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YSU

Youngstown State 21 at Pittsburgh 28

PITT
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadYSU aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreYSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:40 · Alex Kessman 28 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 118Pregame prior+7.3Home team on offense+24.4Score differential+10.9Garbage-time factor+11.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Time remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:44: Tevin McCaster run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zak Kennedy KICK) — YSU win probability +6.8 pts (now 10%) (top driver: YSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 6:10: Hunter Wells pass complete to Christian Turner for 25 yds for a TD, (Zak Kennedy KICK) — YSU win probability +8.6 pts (now 15%) (top driver: YSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:35: Hunter Wells pass complete to Christian Turner for 42 yds for a TD, (Zak Kennedy KICK) — YSU win probability +37.8 pts (now 52%) (top driver: YSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:35: Zak Kennedy kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — PITT win probability +7.5 pts (now 55%) (top driver: YSU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Max Browne pass complete to Jester Weah for 11 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +15.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6YSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 9:48YSU 4th & 9 at PITT 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00YSU 4th & 1 at YSU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.0%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:54YSU 4th & 13 at PITT 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:58PITT 4th & 1 at PITT 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    84.3%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:13PITT 4th & 1 at YSU 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.9%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    84.0%−1.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−6.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:25YSU 4th & 3 at YSU 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00YSU 4th & 6 at YSU 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:35PITT 4th & 2 at YSU 44, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:51YSU 4th & 6 at PITT 21, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−2.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:44PITT 4th & 22 at PITT 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−2.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00YSU 4th & 10 at PITT 39, down 14
    Close callPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    8.0%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:40PITT 4th & 10 at YSU 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−4.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:51PITT 4th & 1 at PITT 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.8%−11.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3YSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:48PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:50PITT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:07PITT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:44YSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:10YSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.7%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:35YSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 5:1285% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
85.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
85.4%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Quadree HendersonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+30
85.4%
Max Browne pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 30 yds to the YngSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
85.4%
Quadree Henderson run for 4 yds to the YngSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+3
85.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the YngSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+3
85.4%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the YngSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
85.4%
Quadree Henderson run for 9 yds to the YngSt 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 18
0
85.4%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Jester Weah, broken up by Bryce GibsonSimilar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+2
84.4%
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds to the YngSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
84.5%
Darrin Hall run for 10 yds to the YngSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
85.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 6 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 45 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
84.8%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Alvin Bailey for 9 yds to the YngSt 28Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+4
84.6%
Tevin McCaster run for 4 yds to the YngSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
84.7%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Isiah Scott, broken up by Dane JacksonSimilar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+31
84.7%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Christian Turner for 41 yds to the PITTSBURGH 27 for a 1ST down YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, illegal block (Kevin Rader) to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
84.5%
Tevin McCaster run for 1 yd to the Pitt 36Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
84.5%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Damoun PattersonSimilar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
84.5%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Alvin BaileySimilar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 9
OPP 36
0
84.7%
Mark Schuler punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Quadree Henderson at the Pitt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 5:0784% → 87%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
84.4%
Max Browne pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 5 yds to the Pitt 17Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+13
84.4%
Quadree Henderson run for 13 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
84.5%
Max Browne pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 5 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
84.6%
Max Browne pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 6 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
84.8%
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds to the Pitt 43 PITTSBURGH Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+8
84.8%
Darrin Hall run for 8 yds to the YngSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
84.9%
Quadree Henderson run for 7 yds to the YngSt 42Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
84.9%
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds to the YngSt 40Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+5
84.8%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the YngSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+30
85.0%
Max Browne pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 30 yds to the YngSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
87.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 4MISSED FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 4:5614% → 14%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
86.1%
Tevin McCaster run for a loss of 1 yard to the YngSt 15Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+10
86.2%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Kevin Rader for 10 yds to the YngSt 25Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 1
OWN 25
0
86.0%
Tevin McCaster run for no gain to the YngSt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+2
86.4%
Shane Kuhn run for 2 yds to the YngSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+36
86.1%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Kevin Rader for 36 yds to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
85.5%
Hunter Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+14
85.5%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Christian Turner for 14 yds to the Pitt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
85.1%
Tevin McCaster run for 4 yds to the Pitt 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
85.1%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Alvin BaileySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 19
-7
85.3%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Alvin Bailey for 3 yds to the Pitt 16 YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Pitt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 26
0
85.8%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Tevin McCasterSimilar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 13
OPP 26
+43
86.1%
Zak Kennedy 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5TD
18 plays · 74 yds · 8:4787% → 96%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
87.0%
Quadree Henderson run for 1 yd to the Pitt 27Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+12
86.9%
Quadree Henderson run for 12 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
87.6%
Max Browne pass complete to Darrin Hall for 7 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
87.6%
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
87.3%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 48Similar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+2
87.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
50
+17
88.3%
Quadree Henderson run for 17 yds to the YngSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
88.3%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Jester Weah, broken up by Jalyn PowellSimilar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
88.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 8 yds to the YngSt 25Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+10
88.0%
Max Browne pass complete to Tyler Sear for 10 yds to the YngSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
88.3%
Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the YngSt 11Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+3
88.2%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the YngSt 8Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
89.1%
A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the YngSt 6Similar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+3
88.4%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the YngSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
89.2%
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds to the YngSt 1Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.6%
A.J. Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:426% → 6%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
93.9%
Hunter Wells sacked by Amir Watts for a loss of 11 yards to the YngSt 14 YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Hunter Wells) to the YngSt 14Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+2
94.0%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Christian Turner for 2 yds to the YngSt 16Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+16
94.1%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Kevin Rader for 16 yds to the YngSt 32Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
94.4%
Mark Schuler punt for 57 yds, downed at the Pitt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
96.1%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 14Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+3
95.9%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
95.0%
Tevin McCaster run for 12 yds to the YngSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
94.7%
Tevin McCaster run for 4 yds to the YngSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
94.6%
Hunter Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
94.7%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Tevin McCasterSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
94.8%
Mark Schuler punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
96.1%
Max Browne pass complete to Darrin Hall for 5 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+8
96.1%
Darrin Hall run for 8 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
96.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 6 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
96.3%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Jester Weah, broken up by Billy Nicoe HurstSimilar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+6
96.1%
Max Browne pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 6 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
96.3%
Qadree Ollison run for 6 yds to the YngSt 46Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+2
96.3%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the YngSt 44Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
96.2%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes, broken up by Avery LarkinSimilar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
95.9%
Ryan Winslow punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 5:224% → 10%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
96.2%
Tevin McCaster run for a loss of 2 yards to the YngSt 8Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+5
96.3%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Tevin McCaster for 5 yds to the YngSt 13Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+25
96.2%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Alvin Bailey for 25 yds to the YngSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
95.9%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Kevin Rader for 23 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
95.8%
Christian Turner run for 14 yds to the Pitt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
95.4%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the Pitt 21Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
95.4%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Isiah Scott, broken up by Avonte MaddoxSimilar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
95.7%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Kevin RaderSimilar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+18
96.8%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Alvin Bailey for 18 yds to the Pitt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
96.4%
Nathan Mays run for 2 yds to the Pitt 1Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.6%
Tevin McCaster run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zak Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
92.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 13 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
93.3%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
93.3%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 45Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-15
93.0%
Max Browne sacked by Fazson Chapman for a loss of 15 yards to the Pitt 30Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 22
OWN 30
+57
92.3%
Ryan Winslow punt for 47 yds YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, HI (10 Yards) to the YngSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 48 yds · 1:167% → 6%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
93.1%
Tevin McCaster run for 5 yds to the YngSt 18Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+12
93.2%
Tevin McCaster run for 12 yds to the YngSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
93.7%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Damoun Patterson for 18 yds to the YngSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
93.5%
Tevin McCaster run for 13 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
93.4%
Tevin McCaster run for no gain to the Pitt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
93.4%
Hunter Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
93.5%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Kevin Rader, broken up by Bricen GarnerSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 39
+66
93.7%
TEAM punt , Jazzee Stocker returns for 66 yds to the YngSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13MISSED FG
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:5596% → 96%
Q4 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
96.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the YngSt 3Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.0%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the YngSt 3Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-7
95.9%
Max Browne sacked by Wesley Thompson for a loss of 7 yards to the YngSt 10Similar
Q4 10:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
95.9%
Alex Kessman 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:305% → 15%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
95.0%
Alvin Bailey run for 9 yds to the YngSt 29Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
94.7%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Alvin Bailey, broken up by Keyshon CampSimilar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+14
94.8%
Christian Turner run for 14 yds to the YngSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
94.7%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Kevin Rader for 15 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
94.6%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Damoun Patterson for 9 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+3
93.9%
Tevin McCaster run for 3 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
94.1%
Tevin McCaster run for 6 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 4
OPP 24
-1
93.9%
Tevin McCaster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 25Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+25
85.3%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Christian Turner for 25 yds for a TD, (Zak Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15FUMBLE
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
91.6%
Max Browne pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 2 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+11
91.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 11 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
92.3%
Qadree Ollison run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 3
50
0
92.7%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Qadree OllisonSimilar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 3
50
-8
92.0%
Max Browne sacked by Justus Reed for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 42 Max Browne fumbled, recovered by YngSt Justus Reed , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 42 yds · 0:4814% → 52%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
85.6%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Kevin Rader for no gain to the Pitt 42Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+42
47.8%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Christian Turner for 42 yds for a TD, (Zak Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17MISSED FG
17 plays · 55 yds · 3:3561% → 68%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
61.0%
Quadree Henderson run for 12 yds to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
62.8%
Max Browne pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 1 yd to the Pitt 38Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-5
62.9%
Max Browne pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 33Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+13
58.9%
Max Browne run for 13 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+2
61.6%
A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
64.8%
Max Browne pass complete to Qadree Ollison for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 43Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+15
60.1%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Maurice Ffrench (Chapman, Fazson), PENALTY YSU roughing passer (Reed, Justus) 15 yards to the YSU42, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
65.9%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
65.6%
Max Browne pass complete to Quadree Henderson for 7 yds to the YngSt 35Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+18
65.7%
Max Browne pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 18 yds to the YngSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
68.9%
Max Browne run for a loss of 3 yards to the YngSt 20Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+28
67.8%
Alex Kessman 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 80%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
64.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the YngSt 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+4
64.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the YngSt 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+7
62.4%
Max Browne pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 7 yds to the YngSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
64.7%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the YngSt 13Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
64.7%
Quadree Henderson run for 2 yds to the YngSt 11Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+11
79.6%
Max Browne pass complete to Jester Weah for 11 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 19INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
80.4%
Tevin McCaster run for 6 yds to the Pitt 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
79.3%
Tevin McCaster run for 3 yds to the Pitt 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+3
83.8%
Tevin McCaster run for 3 yds to the Pitt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
80.4%
Hunter Wells pass intercepted, touchback. Bricen Garner return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:35
Hunter Wells pass complete to Christian Turner for 42 yds for a TD, (Zak Kennedy KICK)
-37.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+19.6
TD · OT 0:00
Max Browne pass complete to Jester Weah for 11 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)
+15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com