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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 30 at Syracuse 23

SYR
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4SAFETYFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:46 · Brent Stockstill pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Pregame prior+12.2Home team on offense+1.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 6:10: Cole Murphy 40 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +7.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:38: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 28 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +16.9 pts (now 44%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:53: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 48 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +23.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:07: Eric Dungey run for 29 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +28.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:46: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 10 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +30.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 11 of 13MTSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00MTSU 4th & 9 at SYR 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:24SYR 4th & 15 at SYR 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:34MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 16, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:59SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 41, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:04SYR 4th & 7 at MTSU 7, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:43SYR 4th & 21 at SYR 47, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:49SYR 4th & 1 at MTSU 1, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    59.4%−2.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−7.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:49MTSU 4th & 4 at MTSU 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:11SYR 4th & 1 at MTSU 8, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    68.1%−1.0
    90% to make
    Punt
    65.7%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:02MTSU 4th & 12 at MTSU 6, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−1.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:54SYR 4th & 4 at MTSU 4, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.0%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    63.3%−5.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:48MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 43, down 4
    Close callPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:46MTSU 4th & 4 at SYR 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−0.9
    49% to make
    Punt
    30.3%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:10SYR 4th & 9 at MTSU 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−7.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:10MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:21SYR 4th & 1 at MTSU 22, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.5%−3.7
    72% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−14.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:53SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.3%−4.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:57MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:15SYR 4th & 2 at MTSU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.8%−5.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−6.0
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:33SYR 4th & 15 at MTSU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.7%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−1.6
    38% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 14:41MTSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:49SYR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:38MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:53MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:07SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:46MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Jonathan ThomasSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
74.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 15 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
74.8%
Ty Lee run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+11
74.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 11 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
74.8%
Ty Lee run for 2 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
74.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 46
-3
74.8%
Brent Stockstill run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 47 Brent Stockstill fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Brent StockstillSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
74.8%
Brent Stockstill punt for 37 yds, downed at the Syrac 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
74.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
74.3%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 6
OWN 14
-9
74.2%
Eric Dungey sacked by D.J. Sanders for a loss of 9 yards to the Syrac 5Similar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 15
OWN 5
+6
74.1%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 44 yds , Richie James returns for 6 yds to the MTnSt 11 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (20 Yards) to the MTnSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 47 yds · 0:0026% → 27%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
73.8%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Scoop Bradshaw for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+16
73.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 16 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
73.6%
Ty Lee run for 3 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
73.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 3 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+10
73.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
73.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 8 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+5
73.5%
Brad Anderson run for 5 yds to the Syrac 16 Brad Anderson fumbled, forced by Evan Foster, recovered by Syrac Parris BennettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4SF
4 plays · -16 yds · 1:0773% → 72%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
73.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
73.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve Ishmael, broken up by Mike Minter Jr.Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 7
OWN 19
-6
73.1%
Eric Dungey sacked by Walter Brady for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 13Similar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 13
OWN 13
-13
72.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
72.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+1
72.6%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 9
OWN 17
-1
72.8%
Brent Stockstill run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
73.0%
Matt Bonadies punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
72.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 4 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-10
72.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 16
OWN 36
0
72.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete, broken up by Jahmal JonesSimilar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 16
OWN 36
+5
71.7%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
71.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 43 yds, downed at the MTnSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
71.7%
Ty Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+15
71.8%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Jonathan Thomas return for 15 yds to the MTnSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8FG
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1673% → 74%
Q1 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
72.9%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 6Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
72.9%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
72.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q1 3:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
73.9%
Cole Murphy 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · -23 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-8
71.6%
Brent Stockstill run for a loss of 8 yards to the MTnSt 42 Brent Stockstill fumbled, forced by Chris Slayton, recovered by Syrac Brandon BerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:0075% → 73%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
74.5%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
74.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete, broken up by Darius HarrisSimilar
Q1 2:43
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-14
74.3%
Eric Dungey sacked by Myles Harges and Darius Harris for a loss of 14 yards to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 21
OWN 47
0
73.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 39 yds , Richie James returns for no gain to the MTnSt 14 Richie James fumbled, recovered by MTnStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 1:5327% → 34%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
72.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 6 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+26
72.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 26 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+5
72.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 5 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
72.7%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+28
71.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 28 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
70.6%
Brent Stockstill run for 12 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
66.0%
Ty Lee run for 14 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12TD
12 plays · 52 yds · 3:5269% → 73%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
69.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 13 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
69.5%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+2
70.3%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+12
69.5%
Chris Elmore run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
70.3%
Chris Elmore run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 16 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (8 Yards) to the MTnSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
70.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 11Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
70.3%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 9Similar
Q2 11:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
66.2%
Eric Dungey run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q2 10:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
71.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 1 yd to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
71.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
72.7%
Matt Bonadies punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 67 yds · 0:3973% → 73%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
72.7%
Eric Dungey run for 10 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
50
+4
74.1%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
73.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for 3 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+26
73.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 11 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the MTnSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
74.0%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+6
74.0%
Chris Elmore run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 1
OPP 8
0
73.3%
Chris Elmore run for no gain to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 1
OPP 8
0
72.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve Ishmael, broken up by Charvarius WardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
71.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-1
71.7%
Ty Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 11
OWN 7
-1
72.4%
Ty Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 6Similar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 12
OWN 6
0
72.9%
Matt Bonadies punt for 38 yds, downed at the MTnSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 2:4374% → 74%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
74.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+16
73.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 16 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
74.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+4
73.7%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+9
74.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 9 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+5
73.7%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the MTnSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
74.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 13 yds to the MTnSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
74.5%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the MTnSt 4Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
74.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q2 5:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
73.7%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
74.4%
Cole Murphy 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 0:0025% → 26%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
75.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
75.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
76.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q2 2:48
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+15
76.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
74.7%
Brent Stockstill run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-2
73.1%
Ty Lee run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
73.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q2 2:48
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
74.4%
Brent Stockstill punt for 48 yds, downed at the Syrac 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18END OF HALF
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
74.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 10Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+6
74.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+9
73.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 9 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0072% → 70%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
72.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+5
71.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
70.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
70.1%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Richie James at the MTnSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:0029% → 30%
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
70.7%
Ty Lee run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
69.5%
Brent Stockstill run for 20 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
68.1%
Ty Lee run for 2 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+4
68.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 4 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
67.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
69.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 5:1971% → 81%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
71.4%
Eric Dungey sacked by Khalil Brooks for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
70.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+15
69.9%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
73.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
72.4%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 2 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+9
72.1%
Zack Mahoney run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
73.9%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
73.9%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+15
73.4%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the MTnSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
74.6%
Chris Elmore run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-6
74.6%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Khalil Brooks and Darrius Liggins for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 12
OPP 25
+3
72.8%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q3 6:10
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+40
80.7%
Cole Murphy 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
77.0%
Ty Lee run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+1
77.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 1 yd to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+8
78.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 8 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q3 6:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
78.6%
Matt Bonadies punt for 42 yds , Sean Riley returns for no gain to the Syrac 28 Sean Riley fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Ruben GarnettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:4528% → 44%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
72.4%
Richie James run for no gain to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
73.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+28
56.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 28 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24MISSED FG
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:1767% → 65%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
67.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
66.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 9 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
67.2%
Chris Elmore run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
67.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 4 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+7
67.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 7 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
68.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
68.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
67.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete, broken up by Jovante MoffattSimilar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+40
64.9%
Cole Murphy 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 25TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 1:2841% → 69%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
58.8%
Brent Stockstill run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
57.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 9 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+11
55.1%
Ty Lee run for 11 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
54.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for no gain to the Syrac 48Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+48
31.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 48 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4637% → 65%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
36.8%
Ervin Philips run for 15 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
39.7%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-2
39.9%
Ervin Philips run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+9
36.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for 9 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
39.0%
Chris Elmore run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
41.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
42.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for no gain to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+7
41.8%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
44.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 6 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
44.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+29
65.3%
Eric Dungey run for 29 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 27TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2145% → 84%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
55.4%
Brent Stockstill run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
52.2%
Ty Lee run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
51.4%
Ty Lee run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+29
53.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to CJ Windham for 29 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
47.8%
Ty Lee run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+4
47.2%
Brent Stockstill run for 4 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+12
49.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 12 yds to the Syrac 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
47.2%
Ty Lee run for 1 yd to the Syrac 11Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+1
47.2%
Ty Lee run for 1 yd to the Syrac 10Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
16.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 10 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 28INT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:0024% → 30%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
24.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
24.7%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+4
23.6%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
24.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 11 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
27.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+15
26.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 15 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
30.1%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted Reed Blankenship return for no gain to the MTnSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3386% → 87%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
14.2%
Brent Stockstill run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+5
13.8%
Ty Lee run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 2
OWN 32
-4
14.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q4 2:57
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
13.1%
Matt Bonadies punt for 32 yds, downed at the Syrac 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 30DOWNS
12 plays · 36 yds · 2:1624% → 9%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
23.7%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+10
24.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 10 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
25.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+3
27.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 3 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 2
OPP 39
0
27.1%
Chris Elmore run for no gain to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+6
17.3%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
21.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for no gain to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
21.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-5
17.5%
Eric Dungey sacked by Malik Manciel for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q4 0:33
4TH & 15
OPP 38
+14
8.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 14 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-6
5.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:46
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 10 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)
-30.9
TD · Q4 11:07
Eric Dungey run for 29 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
+28.4
TD · Q4 14:53
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 48 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)
-23.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com