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PITT

Pittsburgh 24 at Syracuse 27

SYR
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:18 · Ryan Winslow punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+22.0+11.00−11.0−22.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Pregame prior+11.3Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:34: Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 32 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +12.4 pts (now 66%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:59: Eric Dungey run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +15.4 pts (now 73%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:12: Cole Murphy 38 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +8.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:07: Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 35 yds for a TD PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +14.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:15: Qadree Ollison run for 19 yds for a TD, (J. Whitehead Run For Two-point Conversion) — PITT win probability +26.5 pts (now 36%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 10 of 12PITT made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00SYR 4th & 1 at PITT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.3%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:30SYR 4th & 4 at PITT 8, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%−<0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:30PITT 4th & 4 at PITT 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:30SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:18PITT 4th & 2 at PITT 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:17SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  7. Q1 5:51PITT 4th & 1 at PITT 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q1 3:44SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:53SYR 4th & 16 at SYR 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 13:12PITT 4th & 7 at PITT 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 12:13SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 7:26PITT 4th & 4 at SYR 31, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.3%−0.7
    54% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−1.8
    average punt
  13. Q2 5:40SYR 4th & 9 at PITT 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    46.9%−0.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q2 5:31PITT 4th & 9 at SYR 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    52.4%−1.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:32PITT 4th & 5 at SYR 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−7.5
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:59PITT 4th & 8 at PITT 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:12SYR 4th & 4 at PITT 20, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.2%−0.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    59.9%−10.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:55PITT 4th & 6 at SYR 38, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.2%−1.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−1.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:55SYR 4th & 1 at PITT 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    65.8%−6.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    65.6%−6.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:15SYR 4th & 1 at PITT 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    63.7%−9.7
    30% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−8.0
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:56SYR 4th & 1 at PITT 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.3%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    85.5%−6.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    63.5%−28.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3PITT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 14:53PITT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:34SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:59SYR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:07SYR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:15PITT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    21.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    21.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1FG
15 plays · 73 yds · 3:3063% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
63.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+34
63.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 34 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
63.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
63.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 9 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
63.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 0
0
63.0%
PENALTY UP offside defense off-setting, PENALTY SU pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
63.0%
Chris Elmore run for 3 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
63.0%
Chris Elmore run for 2 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+5
63.0%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Pitt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+9
63.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the Pitt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
63.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae Strickland, broken up by Avonte MaddoxSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+6
63.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 6 yds to the Pitt 8Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
63.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve Ishmael, broken up by Avonte MaddoxSimilar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
63.4%
Cole Murphy 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
63.2%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Pitt 15Similar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+3
63.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Pitt 18Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+12
63.3%
Max Browne pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 12 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
63.2%
Max Browne pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 1 yd to the Pitt 31Similar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+12
63.4%
Ryan Winslow punt for 55 yds , Sean Riley returns for 12 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
63.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 3 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-7
63.2%
Eric Dungey sacked by Oluwaseun Idowu for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 22Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 14
OWN 22
+11
62.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 11 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
62.9%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Quadree Henderson at the Pitt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
63.5%
Max Browne pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 8 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
63.1%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Jester Weah, broken up by Scoop BradshawSimilar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
63.4%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Aaron Mathews, broken up by Scoop BradshawSimilar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
63.8%
Ryan Winslow punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
63.4%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
63.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ravian PierceSimilar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
62.9%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
62.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
63.6%
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
63.1%
Jordan Whitehead run for 2 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
63.4%
Darrin Hall run for no gain to the Pitt 34Similar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
63.8%
Ryan Winslow punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
63.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete, broken up by Keyshon CampSimilar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
63.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-13
63.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (-13 Yards) to the Syrac 12Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+10
62.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 10 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q1 3:44
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
62.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:3338% → 43%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
62.3%
Max Browne pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 6 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+1
62.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+2
62.3%
Max Browne pass complete to Jester Weah for 2 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 0:13
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+5
62.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, (5 Yards) to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
62.0%
Max Browne pass complete to Jester Weah for 5 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+35
57.4%
Jordan Whitehead run for 35 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
59.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 26 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
60.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 6 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-5
61.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 48Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
60.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 9
OPP 48
-7
60.3%
Eric Dungey sacked by Oluwaseun Idowu for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 16
OWN 45
0
58.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Quadree Henderson at the Pitt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
58.9%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Quadree HendersonSimilar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
59.0%
Max Browne pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 3 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
59.3%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Matt FlanaganSimilar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
59.9%
Ryan Winslow punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
60.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve Ishmael, broken up by Dane JacksonSimilar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
59.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 4 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+2
59.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 2 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 4
OWN 48
-5
59.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 9
OWN 43
-5
57.9%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 41 yds , Quadree Henderson returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12FG
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:2242% → 51%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
57.9%
A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 13Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+21
58.1%
Max Browne pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 21 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
57.0%
Max Browne pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 11 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
56.1%
Max Browne pass complete to Jester Weah for 18 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
55.8%
Max Browne pass complete to Jester Weah for 9 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 1
OPP 28
-3
55.4%
Rafael Araujo-Lopes run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 31Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
55.8%
Max Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+49
49.5%
Alex Kessman 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 1:4650% → 51%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
50.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 13 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
51.1%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+15
52.3%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
52.9%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Pitt 40Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
52.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Jordan WhiteheadSimilar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+1
51.9%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Pitt 39Similar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 9
OPP 39
+8
51.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 8 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
50.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 32Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+21
50.3%
Max Browne pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 21 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
48.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 6 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 4
OPP 41
-5
47.7%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
48.0%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-LopesSimilar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
48.4%
Max Browne run for no gain to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 5:31
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
49.9%
Ryan Winslow punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15TD
11 plays · 93 yds · 2:1748% → 66%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+12
48.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 12 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
48.7%
Eric Dungey run for 9 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 1
OWN 28
0
50.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+6
48.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
49.3%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+15
49.2%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
51.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+17
52.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 17 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
53.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 8 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 2
OPP 22
-10
53.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Pitt 32Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+32
66.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 32 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
58.7%
Jordan Whitehead run for 9 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:2843% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
57.4%
Max Browne pass complete to Jester Weah for 23 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
54.7%
Max Browne pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 12 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
54.3%
Quadree Henderson run for 2 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+9
54.3%
Max Browne pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 9 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
53.1%
Rafael Araujo-Lopes run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+3
53.1%
Jordan Whitehead run for 3 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
54.3%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Matt Flanagan, broken up by Jordan MartinSimilar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+42
51.7%
Alex Kessman 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:3353% → 73%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
53.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 3 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
53.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
53.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 37Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
53.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+13
54.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 13 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
56.7%
Eric Dungey sacked by Patrick Jones II and Elias Reynolds for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 16
OWN 48
+6
53.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 6 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+15
53.9%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
58.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 7 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+1
58.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Pitt 23Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+13
56.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 13 yds to the Pitt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
58.0%
Chris Elmore run for no gain to the Pitt 10Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
73.4%
Eric Dungey run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
67.7%
Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 23Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-8
68.0%
Max Browne sacked by Alton Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 16 Max Browne fumbled, recovered by Pitt Matt Flanagan , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+11
69.5%
Ben Dinucci run for 11 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
69.9%
Ryan Winslow punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 3:1470% → 82%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
69.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+13
69.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 13 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
71.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 2
50
0
72.7%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ravian PierceSimilar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 2
50
+5
71.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
72.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 19 yds to the Pitt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-8
73.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 34Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 18
OPP 34
+11
72.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 11 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+3
72.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Pitt 20Similar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+38
82.0%
Cole Murphy 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21FG
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:1724% → 31%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
76.3%
Darrin Hall run for 12 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
75.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Pitt 47Similar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 5
OWN 47
+11
73.6%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Darrin Hall for 11 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
73.2%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete, broken up by Jordan MartinSimilar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
73.5%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 3 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+1
73.7%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 1 yd to the Syrac 38Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+56
69.5%
Alex Kessman 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4873% → 91%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 7 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
74.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 6 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
74.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-1
75.5%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+12
73.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 12 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
76.3%
Tyrone Perkins run for 2 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+7
76.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 7 yds to the Pitt 38Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
76.0%
Chris Elmore run for no gain to the Pitt 38Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+2
74.4%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
76.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Pitt 35Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+35
90.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 35 yds for a TD PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5210% → 36%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
89.8%
Ben Dinucci run for 7 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
91.6%
Jordan Whitehead run for 11 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
91.5%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Quadree Henderson for 3 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
91.4%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+22
91.8%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 22 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
89.9%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Qadree OllisonSimilar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+9
90.1%
Jordan Whitehead run for 9 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+4
90.6%
Jordan Whitehead run for 4 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
64.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 19 yds for a TD, (J. Whitehead Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24DOWNS
20 plays · 70 yds · 6:1975% → 92%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
74.9%
Eric Dungey run for 11 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
76.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
77.0%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
76.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
77.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 2 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+4
78.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+3
77.9%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+3
76.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
78.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+1
80.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Pitt 34Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 5
OWN 0
0
73.3%
PENALTY UP offside defense off-setting, PENALTY UP personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+20
78.4%
Eric Dungey run for 20 yds to the Pitt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
80.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Pitt 11Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
80.1%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Pitt 11Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 7
OPP 11
-5
90.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 16Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 12
OPP 16
+11
89.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 11 yds to the Pitt 5Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
91.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ravian PierceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
88.6%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Jester WeahSimilar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+3
88.9%
Ben Dinucci run for 3 yds to the Pitt 8Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 7
OWN 8
+15
89.5%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 15 yds to the Pitt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-8
87.7%
Ben Dinucci sacked by Ryan Guthrie for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 15Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 18
OWN 15
+13
88.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 13 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:15
Qadree Ollison run for 19 yds for a TD, (J. Whitehead Run For Two-point Conversion)
-26.5
TD · Q3 6:59
Eric Dungey run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
+15.4
TD · Q4 11:07
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 35 yds for a TD PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Cole Murphy KICK)
+14.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com