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WAKE

Wake Forest 20 at App State 19

APP
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:35 · Dom Maggio punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 74Pregame prior−13.4Home team on offense+1.0Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:52: John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 10 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +13.3 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:02: Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 84 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — APP win probability +18.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:24: John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 6 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +17.4 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:35: Michael Rubino 39 yd FG GOOD — APP win probability +13.1 pts (now 62%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:22: Mike Weaver 25 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +16.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 10 of 11WAKE made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:04WAKE 4th & 10 at APP 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    61.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:52APP 4th & 3 at WAKE 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:48WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:06APP 4th & 8 at APP 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:17WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:49WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00APP 4th & 12 at WAKE 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    43.2%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:27WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:10APP 4th & 12 at WAKE 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    44.4%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:35WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 27, down 3
    Close callPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:58APP 4th & 13 at WAKE 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−5.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:58WAKE 4th & 12 at WAKE 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−1.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00APP 4th & 7 at WAKE 44, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    58.0%−2.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:17APP 4th & 7 at APP 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−1.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:58WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 38, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−1.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00APP 4th & 4 at APP 47, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%−1.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:12WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 18, up 1
    Close callPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:35APP 4th & 9 at WAKE 22, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−4.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−15.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:22WAKE 4th & 3 at APP 7, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−3.8
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−19.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:22APP 4th & 4 at WAKE 48, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.1%−2.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:26APP 4th & 16 at midfield, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:51WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 16, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−2.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WAKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:49APP Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:52WAKE Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:02APP Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:24WAKE Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 3:5670% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
29.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+13
29.7%
John Wolford run for 13 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
29.7%
Cade Carney run for 7 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
29.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 20 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
29.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 4 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+5
29.7%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+7
29.7%
Cade Carney run for 7 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
29.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 14 yds to the AppSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
29.7%
Wolford, J pass incomplete to Washington, S, PENALTY WF ineligible downfield on pass (Gilliam, N) 5 yards to the APP15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+1
29.7%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the AppSt 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+4
29.7%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the AppSt 10Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
29.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q1 11:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
31.1%
Mike Weaver 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:1231% → 32%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
31.1%
Lamb,Taylor pass incomplete to Lewis,Ike, QB hurry by Dawson, G, PENALTY WF pass interference (Bates, J) 15 yards to the APP40, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
31.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 12 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
31.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
31.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for 7 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
31.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
31.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
31.2%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
31.4%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
31.3%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
31.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
31.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+9
31.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 9 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
31.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
31.7%
Terrence Upshaw run for 2 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
31.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+13
31.4%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 48 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 13 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
32.2%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 26Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
32.4%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
32.6%
John Wolford run for no gain to the WFrst 26Similar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+35
32.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 58 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 35 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 3:0733% → 38%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
33.2%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-2
33.3%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 46Similar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+12
33.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 12 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
33.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+12
33.5%
Jalin Moore run for 12 yds to the WFrst 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
33.6%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+20
37.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Levi Duffield for 20 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.4%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
36.5%
John Wolford run for 4 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q1 2:49
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
36.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q1 2:49
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
37.2%
Dom Maggio punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 2:0836% → 37%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
36.2%
Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 19Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+6
36.0%
Terrence Upshaw run for 6 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+12
35.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 12 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
36.7%
Terrence Upshaw run for no gain to the AppSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
37.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Levi Duffield for 4 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+7
37.8%
Taylor Lamb run for 7 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
38.8%
Terrence Upshaw run for 14 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
39.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike LewisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
38.9%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 36
-4
38.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
36.9%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 32 yds, downed at the WFrst 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
39.9%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the WFrst 10Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 8
OWN 10
0
40.0%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 10Similar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 8
OWN 10
0
40.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty Washington, broken up by Shemar Jean-CharlesSimilar
Q2 11:27
4TH & 8
OWN 10
0
41.2%
Dom Maggio punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0042% → 39%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
41.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete, broken up by Wendell DunnSimilar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
41.4%
Terrence Upshaw run for 6 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+6
41.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 6 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
42.3%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
42.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-4
41.1%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 43 Jalin Moore fumbled, recovered by AppSt Jalin MooreSimilar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
39.2%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
41.9%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
42.0%
Arkeem Byrd run for 5 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-1
41.8%
Arkeem Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
43.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:4344% → 52%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
43.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 11 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+26
44.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 26 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
46.4%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+14
46.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 14 yds to the WFrst 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
46.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jalin Moore, broken up by Essang BasseySimilar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
46.9%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 8
OPP 16
-5
46.0%
Lamb,Taylor pass complete to Hennigan,T. for 12 yards to the WF4 (Glenn, C), PENALTY APP illegal formation 5 yards to the WF21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 13
OPP 21
0
44.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 13
OPP 21
+38
51.7%
Michael Rubino 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
49.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 11 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
48.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+3
49.6%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
49.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
50.8%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
51.5%
Dom Maggio punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14MISSED FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 0:5354% → 54%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
53.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 15 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
55.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+13
56.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malik Williams for 13 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
56.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+20
56.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 20 yds to the WFrst 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+35
54.2%
Michael Rubino 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malik Williams for 2 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
55.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike LewisSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
53.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 9 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
56.0%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
55.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Levi Duffield for 7 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+10
56.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 25 yds to the APPALCHAN 32 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jalen Virgil) to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
57.6%
Terrence Upshaw run for 3 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
57.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
56.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
54.8%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 41 yds, downed at the WFrst 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16TD
10 plays · 97 yds · 3:1344% → 64%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+37
55.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 37 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
53.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 12 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
51.3%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (Jake Benzinger) to the WFrst 47Similar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+10
53.9%
John Wolford run for 10 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+1
50.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for 1 yd to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+13
51.8%
Matt Colburn run for 13 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
49.3%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+16
49.3%
John Wolford run for 16 yds to the AppSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
49.3%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the AppSt 10Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
36.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 10 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 0:4642% → 61%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
42.4%
Taylor Lamb run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 16Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+84
60.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 84 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:3842% → 64%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
58.2%
John Wolford sacked by Demetrius Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 24Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
58.6%
Arkeem Byrd run for 7 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
58.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Greg Dortch, broken up by A.J. HowardSimilar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
59.8%
Maggio, D punt 48 yards to the APP21, downed, PENALTY APP offside defense (Letman,Zy) 5 yards to the WF36, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
56.9%
Arkeem Byrd run for 4 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
55.1%
Wolford, J rush for 1 yard to the WF41, out-of-bounds (Townes,Rashaad), PENALTY APP 12 men on the field 5 yards to the WF45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+2
54.0%
Arkeem Byrd run for 2 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+35
54.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 35 yds to the AppSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
51.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 19Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+8
52.5%
Arkeem Byrd run for 8 yds to the AppSt 11Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+5
53.7%
Arkeem Byrd run for 5 yds to the AppSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
36.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 6 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0044% → 41%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
43.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike Lewis, broken up by Ja'Sir TaylorSimilar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
43.2%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
41.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
40.5%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Greg Dortch at the WFrst 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0059% → 56%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
41.2%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
41.8%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
41.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Greg Dortch, broken up by Clifton DuckSimilar
Q3 1:58
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
43.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:0343% → 44%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
42.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
43.3%
Terrence Upshaw run for 13 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
46.8%
Lamb,Taylor pass incomplete to Letman,Zy, PENALTY APP holding (Hannon,Noah) 10 yards to the APP31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+11
42.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 11 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+5
45.1%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
46.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Zy Letman, broken up by Ja'Sir TaylorSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
44.3%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Greg Dortch at the WFrst 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0058% → 55%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
42.1%
Arkeem Byrd run for 4 yds to the WFrst 15Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
42.1%
Arkeem Byrd run for no gain to the WFrst 15Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+3
44.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 3 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 3
OWN 18
-2
45.2%
Dom Maggio punt for 38 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23FG
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:5248% → 62%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+35
47.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 35 yds to the WFrst 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
51.4%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the WFrst 23Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
51.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike LewisSimilar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+1
48.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd to the WFrst 22Similar
Q4 10:35
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+39
61.6%
Michael Rubino 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:0642% → 63%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
58.2%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 23Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+7
58.5%
John Wolford run for 7 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+23
58.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 8 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, roughing passer (Devan Stringer) to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
52.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 16 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
51.0%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the AppSt 30Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+16
51.2%
John Wolford run for 16 yds to the AppSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
50.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
50.5%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the AppSt 13Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+6
53.2%
Matt Colburn run for 6 yds to the AppSt 7Similar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+25
37.1%
Mike Weaver 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25PUNT
14 plays · 25 yds · 4:5645% → 46%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
45.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 10 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
46.2%
Upshaw,T. rush for 11 yards to the APP46, out-of-bounds (Kemp, D), PENALTY APP holding (Gossett,Colby) 10 yards to the APP25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+19
44.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 19 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
51.0%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
50.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
47.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 5 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+1
50.2%
Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd to the WFrst 48Similar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 4
OPP 48
+4
47.1%
Terrence Upshaw run for 4 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
52.0%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 45Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 11
OPP 45
-5
51.1%
Ike Lewis run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 16
50
0
47.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike Lewis, broken up by Coby DavisSimilar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 16
50
0
45.6%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WFrst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:2264% → 67%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
36.4%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 14Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+2
34.1%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
31.1%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the WFrst 16Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+4
33.2%
Dom Maggio punt for 42 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 4 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 27MISSED FG
14 plays · 32 yds · 1:3743% → 38%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
42.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
39.4%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 15
OWN 41
0
34.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike Lewis, broken up by Amari HendersonSimilar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 15
OWN 41
+15
30.6%
Lamb,Taylor pass incomplete to Hennigan,T., PENALTY WF pass interference (Henderson, A) 15 yards to the WF44, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
41.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
40.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malik Williams for 7 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+5
39.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 5 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
45.3%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
45.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 5 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
41.6%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+5
29.0%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the WFrst 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+39
38.3%
Michael Rubino 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Scotty Washington TEAM return for no gain to the WFrst 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -12 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-11
8.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-11 Yards) to the WFrst 11Similar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 21
OWN 11
-1
8.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:02
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 84 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)
+18.4
TD · Q3 3:24
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 6 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
-17.4
FG · Q4 7:22
Mike Weaver 25 yd FG GOOD
-16.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com