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UNC

North Carolina 7 at Georgia Tech 33

GT
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadUNC aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreUNC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:15 · Pressley Harvin III punt for 50 yds, fair catch by M.J. Stewart at the NCaro 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+21.6Home team on offense+2.3Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:27: TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds for a TD, (Shawn Davis KICK) — GT win probability +1.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:08: Shawn Davis 21 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +1.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:45: KirVonte Benson run for 63 yds for a TD, (Shawn Davis KICK) — GT win probability +12.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:06: KirVonte Benson run for 2 yds to the GTech 22 — GT win probability +3.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:27: TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 12 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK) — GT win probability +3.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UNC made the numbers' call on 3 of 9
  1. Q1 14:55GT 4th & 4 at GT 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:29UNC 4th & 4 at GT 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    24.6%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:15GT 4th & 15 at GT 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UNC 4th & 1 at UNC 32, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:06GT 4th & 5 at GT 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:45UNC 4th & 9 at GT 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:23GT 4th & 1 at GT 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.5%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:23GT 4th & 1 at UNC 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.2%−1.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    75.7%−2.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:08GT 4th & 3 at UNC 3, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.9%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    71.8%−5.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:15UNC 4th & 3 at GT 41, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.2%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    21.4%
    32% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:54UNC 4th & 4 at UNC 29, down 10
    Close callPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:45UNC 4th & 4 at GT 48, down 17
    Close callPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UNC 4th & 9 at UNC 21, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:11GT 4th & 2 at UNC 31, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:21GT 4th & 7 at UNC 8, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:15UNC 4th & 1 at UNC 48, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:39UNC 4th & 4 at UNC 49, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNC made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 3:27GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:45GT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:27GT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:05UNC Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:49GT Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
77.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+2
77.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
77.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
4TH & 4
OWN 23
+10
77.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 39 yds , M.J. Stewart returns for 10 yds to the NCaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
76.6%
Jordon Brown run for 4 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+2
76.5%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jordon Brown for 2 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
76.6%
Chazz Surratt pass incomplete, broken up by Desmond BranchSimilar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
76.6%
Tom Sheldon punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3TD
18 plays · 90 yds · 8:5476% → 78%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
76.4%
KirVonte Benson run for 1 yd to the GTech 11Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+8
76.4%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 8 yds to the GTech 19Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+3
76.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
76.4%
Qua Searcy run for 1 yd to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+10
76.4%
KirVonte Benson run for 10 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-6
76.5%
TaQuon Marshall sacked by Aaron Crawford for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 27Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 16
OWN 27
+13
76.4%
Qua Searcy run for 13 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+4
76.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
76.6%
TaQuon Marshall sacked by Cayson Collins for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 41Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 13
OWN 41
0
76.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune, broken up by K.J. SailsSimilar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 13
OWN 41
+20
76.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for 20 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
76.7%
KirVonte Benson run for 6 yds to the NCaro 33Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
76.7%
KirVonte Benson run for 3 yds to the NCaro 30Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
76.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the NCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
76.7%
Clinton Lynch run for 4 yds to the NCaro 24Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+14
76.7%
Jerry Howard run for 14 yds to the NCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
76.7%
KirVonte Benson run for 5 yds to the NCaro 5Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
78.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds for a TD, (Shawn Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -28 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
76.7%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 39Similar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+1
77.2%
Michael Carter run for 1 yd to the NCaro 40Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 14
OWN 40
0
77.2%
Chazz Surratt pass incomplete to Jordon BrownSimilar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 14
OWN 40
-24
77.4%
Chazz Surratt sacked by Antonio Simmons for a loss of 9 yards to the NCaro 31 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the NCaro 16Similar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 38
OWN 16
-4
77.9%
Tom Sheldon punt for 48 yds , Brad Stewart returns for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
77.4%
KirVonte Benson run for 2 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
77.4%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-7
77.1%
TaQuon Marshall sacked by Tyrone Hopper for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 27Similar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 15
OWN 27
0
76.5%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 50 yds, fair catch by M.J. Stewart at the NCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:4823% → 23%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
77.0%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Brandon Fritts for 4 yds to the NCaro 27Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
76.7%
Jordon Brown run for 5 yds to the NCaro 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
76.8%
Johnathon Sutton run for no gain to the NCaro 32Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
77.2%
Tom Sheldon punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
77.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the GTech 22Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
77.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+3
76.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+13
76.4%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 53 yds , M.J. Stewart returns for 13 yds to the NCaro 40 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the NCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 8MISSED FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:1523% → 23%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
77.0%
Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the NCaro 27Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+27
76.6%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jordon Brown for 27 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
75.6%
Chazz Surratt run for 6 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+16
75.4%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Devin Perry for 16 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
74.8%
Chazz Surratt run for no gain to the GTech 24Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
74.9%
Chazz Surratt run for 1 yd to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
75.7%
Chazz Surratt pass incomplete to Devin Perry, broken up by Lance AustinSimilar
Q2 8:45
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
76.7%
Freeman Jones 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9FG
19 plays · 74 yds · 7:3778% → 81%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
77.6%
KirVonte Benson run for 4 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+6
77.7%
Nathan Cottrell run for 6 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
77.8%
KirVonte Benson run for 5 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
78.7%
KirVonte Benson run for 3 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+1
78.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 42Similar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+2
77.7%
KirVonte Benson run for 2 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
79.1%
Clinton Lynch run for 5 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-5
79.2%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 44Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
78.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+11
78.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 11 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
79.5%
Nathan Cottrell run for 6 yds to the NCaro 37Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
79.4%
KirVonte Benson run for 3 yds to the NCaro 34Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
79.0%
KirVonte Benson run for no gain to the NCaro 34Similar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+24
78.3%
Clinton Lynch run for 24 yds to the NCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
79.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the NCaro 7Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
79.5%
KirVonte Benson run for 4 yds to the NCaro 3Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
79.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune, broken up by M.J. StewartSimilar
Q2 1:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
80.7%
Shawn Davis 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10MISSED FG
17 plays · 40 yds · 1:0820% → 19%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.0%
Chazz Surratt run for 7 yds to the NCaro 32Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
79.0%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jordon Brown for 7 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
78.9%
Chazz Surratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
79.3%
Chazz Surratt run for 7 yds to the NCaro 46Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+6
79.9%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Brandon Fritts for 6 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
79.3%
Chazz Surratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
79.9%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jordon Brown for 9 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 1
OPP 39
-2
78.8%
Chazz Surratt sacked by Step Durham for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 3
OPP 41
+6
80.7%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jordan Cunningham for 6 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
78.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
78.8%
Chazz Surratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+52
81.2%
Freeman Jones 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0020% → 18%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
80.5%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jordon Brown for no gain to the NCaro 23Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
80.6%
Jordon Brown run for 6 yds to the NCaro 29Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
80.5%
Chazz Surratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
81.6%
Tom Sheldon punt for 61 yds, downed at the GTech 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12FUMBLE
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:0082% → 83%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
81.6%
TEAM run for no gain to the GTech 11 TEAM fumbled, recovered by GTech Clinton LynchSimilar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+2
81.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+12
80.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 12 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
81.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 6 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
81.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
82.3%
KirVonte Benson run for 9 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+3
83.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 48 TaQuon Marshall fumbled, forced by Jason Strowbridge, recovered by NCaro Cole HolcombSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
80.8%
Chazz Surratt pass intercepted A.J. Gray return for 4 yds to the GTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
1 play · 63 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
92.9%
KirVonte Benson run for 63 yds for a TD, (Shawn Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.9%
Chazz Surratt run for 4 yds to the NCaro 29Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
90.5%
Michael Carter run for 7 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
90.3%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Charlie Heck) to the NCaro 31Similar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
90.9%
Chazz Surratt pass incomplete to Roscoe JohnsonSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+6
91.1%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jordon Brown for 6 yds to the NCaro 37Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+9
90.8%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 9 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
90.1%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Brandon Fritts for 5 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
89.8%
Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-7
89.6%
Jordon Brown run for 3 yds to the NCaro 42 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+4
90.4%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jordon Brown for 4 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
90.3%
Tom Sheldon punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:3994% → 98%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
93.9%
KirVonte Benson run for 2 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+65
93.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 65 yds to the NCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
94.4%
KirVonte Benson run for no gain to the NCaro 13Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+1
94.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the NCaro 12Similar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+12
98.3%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 12 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 17INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
98.0%
Jordon Brown run for 4 yds to the NCaro 31Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+19
97.9%
Brandon Harris pass intercepted A.J. Gray return for 19 yds to the NCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
98.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Brad Stewart for 16 yds to the NCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
98.5%
KirVonte Benson run for 7 yds KirVonte Benson fumbled, forced by Tyrone Hopper, recovered by NCaro Myles DornSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:062% → 2%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
98.4%
Jordon Brown run for 1 yd to the NCaro 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
98.4%
Chazz Surratt run for no gain to the NCaro 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
98.4%
Chazz Surratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
98.4%
Tom Sheldon punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:5099% → 100%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
98.7%
Jerry Howard run for 10 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
98.7%
Jerry Howard run for 4 yds to the NCaro 49Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+10
98.7%
Clinton Lynch run for 10 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
98.7%
Jerry Howard run for 2 yds to the NCaro 37Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+6
98.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 6 yds to the NCaro 31Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 2
OPP 31
0
98.7%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete, broken up by Allen CaterSimilar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+7
98.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 7 yds to the NCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
98.8%
Clinton Lynch run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 26Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+15
98.7%
Marshall, T. pass incomplete to Jeune, R., PENALTY NC pass interference (Sails, K) 15 yards to the NC11, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
98.8%
Nathan Cottrell run for 2 yds to the NCaro 9Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+3
98.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the NCaro 6Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 5
OPP 6
-2
98.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 8Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
99.9%
Brenton King 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 21TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:100% → 1%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
99.9%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jordon Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 35Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+10
99.9%
Jordon Brown run for 10 yds to the NCaro 45Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Brandon Fritts for 3 yds to the NCaro 48Similar
Q4 8:15
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
Johnathon Sutton run for 4 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.9%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jordon Brown for 6 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+34
99.9%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jordan Cunningham for 34 yds to the GTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.2%
Jordon Brown run for 8 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22TD
7 plays · 37 yds · 3:1299% → 100%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
99.3%
Matthew Jordan run for 9 yds to the NCaro 28Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+5
99.3%
Quaide Weimerskirch run for 5 yds to the NCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.3%
Matthew Jordan run for 4 yds to the NCaro 19Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+10
99.3%
Matthew Jordan run for 10 yds to the NCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
99.3%
Jerry Howard run for 4 yds to the NCaro 5Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Matthew Jordan run for 5 yds for a TD, (Bennett Barton PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 23Uncategorized
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
99.9%
Johnathon Sutton run for 15 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
Chazz Surratt run for 5 yds to the NCaro 48Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Chazz Surratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+1
99.9%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jake Bargas for 1 yd to the NCaro 49Similar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+11
99.9%
Chazz Surratt run for 11 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Chazz Surratt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:45
KirVonte Benson run for 63 yds for a TD, (Shawn Davis KICK)
+12.1
TD · Q3 1:27
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 12 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)
+3.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 4:06
KirVonte Benson run for 2 yds to the GTech 22
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com