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SYR

Syracuse 19 at Miami 27

MIA
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.2MIA 85.2%Michael Badgley 18 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 7:25
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:25 · Michael Badgley 18 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 23Pregame prior+33.3Home team on offense+0.8Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:51: Malik Rosier pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 48 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +7.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:08: Moe Neal run for 15 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +12.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 9:52: Cole Murphy 45 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +9.0 pts (now 24%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 5:23: Cole Murphy 53 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +7.1 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 2:48: Travis Homer run for 33 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +20.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 9SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:56SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:25MIA 4th & 1 at SYR 1, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.9%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:20SYR 4th & 3 at midfield, down 3
    Close callPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:39MIA 4th & 7 at MIA 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:41MIA 4th & 3 at SYR 22, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%−0.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:19SYR 4th & 4 at MIA 4, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.6%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:24MIA 4th & 8 at SYR 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:48MIA 4th & 4 at MIA 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:37MIA 4th & 7 at SYR 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    85.7%−1.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:05SYR 4th & 2 at MIA 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%−1.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−2.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:55SYR 4th & 5 at MIA 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−5.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:40MIA 4th & 7 at SYR 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    84.5%−0.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:39SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:45MIA 4th & 2 at MIA 19, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:15MIA 4th & 3 at SYR 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    79.5%−2.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    76.7%−5.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:23SYR 4th & 8 at MIA 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−5.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:31SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 46, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3SYR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:22MIA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:51MIA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:08SYR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:48MIA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1INT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:0813% → 13%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
86.9%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 22Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+24
86.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 24 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.7%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
86.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+4
86.6%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted Demetrius Jackson return for 4 yds to the Syrac 38 Demetrius Jackson fumbled, recovered by SyracSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3414% → 14%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
86.5%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Syrac 38Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
86.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
86.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
86.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 3FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:2086% → 85%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
86.3%
Travis Homer run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
86.3%
Travis Homer run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
86.2%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 15 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
86.1%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 5 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+11
86.0%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 11 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
85.9%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Travis Homer for 5 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+9
85.8%
Malik Rosier run for 9 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
85.7%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 8 yds to the Syrac 6Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+3
85.4%
Travis Homer run for 3 yds to the Syrac 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
85.5%
Travis Homer run for 1 yd to the Syrac 2Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
85.4%
Travis Homer run for 1 yd to the Syrac 1Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.0%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Ahmmon RichardsSimilar
Q1 7:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
85.2%
Michael Badgley 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:5515% → 16%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.1%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
85.0%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
85.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 12 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
84.6%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Substitution Infraction (6 Yards) to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 4
OWN 49
-4
84.4%
Eric Dungey sacked by Michael Pinckney for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
84.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+5
84.5%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 3
50
0
84.3%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3484% → 83%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
84.3%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 5Similar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+6
84.2%
Malik Rosier run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 11Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+2
84.1%
Travis Homer run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 13Similar
Q1 2:49
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
83.7%
Malik Rosier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:39
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
83.4%
Zach Feagles punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:2617% → 17%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
83.1%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
83.0%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted Michael Jackson return for no gain to the MiaFl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 2:3784% → 87%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
83.7%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Travis HomerSimilar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+24
83.5%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Travis Homer for 24 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
84.0%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Ahmmon RichardsSimilar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
83.7%
Travis Homer run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+35
83.7%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 35 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
84.3%
Malik Rosier run for 6 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+5
84.2%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 5 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
86.7%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 10 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:2914% → 14%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
85.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
85.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
86.0%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted Jaquan Johnson return for no gain to the MiaFl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:3986% → 90%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
86.3%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Travis Homer for 1 yd to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+11
86.2%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
50
+21
86.4%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 21 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
86.6%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Ahmmon RichardsSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
86.5%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 8 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 2
OPP 21
-1
86.4%
Travis Homer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
89.8%
Michael Badgley 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10FG
18 plays · 71 yds · 4:1612% → 14%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.5%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
88.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
88.5%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
88.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+6
88.1%
Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-15
88.5%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Syrac 49 SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (Ravian Pierce) to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 25
OWN 34
+27
89.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 27 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
88.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+20
88.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 20 yds to the MiaFl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
87.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 14Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+7
87.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds to the MiaFl 7Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+1
88.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
87.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ravian PierceSimilar
Q2 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
87.6%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 4Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
88.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q2 6:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
85.6%
Cole Murphy 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:4686% → 86%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
86.2%
Travis Homer run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+31
86.2%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 31 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
87.1%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Scott PatchanSimilar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
87.0%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Darrell LanghamSimilar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+2
86.4%
Malik Rosier run for 2 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
86.0%
Zach Feagles punt for 42 yds, downed at the Syrac 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12INT
10 plays · 38 yds · 2:4813% → 14%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
86.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 6 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+2
86.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+3
86.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 3 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
86.4%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+5
86.6%
MIAMI FL Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 3
OWN 20
0
86.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+15
86.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for no gain to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
86.2%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
85.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
85.9%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted Michael Jackson return for no gain to the MiaFl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:3287% → 87%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
86.9%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Travis Homer for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 13
OWN 25
0
86.0%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Braxton BerriosSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+9
85.4%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 9 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
86.5%
Zach Feagles punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:1213% → 12%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-12
87.3%
Eric Dungey sacked by Michael Pinckney for a loss of 12 yards to the Syrac 2Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 22
OWN 2
0
87.6%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Syrac 2Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 22
OWN 2
+1
87.7%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:0886% → 86%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
86.2%
Malik Rosier run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+9
86.2%
Travis Homer run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
86.9%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Mike Harley for 9 yds to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+4
87.1%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 4 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
87.5%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 1 yd to the Syrac 47Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
87.5%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Braxton BerriosSimilar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+2
86.7%
Malik Rosier run for 2 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
86.2%
Zach Feagles punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 2:3514% → 19%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
86.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 14 yds to the Syrac 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
86.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 13 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
85.7%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+27
85.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 27 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
84.8%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
84.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+8
85.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 8 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+3
85.7%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
83.6%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 22Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
83.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
84.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q3 8:55
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
81.4%
Cole Murphy 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:0084% → 85%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
84.2%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Dionte Mullins for 22 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
85.6%
Malik Rosier run for 6 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
86.6%
Travis Homer run for no gain to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+4
85.9%
Malik Rosier run for 4 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
86.6%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Ahmmon RichardsSimilar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
86.4%
Travis Homer run for 4 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 6
OPP 40
-1
85.9%
Travis Homer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
84.7%
Zach Feagles punt for 39 yds, downed at the Syrac 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 1:5418% → 17%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
82.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
82.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+18
83.1%
Eric Dungey run for 18 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
81.5%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
82.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 9 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+8
81.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 8 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
80.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
81.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
82.4%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Syrac 37Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+12
82.9%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 28 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for 12 yds to the MiaFl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 0:4386% → 93%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
86.1%
Malik Rosier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
85.9%
Travis Homer run for 5 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+48
93.1%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 48 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:329% → 22%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
91.1%
Moe Neal run for 7 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+1
90.7%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 43Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+28
90.8%
Eric Dungey run for 28 yds to the MiaFl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
89.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+14
89.9%
Eric Dungey run for 14 yds to the MiaFl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
77.7%
Moe Neal run for 15 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1086% → 86%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
86.4%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 6 yds to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+2
86.7%
Travis Homer run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 19Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 2
OWN 19
0
86.8%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Ahmmon RichardsSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 2
OWN 19
0
85.9%
Zach Feagles punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22FG
13 plays · 29 yds · 4:4319% → 24%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
80.7%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+9
79.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 9 yds to the MiaFl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
81.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+7
81.3%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 1
OPP 34
-4
80.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+13
81.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 13 yds to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
79.2%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+14
79.5%
Ervin Philips run for 14 yds to the MiaFl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
79.5%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 15Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
-9
81.1%
TEAM sacked by Michael Pinckney and Trent Harris for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 24
-2
84.7%
Devin C. Butler pass complete to Eric Dungey for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q4 9:52
4TH & 0
OPP 26
+45
75.6%
Cole Murphy 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:2578% → 82%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
78.3%
Travis Homer run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+26
78.7%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 26 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
81.6%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Braxton BerriosSimilar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
81.3%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for no gain to the Syrac 38Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+7
81.6%
Malik Rosier run for 7 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 3
OPP 31
0
81.5%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Darrell LanghamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24FG
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:4726% → 38%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
73.8%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+33
74.9%
Eric Dungey run for 33 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
68.8%
Devin C. Butler run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 2
OPP 29
-6
65.5%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
69.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q4 5:23
4TH & 8
OPP 35
+53
62.1%
Cole Murphy 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 25TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 2:2566% → 96%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
66.2%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Dionte MullinsSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+13
65.9%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 13 yds to the MiaFl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
66.6%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Jeff ThomasSimilar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+19
65.9%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Darrell Langham for 19 yds to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
70.7%
Travis Homer run for 6 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+6
71.4%
Travis Homer run for 6 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
73.9%
Travis Homer run for 5 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+3
73.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (3 Yards) to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
75.2%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Braxton BerriosSimilar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
95.9%
Travis Homer run for 33 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:049% → 5%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+22
91.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 22 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
90.8%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
91.1%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-1
92.8%
Eric Dungey sacked by Shaquille Quarterman for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 46Similar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
94.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:1097% → 97%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
97.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 11
OPP 47
-2
97.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 49Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 13
OPP 49
-1
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:48
Travis Homer run for 33 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)
+20.7
TD · Q3 1:08
Moe Neal run for 15 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
-12.2
FG · Q4 9:52
Cole Murphy 45 yd FG GOOD
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com