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SYR

Syracuse 24 at Florida State 27

FSU
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:31 · Logan Tyler punt for 55 yds, downed at the Syrac 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+23.0+11.50−11.5−23.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Pregame prior+13.4Home team on offense+9.7Garbage-time factor+2.4Score differential+4.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Time remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:38: Cam Akers run for 54 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:55: Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 47 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +5.2 pts (now 26%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:29: Cam Akers run for 63 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +5.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:16: Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 34 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +8.6 pts (now 29%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:55: Eric Dungey run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +29.8 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12SYR made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 6:45SYR 4th & 3 at FSU 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    28.4%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:20FSU 4th & 13 at FSU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:41SYR 4th & 2 at FSU 30, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.1%−0.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    27.6%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00FSU 4th & 16 at FSU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:55SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:31SYR 4th & 15 at SYR 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:54FSU 4th & 8 at FSU 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:55SYR 4th & 2 at FSU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.3%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:29SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:31FSU 4th & 7 at FSU 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:20FSU 4th & 5 at FSU 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:28SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:01SYR 4th & 3 at FSU 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.2%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    20.5%−6.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:35FSU 4th & 3 at FSU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:35SYR 4th & 4 at FSU 24, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.8%−0.5
    68% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−7.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:10FSU 4th & 3 at SYR 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    71.5%−1.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−3.0
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:10FSU 4th & 14 at SYR 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−2.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    69.0%−1.7
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:28SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  19. Q3 0:54FSU 4th & 4 at SYR 44, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    81.3%−2.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%−1.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 13:46SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.0%−4.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 12:29FSU 4th & 10 at SYR 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  22. Q4 10:02SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  23. Q4 6:48FSU 4th & 8 at SYR 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−7.6
    average punt
  24. Q4 1:32FSU 4th & 1 at SYR 44, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.6 ptsPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    80.2%−7.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%−6.6
    average punt
  25. Q4 0:00SYR 4th & 1 at FSU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−6.3
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−23.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:02FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:38FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:55SYR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:29FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:16SYR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:55SYR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 2.4 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.3%−2.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1INT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:3527% → 27%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
72.9%
Ervin Philips run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 24Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
72.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 6 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
72.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
72.7%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
72.5%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
72.6%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted Derwin James return for no gain to the FlaSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:0773% → 74%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
72.7%
James Blackman run for 7 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+4
72.7%
Cam Akers run for 4 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-11
72.6%
Blackman, J screen pass complete to Akers, C for no gain to the SU42 (Franklin, Z.), PENALTY FS holding (Jackson, J) 11 yards to the FS47, NO PLAY, clock 10:54.Similar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 21
OWN 47
+2
72.4%
Amir Rasul run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+51
73.7%
James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 51 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 2:5727% → 27%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 26Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
73.6%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 1 yd to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
73.8%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 12 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
73.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+1
73.5%
Zack Mahoney run for 1 yd to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+9
73.6%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
50
0
73.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
50
+7
73.3%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
73.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
73.3%
Zack Mahoney punt for 37 yds, downed at the FlaSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0974% → 73%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
73.5%
Cam Akers run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 12Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+6
73.6%
Cam Akers run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
73.7%
James Blackman pass complete to Keith Gavin for 5 yds to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+3
73.8%
James Blackman run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 2
OWN 26
-11
73.6%
James Blackman sacked by Devin M. Butler for a loss of 11 yards to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 13
OWN 15
+16
73.2%
Logan Tyler punt for 39 yds , Sean Riley returns for 16 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5MISSED FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4727% → 27%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
72.8%
Moe Neal run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 2
OPP 30
0
72.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Steve Ishmael, broken up by Josh SweatSimilar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 2
OPP 30
0
72.7%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q1 2:41
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+48
73.2%
Cole Murphy 48 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Matthew Thomas Matthew Thomas return for 10 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:2274% → 73%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
73.9%
James Blackman run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+15
74.0%
Cam Akers run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-6
74.9%
James Blackman sacked by Alton Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 16
OWN 42
+1
74.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 1 yd to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 15
OWN 43
-1
73.8%
James Blackman pass complete to Cam Akers for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
73.2%
Logan Tyler punt for 55 yds, downed at the Syrac 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:2326% → 25%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
74.0%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 5Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+6
74.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 6 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 3
OWN 11
0
74.4%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Moe NealSimilar
Q2 13:55
4TH & 3
OWN 11
0
74.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 43 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8TD
1 play · 54 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
79.9%
Cam Akers run for 54 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:0022% → 21%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
78.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 8 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
77.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 5 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
77.9%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
78.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Steve Ishmael, broken up by Stanford Samuels IIISimilar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 11
OWN 37
-4
78.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Dontae Strickland for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
78.8%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 47 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5480% → 79%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
79.7%
Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
79.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Cam Akers for 1 yd to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
79.4%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Keith GavinSimilar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
79.0%
Logan Tyler punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:1921% → 26%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
78.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve Ishmael, broken up by Derwin JamesSimilar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
79.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+21
79.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 21 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
78.7%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
78.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for no gain to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+4
78.8%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+47
73.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 47 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 0:1275% → 81%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
75.2%
Blackman, J sideline pass incomplete to Lane, E, PENALTY SU roughing passer (Robinson, A.) 15 yards to the FS37, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY, clock 07:41.Similar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
80.6%
Cam Akers run for 63 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.2%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 8 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
79.8%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-4
80.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 49 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3581% → 80%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
80.5%
Amir Rasul run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+1
80.5%
Amir Rasul run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 2
OWN 22
-5
80.3%
James Blackman run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q2 4:31
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
79.6%
Logan Tyler punt for 55 yds, downed at the Syrac 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 0:4319% → 29%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
80.8%
Eric Dungey run for 8 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 2
OWN 36
-5
80.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Ervin Philips) to the Syrac 31Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
80.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+30
81.2%
Eric Dungey run for 30 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
79.6%
Strickland, D. rush up middle for 4 yards to the FS35 (Burns, B), PENALTY FS substitution infraction (Fagan, C) 5 yards to the FS34, NO PLAY, clock 03:30.Similar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+34
71.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 34 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:3576% → 75%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
75.8%
James Blackman sacked by Alton Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+10
75.4%
Cam Akers run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
75.6%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+21
74.6%
Logan Tyler punt for 46 yds , Sean Riley returns for 21 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1926% → 23%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
74.5%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
73.9%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-3
75.1%
Eric Dungey sacked by TEAM for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
77.1%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 44 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for no gain to the FlaSt 11 D.J. Matthews fumbled, recovered by Syrac Shyheim CullenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:1728% → 25%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
71.6%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 6Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+2
73.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 4Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
74.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Derrick NnadiSimilar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 3
OPP 4
0
75.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
77.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0777% → 75%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.7%
Cam Akers run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
77.1%
Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
76.4%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
75.3%
Logan Tyler punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:3825% → 30%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
75.4%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
75.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+29
76.7%
Eric Dungey run for 29 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
73.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 8 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 2
OPP 32
0
71.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve Ishmael, broken up by Levonta TaylorSimilar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+2
73.1%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
72.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 6 yds to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
71.6%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
73.1%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
69.9%
Cole Murphy 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 6:0073% → 79%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
72.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 8 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+1
73.4%
Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+15
72.2%
Cam Akers run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
74.8%
James Blackman pass complete to Keith Gavin for 5 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+14
75.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Keith Gavin for 14 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
75.8%
James Blackman run for 5 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+3
76.6%
Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-1
75.4%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 5:10
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+5
73.6%
James Blackman pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 5 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
77.1%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 14
OPP 32
-1
75.6%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 33 Cam Akers fumbled, forced by Zaire Franklin, recovered by FlaStSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 15
OPP 33
+1
74.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Keith Gavin for 1 yd to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 14
OPP 32
+49
78.7%
Ricky Aguayo 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:2423% → 22%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
77.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
75.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
77.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+15
78.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 46 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for 15 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:2183% → 84%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
82.5%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, false start (Ermon Lane) to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+18
81.7%
James Blackman pass complete to Cam Akers for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
50
+6
83.9%
Cam Akers run for 6 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
85.7%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Ermon Lane, broken up by Scoop BradshawSimilar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
85.0%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Keith GavinSimilar
Q3 0:54
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
83.7%
Logan Tyler punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 1:4921% → 20%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
79.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 8 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+10
78.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 10 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
78.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+4
76.8%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
77.6%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
78.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Hamsah NasirildeenSimilar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
79.0%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q4 13:46
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
79.6%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Syrac 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5287% → 85%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
87.2%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Gabe NabersSimilar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
87.2%
Cam Akers run for no gain to the Syrac 49Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
86.1%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 10
OPP 49
+3
84.9%
Logan Tyler punt for 42 yds , Sean Riley returns for 3 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0418% → 16%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
82.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 5
OWN 15
-1
82.3%
Eric Dungey sacked by Josh Sweat for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 14Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+13
83.7%
Dungey, E. deep pass incomplete, PENALTY FS pass interference (McFadden, T) 13 yards to the SU27, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY, clock 11:23.Similar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
81.7%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-6
81.4%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+4
83.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 10:02
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
84.2%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 34 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 28FG
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:3088% → 91%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
87.5%
Cam Akers run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+28
88.4%
James Blackman pass complete to Ermon Lane for 28 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
89.3%
Cam Akers run for 4 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-4
89.4%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 23Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+2
89.6%
Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
90.8%
Ricky Aguayo 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 29TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:318% → 38%
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.0%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
91.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Derwin JamesSimilar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+18
92.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 18 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
90.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 12 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
90.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 6 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+5
89.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 5 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
89.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
89.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+14
90.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 14 yds to the FlaSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
89.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+2
89.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 2 yds to the FlaSt 12Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+6
90.9%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
91.7%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 3Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
61.9%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 30PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:0887% → 87%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
86.8%
James Blackman run for 8 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+1
89.0%
Amir Rasul run for 1 yd to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
88.5%
James Blackman run for no gain to the Syrac 44 James Blackman fumbled,Similar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
86.9%
Logan Tyler punt for 26 yds, downed at the Syrac 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 31MISSED FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 1:1223% → 17%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+21
76.9%
Eric Dungey run for 21 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
73.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-9
74.9%
Eric Dungey sacked by Derrick Nnadi for a loss of 9 yards to the Syrac 35Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+15
89.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
50
0
83.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 10
50
+16
84.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 16 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
79.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
79.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 9 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
79.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae Strickland, broken up by Derwin JamesSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+43
82.9%
Cole Murphy 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:55
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
-29.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+17.1
TD · Q2 3:16
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 34 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
-8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com