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VT

Virginia Tech 23 at Boston College 10

BC
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGFGTDEnd of GameTD+10.4BC 11.7%Jeff Smith pass complete to AnthonyBrown for 25 yds for a TD, (ColtonLichtenberg KICK)AWAY 23 - HOME 10 · Q4 5:38
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:38 · Jeff Smith pass complete to Anthony Brown for 25 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 167Pregame prior−4.0Home team on offense−23.6Score differential−10.0Garbage-time factor−12.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 11:33: Joey Slye 34 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +1.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:19: Travon McMillian run for 23 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +4.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 6:40: Joey Slye 26 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:38: Jeff Smith pass complete to Anthony Brown for 25 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +10.4 pts (now 12%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:38: Maximilian Schulze-Geisthovel kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — VT win probability +4.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 11 of 13VT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:10BC 4th & 4 at BC 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:48BC 4th & 8 at VT 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:24BC 4th & 7 at VT 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:04VT 4th & 16 at VT 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:45BC 4th & 10 at BC 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:14BC 4th & 10 at BC 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:39BC 4th & 2 at VT 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    15.5%−0.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:56VT 4th & 9 at VT 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:16BC 4th & 9 at BC 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:44VT 4th & 7 at BC 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    81.8%−5.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:05BC 4th & 16 at BC 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:31VT 4th & 8 at VT 25, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:07BC 4th & 8 at BC 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:39VT 4th & 4 at VT 39, up 17
    Close callPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:29BC 4th & 6 at BC 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:19VT 4th & 1 at BC 1, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    88.0%−5.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:29BC 4th & 4 at BC 7, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:54VT 4th & 20 at BC 34, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:26BC 4th & 10 at BC 2, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:40VT 4th & 8 at BC 8, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−2.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:36VT 4th & 5 at VT 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:17BC 4th & 7 at VT 22, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−2.7
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:26VT 4th & 1 at VT 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 0 of 1VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:26VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:19VT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:38BC Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:3615% → 16%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
14.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 9 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 1
OWN 31
-4
15.0%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 27Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+11
15.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Levy for 11 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
15.6%
Anthony Brown run for 6 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
15.8%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 44Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
16.1%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Nolan Borgersen, broken up by Mook ReynoldsSimilar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 4
OWN 44
+46
16.0%
Mike Knoll punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the BOSTCOLL 20 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the VTech 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:2684% → 84%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
16.1%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the VTech 15Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+6
16.2%
Sean Savoy run for 6 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
16.4%
Josh Jackson run for 6 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
16.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
16.5%
Josh Jackson pass intercepted Isaac Yiadom return for 9 yds to the VTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4417% → 17%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
17.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy Sweeney, broken up by Brandon FacysonSimilar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
17.4%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
17.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
17.4%
Colton Lichtenberg 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:1483% → 84%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
17.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 11 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
17.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for no gain to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+13
17.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Travon McMillian for 13 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
16.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 53 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 2:4517% → 19%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+37
17.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jon Hilliman for 22 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Mook Reynolds) to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
17.1%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+11
17.2%
Thadd Smith run for 11 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
17.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
17.7%
Brown, Anthony pass incomplete to Walker, Michael, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Stroman, Greg) 3 yards to the VATECH18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOSTCOLL.Similar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
17.7%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the VTech 18Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
17.9%
Travis Levy pass incomplete to Ray MartenSimilar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+3
17.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Michael Walker for 3 yds to the VTech 15Similar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
18.7%
Colton Lichtenberg 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:2082% → 80%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
18.4%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the VTech 20Similar
Q1 5:17
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
18.5%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Henri MurphySimilar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+26
18.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Henri Murphy for 26 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
18.3%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+1
18.4%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the VTech 49Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 7
OWN 49
-9
18.8%
Josh Jackson sacked by Ty Schwab for a loss of 9 yards to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 16
OWN 40
0
19.8%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:1019% → 20%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+23
19.3%
AJ Dillon run for 23 yds fumbled and recovered to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
19.8%
TEAM run for no gain to the BC 32 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BC Ben PetrulaSimilar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-3
19.8%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 29Similar
Q1 1:24
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+3
19.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jon Hilliman for 3 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q1 0:45
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
19.7%
Mike Knoll punt for 34 yds, downed at the VTech 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:0380% → 81%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
20.2%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 0:11
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+6
20.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 6 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+23
20.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 23 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
20.0%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+5
19.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 5 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
20.0%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+16
20.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dalton Keene for 16 yds to the BC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-8
20.0%
Sean Savoy run for a loss of 8 yards to the BC 16Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 0
OPP 16
0
20.0%
Josh Jackson run for no gain to the BC 16Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 0
OPP 16
0
20.7%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Henri MurphySimilar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+34
18.9%
Joey Slye 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:1920% → 19%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
19.5%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Tommy Sweeney) to the BC 20Similar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
19.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
19.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
19.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q2 10:14
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
19.1%
Mike Knoll punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 3:5581% → 87%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
19.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 27Similar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+11
19.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 11 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
18.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Travon McMillianSimilar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+5
18.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 5 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
18.7%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 42Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+9
19.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Henri Murphy for 9 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+11
18.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 11 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
18.0%
Josh Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 41Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 13
OPP 41
0
18.3%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Hezekiah GrimsleySimilar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+14
18.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 14 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
18.0%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+23
13.5%
Travon McMillian run for 23 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:2814% → 15%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
14.4%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+16
14.4%
Anthony Brown run for 16 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+32
14.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 32 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
15.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the VTech 30Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+7
15.9%
AJ Dillon run for 7 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 2
OPP 23
0
15.6%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 2
OPP 23
0
15.4%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:3486% → 85%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
14.2%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the VTech 24Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+5
14.2%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Delay of Game (Noa Merritt) to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
14.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean Savoy, broken up by Kevin BletzerSimilar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
14.3%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Henri Murphy, broken up by Isaac YiadomSimilar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 4
OWN 29
-5
14.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Terrell Edmunds) to the VTech 24Similar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+3
14.9%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 45 yds , Michael Walker returns for 3 yds to the BC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:2614% → 14%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
14.4%
Anthony Brown run for 8 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+3
15.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
15.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jon Hilliman for 1 yd to the BC 46Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
14.9%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
14.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 9
OWN 46
+1
14.2%
Mike Knoll punt for 39 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 1 yd to the VTech 16 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Devon Hunter) to the VTech 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:5187% → 87%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
13.5%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the VTech 13Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+3
13.1%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+2
13.5%
Josh Jackson run for 2 yds to the VTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
12.6%
Travon McMillian run for 7 yds to the VTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:1187% → 90%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
13.3%
Josh Jackson run for 7 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
12.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-6
13.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Kyle Chung) to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
13.3%
Josh Jackson run for 12 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+46
11.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 46 yds to the BC 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
11.5%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the BC 14Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
11.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Henri Murphy for 5 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 5
OPP 9
-2
11.4%
Josh Jackson sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 11Similar
Q3 10:44
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
10.2%
Joey Slye 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:3011% → 10%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
11.0%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
10.5%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-10
10.5%
Brown, Anthony pass complete to Sweeney, Tommy for 13 yards to the BOSTCOLL42, PENALTY BOSTCOLL holding (Petrula, Ben) 10 yards to the BOSTCOLL19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
10.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jon HillimanSimilar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 16
OWN 19
-4
10.2%
Mike Knoll punt for 56 yds , Greg Stroman returns for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2390% → 90%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
9.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 1 yard to the VTech 22Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+2
9.8%
Josh Jackson run for 2 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+1
9.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dalton Keene for 1 yd to the VTech 25Similar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
9.9%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1010% → 10%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
10.4%
Anthony Brown run for no gain to the BC 35Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
10.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
10.2%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+1
10.0%
Mike Knoll punt for 41 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 1 yd to the VTech 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:1291% → 92%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
9.0%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+8
8.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 8 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
8.6%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+1
8.1%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the VTech 37Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+2
8.1%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
8.3%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0310% → 9%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
9.5%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 19Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+3
9.4%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
9.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay White, broken up by Greg StromanSimilar
Q3 2:29
4TH & 6
OWN 22
+14
9.2%
Mike Knoll punt for 38 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 14 yds to the BC 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:5794% → 94%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+29
6.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dalton Keene for 29 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
5.8%
Coleman Fox run for 6 yds to the BC 11Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+3
5.8%
Coleman Fox run for 3 yds to the BC 8Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
5.9%
Coleman Fox run for 4 yds to the BC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
5.7%
Coleman Fox run for 2 yds to the BC 2Similar
Q3 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
5.6%
Coleman Fox run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 3Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
5.6%
Josh Jackson run for 2 yds to the BC 1Similar
Q4 14:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
5.9%
Josh Jackson run for no gain to the BC 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:427% → 6%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
6.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 2Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 9
OWN 2
-1
6.2%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 1Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+6
5.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Michael Walker for 6 yds to the BC 7Similar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 4
OWN 7
+2
5.8%
Mike Knoll punt for 35 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 2 yds to the BC 35 Greg Stroman fumbled, recovered by VTech Greg Stroman BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the BC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:2995% → 95%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
4.9%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
4.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 11 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
4.6%
Josh Jackson run for 1 yd to the BC 23Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-11
4.4%
Josh Jackson sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 11 yards to the BC 34Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 20
OPP 34
0
4.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Travon McMillianSimilar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 20
OPP 34
0
5.2%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 32 yds, downed at the BC 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:185% → 4%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
4.5%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 1Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+3
4.4%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the BC 4Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 8
OWN 4
-2
4.4%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (John Phillips) to the BC 2Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 10
OWN 2
0
4.4%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 10
OWN 2
+18
4.3%
Mike Knoll punt for 40 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 18 yds to the BC 24 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Devon Hunter) to the BC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25FG
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:3796% → 99%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
4.1%
Travon McMillian run for 7 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+20
4.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dalton Keene for 20 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
3.9%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the BC 7Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
3.8%
Josh Jackson sacked by Zach Allen for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 17Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 0
OPP 17
+9
3.6%
Travon McMillian run for 9 yds to the BC 8Similar
Q4 6:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
1.4%
Joey Slye 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 26TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:471% → 12%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
1.3%
Thadd Smith run for 27 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+23
1.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 23 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
11.7%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Anthony Brown for 25 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5195% → 95%
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
5.4%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
5.0%
Sean Savoy run for 1 yd to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
4.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Eric KumahSimilar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
4.7%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 28DOWNS
10 plays · 58 yds · 2:086% → 5%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
5.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 24 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
4.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 9 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+7
5.5%
Travis Levy run for 7 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
5.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
5.2%
Anthony Brown run for 15 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
6.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
6.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+3
5.4%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 7
OPP 22
0
4.9%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:4697% → 99%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
3.2%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the VTech 23Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+4
3.0%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+4
2.2%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
1.4%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:172% → 2%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
1.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Levy for 7 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
1.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+24
1.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Levy for 24 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:38
Jeff Smith pass complete to Anthony Brown for 25 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)
+10.4
TD · Q2 6:19
Travon McMillian run for 23 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
-4.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:38
Maximilian Schulze-Geisthovel kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com