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USU

Utah State 10 at Wake Forest 46

WAKE
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGSAFETYTDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:36 · Dom Maggio punt for 39 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Pregame prior+32.5Home team on offense+2.6Score differential+1.1Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:39: John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 45 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +0.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:14: Mike Weaver 31 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +2.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:50: Arkeem Byrd run for 59 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +4.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Mike Weaver 30 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:45: Matt Colburn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 7 of 9USU made the numbers' call on 8 of 13
  1. Q1 13:11USU 4th & 12 at USU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:27USU 4th & 4 at WAKE 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    16.4%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:36WAKE 4th & 17 at WAKE 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:40USU 4th & 20 at USU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:14WAKE 4th & 1 at USU 13, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.6%−1.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−4.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:14USU 4th & 2 at WAKE 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.6%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:14USU 4th & 12 at WAKE 38, down 17
    Close callPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    12.7%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:26WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:50USU 4th & 14 at USU 31, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:34WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 39, up 26
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:35USU 4th & 5 at USU 25, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00WAKE 4th & 14 at WAKE 21, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:09USU 4th & 4 at USU 49, down 29
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:09USU 4th & 7 at USU 10, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:49WAKE 4th & 14 at USU 14, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:53USU 4th & 8 at WAKE 13, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00WAKE 4th & 1 at USU 36, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:10USU 4th & 7 at WAKE 46, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:33WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 32, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:06USU 4th & 1 at USU 42, down 36
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:14WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 17, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:02USU 4th & 10 at WAKE 34, down 36
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5USU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:11WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:39WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:50WAKE Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:45WAKE Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:37USU Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:09WAKE Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1INT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.5%
Kent Myers run for 6 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
85.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
85.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
85.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+31
85.5%
Kent Myers pass intercepted Cameron Glenn return for 16 yds to the UthSt 48 WAKE FOREST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UthSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2TD
1 play · 43 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
85.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 43 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
85.3%
Eltoro Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 23Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
85.4%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
85.4%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Eltoro AllenSimilar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
85.4%
Aaron Dalton punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Greg Dortch at the WFrst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:0285% → 86%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
85.3%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+6
85.4%
Cade Carney run for 6 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
85.4%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
85.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 15 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
85.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 45 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 1:1214% → 14%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 1 yd to the UthSt 26Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
85.8%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
85.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 11 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
85.7%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
85.7%
Kent Myers run for 5 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+8
85.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Dax Raymond for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
50
-1
85.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 49Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+7
85.7%
Kent Myers run for 7 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
85.6%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
85.6%
Aaron Dalton punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WFrst 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6PUNT
16 plays · 34 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
86.1%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the WFrst 5Similar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+4
86.1%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 9Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+5
86.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 5 yds to the WFrst 14Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+10
86.1%
John Wolford run for 10 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
86.2%
John Wolford run for 4 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-5
86.1%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 23Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+1
86.2%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 24Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+13
86.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 13 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
86.2%
John Wolford run for 4 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
86.3%
Greg Dortch run for 2 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+7
86.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
50
0
86.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 10
50
-5
86.2%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 15
OWN 45
-2
86.2%
John Wolford run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 17
OWN 43
0
86.1%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Greg Dortch, broken up by Jalen DavisSimilar
Q1 8:36
4TH & 17
OWN 43
0
86.0%
Dom Maggio punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
86.5%
Eltoro Allen run for 4 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+8
86.5%
Eltoro Allen run for 8 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
86.3%
Kent Myers pass incomplete, broken up by Essang BasseySimilar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
86.5%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-10
86.6%
Kent Myers sacked by Duke Ejiofor for a loss of 10 yards to the UthSt 20Similar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 20
OWN 20
0
86.7%
Aaron Dalton punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:0187% → 89%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
87.1%
Arkeem Byrd run for 6 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+9
87.1%
Arkeem Byrd run for 9 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
87.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 11 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
87.2%
Arkeem Byrd run for 6 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+5
87.2%
Arkeem Byrd run for 5 yds to the UthSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
87.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 5 yds to the UthSt 17Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+3
87.2%
Arkeem Byrd run for 3 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+1
87.2%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the UthSt 13Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+31
89.3%
Mike Weaver 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9PUNT
14 plays · 39 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
88.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the UthSt 24Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+9
88.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 9 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
88.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 8 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+1
87.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the UthSt 42Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
88.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
88.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
88.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 8 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
87.9%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+11
88.0%
Jacoby Wildman run for 11 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
87.7%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Jordan Nathan, broken up by Duke EjioforSimilar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-1
87.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Jaren Colston-Green for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 37Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 11
OPP 37
-1
88.2%
Kent Myers sacked by Justin Strnad for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 38Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
88.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 33 yds, downed at the WFrst 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:3590% → 91%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
89.9%
Matt Colburn run for 6 yds to the WFrst 11Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+5
90.3%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the WFrst 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
90.4%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 19Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+9
90.4%
Matt Colburn run for 9 yds to the WFrst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
90.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 20 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
90.9%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the WFrst 49Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
90.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari Hines, broken up by Jalen DavisSimilar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
91.2%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
90.8%
Dom Maggio punt for 50 yds, downed at the UthSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11SF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
91.0%
Carlos Basham Jr. SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:1292% → 96%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
91.8%
Greg Dortch run for 6 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+3
92.0%
Arkeem Byrd run for 3 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+59
96.4%
Arkeem Byrd run for 59 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
96.1%
Eltoro Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 33Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-2
96.3%
Jordan Nathan run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 31Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
96.3%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Eltoro Allen, broken up by Jaboree WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:50
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
96.3%
Aaron Dalton punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
96.7%
Cade Carney run for 7 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
96.7%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 37 Cade Carney fumbled, forced by Gasetoto Schuster,Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+2
96.7%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
96.5%
Dom Maggio punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 5 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to LaJuan HuntSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 5
OWN 25
-6
97.9%
Aaron Dalton punt for 40 yds , Greg Dortch returns for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 1:1398% → 99%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
97.5%
John Wolford run for 17 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Chuck WadeSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+23
97.6%
Matt Colburn run for 23 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
97.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Greg Dortch, broken up by Jalen DavisSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-10
97.7%
Wolford, J rush quarterback scramble for 6 yards to the USU25, out-of-bounds (TOBECK, Mason), PENALTY WF holding (Herron, J) 10 yards to the USU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 20
OPP 41
+7
97.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 7 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 13
OPP 34
+22
97.1%
Matt Colburn run for 22 yds to the UthSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
97.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
97.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis, broken up by Ja'Marcus IngramSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+30
98.9%
Mike Weaver 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Greg Dortch, broken up by Cameron HaneySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.9%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the WFrst 26Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
98.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 21Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
98.8%
Dom Maggio punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the UthSt 44Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
99.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 5 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
98.9%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Eltoro AllenSimilar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+75
99.0%
Kent Myers punt for 29 yds , Jessie Bates III returns for 75 yds to the WAKEFOREST -24 UTAH ST Penalty, face mask (2 yards) (Ron'quavion Tarver) to the UthSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:081% → 1%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.3%
Eltoro Allen run for 1 yd to the UthSt 25Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-2
99.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 23Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+77
99.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 77 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 1:2899% → 100%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+34
99.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 34 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+37
99.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 37 yds to the UthSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.3%
Arkeem Byrd run for 3 yds to the UthSt 18Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
99.3%
Arkeem Byrd run for no gain to the UthSt 18Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
99.5%
John Wolford run for 18 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
99.5%
Eltoro Allen run for 3 yds to the UthSt 10Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 7
OWN 10
0
99.5%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Eltoro Allen, broken up by Demetrius KempSimilar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 7
OWN 10
0
99.5%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Carson Terrell, broken up by Essang BasseySimilar
Q3 9:09
4TH & 7
OWN 10
-5
99.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 54 yds , Greg Dortch returns for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:14100% → 100%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.5%
Arkeem Byrd run for 3 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+4
99.5%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Arkeem Byrd for 4 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+4
99.5%
Kendall Hinton run for 4 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.5%
Kendall Hinton run for no gain to the WFrst 42Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+40
99.5%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tabari Hines for 40 yds to the UthSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.5%
Kendall Hinton run for 4 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-10
99.5%
Byrd, A rush draw play for 1 yard to the USU13 (ANDERSON, Devon), PENALTY WF holding (Osterhage, P) 10 yards to the USU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 16
OPP 24
+4
99.5%
Kendall Hinton run for 4 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 12
OPP 20
+15
99.5%
Hinton, K deep pass incomplete to Lewis, C, PENALTY USU pass interference (BAILEY, Wesley) 15 yards to the USU5, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.5%
Arkeem Byrd run for no gain to the UthSt 5Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.6%
Arkeem Byrd run for no gain to the UthSt 5Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-9
99.5%
Kendall Hinton sacked by Ian Togiai for a loss of 9 yards to the UthSt 14Similar
Q3 2:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
99.7%
Mike Weaver 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24FG
7 plays · 66 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Eltoro Allen pass incomplete to Jordan NathanSimilar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+64
99.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 64 yds to the WFrst 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
99.7%
Eltoro Allen run for 1 yd to the WFrst 14Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+1
99.7%
Justen Hervey run for 1 yd to the WFrst 13Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
99.7%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Justen HerveySimilar
Q3 0:53
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
99.8%
Dominik Eberle 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.7%
Arkeem Byrd run for 1 yd to the WFrst 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+6
99.7%
Arkeem Byrd run for 6 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+12
99.8%
Kendall Hinton run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (Mohelika Uasike) to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.8%
Arkeem Byrd run for 4 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
99.8%
Kendall Hinton run for 4 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+2
99.8%
Arkeem Byrd run for 2 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
99.8%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tabari Hines for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+10
99.8%
Arkeem Byrd run for 10 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+1
99.8%
Arkeem Byrd run for 1 yd to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 36
-1
99.8%
Arkeem Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Eltoro Allen run for 1 yd to the UthSt 38Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+13
99.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 13 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jaren Colston-GreenSimilar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Eltoro Allen run for 3 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Braelon RobertsSimilar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Aaron Dalton punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WFrst 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.9%
Isaiah Robinson run for 4 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-3
99.9%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 14Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+13
99.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Steven Claude for 13 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Isaiah Robinson run for 3 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Kendall Hinton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 5
OWN 32
+20
99.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 55 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 20 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Eltoro Allen run for 1 yd to the UthSt 34Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Carson Terrell for 6 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Eltoro Allen run for 2 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Aaron Dalton punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
99.9%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 10Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+2
99.9%
Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds to the WFrst 12Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+5
99.9%
Isaiah Robinson run for 5 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 4
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Dom Maggio puntSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 30DOWNS
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
100.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 13 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.9%
Eltoro Allen run for 3 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion Tarver, broken up by Cedric JilesSimilar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 7
OPP 31
-3
100.0%
Eltoro Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 34Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Braelon RobertsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:50
Arkeem Byrd run for 59 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
+4.4
FG · Q2 14:14
Mike Weaver 31 yd FG GOOD
+2
FG · Q2 0:00
Mike Weaver 30 yd FG GOOD
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com