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VT

Virginia Tech 64 at East Carolina 17

ECU
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:50 · Derrell Scott run for 1 yd to the VTech 39 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 168Pregame prior−15.5Home team on offense−50.8Score differential−40.7Garbage-time factor−18.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:11: Cam Phillips 10 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Joey Slye Kick) — VT win probability +2.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:43: Joey Slye 37 Yd Field Goal — VT win probability +2.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:53: Cam Phillips 31 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — VT win probability +3.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:54: Travon McMillian 70 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Joey Slye Kick) — VT win probability +5.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:46: Cam Phillips 45 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Joey Slye Kick) — VT win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 6:20VT 4th & 2 at VT 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:34ECU 4th & 6 at VT 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:01ECU 4th & 1 at ECU 34, up 3
    Close callPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:36VT 4th & 5 at ECU 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    81.0%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:47ECU 4th & 12 at ECU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:07VT 4th & 6 at ECU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:43VT 4th & 2 at ECU 20, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.9%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−3.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:04ECU 4th & 16 at ECU 19, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:59ECU 4th & 8 at VT 30, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:29ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 30, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:50ECU 4th & 1 at VT 40, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:37ECU 4th & 10 at VT 39, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:27VT 4th & 7 at VT 24, up 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:01ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 25, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:20VT 4th & 2 at ECU 44, up 47
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2VT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:53ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:44VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:55ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:11VT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:53VT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:54VT Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:46VT Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:54VT Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:40VT Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:50VT Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:025% → 6%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Tyshon DyeSimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
5.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 9 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
5.2%
Tyshon Dye run for 4 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
5.3%
Tyshon Dye run for 3 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+41
5.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Stephen Baggett for 41 yds to the VTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
5.7%
Minshew, Gardner pass incomplete to Johnson, Quay, PENALTY VATECH holding 9 yards to the VATECH9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTCRLINA.Similar
Q1 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
5.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Duce FullerSimilar
Q1 12:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
5.9%
Davon Grayson 9 Yd pass from Gardner Minshew (Jake Verity Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2TD
13 plays · 84 yds · 4:0494% → 93%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
5.9%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+1
6.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 1 yd to the VTech 21Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+34
6.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to James Clark for 34 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
6.4%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+8
6.5%
James Clark run for 8 yds to the ECaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
6.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 9 yds to the ECaro 23Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+5
6.7%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the ECaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
6.9%
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds to the ECaro 12Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+4
7.0%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the ECaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
7.2%
Steven Peoples run for 6 yds to the ECaro 2Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
7.3%
Steven Peoples run for 1 yd to the ECaro 1Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.8%
Steven Peoples 1 Yd Run (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:397% → 8%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
7.1%
Tyshon Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 24Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+76
8.1%
Trevon Brown 76 Yd pass from Gardner Minshew (Jake Verity Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:2792% → 91%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
8.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 16 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
8.2%
Travon McMillian run for 7 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+1
8.3%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the VTech 49Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
8.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
8.8%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:349% → 12%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
9.1%
Hussein Howe run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 19Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+20
9.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 20 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+27
9.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Quay Johnson for 27 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
10.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Hussein HoweSimilar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
10.6%
Tyshon Dye run for no gain to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+13
10.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 13 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
11.2%
Hussein Howe run for 5 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 5
OPP 16
-1
11.6%
Hussein Howe run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 17Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
11.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Stephen BaggettSimilar
Q1 2:34
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
11.7%
Jake Verity 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6TD
15 plays · 79 yds · 4:0688% → 89%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
11.9%
C.J. Carroll run for 5 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+9
11.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 9 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
12.1%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to C.J. CarrollSimilar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
12.4%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+13
12.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Henri Murphy for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
50
+5
12.4%
Steven Peoples run for 5 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
12.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+14
13.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dalton Keene for 14 yds to the ECaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
12.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the ECaro 23Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+10
13.0%
Deshawn McClease run for 10 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
12.9%
Sean Savoy run for 1 yd to the ECaro 12Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+2
13.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the ECaro 10Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
11.5%
Cam Phillips 10 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:5912% → 13%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.4%
Tyshon Dye run for no gain to the ECaro 25Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
12.6%
Tyshon Dye run for 9 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
13.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Anthony WatleySimilar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
12.7%
Austin Barnes punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:2087% → 87%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
12.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 10 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
12.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+17
12.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 17 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
12.7%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to James ClarkSimilar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+12
12.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 12 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
12.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 7 yds to the ECaro 18Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+5
12.7%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
12.9%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the ECaro 11Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+4
13.1%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the ECaro 7Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 4
OPP 7
-1
13.8%
Josh Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 8Similar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
13.1%
Joey Slye 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:3715% → 14%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
14.9%
Darius Pinnix run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 23Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
15.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
14.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Quay JohnsonSimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+5
14.3%
Austin Barnes punt for 51 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 5 yds to the VTech 31 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the VTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10FG
16 plays · 62 yds · 5:3086% → 85%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
13.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+16
14.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 16 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
13.6%
Josh Jackson run for 7 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+2
13.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
13.9%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Demage Bailey) to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
13.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+13
14.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 13 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-9
13.9%
James Clark run for a loss of 9 yards to the ECaro 39Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 19
OPP 39
-11
15.5%
Josh Jackson sacked by Tyree Owens for a loss of 11 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 30
50
+15
16.4%
Jackson, Josh pass incomplete to Murphy, Henri, PENALTY EASTCRLINA pass interference (Sutton, Devon) 15 yards to the EASTCRLINA35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
14.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 14 yds to the ECaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
14.7%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Hezekiah GrimsleySimilar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
14.9%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+4
15.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 4 yds to the ECaro 17Similar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
15.1%
Joey Slye 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11INT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:1316% → 16%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
15.6%
Gardner Minshew sacked by Trevon Hill for a loss of 9 yards to the ECaro 16Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+10
15.7%
Gardner Minshew pass intercepted Greg Stroman return for 10 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5786% → 88%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
13.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
14.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 3 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+5
14.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 5 yds to the ECaro 20Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+37
12.1%
Joey Slye 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:2514% → 15%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
14.4%
Tyshon Dye run for 5 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
15.6%
Tyshon Dye run for 4 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 1
OWN 43
-10
15.1%
Gardner Minshew sacked by Andrew Motuapuaka for a loss of 10 yards to the ECaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0187% → 91%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
13.4%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 14:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
13.1%
Travon McMillian run for 13 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
12.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 4 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+19
12.9%
Travon McMillian run for 19 yds to the ECaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
12.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+31
9.0%
Cam Phillips 31 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:3710% → 10%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
10.0%
Tyshon Dye run for 4 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
10.3%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
9.9%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (John Spellacy) to the ECaro 24Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
9.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Quay JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-5
9.6%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 19Similar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+2
9.7%
Austin Barnes punt for 43 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 2 yds to the VTech 21 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the VTech 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
4.2%
Travon McMillian 70 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17MISSED FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 1:406% → 7%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
5.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 23Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
5.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+45
6.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Tyshon Dye for 30 yds to the EASTCRLINA 47 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
6.9%
Tyshon Dye run for 2 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
7.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
6.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Hussein HoweSimilar
Q3 9:59
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+47
6.5%
Jake Verity 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tim SettleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:5596% → 99%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
4.1%
Jalen Holston run for 6 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+7
3.8%
Jalen Holston run for 7 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
3.8%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+7
3.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 7 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
3.7%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
1.2%
Cam Phillips 45 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:091% → 1%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Hussein HoweSimilar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
1.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Hussein Howe for 7 yds Hussein Howe fumbled, forced by Terrell Edmunds, recovered by VTech Andrew MotuapuakaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 1:2299% → 99%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
1.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 7 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+15
1.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Deshawn McClease for 15 yds to the ECaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
1.0%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the ECaro 9Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.6%
Sean Savoy 9 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:581% → 1%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.0%
Darius Pinnix run for 6 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
1.0%
Darius Pinnix run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 30Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
0.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy Williams EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+3
0.9%
Austin Barnes punt for 35 yds , C.J. Carroll returns for 3 yds to the VTech 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:3699% → 100%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+34
0.6%
AJ Bush run for 34 yds to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
0.5%
AJ Bush pass complete to Henri Murphy for 16 yds to the ECaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
0.5%
Jalen Holston run for 6 yds to the ECaro 6Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+4
0.4%
Jalen Holston run for 4 yds to the ECaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.4%
AJ Bush run for 1 yd to the ECaro 1Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.4%
Jalen Holston run for no gain to the ECaro 1Similar
Q3 0:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.4%
Jalen Holston 1 Yd Run (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23DOWNS
13 plays · 36 yds · 2:310% → 0%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.3%
Tyshon Dye run for 1 yd to the ECaro 26Similar
Q3 0:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
0.3%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 0:02
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
0.3%
Minshew, Gardner pass incomplete to Grayson, Davon, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Facyson, Brandon) 15 yards to the EASTCRLINA41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTCRLINA.Similar
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
0.3%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 36Similar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+3
0.3%
Derrell Scott run for 3 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+11
0.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Malik Gray for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 1
50
+1
0.3%
Derrell Scott run for 1 yd to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
0.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 5
OPP 44
+4
0.3%
Derrell Scott run for 4 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
0.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
0.2%
Derrell Scott run for no gain to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 12:50
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+1
0.2%
Derrell Scott run for 1 yd to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
0.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Quay JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
0.2%
Derrell Scott run for no gain to the VTech 39Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
0.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Tahj DeansSimilar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
0.2%
Austin Barnes punt for 30 yds, fair catch by C.J. Carroll at the VTech 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:03100% → 100%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
0.3%
Jalen Holston run for no gain to the VTech 9Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+9
0.3%
AJ Bush run for 9 yds to the VTech 18Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+3
0.3%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
0.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 16Similar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 15
OWN 16
0
0.3%
AJ Bush pass incomplete to Hezekiah GrimsleySimilar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+10
0.3%
Jalen Holston run for 10 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 5
OWN 26
-2
0.2%
AJ Bush run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 24Similar
Q4 8:27
4TH & 7
OWN 24
+41
0.2%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 41 yds , Quay Johnson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 26FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
0.2%
Reid Herring run for 1 yd to the ECaro 35Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 9
OWN 35
-1
0.1%
Darius Pinnix run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 34 Darius Pinnix fumbled, forced by Khalil Ladler, recovered by VTech Jarrod HewittSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27TD
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:41100% → 100%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+24
0.2%
AJ Bush run for 24 yds to the ECaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
0.2%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ECaro 5Similar
Q4 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
Coleman Fox 5 Yd Run (Brian Johnson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
0.1%
Derrell Scott run for 9 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 1
OWN 28
-1
0.1%
Derrell Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 27Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 2
OWN 27
-2
0.1%
Derrell Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 25Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Austin Barnes punt for 39 yds, fair catch by C.J. Carroll at the VTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 29END OF GAME
9 plays · 24 yds · 4:32100% → 100%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
0.2%
Coleman Fox run for 7 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-1
0.2%
Coleman Fox run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 42Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+6
0.2%
Coleman Fox run for 6 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
0.1%
Coleman Fox run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 8
50
+4
0.1%
Coleman Fox run for 4 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+2
0.1%
Coleman Fox run for 2 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+9
0.1%
Coleman Fox run for 9 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 37Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 12
OPP 37
-3
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:54
Travon McMillian 70 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Joey Slye Kick)
-5.5
TD · Q3 12:53
Cam Phillips 31 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-3.7
TD · Q3 7:46
Cam Phillips 45 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Joey Slye Kick)
-2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com