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CLEM

Clemson 31 at Virginia Tech 17

VT
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:05 · Oscar Bradburn punt for 51 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 40Home team on offense−3.7Score differential−1.9Pregame prior−14.8Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 3:10: Joey Slye 43 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +2.5 pts (now 31%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:19: C.J. Fuller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK) — CLEM win probability +7.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:12: Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK) — CLEM win probability +7.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:00: Sean Savoy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +13.9 pts (now 16%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:08: Josh Jackson pass intercepted for a TD Dorian O'Daniel return for 22 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK) — CLEM win probability +9.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 11CLEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:28VT 4th & 9 at VT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:54CLEM 4th & 6 at VT 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:08VT 4th & 1 at VT 31, down 3
    Close callPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:47VT 4th & 6 at VT 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:14CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 30, up 10
    Close callPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:05VT 4th & 6 at VT 49, down 10
    Close callPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:40CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:14VT 4th & 2 at VT 15, down 10
    Close callPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:47CLEM 4th & 6 at VT 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:10VT 4th & 8 at CLEM 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−3.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:27CLEM 4th & 24 at CLEM 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−3.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:12CLEM 4th & 1 at VT 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    80.8%−2.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−10.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:23VT 4th & 3 at CLEM 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.8%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:54CLEM 4th & 7 at VT 45, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:31VT 4th & 4 at CLEM 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−1.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:23VT 4th & 12 at CLEM 20, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−3.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:04CLEM 4th & 17 at CLEM 12, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:21CLEM 4th & 3 at VT 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%−0.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:40VT 4th & 4 at VT 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:14CLEM 4th & 14 at CLEM 36, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:32VT 4th & 9 at CLEM 30, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:48CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:19CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:12CLEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:00VT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:08CLEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:32VT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2331% → 32%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
31.1%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
31.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 1 yd to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
31.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Travon McMillian for no gain to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 13:28
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
31.6%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 3:0668% → 67%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
31.7%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
31.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+27
31.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 27 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
31.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 3 yds to the VTech 19Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
31.9%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+16
32.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 16 yds to the VTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
32.1%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the VTech 3Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
32.2%
Kelly Bryant run for 2 yds to the VTech 1Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
32.7%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Christian Wilkins) to the VTech 6Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
32.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q1 9:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
32.7%
Alex Spence 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1833% → 33%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
33.0%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the VTech 22Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+9
33.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 9 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
33.3%
Josh Jackson run for no gain to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
33.1%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Hunter Renfrow at the Clem 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 0:5467% → 69%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
33.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 3 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
33.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 3 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+60
30.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 60 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:2732% → 31%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
31.5%
Sean Savoy run for 6 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
31.7%
Josh Jackson run for 3 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
31.6%
Jackson, Josh rush for 7 yards to the VATECH41, PENALTY VATECH illegal formation 5 yards to the VATECH29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
31.4%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Chris CunninghamSimilar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
31.0%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the Clem 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:4669% → 69%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
31.3%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
31.2%
Travis Etienne run for no gain to the Clem 24Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+6
31.4%
Kelly Bryant run for 6 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
31.4%
Will Spiers punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:5531% → 30%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
30.8%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 32Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+7
30.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Travon McMillian for 7 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+6
30.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 6 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
30.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+1
31.0%
C.J. Carroll run for 1 yd to the VTech 49Similar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
30.5%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q1 0:05
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
30.0%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:2569% → 69%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
30.8%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Taylor Hearn) to the Clem 15Similar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 15
OWN 15
-5
30.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, Illegal Procedure (Justin Falcinelli) to the Clem 10Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+18
31.2%
Kelly Bryant run for 18 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
30.7%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
30.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Milan Richard for 4 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+2
30.5%
Ray-Ray McCloud run for 2 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 4
OWN 38
-1
30.4%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Tim Settle for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
31.2%
Will Spiers punt for 50 yds , Greg Stroman returns for no gain to the VTech 37 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (Adonis Alexander) to the VTech 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2230% → 29%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
29.8%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 7
-4
29.8%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Eric Gallo) to the VTech 3Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 14
OWN 3
+6
29.5%
Josh Jackson run for 6 yds to the VTech 9Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+6
29.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 6 yds to the VTech 15Similar
Q2 11:14
4TH & 2
OWN 15
0
28.8%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Hunter Renfrow at the Clem 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10MISSED FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:1770% → 71%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
30.4%
Kelly Bryant run for 12 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
29.7%
Kelly Bryant run for 9 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+8
29.5%
Tavien Feaster run for 8 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
29.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+7
29.7%
Kelly Bryant run for 7 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+3
29.9%
Kelly Bryant run for 3 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
29.5%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
28.3%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
27.9%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+41
28.8%
Alex Spence 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:2029% → 31%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
28.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Henri Murphy for 9 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+5
29.5%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
29.3%
Josh Jackson run for no gain to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+14
29.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Henri Murphy for 14 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
29.3%
Josh Jackson run for 3 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+19
29.4%
Travon McMillian run for 19 yds to the Clem 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
30.4%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-1
30.3%
C.J. Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 28Similar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+3
28.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dalton Keene for 3 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 3:10
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+43
31.3%
Joey Slye 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3071% → 82%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 5 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+35
28.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 35 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
26.5%
C.J. Fuller run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+9
25.6%
Kelly Bryant run for 9 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
25.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 20 yds to the VTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
18.2%
C.J. Fuller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13MISSED FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 0:5821% → 21%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
20.5%
Josh Jackson run for 2 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+13
20.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 13 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
21.5%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+21
20.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 21 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
21.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 5 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
22.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+45
21.1%
Joey Slye 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
17.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 0:5981% → 80%
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
19.5%
Amari Rodgers run for a loss of 7 yards to the Clem 18Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
19.8%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Diondre OvertonSimilar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-7
20.0%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Adonis Alexander for a loss of 7 yards to the Clem 11Similar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 24
OWN 11
+9
20.2%
Will Spiers punt for 53 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 9 yds to the VTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:2222% → 21%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
21.9%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 5
50
+1
21.1%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the Clem 49 Travon McMillian fumbled, forced by Dexter Lawrence, recovered by Clem Dorian O'DanielSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17TD
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:5983% → 94%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
17.2%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-5
17.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Mitch Hyatt) to the Clem 49Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
16.7%
Kelly Bryant run for 6 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+6
16.3%
Kelly Bryant run for 6 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
16.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 2 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+7
14.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Milan Richard for 7 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+24
14.6%
Kelly Bryant run for 24 yds to the VTech 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
14.1%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the VTech 5Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
13.8%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the VTech 4Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
13.8%
Kelly Bryant run for 3 yds to the VTech 1Similar
Q3 7:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:378% → 7%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
8.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Deshawn McClease for 17 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
8.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 5 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
6.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 2 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
6.7%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 3
OPP 47
-5
6.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1997% → 97%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
2.9%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
2.8%
Travis Etienne run for no gain to the VTech 45Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
2.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
2.9%
Will Spiers punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:185% → 5%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+35
5.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 35 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
5.7%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Deshawn McCleaseSimilar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
5.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+6
5.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 6 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+20
5.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Henri Murphy for 20 yds to the Clem 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-8
5.8%
C.J. Carroll sacked by Dorian O'Daniel for a loss of 8 yards to the Clem 26Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 18
OPP 26
+12
5.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 12 yds to the Clem 14Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 6
OPP 14
-6
5.1%
Josh Jackson sacked by Isaiah Simmons for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 20Similar
Q3 0:23
4TH & 12
OPP 20
+1
4.5%
Oscar Bradburn pass complete to Dalton Keene for 1 yd to the Clem 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5698% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-7
2.0%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Trevon Hill for a loss of 7 yards to the Clem 12Similar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 17
OWN 12
0
2.1%
Kelly Bryant run for no gain to the Clem 12Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 17
OWN 12
0
2.1%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 17
OWN 12
+43
2.1%
Will Spiers punt for 33 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 43 yds to the Clem 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q4 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
16.0%
Sean Savoy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:1492% → 93%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
7.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
7.6%
Bryant, Kelly pass incomplete to Cain, Deon, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Edmunds, Terrell) 16 yards to the CLEMSON44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
6.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+3
6.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Milan Richard for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 4
50
+1
6.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the VTech 49Similar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
6.6%
Will Spiers punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0812% → 3%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
11.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+22
2.6%
Josh Jackson pass intercepted for a TD Dorian O'Daniel return for 22 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25INT
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:143% → 3%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
2.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the VTech 36Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-3
2.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Deshawn McClease for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 33Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+8
2.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Coleman Fox for 8 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+4
2.5%
Josh Jackson run for 4 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
2.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Coleman Fox for 13 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
2.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 5 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 5
OPP 37
-4
2.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Coleman Fox for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 41Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+10
2.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 10 yds to the Clem 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
2.7%
Josh Jackson pass intercepted Austin Bryant return for no gain to the Clem 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:5799% → 99%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
0.9%
C.J. Fuller run for 3 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+1
0.8%
C.J. Fuller run for 1 yd to the Clem 44Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-8
0.6%
Travis Etienne run for a loss of 8 yards to the Clem 36Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 14
OWN 36
+3
0.6%
Will Spiers punt for 39 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:281% → 3%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
1.2%
Coleman Fox run for 4 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+9
1.2%
Coleman Fox run for 9 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
1.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 6 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+9
1.1%
Coleman Fox run for 9 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
1.2%
Coleman Fox run for 2 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-4
1.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Coleman Fox for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 46Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 12
OPP 46
+15
1.1%
Coleman Fox run for 15 yds to the Clem 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
1.1%
Josh Jackson run for 1 yd to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
1.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Henri MurphySimilar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 9
OPP 30
0
0.9%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+30
2.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 30 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
1.2%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+15
1.1%
Travis Etienne run for 15 yds to the VTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:00
Sean Savoy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+13.9
TD · Q4 11:08
Josh Jackson pass intercepted for a TD Dorian O'Daniel return for 22 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)
-9
TD · Q3 7:12
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)
-7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com