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RICE

Rice 10 at Pittsburgh 42

PITT
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+0.3PITT 99.9%Max Browne pass complete to ChrisClark for 7 yds for a TD, (AlexKessman KICK)AWAY 10 - HOME 42 · Q4 4:39
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:39 · Max Browne pass complete to Chris Clark for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Pregame prior+4.2Home team on offense+36.1Score differential+27.4Blowout margin+12.6Garbage-time factor+13.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:18: Max Browne pass complete to Jester Weah for 55 yds for a TD RICE Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +1.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:13: Qadree Ollison run for 10 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +2.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:02: Chawntez Moss run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:32: Jackson Tyner pass complete to Austin Walter for 70 yds for a TD, (Haden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +3.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:22: Max Browne pass complete to Darrin Hall for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4RICE made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:27RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:18RICE 4th & 24 at RICE 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:13RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:22RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:43RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 27, down 28
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:17PITT 4th & 17 at PITT 14, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:31RICE 4th & 6 at PITT 6, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:31PITT 4th & 1 at RICE 41, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.8
    32% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:36RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 42, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:54PITT 4th & 15 at PITT 35, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:39RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 29, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:16PITT 4th & 6 at PITT 31, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:27PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:18PITT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:13PITT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:02PITT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:32RICE Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:22PITT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:39PITT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3391% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.3%
Quadree Henderson run for 3 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
91.3%
Max Browne pass complete to Quadree Henderson for 10 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-9
91.3%
Max Browne sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 9 yards to the Pitt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 29
+14
91.3%
Max Browne pass complete to Jester Weah for 14 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+9
91.3%
Max Browne pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 9 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
91.3%
Chawntez Moss run for no gain to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+48
90.9%
Max Browne pass complete to Chawntez Moss for 48 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
90.8%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Robby Wells III for 11 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
90.8%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Kylen Granson for 4 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
90.8%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+7
90.8%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Lance Wright for 7 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
90.8%
RICE Penalty, false start (Kylen Granson) to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 15
OWN 25
0
90.8%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 15
OWN 25
-1
90.8%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 16
OWN 24
+12
90.9%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Jordan Myers for 12 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
90.8%
Jack Fox punt for 44 yds, downed at the Pitt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:2790% → 92%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
90.3%
Max Browne pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 14 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
90.3%
Chawntez Moss run for 11 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
91.7%
Max Browne pass complete to Jester Weah for 55 yds for a TD RICE Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.2%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
91.2%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Lance Wright, broken up by Rashad WeaverSimilar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
91.3%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Lance Wright for 11 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
91.1%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-9
91.1%
Jackson Tyner sacked by Avonte Maddox for a loss of 9 yards to the Rice 24 Jackson Tyner fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 24
OWN 24
0
91.3%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Jordan Myers, broken up by Avonte MaddoxSimilar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 24
OWN 24
0
91.3%
Jack Fox punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 2:1292% → 94%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
91.8%
Max Browne pass complete to Chawntez Moss for 15 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
91.8%
Quadree Henderson run for 9 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+4
91.8%
Chawntez Moss run for 4 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
91.8%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Rice 10Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
93.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 10 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
93.7%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
93.8%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Nahshon Ellerbe for 2 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 1:13
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
93.8%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Robby Wells III, broken up by Rashad Weaver RICE Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
93.8%
Jack Fox punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Quadree Henderson at the Pitt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7FUMBLE
13 plays · 76 yds · 2:4294% → 95%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
93.7%
Max Browne pass complete to Chris Clark for 6 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+7
93.7%
Avonte Maddox run for 7 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
93.9%
Max Browne pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 24 yds to the PITTSBURGH 41 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
94.1%
Chawntez Moss run for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
94.1%
Max Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+11
93.9%
Max Browne pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 11 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+22
95.1%
Quadree Henderson run for 7 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (J.T. Ibe) to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
95.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+9
95.0%
Max Browne pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 9 yds to the Rice 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
94.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Rice 2Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.9%
Chawntez Moss run for 1 yd to the Rice 1Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.7%
Chawntez Moss run for no gain to the Rice 2 Chawntez Moss fumbled, forced by J.T. Ibe, recovered by Rice J.T. IbeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
94.9%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 1 yd to the Rice 3Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 9
OWN 3
0
95.0%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+20
95.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Kylen Granson for 20 yds to the Rice 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-12
94.8%
Jackson Tyner sacked by Elias Reynolds for a loss of 12 yards to the Rice 11Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 22
OWN 11
+10
94.9%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 10 yds to the Rice 21Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
94.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 12
OWN 21
+10
94.9%
Jack Fox punt for 50 yds , Quadree Henderson returns for 10 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 4:1596% → 99%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
96.2%
Max Browne pass complete to Quadree Henderson for 21 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+24
96.3%
Jordan Whitehead run for 24 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
96.3%
A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+1
96.2%
Max Browne pass complete to Chris Clark for 1 yd to the Rice 13Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+10
96.1%
Max Browne pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 10 yds to the Rice 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
96.1%
Chawntez Moss run for 2 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Chawntez Moss run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:191% → 1%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.8%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Nahshon EllerbeSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.8%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+2
98.8%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
98.7%
Jack Fox punt for 52 yds, downed at the Pitt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:0899% → 99%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
98.8%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Jester Weah, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-11
98.8%
Max Browne sacked by Zach Abercrumbia for a loss of 11 yards to the Pitt 10Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 21
OWN 10
+4
98.9%
Max Browne run for 4 yds to the Pitt 14 Max Browne fumbled,Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 17
OWN 14
0
98.9%
Ryan Winslow punt for 39 yds, downed at the Rice 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
98.8%
Jackson Tyner pass intercepted Damar Hamlin return for 5 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 5:291% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.7%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+26
98.7%
Austin Walter run for 11 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, personal foul (Dewayne Hendrix) to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
98.5%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Austin Walter for 3 yds to the Pitt 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+13
98.5%
Austin Walter run for 13 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
98.3%
Jordan Myers run for 12 yds to the Pitt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
98.3%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 21
0
98.3%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the Pitt 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 21
+17
98.5%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Emmanuel Esukpa for 17 yds to the Pitt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
98.2%
Jordan Myers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 6Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.2%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Robby Wells III, broken up by Oluwaseun IdowuSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.3%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Robby Wells III, broken up by Jordan WhiteheadSimilar
Q3 9:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
98.2%
Haden Tobola 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.7%
Chawntez Moss run for 1 yd to the Pitt 26Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
98.7%
Max Browne pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 7 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+17
98.7%
Max Browne pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.8%
Chawntez Moss run for 1 yd to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+7
98.8%
Max Browne pass complete to Chris Clark for 7 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
98.8%
Chawntez Moss run for 1 yd to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 9:31
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-2
98.7%
Chawntez Moss run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
98.4%
Collin Whitaker run for 5 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+1
98.4%
Collin Whitaker run for 1 yd to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+3
98.4%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 1
OPP 48
-10
98.4%
WHITAKER, C. rush for 7 yards to the UP41 (13), PENALTY RICE holding (MYERS, Jordan) 10 yards to the RICE42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 11
OWN 42
+28
98.5%
Jack Fox punt for 46 yds , Quadree Henderson returns for 28 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.3%
Chawntez Moss run for 3 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-2
99.4%
Chawntez Moss run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 41Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 9
OWN 41
-6
99.4%
Max Browne sacked by Anthony Ekpe for a loss of 6 yards to the Pitt 35Similar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 15
OWN 35
+5
99.2%
Ryan Winslow punt for 40 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
96.2%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Austin Walter for 70 yds for a TD, (Haden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:1097% → 100%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.0%
Max Browne pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 5 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+30
97.4%
Max Browne pass complete to Jester Weah for 30 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
97.4%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Chris Clark, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+28
97.4%
Max Browne pass complete to Jester Weah for 28 yds to the Rice 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
97.4%
Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Max Browne pass complete to Darrin Hall for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19INT
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+27
99.3%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Kylen Granson for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
50
-1
99.2%
Collin Whitaker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+19
99.2%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Will Phillips for 19 yds to the Pitt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
99.1%
Lance Wright sacked by TEAM for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 34Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-2
99.1%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Kylen Granson for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 36Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 14
OPP 36
+24
99.2%
Jackson Tyner pass intercepted Dane Jackson return for 24 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 4:51100% → 100%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
99.6%
Max Browne pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 12 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
99.7%
Maurice Ffrench run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 44Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+10
99.7%
Max Browne pass complete to Jester Weah for 10 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+5
99.6%
Max Browne pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 5 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+17
99.7%
Max Browne pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 17 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.7%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Maurice Ffrench, broken up by Brandon Douglas-DotsonSimilar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+15
99.7%
Max Browne pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 15 yds to the Rice 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.6%
Max Browne pass complete to Chris Clark for 2 yds to the Rice 7Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Max Browne pass complete to Chris Clark for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Collin Whitaker run for 2 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Jack Fox punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Quadree Henderson at the Pitt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
A.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-LopesSimilar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes, broken up by Houston RobertSimilar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
Ryan Winslow punt for 52 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 2 yds to the Rice 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23INT
5 plays · 36 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
100.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Kylen Granson for 4 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+17
100.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Robby Wells III for 17 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
Jackson Tyner run for 15 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+34
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass intercepted Dennis Briggs return for 34 yds to the Rice 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:32
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Austin Walter for 70 yds for a TD, (Haden Tobola KICK)
-3
TD · Q2 2:02
Chawntez Moss run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q1 1:13
Qadree Ollison run for 10 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com