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KENT

Kent State 3 at Louisville 42

LOU
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:23 · Malik Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Pregame prior+48.1Home team on offense+0.8Score differential+0.1Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:14: George Bollas pass intercepted for a TD Trumaine Washington return for 37 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK) — LOU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:58: Shane Hynes 48 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +0.9 pts (now 2%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:11: Lamar Jackson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK) — LOU win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Blanton Creque kickoff for 65 yds , Kavious Price return for 14 yds to the KntSt 14 — LOU win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:56: Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 32 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK) — LOU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:01LOU 4th & 3 at KENT 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:01KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:23LOU 4th & 1 at KENT 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:03KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:13KENT 4th & 9 at LOU 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:58KENT 4th & 5 at LOU 30, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00KENT 4th & 19 at KENT 21, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:56KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 30, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 41, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:54KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 48, down 39
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:46LOU 4th & 5 at LOU 25, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:53KENT 4th & 15 at KENT 25, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:01LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:51LOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:14LOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:11LOU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:56LOU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:23LOU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5999% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+69
99.1%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jordan Davis for 69 yds to the KntSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.1%
Reggie Bonnafon run for 1 yd to the KntSt 5Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.1%
Reggie Bonnafon run for 4 yds to the KntSt 1Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
99.1%
Malik Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 3 LOUISVILLE Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 13:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.0%
Malik Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.0%
George Bollas pass complete to Justin Rankin for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.0%
George Bollas run for no gain to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.0%
George Bollas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:01
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
99.0%
KENT ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 13:01
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Reggie Bonnafon at the Lvile 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.9%
Lamar Jackson run for 2 yds to the Lvile 38Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+19
98.9%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 19 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
98.9%
Malik Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+3
98.9%
Malik Williams run for 3 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+7
98.9%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 7 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 1
OPP 34
-1
98.9%
Malik Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:271% → 1%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.7%
George Bollas run for 1 yd to the KntSt 36Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-2
98.7%
George Bollas run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+6
98.6%
George Bollas pass complete to Conor Brumfield for 6 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q1 7:03
4TH & 5
OWN 40
-4
98.6%
Derek Adams punt for 45 yds , Reggie Bonnafon returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 3:3699% → 99%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
98.6%
Lamar Jackson run for no gain to the Lvile 11Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+4
98.6%
Lamar Jackson run for 4 yds to the Lvile 15Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+12
98.6%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Charles Standberry for 12 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
98.6%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 17 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
98.6%
Malik Williams run for 3 yds to the Lvile 47Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-5
98.6%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 42Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+15
98.6%
Traveon Samuel run for 15 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
98.6%
Jackson, Lam. sideline pass incomplete, PENALTY KENT holding (MONDAY, D.) 10 yards to the KENT33, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
98.7%
Malik Williams run for 33 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6INT TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:371% → 1%
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.6%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 26Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
98.6%
Raekwon James run for 4 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+37
99.0%
George Bollas pass intercepted for a TD Trumaine Washington return for 37 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7PUNT
15 plays · 45 yds · 7:011% → 1%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.0%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+8
99.0%
Justin Rankin run for 8 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
98.9%
Kesean Gamble run for 7 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+2
98.9%
Kesean Gamble run for 2 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
98.9%
Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
98.9%
Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+7
98.9%
Dustin Crum run for 7 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
98.9%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, offside defense (Trevon Young) to the Lvile 40Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 40
+5
98.9%
Kesean Gamble run for 5 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
98.9%
Kesean Gamble run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+2
99.0%
Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+3
99.0%
Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
98.9%
Derek Adams punt for 31 yds, downed at the Lvile 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8INT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+21
99.1%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Reggie Bonnafon for 21 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
99.1%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Malik Williams for 6 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 4
OWN 30
-5
99.1%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 25Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Lamar Jackson run for no gain to the Lvile 25Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Lamar Jackson pass intercepted Demetrius Monday return for no gain to the Lvile 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.8%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to James Alexander, broken up by Ronald WalkerSimilar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
98.8%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 8
OPP 36
-5
98.8%
KENT ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 41Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+15
98.9%
Dustin Crum run for 15 yds to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
98.7%
Dustin Crum run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 31 Dustin Crum fumbled, recovered by Lvile Dorian EtheridgeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.1%
Lamar Jackson run for 4 yds to the Lvile 35 Lamar Jackson fumbled, forced by Elvis Hines, recovered by KntSt Elvis HinesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11FG
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:051% → 2%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
98.7%
Kesean Gamble run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 36Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+5
98.8%
Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+1
98.7%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the Lvile 30Similar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+48
97.9%
Shane Hynes 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:4799% → 99%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.5%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Reggie Bonnafon for 9 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
98.5%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Charles Standberry for 7 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
98.5%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 15 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
98.6%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 9 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
98.5%
Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Traveon SamuelSimilar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+13
98.4%
Reggie Bonnafon run for 13 yds to the KntSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
98.5%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Malik Williams for 9 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+13
99.2%
Lamar Jackson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
98.8%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the KntSt 18Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+2
98.8%
Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+12
98.8%
Dustin Crum run for 12 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
98.6%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.1%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+13
99.1%
Will Matthews run for 13 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
99.1%
Mike Carrigan run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
-1
99.1%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 28
-7
99.1%
Dustin Crum sacked by Jonathan Greenard for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 21
0
98.9%
Derek Adams punt for 56 yds, downed at the Lvile 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
99.5%
Malik Williams run for 6 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
99.5%
Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Charles StandberrySimilar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 4
OWN 29
-7
99.5%
Lamar Jackson sacked by James Alexander for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 22Similar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 11
OWN 22
+15
99.4%
King, Mas. punt 40 yards to the KENT38, JAMES, Raymond return to the LOU46, out-of-bounds (Williams, Chu.), PENALTY KENT roughing the kicker (THOMAS, Sam) 15 yards to the LOU37, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+28
99.5%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Malik Williams for 28 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.5%
Malik Williams run for 3 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
99.5%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Malik Williams for no gain to the KntSt 32Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+32
99.8%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 32 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Dustin Crum sacked by Jonathan Greenard for a loss of 10 yards to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding (15 Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
99.7%
Dustin Crum run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 29Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+2
99.8%
Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-1
99.8%
Dustin Crum run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+13
99.8%
Derek Adams punt for 45 yds , Russ Yeast returns for 13 yds to the Lvile 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
99.9%
Lamar Jackson pass intercepted Demetrius Monday return for 13 yds to the LOUISVILLE 49 KENT ST Penalty, illegal block (Dominic Hill) to the KntSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.6%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+4
99.6%
Dustin Crum run for 30 yds to the Lvile 34 Dustin Crum fumbled, forced by Khane Pass, recovered by Lvile C.J. Avery , return for 4 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.9%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Colin Wilson for 8 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+9
99.9%
Colin Wilson run for 9 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
99.9%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Javonte Bagley for 16 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
99.9%
Lamar Jackson run for 18 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Javonte Bagley for 15 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Keon Singleton run for no gain to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Kesean Gamble run for 9 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
99.9%
Kesean Gamble run for 9 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
99.9%
George Bollas run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
George Bollas run for 3 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-2
99.9%
Mike Carrigan run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 41
+57
99.9%
Derek Adams punt for 57 yds , Russ Yeast returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21FUMBLE
9 plays · 99 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+8
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Josh Johnson for 8 yds to the Lvile 9Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 2
OWN 9
+21
99.9%
Colin Wilson run for 21 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Jawon Pass run for no gain to the Lvile 30Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Emonee Spence for 9 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Colin Wilson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Emonee Spence for 15 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Emonee Spence for 3 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+31
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Josh Johnson for 31 yds Josh Johnson fumbled, forced by Jamal Parker, recovered by KntSt Jerrell FosterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 5:110% → 0%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
Keon Singleton run for 4 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
100.0%
George Bollas run for 1 yd to the KntSt 25Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Keon Singleton run for 7 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Kesean Gamble run for 3 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Kesean Gamble run for 7 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
Kesean Gamble run for 5 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-3
99.9%
Keon Singleton run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Keon Singleton run for 4 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q4 3:54
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Derek Adams punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Emonee SpenceSimilar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Trey Smith run for 5 yds to the Lvile 25Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Javonte BagleySimilar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Mason King punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Kesean Gamble run for no gain to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
Kesean Gamble run for 3 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-8
100.0%
Mike Carrigan run for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 25Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Derek Adams punt for 44 yds, downed at the Lvile 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
100.0%
Lyn Strange run for 13 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 3:58
Shane Hynes 48 yd FG GOOD
-0.9
TD · Q2 2:11
Lamar Jackson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)
+0.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Blanton Creque kickoff for 65 yds , Kavious Price return for 14 yds to the KntSt 14
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com