleman punt for 45 yds, downed at the GTech 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 33TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 4:0030% → 82%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
70.4%
KirVonte Benson run for 3 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
70.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+9
72.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 9 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
70.1%
KirVonte Benson run for 6 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+28
68.7%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 28 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
63.9%
KirVonte Benson run for 4 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+3
63.1%
KirVonte Benson run for 3 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+4
63.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
18.1%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 33 yds for a TD, (T. Marshall Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 34TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:4836% → 93%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
36.3%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 19 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
41.7%
Kurt Benkert run for 5 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+5
41.8%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 5 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
44.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 8 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+27
92.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 27 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 35DOWNS
12 plays · 39 yds · 0:5823% → 13%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
77.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 15 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
73.7%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to J.J. GreenSimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-6
74.9%
TaQuon Marshall sacked by Chris Peace for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 33Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 16
OWN 33
0
83.7%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 16
OWN 33
+35
84.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 35 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
72.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
73.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the Virg 32Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-5
76.9%
TaQuon Marshall sacked by Andrew Brown and Juan Thornhill for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 37Similar
Q4 0:24
4TH & 15
OPP 37
0
86.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune, broken up by Chris PeaceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 36END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
94.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:22
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 27 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)
+48.8
TD · Q4 3:10
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 33 yds for a TD, (T. Marshall Run For Two-point Conversion)
-45.6
TD · Q3 10:05
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 28 yds for a TD, (Kurt Benkert pass to Olamide Zaccheaus for Two-Point Conversion)
+19.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com