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CMU

Central Michigan 17 at Syracuse 41

SYR
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Jack Sheldon punt for 53 yds, downed at the Syrac 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Pregame prior+5.9Home team on offense+28.4Score differential+19.6Garbage-time factor+7.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:52: Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 17 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK) — CMU win probability +12.1 pts (now 46%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:20: Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 18 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +10.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:09: Dontae Strickland run for 9 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +9.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:12: Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +8.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:25: Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 6 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +7.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 7 of 10CMU made the numbers' call on 12 of 13
  1. Q1 12:14SYR 4th & 3 at CMU 23, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.1%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:14CMU 4th & 6 at CMU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:39SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:32CMU 4th & 20 at CMU 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:33CMU 4th & 8 at SYR 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:33SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:46SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:15SYR 4th & 1 at CMU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    54.4%−2.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−7.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:29CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−1.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:01SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−1.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00CMU 4th & 17 at SYR 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    25.3%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:12CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 43, down 14
    Close callPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:14CMU 4th & 12 at CMU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−2.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:25CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:48SYR 4th & 7 at CMU 7, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−2.3
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:48CMU 4th & 9 at CMU 36, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  18. Q3 1:58SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 32, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 15:00CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 14:12SYR 4th & 8 at midfield, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:45CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 37, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:37SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 26, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 4:13CMU 4th & 1 at SYR 37, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:24CMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:23SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:52CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:20SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:09SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:12SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:25SYR Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1FG
10 plays · 35 yds · 2:4673% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
73.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+5
73.0%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+4
73.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
73.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 17 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
73.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the CMich 40Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+3
73.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 3 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 37
0
73.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 37
+14
73.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 14 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+41
72.8%
Cole Murphy 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
72.7%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark Chapman, broken up by Scoop BradshawSimilar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
72.7%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the CMich 36Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+3
72.8%
Shane Morris run for 3 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+8
72.8%
Jack Sheldon punt for 53 yds , Sean Riley returns for 8 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
72.5%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+3
72.5%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+10
72.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 10 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
72.5%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
72.7%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
72.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q1 10:39
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
72.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
72.4%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 18Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-2
72.5%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 10 Team fumbled, recovered by CMich Shane MorrisSimilar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 20
OWN 10
0
72.7%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Logan HessbrookSimilar
Q1 8:32
4TH & 20
OWN 10
+3
72.8%
Jack Sheldon punt for 45 yds , Sean Riley returns for 3 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
72.6%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+7
72.5%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
72.6%
Markenzy Pierre run for no gain to the CMich 42 Markenzy Pierre fumbled, forced by D'Andre Dill, recovered by CMich Mitch StanitzekSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:4428% → 31%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
71.6%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
71.6%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Eric CooperSimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+56
69.3%
Shane Morris pass complete to Cameron Cole for 56 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
69.4%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
69.4%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted Alex Briones return for no gain to the Syrac 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:1732% → 35%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
68.3%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 8 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+6
68.3%
Jonathan Ward run for 6 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
68.3%
Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the Syrac 12Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
68.3%
Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the Syrac 12Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
68.6%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Logan HessbrookSimilar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+30
64.9%
Michael Armstrong 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
65.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, illegal motion (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
65.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+6
65.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
65.3%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
64.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Amari Coleman at the CMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+24
69.5%
Shane Morris pass intercepted for a TD Evan Foster return for 24 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2331% → 30%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
69.3%
Devon Spalding run for 9 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 1
OWN 23
-2
68.8%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
69.3%
Shane Morris pass incomplete, broken up by Parris BennettSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
69.7%
Jack Sheldon punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
69.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 6 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+2
69.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+2
69.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
69.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
69.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+9
69.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
70.6%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 5
OWN 45
0
71.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
71.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+2
70.4%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
69.8%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Amari Coleman at the CMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 4:0332% → 46%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
68.2%
Devon Spalding run for 3 yds to the CMich 12Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+7
68.2%
Jonathan Ward run for 7 yds to the CMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
67.9%
Jonathan Ward run for 5 yds to the CMich 24Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+5
67.6%
Jonathan Ward run for 5 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
67.6%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the CMich 24Similar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+8
68.0%
Jonathan Ward run for 8 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+19
67.4%
Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for 19 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
66.1%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+12
66.3%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 12 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
66.1%
Romello Ross run for 1 yd to the Syrac 36Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+19
66.1%
Shane Morris pass complete to Logan Hessbrook for 19 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
54.1%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 17 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14TD
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:3261% → 71%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-4
61.0%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 36Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 14
OPP 36
+13
58.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 13 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
60.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for no gain to the CMich 23Similar
Q2 6:15
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+2
58.1%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the CMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
60.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the CMich 18Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
70.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 18 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15INT
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:0535% → 38%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
65.2%
Shane Morris pass complete to Cameron Cole for 13 yds to the CMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
64.8%
Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 20Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+15
65.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
64.1%
Shane Morris pass complete to Damon Terry for 24 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
62.2%
Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for 2 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+23
62.1%
Shane Morris pass intercepted Christopher Fredrick return for 23 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 0:5671% → 80%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
70.9%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+44
70.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 44 yds to the CMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
79.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 9 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:4022% → 21%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
77.9%
Shane Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-3
78.1%
Berkley Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 18Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+3
78.6%
Shane Morris pass complete to Devon Spalding for 3 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
78.7%
Jack Sheldon punt for 64 yds, downed at the Syrac 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:1478% → 77%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
78.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+1
77.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 16Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+2
78.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
77.3%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
77.9%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Logan HessbrookSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
78.3%
Devon Spalding run for 9 yds to the CMich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.6%
Shane Morris pass complete to Cameron Cole for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+40
74.8%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 40 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-7
71.7%
Shane Morris run for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 36
0
74.3%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Jonathan WardSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 36
0
75.4%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Jonathan WardSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 17
OPP 36
0
76.5%
Jack Sheldon punt for 26 yds, downed at the Syrac 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 1:0477% → 87%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
76.6%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+71
76.4%
Moe Neal run for 71 yds to the CMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
78.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the CMich 18Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+17
78.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 17 yds to the CMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.3%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.6%
Shane Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.7%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 9 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
84.8%
Jonathan Ward run for 1 yd to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
85.0%
Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the CMich 35Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
85.2%
Shane Morris pass incomplete, broken up by Jordan MartinSimilar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+8
85.9%
Shane Morris pass complete to Devon Spalding for 8 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+9
85.1%
Jack Sheldon punt for 47 yds , Sean Riley returns for 9 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23FUMBLE
8 plays · 81 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
87.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+5
87.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 1
OWN 28
-13
87.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
87.7%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
87.8%
Eric Dungey run for 11 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
88.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 6 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+2
88.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+29
87.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 29 yds Steve Ishmael fumbled, forced by Sean Bunting, recovered by CMich Nate Brisson-FastSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
87.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
86.5%
Jakkar Jackson pass complete to Jonathan Ward for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 33Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
87.3%
Shane Morris pass incomplete CENTRAL MICH Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
87.5%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark Chapman, broken up by Chris SlaytonSimilar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
87.8%
Jack Sheldon punt for 47 yds, downed at the Syrac 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:3190% → 97%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+74
89.6%
Eric Dungey run for 74 yds to the CMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 6 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.0%
Shane Morris run for 3 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
95.9%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
96.1%
Shane Morris pass incomplete, broken up by Christopher FredrickSimilar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+3
96.1%
Jack Sheldon punt for 37 yds , Sean Avant returns for 3 yds to the Syrac 31 SYRACUSE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Syrac 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27FG
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:4697% → 98%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+41
96.7%
Sean Riley run for 41 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+22
96.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 22 yds to the CMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.9%
Sean Riley run for no gain to the CMich 9Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete, broken up by Josh CoxSimilar
Q3 4:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
96.8%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the CMich 7Similar
Q3 2:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
97.8%
Cole Murphy 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
97.3%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 1 yd to the CMich 36Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
97.3%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
97.4%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
97.5%
Jack Sheldon punt for 49 yds, downed at the Syrac 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
98.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+11
98.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 11 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
98.1%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+4
98.1%
Markenzy Pierre run for 4 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
98.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q3 1:58
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
98.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Amari Coleman at the CMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:122% → 2%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.3%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the CMich 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
98.3%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 2 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
98.3%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Logan Hessbrook, broken up by Juwan DowelsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.3%
Jack Sheldon punt for 53 yds, downed at the Syrac 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 31PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-7
98.5%
Sean Riley run for 5 yds to the Syrac 24 SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (-12 Yards) to the Syrac 12Similar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 17
OWN 12
+1
98.4%
Tyrone Perkins run for 1 yd to the Syrac 13Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 16
OWN 13
+9
98.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 9 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+5
98.5%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+21
98.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 21 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
98.6%
Tyrone Perkins run for 1 yd to the Syrac 49Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+1
98.6%
Sean Riley run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 8
50
0
98.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 8
50
0
98.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 32FUMBLE
11 plays · 80 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.8%
Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for 2 yds to the CMich 22Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
98.8%
Romello Ross run for 4 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
98.8%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 5 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
98.7%
Romello Ross run for 6 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 4
OWN 37
0
98.7%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Damon TerrySimilar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
98.8%
Romello Ross run for no gain to the CMich 37Similar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+9
98.8%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 9 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.7%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Darwyn KellySimilar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+24
98.7%
Shane Morris pass complete to Romello Ross for 9 yds to the SYRACUSE 45 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+24
98.6%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 17 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (7 Yards) to the Syrac 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
98.5%
Romello Ross run for 5 yds Romello Ross fumbled, forced by Austin Valdez, recovered by Syrac Scoop BradshawSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 33PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.2%
Zack Mahoney run for 3 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
99.2%
Markenzy Pierre run for 4 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-1
99.2%
Markenzy Pierre run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 6:37
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
99.1%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 55 yds, downed at the CMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 34DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
99.4%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 12 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
99.4%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 12 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
99.4%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 11 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
99.4%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 8 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 2
OPP 38
0
99.3%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for no gain to the Syrac 38Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+1
99.3%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 1 yd to the Syrac 37Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
99.4%
Tony Poljan run for no gain to the Syrac 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 35END OF GAME
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.6%
Markenzy Pierre run for 5 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
99.6%
Markenzy Pierre run for 3 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:52
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 17 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK)
-12.1
TD · Q2 5:20
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 18 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
+10.4
TD · Q2 2:09
Dontae Strickland run for 9 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com