Try the model
IU

Indiana 24 at Purdue 31

PUR
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Ross-Ade Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-4.2PUR 94.5%Richard Lagow pass complete to TaysirMack for 4 yds for a TD, (GriffinOakes KICK)AWAY 17 - HOME 31 · Q4 5:50
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:50 · Richard Lagow pass complete to Taysir Mack for 4 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 185Home team on offense+22.1Score differential+9.3Garbage-time factor+7.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.6Pregame prior+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:49: Jackson Anthrop run for 4 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +9.1 pts (now 69%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:53: Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 49 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +10.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 1:11: J.D. Dellinger 26 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +6.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:32: Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Isaac Zico for 4 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +5.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:01: Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 9 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +13.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 10IU made the numbers' call on 8 of 14
  1. Q1 15:00PUR 4th & 5 at IU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    55.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:08IU 4th & 1 at IU 18, down 7
    Close callPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:34PUR 4th & 3 at IU 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:44IU 4th & 7 at IU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:02IU 4th & 1 at PUR 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.9%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:14PUR 4th & 13 at IU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    55.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00IU 4th & 6 at PUR 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:30PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:51IU 4th & 1 at PUR 40, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    43.3%−1.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:50PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:43IU 4th & 5 at IU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  12. Q2 6:53PUR 4th & 3 at IU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    56.3%−1.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q2 4:49IU 4th & 4 at IU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:08IU 4th & 3 at PUR 4, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.0%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−3.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 12:55IU 4th & 24 at IU 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−2.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 12:36PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 46, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  17. Q3 9:22IU 4th & 4 at PUR 47, down 11
    Close callPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%−0.6
    average punt
  18. Q3 1:11PUR 4th & 9 at IU 9, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−6.5
    average punt
  19. Q3 1:11IU 4th & 11 at IU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:32IU 4th & 1 at PUR 10, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.7
    88% to make
    Punt
    -1.8%−3.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 12:32IU 4th & 8 at PUR 8, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−2.3
    average punt
  22. Q4 10:28PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 33, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 5:50IU 4th & 6 at PUR 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−0.7
    23% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−0.7
    average punt
  24. Q4 4:26PUR 4th & 2 at midfield, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:08PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:14IU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:49PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:53PUR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:32PUR Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:50IU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:01IU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete, broken up by A'Shon RigginsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
54.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 9 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
54.4%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
54.4%
Markell Jones run for 11 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
54.4%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+1
54.4%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Ind 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
54.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
54.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+21
54.7%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted Garrett Hudson return for 21 yds to the Ind 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
56.2%
Jackson Anthrop run for 5 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
55.8%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+7
55.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Taysir Mack for 7 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+2
55.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 2 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 1
OWN 18
0
55.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
56.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
56.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Terry Wright for 10 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
57.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Cole Herdman for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 4
50
-4
57.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to D.J. Knox for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+5
56.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Isaac Zico, PENALTY IND offside (McCray, Robert) 5 yards to the IND49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
56.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete, broken up by Tegray ScalesSimilar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
56.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
57.3%
Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
57.3%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+1
57.6%
Morgan Ellison run for 1 yd to the Ind 23Similar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+62
57.7%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 47 yds for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
58.7%
Jarrett Burgess run for no gain to the Prdue 41 Jarrett Burgess fumbled, recovered by Ind Tegray Scales , return for 4 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 41 yds · 2:4843% → 46%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
57.3%
Morgan Ellison run for 7 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+1
56.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 1 yd to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+1
57.2%
Cole Gest run for 1 yd to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 7:02
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+27
57.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 27 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
56.8%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
56.8%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
57.2%
Richard Lagow run for 2 yds to the Prdue 3 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Eddy Wilson) to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 0
OPP 1
0
56.6%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete, PENALTY PUR personal foul (Da'Wan Hunte) 0 yards to the PUR1, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
56.8%
Morgan Ellison run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
56.8%
Morgan Ellison run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
55.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 39 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
56.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 2 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
56.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Anthony MahoungouSimilar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 8
OPP 34
-5
56.3%
PURDUE Penalty, delay of game (Elijah Sindelar) to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
55.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q1 4:14
4TH & 13
OPP 39
0
54.8%
Joe Schopper punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Luke Timian at the Ind 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10PUNT
13 plays · 47 yds · 3:1145% → 46%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
55.3%
Cole Gest run for 1 yd to the Ind 10Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
55.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+11
55.7%
Cole Gest run for 11 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
55.1%
Cole Gest run for 2 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+2
55.1%
Richard Lagow run for 2 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+13
55.5%
Richard Lagow run for 13 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
54.5%
Morgan Ellison run for 1 yd to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+3
54.5%
Cole Gest run for 3 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+10
54.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 10 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
53.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
53.3%
Cole Gest run for no gain to the Prdue 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+4
54.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 4 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
54.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
55.7%
D.J. Knox run for 6 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 14
0
55.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for no gain to the Prdue 14Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+1
55.1%
Elijah Sindelar run for 1 yd to the Prdue 15Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 3
OWN 15
0
54.5%
Joe Schopper punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
52.9%
Cole Gest run for 3 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+6
52.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Cole Gest for 6 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
52.9%
Richard Lagow run for no gain to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
54.1%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
56.1%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+7
56.2%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
56.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Terry Wright, broken up by Chase DutraSimilar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
56.3%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
55.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jackson Anthrop, broken up by Chase DutraSimilar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 7
OWN 21
+1
54.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 55 yds , Luke Timian returns for 1 yd to the Ind 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.5%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.6%
Cole Gest run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
53.7%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
55.0%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:0458% → 69%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
58.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Isaac Zico for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
50
0
58.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Terry WrightSimilar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 10
50
0
58.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 10
50
+7
56.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 7 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+22
57.2%
Joe Schopper pass complete to Mike Little for 22 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
59.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Mahoungou, PENALTY IND pass interference (Fant, Rashard) 15 yards to the IND6, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
59.6%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
68.7%
Jackson Anthrop run for 4 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
65.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Cole Gest for 1 yd to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+2
65.3%
Cole Gest run for 2 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+3
66.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ryan Watercutter for 3 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
66.2%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 2:0668% → 80%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
67.5%
Elijah Sindelar sacked by Tegray Scales for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+6
67.2%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+17
66.8%
Markell Jones run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
50
+1
69.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 1 yd to the Ind 49Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+49
79.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 49 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 0:4523% → 25%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
77.1%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+64
77.6%
Ricky Brookins run for 64 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
76.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+7
75.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 7 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
78.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+22
75.2%
Griffin Oakes 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19END OF HALF
2 plays · 39 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+39
76.7%
D.J. Knox run for 39 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 2:0526% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.0%
Morgan Ellison run for no gain to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
74.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Taysir Mack for 15 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
72.9%
Morgan Ellison run for 4 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+16
72.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Taysir Mack for 16 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
72.0%
Morgan Ellison run for 1 yd to the Prdue 39Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-15
73.0%
Lagow, Richard pass complete to Cobbs, Simmie for 39 yards to the PUR0, clock 12:55, PENALTY IND illegal block (Nworah, M.) 15 yards to the IND46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 24
OWN 46
0
74.8%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 24
OWN 46
0
75.4%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 24
OWN 46
0
76.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
76.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+11
75.8%
Markell Jones run for 11 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
76.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 3 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-10
76.1%
Markell Jones rush for 6 yards to the PUR37, PENALTY PUR holding (Shane Evans) 10 yards to the PUR21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 17
OWN 21
+24
75.7%
Markell Jones run for 24 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
77.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
77.1%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-2
76.2%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 12:36
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
74.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Luke Timian at the Ind 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:0022% → 24%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
77.6%
Cole Gest run for 9 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+13
77.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 13 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
76.8%
Richard Lagow run for 5 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+2
76.4%
Cole Gest run for 2 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+11
76.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 11 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
75.4%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
75.8%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+6
76.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 6 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
76.3%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23FG
16 plays · 78 yds · 5:3680% → 92%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
79.5%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+16
79.6%
Markell Jones run for 16 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
79.9%
Markell Jones run for 10 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
81.1%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+15
81.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Mahoungou, PENALTY IND pass interference (Fant, Rashard) 15 yards to the IND38, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
81.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Anthony MahoungouSimilar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
82.2%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+8
81.6%
Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
82.4%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+20
82.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Cole Herdman for 20 yds to the Ind 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
82.4%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Ind 5Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
86.3%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 9Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
85.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
Q3 1:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
92.1%
J.D. Dellinger 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
89.6%
Cole Gest run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
89.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q3 1:11
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+7
89.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 38 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for 7 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:3993% → 99%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
93.4%
Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+10
93.5%
Markell Jones run for 10 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+31
93.5%
Markell Jones run for 31 yds to the Ind 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
93.6%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
93.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Terry Wright for 3 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Isaac Zico for 4 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26DOWNS
10 plays · 63 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+52
98.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Taysir Mack for 52 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky BrookinsSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
98.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+9
98.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 9 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+2
98.1%
Cole Gest run for 2 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
97.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
97.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.1%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 12:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+16
99.1%
Markell Jones run for 16 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.1%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-1
99.1%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 26Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+7
99.1%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 10:28
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
99.1%
Joe Schopper punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Luke Timian at the Ind 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 1:471% → 6%
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
98.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 6 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+7
98.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 7 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+28
98.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 28 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-8
98.5%
Richard Lagow sacked by Markus Bailey for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 26Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 18
OPP 26
+22
98.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 22 yds to the Prdue 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Taysir Mack for 4 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 29DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
50
0
95.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
50
-6
95.3%
Richard Lagow sacked by Danny Ezechukwu for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 16
OWN 44
+10
95.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 10 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+4
95.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 4 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:1198% → 99%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
98.3%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
98.6%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+5
98.8%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:26
4TH & 2
50
0
98.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 37 yds, downed at the Ind 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 31TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 2:292% → 15%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-11
98.5%
Richard Lagow sacked by Gelen Robinson for a loss of 11 yards to the Ind 2Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 21
OWN 2
+10
98.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 10 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+25
98.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 25 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
98.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Taysir Mack for 21 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
98.2%
Lagow, Richard pass complete to Brookins, Ricky for no gain to the PUR42 (Josh Okonye), PENALTY IND holding (Knight, Brandon) 10 yards to the IND48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+15
98.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 15 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+4
98.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 4 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+7
98.1%
Ricky Brookins run for 7 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
97.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr., broken up by Josh OkonyeSimilar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
98.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+17
98.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Taysir Mack for 17 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
85.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 9 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 32END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 49Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 11
OPP 49
-1
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:01
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 9 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-13.2
TD · Q2 0:53
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 49 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+10.2
TD · Q2 4:49
Jackson Anthrop run for 4 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com