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WIS

Wisconsin 31 at Minnesota 0

MINN
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:46 · Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Pregame prior−16.4Home team on offense−34.4Score differential−20.4Garbage-time factor−11.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:50: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +7.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:41: Rodney Smith run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down — MINN win probability +2.5 pts (now 11%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:03: Timeout MINNESOTA, clock 00:03 — MINN win probability +3.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Zach Hintze kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — WIS win probability +5.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:06: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +4.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 10:57WIS 4th & 8 at MINN 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    85.3%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:36MINN 4th & 2 at MINN 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:04WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:33MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:35MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:08WIS 4th & 9 at MINN 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:32MINN 4th & 11 at MINN 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:00MINN 4th & 17 at MINN 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:45MINN 4th & 24 at WIS 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:46MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:20MINN 4th & 14 at MINN 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:28MINN 4th & 6 at WIS 30, down 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:29WIS 4th & 2 at midfield, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:25MINN 4th & 2 at MINN 20, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 0:24WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:50WIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:06WIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:51WIS Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:4789% → 88%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
10.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 13 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
11.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-1
11.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 43Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+10
11.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 10 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
11.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
12.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Minn 45Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
12.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
12.5%
Anthony Lotti punt for 30 yds, downed at the Minn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1313% → 13%
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
12.6%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 17Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
12.9%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Nate WozniakSimilar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+6
12.8%
Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
13.0%
Ryan Santoso punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2387% → 86%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
13.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
13.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Austin Ramesh for 4 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
13.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q1 8:04
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+19
13.7%
Anthony Lotti punt for 34 yds, downed at the MINNESOTA 18 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Derrick Tindal) to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2114% → 15%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
14.0%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+1
14.4%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 37Similar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
14.6%
Demry Croft run for no gain to the Minn 37Similar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
14.5%
Ryan Santoso punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 6:0185% → 86%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
14.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 11 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
14.7%
Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+8
14.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 8 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
15.0%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 8
50
0
15.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Zander NeuvilleSimilar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 8
50
+10
15.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 10 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
15.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+9
15.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 9 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+23
15.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 23 yds to the Minn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
15.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Minn 2Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
16.3%
Chris James run for 1 yd to the Minn 1Similar
Q1 0:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
13.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2515% → 16%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
15.0%
Demry Croft run for 5 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
15.5%
Kobe McCrary run for 4 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
15.7%
Kobe McCrary run for no gain to the Minn 42Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
15.5%
Ryan Santoso punt for 35 yds, downed at the Wisc 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 4:1985% → 85%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
15.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+10
15.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 10 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
15.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 7 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
15.0%
Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+41
15.3%
Austin Ramesh run for 41 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
15.0%
Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-1
15.0%
Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 14Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
15.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+32
15.5%
Rafael Gaglianone 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2815% → 14%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
14.7%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 23Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
14.8%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Phillip HowardSimilar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+1
14.1%
Demry Croft run for 1 yd to the Minn 24Similar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+13
13.9%
Ryan Santoso punt for 47 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 13 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:2286% → 85%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
14.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+3
14.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+2
14.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Minn 49 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, forced by Thomas Barber, recovered by Minn Kamal MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:5516% → 15%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-12
15.9%
Demry Croft sacked by Ryan Connelly for a loss of 12 yards to the Minn 37Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 22
OWN 37
+3
15.2%
Demry Croft pass complete to Rodney Smith for 3 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 19
OWN 40
+2
15.0%
Demry Croft run for 2 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 17
OWN 42
0
14.7%
Ryan Santoso punt for 37 yds, downed at the Wisc 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:0184% → 93%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
15.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 8 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+29
15.3%
Chris James run for 29 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
14.9%
Chris James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 43Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+9
15.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 9 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+2
14.9%
Austin Ramesh run for 2 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+27
14.4%
Garrett Groshek run for 27 yds to the Minn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
7.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 47 yds · 0:4111% → 15%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
10.7%
Rodney Smith run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
50
+4
11.3%
Demry Croft run for 4 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+14
11.1%
Croft, Demry pass incomplete to Williams, Mark, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Nelson, Nick) 14 yards to the WISCONSIN32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.Similar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
11.4%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Phillip HowardSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
11.3%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+46
15.1%
Emmit Carpenter 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:0410% → 10%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
10.0%
Demry Croft run for 4 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
9.9%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
10.3%
Kobe McCrary run for 7 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
10.7%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Nate WozniakSimilar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+26
10.2%
Demry Croft pass complete to Will Reger for 26 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
11.0%
Kobe McCrary run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 35Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 12
OPP 35
-12
10.8%
Demry Croft sacked by Ryan Connelly for a loss of 12 yards to the Wisc 47Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 24
OPP 47
0
10.0%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Mark WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 24
OPP 47
0
9.9%
Ryan Santoso punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 4:2991% → 98%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
8.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+23
8.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 23 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
8.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+6
7.9%
Chris James run for 6 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+31
7.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 31 yds to the Minn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
7.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Minn 6Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+1
7.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Minn 5Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
2.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 6 yds · 4:333% → 2%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.2%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
3.2%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
3.1%
Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
2.8%
Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
2.7%
Demry Croft run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 33Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+2
2.7%
Demry Croft run for 2 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-4
2.5%
Kobe McCrary run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 31Similar
Q3 1:20
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
2.4%
Ryan Santoso punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 1:2098% → 100%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
1.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
1.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+53
0.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 53 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17MISSED FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 6:160% → 0%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.4%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
0.3%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
0.4%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
0.3%
Demry Croft pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
0.3%
Kobe McCrary run for 3 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+11
0.2%
Demry Croft pass complete to Rodney Smith for 11 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
0.3%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+10
0.2%
Rodney Smith run for 10 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
0.2%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+1
0.2%
Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the Wisc 29Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-1
0.2%
Demry Croft run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 30Similar
Q4 8:28
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
0.2%
Emmit Carpenter 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
0.2%
Chris James run for 6 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+6
0.2%
Chris James run for 6 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
0.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 6 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 4
OWN 48
-5
0.2%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Alec Ingold) to the Wisc 43Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
0.2%
Garrett Groshek run for no gain to the Wisc 43Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+7
0.2%
Jack Coan pass complete to Rachid Ibrahim for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 2
50
0
0.2%
Connor Allen punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Antonio Shenault at the Minn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:540% → 0%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
0.1%
Kobe McCrary run for 6 yds to the Minn 18Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+2
0.1%
Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Minn 20Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 2
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Kobe McCrary run for no gain to the Minn 20Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Ryan Santoso punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20END OF GAME
4 plays · 19 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 30 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wisc Jack CoanSimilar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+4
0.1%
Chris James run for 4 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+11
0.1%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 11 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
0.1%
Garrett Groshek run for 8 yds to the Minn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:50
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
-7.2
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Zach Hintze kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-5.7
TD · Q3 6:06
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
-4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com