Try the model
UVA

Virginia 14 at Pittsburgh 31

PITT
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Acrisure Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadUVA aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreUVA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameTD-9PITT 87.4%Kurt Benkert pass complete to RichardBurney for 2 yds for a TD, (A.J. MejiaKICK)AWAY 14 - HOME 28 · Q4 14:54
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:54 · Kurt Benkert pass complete to Richard Burney for 2 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Home team on offense+16.4Score differential+6.9Garbage-time factor+4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.4Time remaining+2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:00: Ben Dinucci pass complete to Jester Weah for 19 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +6.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. PUNT · Q2 6:14: Lester Coleman punt for 44 yds , Quadree Henderson returns for 75 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +12.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:13: Kurt Benkert pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 19 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK) — UVA win probability +15.8 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:15: Qadree Ollison run for 25 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +14.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:54: Kurt Benkert pass complete to Richard Burney for 2 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK) — UVA win probability +9.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UVA made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00PITT 4th & 4 at PITT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:47UVA 4th & 7 at PITT 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    41.1%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:47PITT 4th & 11 at PITT 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:42UVA 4th & 1 at PITT 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.5%−0.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    40.4%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:00UVA 4th & 3 at UVA 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:15PITT 4th & 8 at UVA 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    67.2%−5.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:14UVA 4th & 5 at UVA 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:20UVA 4th & 5 at PITT 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%−0.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:12PITT 4th & 10 at PITT 37, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UVA 4th & 1 at UVA 36, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:15UVA 4th & 22 at UVA 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−1.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:54UVA 4th & 1 at PITT 2, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    -1.9%−4.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:09PITT 4th & 2 at UVA 12, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%−1.0
    86% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−6.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:09UVA 4th & 1 at PITT 1, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−3.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -2.7%−8.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:05PITT 4th & 3 at PITT 8, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−<0.1
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:40UVA 4th & 10 at PITT 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UVA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:25PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:00PITT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:13UVA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:15PITT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:54UVA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.7%
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
49.7%
Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
49.7%
Ben Dinucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+3
49.7%
Ryan Winslow punt for 36 yds , Daniel Hamm returns for 3 yds to the Virg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
49.9%
Daniel Hamm run for 11 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
49.8%
Kurt Benkert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+10
49.8%
Kurt Benkert run for 10 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
49.8%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 5 yds to the Pitt 38Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
49.8%
Kurt Benkert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+16
49.8%
Kurt Benkert pass intercepted Saleem Brightwell return for 16 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 3:0551% → 54%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
50.7%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 16 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-8
50.9%
Ben Dinucci run for a loss of 8 yards to the Virg 43Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 18
OPP 43
+7
50.6%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Quadree Henderson for 7 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+18
50.6%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 18 yds to the Virg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
50.9%
Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Virg 14Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
54.2%
Darrin Hall run for 14 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4MISSED FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3848% → 46%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
52.2%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
52.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 25Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
52.7%
Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Pitt 25Similar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+43
53.9%
A.J. Mejia 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.4%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete, broken up by Bryce HallSimilar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
54.3%
Maurice Ffrench run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 24Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
53.9%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Maurice Ffrench, broken up by Joey BlountSimilar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+14
53.6%
Ryan Winslow punt for 39 yds , Daniel Hamm returns for 14 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
53.7%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+9
53.8%
Kurt Benkert run for 9 yds to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
53.7%
Joe Reed run for 9 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
53.2%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Jordan Ellis for no gain to the Pitt 28Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
53.7%
Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Pitt 28Similar
Q1 5:42
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
54.1%
Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Pitt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:5657% → 66%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
56.5%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 29Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+6
56.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 6 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+32
56.5%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 32 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
57.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
57.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+3
57.3%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Virg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
59.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Virg 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
59.2%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Matt FlanaganSimilar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+19
66.1%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Jester Weah for 19 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
63.4%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Evan Butts for 12 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
63.1%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 39Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-15
63.0%
Jordan Ellis rush for 2 yards to the VA41 (Shane Roy), PENALTY VA face mask (John Montelus) 15 yards to the VA24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 23
OWN 24
+16
63.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 16 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+4
63.2%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Joe Reed for 4 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
63.4%
Lester Coleman punt for 42 yds, downed at the Pitt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:4768% → 70%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
68.0%
Darrin Hall run for 11 yds to the Pitt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
68.1%
Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to Jester Weah (Bryce Hall), PENALTY VA roughing passer (Jordan Mack) 15 yards to the UP40, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
69.0%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-LopesSimilar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
68.7%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Quadree Henderson for 7 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+15
68.5%
Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to Maurice Ffrench (Bryce Hall), PENALTY VA pass interference (Bryce Hall) 15 yards to the VA38, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
69.3%
Darrin Hall run for 11 yds to the Virg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
69.3%
Darrin Hall run for 5 yds to the Virg 22Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-3
69.3%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 25Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
68.8%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Jester WeahSimilar
Q2 7:15
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+43
70.0%
Alex Kessman 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0131% → 17%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
69.5%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
69.7%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre LevroneSimilar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+5
70.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 5 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 5
OWN 31
+75
82.8%
Lester Coleman punt for 44 yds , Quadree Henderson returns for 75 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:5418% → 17%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
82.5%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 33 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
81.2%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
81.7%
Joe Reed run for 2 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+3
81.7%
Joe Reed run for 3 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
82.9%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre Levrone, broken up by Dane JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
87.4%
A.J. Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 36Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+1
87.3%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Chris Clark for 1 yd to the Pitt 37Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
86.9%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Jester Weah, broken up by Bryce HallSimilar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+1
86.1%
Ryan Winslow punt for 35 yds , Daniel Hamm returns for 1 yd to the Virg 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:3015% → 31%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
85.4%
Jordan Ellis run for 8 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 2
OWN 37
0
84.5%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre LevroneSimilar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+3
85.1%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
85.0%
Kurt Benkert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+41
85.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 41 yds to the Pitt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
69.3%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 19 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3175% → 79%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
74.6%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 13 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
75.6%
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-10
78.5%
Ben Dinucci sacked by Andrew Brown for a loss of 10 yards to the Pitt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0023% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
76.8%
Daniel Hamm run for 2 yds to the Virg 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+3
76.6%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 3 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+4
76.6%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Evan Butts for 4 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
76.5%
Lester Coleman punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 5:4380% → 95%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
79.7%
Ben Dinucci run for 10 yds to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
79.6%
Darrin Hall run for 9 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+3
80.1%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
80.4%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Jester Weah for 12 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
80.5%
Darrin Hall run for 5 yds to the Virg 43Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+8
80.5%
Darrin Hall run for 8 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
80.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
80.6%
Ben Dinucci run for 4 yds to the Virg 26Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
79.9%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Virg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
94.8%
Qadree Ollison run for 25 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
93.7%
Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+2
93.4%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 2 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+17
93.5%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 2 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, personal foul (Oluwaseun Idowu) to the Virg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-9
93.4%
Kurt Benkert sacked by Shane Roy for a loss of 9 yards to the Virg 40Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 19
OWN 40
-7
93.8%
Kurt Benkert sacked by Rashad Weaver for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 33Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 26
OWN 33
+4
93.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 4 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 22
OWN 37
0
93.9%
Lester Coleman punt for 50 yds , Quadree Henderson returns for no gain to the Pitt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
96.1%
Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Pitt 17Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-2
96.1%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 15Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+1
96.0%
Ben Dinucci pass intercepted Quin Blanding return for 1 yd to the Pitt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:074% → 13%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.3%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
96.3%
Chris Sharp run for 8 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+4
96.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Evan Butts for 4 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
95.9%
Jordan Ellis run for 8 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, face mask (11 yards) (Saleem Brightwell) to the Pitt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
95.8%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+9
95.8%
Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds to the Pitt 2Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
96.5%
Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Pitt 2Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
87.4%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Richard Burney for 2 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:4592% → 96%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
92.3%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 9 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+6
92.4%
Darrin Hall run for 6 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
92.4%
Quadree Henderson run for 25 yds to the Virg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
92.4%
Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Virg 16Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+3
94.2%
Darrin Hall run for 13 yds to the Virg 3 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive holding (Jester Weah) to the Virg 13Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+1
94.2%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Virg 12Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 2
OPP 12
0
94.1%
Darrin Hall run for no gain to the Virg 12Similar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+30
96.1%
Alex Kessman 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 21DOWNS
17 plays · 79 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
95.3%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 5 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre LevroneSimilar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+11
95.4%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Evan Butts for 11 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
95.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 10 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
95.0%
Kurt Benkert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 45Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+15
95.0%
Jordan Ellis rush for loss of 2 yards to the VA43 (Shane Roy), PENALTY UP tripping (Shane Roy) 15 yards to the UP40, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
94.9%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
94.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 7 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+11
94.6%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 11 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
94.2%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni Dowling, broken up by Damarri MathisSimilar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
94.4%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 2 yds to the Pitt 20Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+10
94.8%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois (Dane Jackson), QB hurry by Saleem Brightwell, PENALTY UP roughing passer (Saleem Brightwell) 10 yards to the UP10, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
94.2%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q4 11:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
94.2%
Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds to the Pitt 1Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.6%
Joe Reed run for no gain to the Pitt 1Similar
Q4 11:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.7%
Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Pitt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3098% → 98%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
97.9%
Ben Dinucci run for 2 yds to the Pitt 3Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+1
97.9%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 4Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+4
98.0%
Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Pitt 8Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 3
OWN 8
0
98.2%
TEAM punt, downed at the Pitt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 28 yds · 2:142% → 1%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
97.9%
Jordan Ellis run for 7 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+12
97.6%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 12 yds to the Pitt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.6%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+6
97.6%
Kurt Benkert run for 6 yds to the Pitt 13Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+5
97.8%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 5 yds to the Pitt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
97.6%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, substitution infraction (4 Yards) to the Pitt 4Similar
Q4 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.6%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Jordan EllisSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.6%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q4 0:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
97.8%
Kurt Benkert sacked by James Folston Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Pitt 10Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.3%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois, broken up by Phillipie MotleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:13
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 19 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)
-15.8
TD · Q3 7:15
Qadree Ollison run for 25 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)
+14.9
PUNT · Q2 6:14
Lester Coleman punt for 44 yds , Quadree Henderson returns for 75 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)
+12.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com