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CONN

UConn 18 at Virginia 38

UVA
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:52 · Brett Graham punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Home team on offense−0.3Pregame prior+27.8Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:06: Daniel Hamm run for 3 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK) — UVA win probability +2.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:29: Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 42 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK) — UVA win probability +8.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:31: Jordan Ellis run for 7 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK) — UVA win probability +4.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:50: Hergy Mayala 60 Yd pass from Bryant Shirreffs (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — CONN win probability +0.9 pts (now 1%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:58: Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 17 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CONN win probability +3.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 2 of 4CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 11:52CONN 4th & 3 at UVA 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:17UVA 4th & 6 at CONN 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    74.9%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    74.7%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:13UVA 4th & 8 at CONN 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−3.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:52CONN 4th & 3 at UVA 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−0.8
    51% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:19CONN 4th & 9 at UVA 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:31UVA 4th & 2 at CONN 18, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.6%−0.2
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    89.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−4.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:10CONN 4th & 7 at UVA 11, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:03UVA 4th & 11 at CONN 31, up 25
    Close callWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:59CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 49, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CONN made the numbers' call on 0 of 3
  1. Q1 2:06UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:29UVA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:31UVA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:24UVA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:50CONN Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:58CONN Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:02UVA Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:06CONN Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:5921% → 22%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
79.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 8 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
79.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for no gain to the UConn 36Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
79.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Virg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
78.8%
Nate Hopkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 49Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+5
78.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+4
78.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 4 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
78.3%
Brett Graham punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2TD
19 plays · 88 yds · 9:4078% → 80%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
78.4%
Daniel Hamm run for 6 yds to the Virg 18Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+6
78.2%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Warren Craft for 6 yds to the Virg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
78.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Joe Reed for 1 yd to the Virg 25Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+4
77.9%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 4 yds to the Virg 29Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+9
77.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 9 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
77.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Chris Sharp for no gain to the Virg 38Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
77.7%
Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+6
77.6%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
50
-15
77.6%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the Virg 35Similar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 25
OWN 35
+15
76.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Warren Craft for 15 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 10
50
+12
77.3%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 12 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
77.4%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Daniel Hamm for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 11
OPP 39
0
77.2%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Warren CraftSimilar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+5
76.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Warren Craft for 5 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q1 4:17
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+11
76.4%
Kurt Benkert run for 11 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
77.2%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 5 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+6
77.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 6 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
77.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 9 yds to the UConn 3Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
79.8%
Daniel Hamm run for 3 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:2723% → 23%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
77.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 11 yds to the Virg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
77.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Alec BloomSimilar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+18
77.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass intercepted Brenton Nelson return for 18 yds to the Virg 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:4579% → 79%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
79.0%
Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Virg 23Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 6
OWN 23
-8
79.0%
Kurt Benkert sacked by Cole Ormsby for a loss of 8 yards to the Virg 15 Kurt Benkert fumbled, recovered by VirgSimilar
Q1 0:14
3RD & 14
OWN 15
+6
78.5%
Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the Virg 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5PUNT
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
78.9%
Lester Coleman punt for 51 yds , Jordan Swann returns for 8 yds to the UConn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:0022% → 23%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
78.2%
Keyion Dixon run for 4 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+39
77.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 39 yds to the Virg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
76.7%
Nate Hopkins run for 7 yds to the Virg 14Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+2
76.6%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 13 yds to the Virg 3 Bryant Shirreffs fumbled, recovered by Virg Micah Kiser , return for 2 yds to the Virg 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7FG
12 plays · 87 yds · 4:3179% → 80%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
78.8%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 6Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+9
78.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 9 yds to the Virg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
78.8%
Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Virg 19Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
78.8%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to C.J. StalkerSimilar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+27
78.3%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 27 yds Doni Dowling fumbled, recovered by Virg Evan Butts for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
79.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 14 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
80.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Joe Reed for 15 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
80.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 13 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
80.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
80.4%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
79.9%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Evan ButtsSimilar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
80.3%
A.J. Mejia 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:0320% → 20%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.5%
Quayvon Skanes run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
80.6%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 13 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
79.8%
Nate Hopkins run for 2 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+20
79.6%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Andrew Brown) to the Virg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
79.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 6 yds to the Virg 33Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+2
78.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 2
OPP 31
-1
79.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 32Similar
Q2 4:52
4TH & 3
OPP 32
-1
80.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:1881% → 90%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+25
81.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 25 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
89.6%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 42 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:0712% → 12%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
87.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Quayvon SkanesSimilar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+37
87.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 37 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
86.8%
Jason Thompson run for 2 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-1
86.8%
Nate Hopkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 37Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
87.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for no gain to the Virg 37Similar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 9
OPP 37
-10
88.2%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Micah Kiser for a loss of 10 yards to the Virg 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 1:3390% → 95%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+27
90.3%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 27 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
90.6%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
90.7%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+5
90.5%
Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+11
90.2%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 11 yds to the UConn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
95.4%
Jordan Ellis run for 7 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
93.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13INT
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:4595% → 96%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.0%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 27Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+34
95.2%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 34 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
95.5%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to De'Vante Cross for 8 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+2
95.5%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
95.7%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+7
95.8%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 7 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
96.0%
Kurt Benkert pass intercepted, touchback. Tyler Coyle return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:305% → 4%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
95.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 14 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
95.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
95.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+5
95.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 5 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
95.8%
Nate Hopkins run for 3 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+23
96.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 23 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
95.5%
Nate Hopkins run for 3 yds to the Virg 26Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
94.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-2
95.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 28Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+15
95.8%
Shirreffs, Bryant pass incomplete to Bell, Tre, PENALTY VIRGINIA pass interference 15 yards to the VIRGINIA13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCONN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:405% → 3%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
95.3%
Nate Hopkins run for 2 yds to the Virg 11Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+2
95.3%
Nate Hopkins run for 2 yds to the Virg 9Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-1
96.0%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Micah Kiser for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 10Similar
Q3 6:10
4TH & 7
OPP 11
0
96.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 4:3098% → 100%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
98.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 5 yds to the Virg 16Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+4
98.2%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 4 yds to the Virg 20Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+3
98.2%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
98.7%
Jordan Ellis run for 7 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+9
98.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 9 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+39
98.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 39 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-15
98.9%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the UConn 37Similar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 25
OPP 37
0
98.9%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni DowlingSimilar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 25
OPP 37
+7
99.0%
Daniel Hamm run for 7 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 18
OPP 30
+30
99.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 30 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 0:100% → 1%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
99.8%
Donovan Williams run for 13 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
98.9%
Hergy Mayala 60 Yd pass from Bryant Shirreffs (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 46 yds · 3:3699% → 100%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.4%
Daniel Hamm run for 3 yds to the Virg 35Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Kurt Benkert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:02
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+7
99.5%
Kurt Benkert run for 7 yds to the Virg 42 Doni Dowling fumbled, forced by Tre Bell, recovered by Virg for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.6%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 6 yds to the Virg 48Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
99.6%
Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Virg 48Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+22
99.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 22 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.7%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Jordan EllisSimilar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.7%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-10
99.7%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 20
OPP 40
+9
99.5%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 9 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+9
99.5%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 9 yds to the UConn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 4:462% → 4%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
98.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 18 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
98.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
97.9%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
99.1%
Nate Hopkins run for 1 yd to the UConn 49Similar
Q4 9:59
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+9
99.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 9 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Nate Hopkins for 5 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+6
99.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 6 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 6 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+2
99.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the Virg 23Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+3
99.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the Virg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
99.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 22Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 12
OPP 22
0
99.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Keyion DixonSimilar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+5
99.3%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Virg 17Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+17
96.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 17 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2599% → 100%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 27Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+73
99.8%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 73 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 3:520% → 1%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
99.9%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 8Similar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+4
99.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+7
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 7 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+4
99.9%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (4 Yards) to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
99.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 9 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 2 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 11 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
99.9%
Nate Hopkins run for 17 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 5 yds to the Virg 33Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+30
99.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 30 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22Uncategorized
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.8%
Jordan Ellis run for 20 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.8%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 48Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Virg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:29
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 42 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)
+8.5
TD · Q2 0:31
Jordan Ellis run for 7 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)
+4.8
TD · Q4 6:58
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 17 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com