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FSU

Florida State 26 at Wake Forest 19

WAKE
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadFSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreFSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:17 · Logan Tyler punt for 57 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 9 yds to the WFrst 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Pregame prior−14.3Home team on offense+1.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:59: John Wolford run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver PAT MISSED) — WAKE win probability +10.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:41: Jacques Patrick run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +10.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:57: Matt Colburn run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +26.9 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 6:20: Ricky Aguayo 35 yd FG GOOD — FSU win probability +10.8 pts (now 54%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:53: James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 40 yds for a TD WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +44.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 10FSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00FSU 4th & 2 at FSU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:55WAKE 4th & 9 at FSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    34.4%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:06FSU 4th & 14 at WAKE 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:06WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 33, down 3
    Close callPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:48WAKE 4th & 6 at FSU 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00FSU 4th & 22 at FSU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:17WAKE 4th & 3 at FSU 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.0%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    37.8%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:17FSU 4th & 17 at FSU 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:55FSU 4th & 5 at WAKE 10, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−5.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:19WAKE 4th & 11 at FSU 40, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    41.6%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00WAKE 4th & 8 at FSU 40, down 1
    Close callPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    42.0%−0.9
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:14FSU 4th & 19 at FSU 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−5.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:57FSU 4th & 17 at FSU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−4.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:37WAKE 4th & 24 at WAKE 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−9.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:20FSU 4th & 8 at WAKE 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−5.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−15.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:20WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−3.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:58FSU 4th & 1 at WAKE 39, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 12.8 ptsPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    40.3%−12.4
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%−12.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:13WAKE 4th & 12 at WAKE 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−19.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:22WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.5%−3.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 6:59WAKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:41FSU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:57WAKE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:53FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
30.9%
Jacques Patrick run for no gain to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
30.9%
Jacques Patrick run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+4
30.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 4 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 34
+9
30.9%
Logan Tyler punt for 44 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 9 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 2:4832% → 33%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
31.9%
Greg Dortch run for 5 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+1
32.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for 1 yd to the WFrst 37Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+17
31.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 17 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
32.2%
John Wolford run for no gain to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
32.1%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Derrick Nnadi) to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-2
32.2%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-2
32.1%
Greg Dortch run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q1 9:55
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
33.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 44 yds, downed at the FlaSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3FG
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:3567% → 66%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+69
33.5%
Jacques Patrick run for 69 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
32.7%
Jacques Patrick run for 1 yd to the WFrst 29Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+6
32.7%
James Blackman sacked by Wendell Dunn for a loss of 10 yards to the WFrst 33 James Blackman fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Brock Ruble , return for 0 yards , return for 6 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 13
OPP 33
-1
33.1%
Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 34Similar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 14
OPP 34
+51
34.0%
Ricky Aguayo 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
33.7%
John Wolford run for 4 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
33.8%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
33.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 2 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
33.5%
Dom Maggio punt for 38 yds, downed at the FlaSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
34.3%
Amir Rasul run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+1
34.5%
James Blackman pass complete to George Campbell for 1 yd George Campbell fumbled, forced by Grant Dawson, recovered by WFrst Jaboree WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:5836% → 37%
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
36.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 16 yds to the FlaSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
36.0%
Wolford, J bubble screen pass complete to Dortch, G for 1 yard to the FS9, out-of-bounds (Lane, E), PENALTY WF holding (Lewis, C) 10 yards to the FS20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+5
35.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 5 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
35.7%
Greg Dortch pass incomplete to John Wolford, broken up by Tarvarus McFaddenSimilar
Q1 4:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+9
34.7%
Arkeem Byrd run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 6Similar
Q1 2:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
37.4%
Mike Weaver 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 2:4864% → 62%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
36.2%
Jacques Patrick run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
36.0%
James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+5
36.3%
Cam Akers run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-14
35.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 1 yd to the FlaSt 39 FLORIDA ST Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 21
OWN 24
-1
36.7%
Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 23
+5
38.1%
Logan Tyler punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 33 FLORIDA ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3541% → 41%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
40.5%
Arkeem Byrd run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+7
40.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 7 yds to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 2
OPP 20
-1
39.9%
Arkeem Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q2 13:17
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
41.1%
Mike Weaver 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.5%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Nyqwan Murray, broken up by Jessie Bates IIISimilar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
40.6%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+3
41.3%
Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q2 13:17
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+15
41.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, roughing the kicker (15 Yards) to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
39.4%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-9
40.1%
James Blackman sacked by Willie Yarbary for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 21
OWN 29
+4
41.2%
Cam Akers run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q2 13:17
4TH & 17
OWN 33
+9
41.6%
Logan Tyler punt for 57 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 9 yds to the WFrst 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 2:1643% → 56%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
42.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 9 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+4
43.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 4 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
43.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 7 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+26
44.6%
John Wolford run for 26 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
45.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+21
45.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for 21 yds to the FlaSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
45.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 11 yds to the FlaSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
56.0%
John Wolford run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:1850% → 59%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
49.7%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+8
49.7%
Jacques Patrick run for 8 yds to the WFrst 8Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+7
50.7%
Jacques Patrick run for 5 yds to the WFrst 3 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, personal foul (Jessie Bates III) to the WFrst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.7%
Jacques Patrick run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
46.0%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the WFrst 26Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
45.8%
John Wolford pass intercepted Kyle Meyers return for no gain to the WFrst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:1459% → 62%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
41.0%
Cam Akers run for 15 yds to the WFrst 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
40.9%
Cam Akers run for 7 yds to the WFrst 8Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 3
OPP 8
-5
40.9%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 13 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+3
43.6%
James Blackman pass complete to Cam Akers for 3 yds to the WFrst 10Similar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
38.3%
Ricky Aguayo 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 35 yds · 2:3642% → 42%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.6%
John Wolford run for no gain to the WFrst 25Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
41.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 19 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-13
44.0%
John Wolford sacked by Matthew Thomas for a loss of 13 yards to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 23
OWN 31
+8
41.4%
Arkeem Byrd run for 8 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+22
41.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 22 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
44.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
44.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-1
43.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
41.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
39.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0041% → 42%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.8%
John Wolford run for no gain to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+33
40.5%
John Wolford run for 33 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
44.4%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
44.5%
John Wolford run for no gain to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
-3
43.9%
John Wolford run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
41.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17FG
18 plays · 60 yds · 8:2261% → 68%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
39.4%
Jacques Patrick run for 23 yds to the FlaSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
37.3%
Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
37.0%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Nyqwan Murray, broken up by Essang BasseySimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+15
38.4%
James Blackman pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 15 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
36.5%
James Blackman sacked by Willie Yarbary for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 43Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+27
37.4%
Cam Akers run for 27 yds to the WFrst 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
35.4%
Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the WFrst 15Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
35.4%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Keith Gavin, broken up by Jessie Bates IIISimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+10
37.0%
James Blackman pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 10 yds to the WFrst 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
35.4%
Jacques Patrick run for 1 yd to the WFrst 4Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
35.4%
Jacques Patrick run for no gain to the WFrst 4Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
38.1%
Blackman, J rush quarterback draw for 4 yards to the WF0, clock 07:00, PENALTY FS holding (Ball, J) 10 yards to the WF14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+7
39.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, personal foul (Demetrius Kemp) to the WFrst 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
36.6%
Cam Akers run for no gain to the WFrst 7Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
36.6%
James Blackman pass complete to Cam Akers for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 8Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
38.1%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 13Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
-7
39.1%
Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 20Similar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 0
OPP 20
+37
32.4%
Ricky Aguayo 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18FUMBLE
8 plays · 56 yds · 0:0036% → 43%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+33
35.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 33 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
40.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
40.2%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+24
39.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 24 yds to the FlaSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
42.6%
Arkeem Byrd run for no gain to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
42.6%
Wolford, J rush quarterback draw for 2 yards to the FS18 (Westbrook, A), PENALTY FS substitution infraction 5 yards to the FS15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+7
42.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for a loss of 7 yards Chuck Wade fumbled, forced by Kyle Meyers, recovered by FlaSt Jalen Wilkerson , return for 7 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0069% → 65%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
31.4%
Amir Rasul run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
31.5%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Keith GavinSimilar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 9
OWN 30
-10
33.1%
James Blackman sacked by Grant Dawson for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 19
OWN 20
+1
34.9%
Logan Tyler punt for 45 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 1 yd to the WFrst 21 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Coby Davis) to the WFrst 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:1938% → 69%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
37.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 15 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
39.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 6 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+3
39.6%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+1
39.2%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+27
41.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 27 yds to the FlaSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
41.7%
John Wolford run for no gain to the FlaSt 7Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
68.6%
Matt Colburn run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0041% → 36%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
58.7%
James Blackman pass incomplete to George Campbell, broken up by Amari HendersonSimilar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-7
59.3%
James Blackman sacked by Duke Ejiofor for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaSt 30 James Blackman fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Cole Minshew , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 17
OWN 30
0
62.6%
James Blackman pass incomplete to George Campbell, broken up by Amari HendersonSimilar
Q4 13:57
4TH & 17
OWN 30
+29
63.6%
Logan Tyler punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 48 , Greg Dortch returns for 29 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 0:0068% → 61%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
67.8%
Greg Dortch run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 4
OPP 46
-5
68.6%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (Cam Serigne) to the WFrst 49Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 9
OWN 49
-2
67.4%
Greg Dortch run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 47Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 11
OWN 47
-13
64.3%
John Wolford sacked by Matthew Thomas for a loss of 13 yards to the WFrst 34Similar
Q4 12:37
4TH & 24
OWN 34
0
61.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 35 yds , Tarvarus McFadden returns for no gain to the FlaSt 35 Tarvarus McFadden fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Tarvarus McFadden , return for 4 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 23FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:5839% → 54%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
61.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 7 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+5
57.8%
Cam Akers run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
57.6%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 20
OWN 37
0
62.7%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Cam AkersSimilar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 20
OWN 37
+43
64.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Keith Gavin for 43 yds to the WFrst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
54.5%
Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-1
54.5%
Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 18Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
57.2%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Mavin SaundersSimilar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
46.4%
Ricky Aguayo 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for 3 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
54.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for 3 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
53.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
51.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0052% → 54%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
47.8%
Cam Akers run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+6
44.9%
Cam Akers run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
44.5%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
45.6%
Blackman, J sacked for loss of 12 yards to the FS30 (Dunn, W), PENALTY WF holding (Williams, Jab) 10 yards to the WF48, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
42.6%
Amir Rasul run for 9 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
42.0%
Amir Rasul run for no gain to the WFrst 39Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
42.2%
Jacques Patrick run for no gain to the WFrst 39Similar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
45.7%
Logan Tyler punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WFrst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:1056% → 53%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-4
55.6%
Arkeem Byrd run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 6 Arkeem Byrd fumbled, forced by Derrick Nnadi, recovered by WFrst Justin HerronSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+2
56.1%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the WFrst 8Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 12
OWN 8
0
54.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty Washington, broken up by Tarvarus McFaddenSimilar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 12
OWN 8
+3
52.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 35 yds , Tarvarus McFadden returns for 3 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 27TD
1 play · 40 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
8.7%
James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 40 yds for a TD WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 28END OF GAME
11 plays · 46 yds · 0:4713% → 15%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
12.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 14 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
13.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
12.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+9
12.2%
John Wolford run for 9 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+4
13.0%
John Wolford run for 4 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
14.0%
John Wolford run for 6 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+13
15.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 13 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
14.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty Washington, broken up by Derwin JamesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:53
James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 40 yds for a TD WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)
-44
TD · Q4 13:57
Matt Colburn run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
+26.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-14.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com