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BC

Boston College 7 at Clemson 34

CLEM
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:29 · Colton Lichtenberg 43 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior+42.0Home team on offense−1.2Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:30: AJ Dillon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +14.5 pts (now 28%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:30: Maximilian Schulze-Geisthovel kickoff for 63 yds , Travis Etienne return for 26 yds to the Clem 28 — CLEM win probability +4.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:13: Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the Clem 29 — CLEM win probability +3.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:59: Adam Choice run for 6 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK) — CLEM win probability +16.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:41: Travis Etienne run for 50 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK) — CLEM win probability +4.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 11
  1. Q1 11:52BC 4th & 6 at CLEM 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:44CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:27BC 4th & 6 at CLEM 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:32CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:43BC 4th & 19 at BC 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:29BC 4th & 8 at CLEM 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:43CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:12BC 4th & 3 at CLEM 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:16BC 4th & 2 at CLEM 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:14CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 32, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:34CLEM 4th & 1 at BC 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.9%−1.9
    25% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:39BC 4th & 13 at CLEM 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:35CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:03BC 4th & 2 at CLEM 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%−1.0
    58% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−4.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:10CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−2.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:10BC 4th & 1 at BC 33, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%−2.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:56BC 4th & 11 at BC 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:26BC 4th & 7 at BC 27, down 14
    Close callPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 5BC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 7:16CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:30BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:59CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:41CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:50CLEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:52CLEM Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:032% → 3%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
97.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
97.5%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
97.4%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
97.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Michael Walker for 10 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
97.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 7
50
0
97.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-1
97.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jon Hilliman for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
97.1%
Mike Knoll punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:0297% → 97%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
97.1%
Tavien Feaster run for 6 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+4
97.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 4 yds to the Clem 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
97.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 6 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+25
96.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 25 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
96.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 41Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+3
96.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
96.6%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
96.6%
Will Spiers punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:103% → 4%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+37
96.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 37 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
96.4%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-1
96.3%
Anthony Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 39 Anthony Brown fumbled, recovered by BC Anthony BrownSimilar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
96.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
96.3%
Mike Knoll punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4996% → 96%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
96.3%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the Clem 21Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+7
96.2%
Kelly Bryant run for 7 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
96.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for no gain to the Clem 28Similar
Q1 5:32
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+19
95.9%
Will Spiers punt for 52 yds , Michael Walker returns for 19 yds to the BC 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:454% → 5%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
95.8%
Thadd Smith run for 7 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+4
95.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
50
-6
95.7%
Anthony Brown sacked by Austin Bryant for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 44Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 16
OWN 44
-1
95.8%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 43Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 17
OWN 43
-2
95.6%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 41Similar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 19
OWN 41
0
95.4%
Mike Knoll punt for 50 yds, downed at the Clem 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6INT
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:2095% → 95%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+10
95.3%
Kelly Bryant run for 10 yds to the Clem 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
95.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Milan Richard for 9 yds to the Clem 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:566% → 6%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
94.5%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the Clem 28Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
94.4%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
94.4%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:29
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
94.5%
Colton Lichtenberg 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4095% → 94%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
94.8%
Adam Choice run for 3 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
94.8%
Kelly Bryant run for 2 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
94.6%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
94.4%
Will Spiers punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:266% → 6%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.2%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
94.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 14 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
93.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
93.8%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
93.8%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
93.7%
Mike Knoll punt for 38 yds, downed at the Clem 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10TD
14 plays · 94 yds · 5:5194% → 95%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+11
94.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 11 yds to the Clem 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
94.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 3 yds to the Clem 20Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+6
93.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 6 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+4
93.5%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
93.6%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Tremayne Anchrum) to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+3
93.4%
Kelly Bryant run for 3 yds to the Clem 40 Kelly Bryant fumbled, forced by Lukas Denis, recovered by Clem Taylor Hearn for a 1ST down , return for 12 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
93.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 1 yd to the Clem 41Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+8
93.3%
Travis Etienne run for 8 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+11
93.2%
Kelly Bryant run for 11 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
93.3%
Travis Etienne run for 9 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+5
93.3%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
93.2%
Kelly Bryant run for 10 yds to the BC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
93.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the BC 11Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
94.8%
Kelly Bryant run for 11 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:496% → 6%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.0%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jon HillimanSimilar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
94.0%
AJ Dillon run for 9 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
93.6%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.4%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
93.5%
AJ Dillon run for 8 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
93.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
93.8%
Mike Knoll punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Hunter Renfrow at the Clem 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:4894% → 93%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
94.1%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the Clem 8Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+2
94.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 2 yds to the Clem 10Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+14
93.7%
Kelly Bryant run for 14 yds to the Clem 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
93.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Milan Richard for 5 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+3
93.9%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
93.8%
Kelly Bryant run for no gain to the Clem 32Similar
Q2 2:14
4TH & 2
OWN 32
+6
93.2%
Will Spiers punt for 45 yds , Michael Walker returns for 6 yds to the BC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13INT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:497% → 6%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
93.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 8 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+12
92.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 12 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
92.4%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
92.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jon HillimanSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-15
93.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the BC 34Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 25
OWN 34
0
93.8%
Anthony Brown pass intercepted Trayvon Mullen return for no gain to the Clem 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:3593% → 93%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
93.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 16 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
93.5%
Kelly Bryant run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
50
0
93.8%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
50
0
93.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 10
50
+4
93.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 4 yds to the BC 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
92.1%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16INT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:4293% → 93%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.7%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
92.6%
Kelly Bryant run for 5 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
92.5%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
92.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 10 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
92.9%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 6
50
+5
92.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Milan Richard for 5 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
92.5%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the BC 45Similar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+3
91.9%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
92.6%
Kelly Bryant pass intercepted Lukas Denis return for 6 yds to the BC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:279% → 9%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
90.8%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 35Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 9
OWN 35
-1
90.7%
Thadd Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 34Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+33
91.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 33 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
88.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Michael Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 37Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+1
89.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the Clem 36Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 13
OPP 36
0
90.0%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
90.8%
Mike Knoll punt for 30 yds, downed at the Clem 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5891% → 90%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
91.3%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+1
91.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the Clem 10Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 6
OWN 10
-2
91.0%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Ty Schwab for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 8Similar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 8
OWN 8
+27
90.3%
Will Spiers punt for 56 yds , Michael Walker returns for 27 yds to the Clem 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19TD
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:5712% → 28%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
87.8%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the Clem 37Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
87.7%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+6
87.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 6 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+11
88.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jon Hilliman for 11 yds to the Clem 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
86.1%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the Clem 18Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
86.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 5 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+12
86.7%
AJ Dillon run for 12 yds to the Clem 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.1%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0379% → 76%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
79.4%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+2
79.0%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
77.6%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
76.2%
Will Spiers punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5025% → 26%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
75.2%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+1
73.8%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 29Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+4
74.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jon Hilliman for 4 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q3 0:10
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
73.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Hunter Renfrow at the Clem 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:0377% → 93%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
76.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 9 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 42
-2
78.7%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 40Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+4
77.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 4 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
77.8%
Kelly Bryant run for 5 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+9
77.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 9 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
78.0%
C.J. Fuller run for 12 yds to the BC 30 C.J. Fuller fumbled, forced by Kevin Bletzer, recovered by Clem Milan Richard for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
78.7%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the BC 29Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
78.2%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Milan RichardSimilar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+23
76.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Diondre Overton for 23 yds to the BC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
92.7%
Adam Choice run for 6 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 1:4611% → 11%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.6%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
88.0%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Thadd SmithSimilar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
88.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 8 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
87.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
87.0%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 41Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-5
87.5%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Marcell Lazard) to the BC 36Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
88.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 11
OWN 36
-2
88.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 52 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 4:1091% → 97%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
90.7%
Adam Choice run for 5 yds to the Clem 15Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+6
90.6%
Kelly Bryant run for 6 yds to the Clem 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
90.6%
Adam Choice run for 6 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+3
91.1%
Adam Choice run for 3 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
90.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
91.7%
Kelly Bryant run for 9 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+5
92.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
92.8%
Adam Choice run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 7
50
+50
97.3%
Travis Etienne run for 50 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:054% → 4%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
95.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
95.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+3
95.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 3 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q4 4:26
4TH & 7
OWN 27
+56
96.5%
Mike Knoll punt for 53 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for 56 yds to the BC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:3098% → 100%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
97.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 6 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+1
97.7%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the BC 17Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+13
97.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Cornell Powell for 13 yds to the BC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.9%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q4 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.5%
Kelly Bryant run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 27INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:181% → 1%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.5%
Darius Wade pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 8 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Darius Wade pass intercepted A.J. Terrell return for no gain to the BC 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
99.5%
Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+18
99.6%
Travis Etienne run for 18 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
99.6%
Travis Etienne run for 7 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
100.0%
Travis Etienne run for 10 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:250% → 0%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
100.0%
Travis Levy run for 10 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Travis Levy run for no gain to the BC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:59
Adam Choice run for 6 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)
+16.1
TD · Q3 3:30
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)
-14.5
TD · Q4 5:41
Travis Etienne run for 50 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)
+4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com