Try the model
WAKE

Wake Forest 34 at Boston College 10

BC
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Dom Maggio punt for 35 yds, downed at the BC 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Home team on offense−3.6Score differential−1.2Garbage-time factor−1.1Pregame prior−4.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:20: John Wolford run for 29 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +8.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:13: Anthony Brown pass complete to Jon Hilliman for 6 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +9.9 pts (now 42%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:36: Anthony Brown pass intercepted for a TD Essang Bassey return for 30 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +10.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 6:15: Mike Weaver 28 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +9.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:23: Cade Carney run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +9.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 9 of 10WAKE made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00BC 4th & 1 at BC 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:26WAKE 4th & 11 at WAKE 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:08BC 4th & 20 at WAKE 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    54.5%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:27WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:25BC 4th & 9 at WAKE 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:33WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00WAKE 4th & 7 at BC 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:15BC 4th & 5 at BC 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:20BC 4th & 10 at BC 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:54WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:13WAKE 4th & 16 at WAKE 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−1.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:36BC 4th & 10 at BC 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00WAKE 4th & 15 at WAKE 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−3.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:03BC 4th & 6 at WAKE 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    20.4%−6.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:15WAKE 4th & 10 at BC 10, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−1.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    61.8%−9.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:23BC 4th & 5 at WAKE 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    8.0%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−1.7
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:21WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00BC 4th & 4 at BC 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:00WAKE 4th & 6 at BC 9, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−1.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:00BC 4th & 7 at WAKE 35, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:03WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 39, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 1:28WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:20WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:13BC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:36WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:23WAKE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
44.0%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
44.0%
Thadd Smith run for 3 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+6
44.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 6 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
44.0%
Mike Knoll punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WFrst 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
44.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 8 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+4
44.3%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
44.4%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-4
44.3%
Tabari Hines run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 35Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
44.5%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 35Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
44.5%
Dom Maggio punt for 29 yds, downed at the BC 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
45.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 7 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
45.5%
Anthony Brown run for 4 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
45.5%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 45Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+23
45.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 23 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-24
45.7%
Team run for a loss of 24 yards to the BC 44 Team fumbled, recovered by BC Anthony BrownSimilar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 34
OWN 44
+14
45.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 14 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 20
OPP 42
0
45.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy Sweeney BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 20
OPP 42
0
44.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WFrst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
45.7%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 14Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 6
OWN 14
-5
45.6%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (Jake Benzinger) to the WFrst 9Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+5
45.8%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the WFrst 14Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+2
45.9%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
46.1%
Dom Maggio punt for 33 yds, downed at the WFrst 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
47.1%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
47.0%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the WFrst 48Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
46.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
46.0%
Mike Knoll punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
46.2%
John Wolford run for no gain to the WFrst 20Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+14
46.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 14 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-7
46.0%
John Wolford sacked by Max Richardson and Ray Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 27Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 17
OWN 27
+3
46.3%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 30 WAKE FOREST Penalty, HL ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 14
OWN 30
+11
46.7%
John Wolford run for 11 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+4
46.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 45 yds , Michael Walker returns for 4 yds to the BC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
46.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+2
47.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 26 Jon Hilliman fumbled, forced by Cameron Glenn, recovered by WFrst Cameron GlennSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 1:1755% → 60%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
45.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 7 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+10
45.0%
Matt Colburn run for 10 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
45.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q1 1:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
40.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 9 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
42.1%
Thadd Smith run for no gain to the BC 35Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
42.0%
Anthony Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 33Similar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
41.3%
Anthony Brown pass intercepted Cameron Glenn return for no gain to the BC 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:1960% → 59%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
40.0%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+1
39.9%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the BC 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
40.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Greg Dortch, broken up by Kevin BletzerSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
41.0%
Dom Maggio punt for 35 yds, downed at the BC 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
41.3%
AJ Dillon run for 11 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
41.4%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
41.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy Sweeney, broken up by Cameron Glenn BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
41.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff Smith, broken up by Jaboree WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+9
40.5%
Mike Knoll punt for 46 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 9 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:5660% → 69%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
40.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty Washington, broken up by Kamrin MooreSimilar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
40.5%
John Wolford run for 8 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+2
39.9%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
39.6%
John Wolford run for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+14
40.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for 14 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
39.5%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
39.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 14 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
30.8%
John Wolford run for 29 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
32.9%
AJ Dillon run for 11 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
33.3%
AJ Dillon run for 9 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
34.2%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 46Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
34.0%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
34.4%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 47Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
34.3%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
33.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay White, broken up by Amari HendersonSimilar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
33.2%
Mike Knoll punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
30.4%
John Wolford run for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 19 John Wolford fumbled, recovered by WFrst John Wolford , return for 4 yds to the WFrst 19Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+4
30.6%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
30.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
31.2%
Dom Maggio punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:2731% → 42%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
31.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 17 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
31.8%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
31.8%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the WFrst 38Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+15
31.6%
Brown,A pass incomplete to Smith,J, PENALTY WF pass interference (Henderson, A) 15 yards to the WF23, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
32.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the WFrst 22Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+6
32.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Michael Walker for 6 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+9
31.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 9 yds to the WFrst 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
32.3%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the WFrst 6Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
42.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jon Hilliman for 6 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 1:0064% → 64%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
36.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 12 yds Greg Dortch fumbled, forced by Lukas Denis, recovered by WFrst Matt Colburn for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
35.5%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 34Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+4
36.1%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-5
34.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 33Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 12
OWN 33
-4
36.5%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 29Similar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
36.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17INT TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:2936% → 26%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
36.4%
Anthony Brown run for 6 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+30
26.2%
Anthony Brown pass intercepted for a TD Essang Bassey return for 30 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
26.0%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
25.9%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff Smith, broken up by Amari HendersonSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+11
25.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 11 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
26.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
26.0%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jon HillimanSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+10
25.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 10 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
27.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
27.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
26.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 10
OWN 43
-3
26.3%
Mike Knoll punt for 41 yds , Greg Dortch returns for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
23.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
24.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 13 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
23.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (Justin Herron) to the WFrst 43Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 43
-10
23.9%
Wolford, J rush for 1 yard to the WF44 (Merritt,N), PENALTY WF HL 10 yards to the WF33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 33
-9
24.8%
John Wolford sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 9 yards to the WFrst 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 34
OWN 24
+14
25.0%
John Wolford run for 14 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 38
+5
24.4%
John Wolford run for 5 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 43
+19
25.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 40 yds , Michael Walker returns for 19 yds to the BC 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21FG
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:2924% → 27%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+32
24.3%
Thadd Smith run for 32 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
26.4%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 33Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+16
26.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 16 yds to the WFrst 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
26.6%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the WFrst 15Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+2
26.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 2 yds to the WFrst 13Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
25.9%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q3 10:03
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
27.4%
Colton Lichtenberg 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 3:4873% → 83%
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
27.1%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+23
26.9%
John Wolford run for 23 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
25.7%
John Wolford run for 7 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
25.6%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the BC 42Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+20
26.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 20 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
25.4%
John Wolford run for 5 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+2
25.4%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+5
26.0%
John Wolford run for 5 yds to the BC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
25.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis, broken up by Harold LandrySimilar
Q3 10:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
25.2%
John Wolford run for no gain to the BC 10Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
25.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam Serigne, broken up by Max RichardsonSimilar
Q3 6:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
16.7%
Mike Weaver 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23INT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
18.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Ben Glines for 10 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
19.3%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 30Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+37
18.7%
Anthony Brown pass intercepted Jessie Bates III return for 37 yds to the BC 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4686% → 96%
Q3 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
13.9%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 3Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.0%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
7.3%
Thadd Smith run for 10 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
7.7%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the WFrst 34Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
7.7%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the WFrst 34Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+4
7.4%
Darius Wade pass complete to Kobay White for 4 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
7.3%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
3.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+5
3.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Greg Dortch for 5 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-4
3.7%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 30Similar
Q3 2:21
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+11
3.8%
Dom Maggio punt for 53 yds , Michael Walker returns for 11 yds to the BC 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:475% → 5%
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
4.9%
Thadd Smith run for 1 yd to the BC 29Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+5
4.9%
Darius Wade pass complete to Davon Jones for 5 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
4.6%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Tommy Sweeney, broken up by Cameron GlennSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
4.5%
Mike Knoll punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WFrst 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 28FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 7:4697% → 99%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
3.0%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 23Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
3.0%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the WFrst 24Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+23
3.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Cade Carney for 23 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
1.8%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+2
1.8%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+15
1.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 15 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
1.8%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+1
1.8%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the BC 30Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+17
1.8%
Cade Carney run for 17 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
1.8%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the BC 11Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+1
1.8%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the BC 10Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+1
1.8%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the BC 9Similar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+27
1.0%
Mike Weaver 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 29DOWNS
12 plays · 42 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
1.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to Kobay White for 6 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
1.4%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+6
1.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to Michael Walker for 6 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
1.4%
Darius Wade pass complete to Kobay White for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
1.4%
Darius Wade run for 5 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
1.5%
Darius Wade pass complete to Travis Levy for 4 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
1.6%
Darius Wade run for 3 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
1.5%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
1.5%
Darius Wade pass complete to Davon Jones for 4 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
-1
1.5%
Darius Wade run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
1.5%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.6%
Arkeem Byrd run for no gain to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
0.6%
Arkeem Byrd run for 2 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+2
0.6%
Arkeem Byrd run for 2 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+8
0.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 51 yds , Michael Walker returns for 8 yds to the BC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 31END OF GAME
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
0.8%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 17Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+19
0.7%
Travis Levy run for 19 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.7%
Travis Levy run for no gain to the BC 36Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+20
0.7%
Davon Jones run for 20 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
0.8%
Davon Jones run for no gain to the WFrst 44Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
0.8%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the WFrst 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:36
Anthony Brown pass intercepted for a TD Essang Bassey return for 30 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
-10.3
TD · Q2 3:13
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jon Hilliman for 6 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)
+9.9
TD · Q3 4:23
Cade Carney run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
-9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com