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IOWA

Iowa 56 at Nebraska 14

NEB
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Caleb Lightbourn punt for 34 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior−11.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:18: Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 28 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +9.3 pts (now 59%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:25: Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 4 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +11.2 pts (now 58%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:24: Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +13.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:53: James Butler run for 12 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +12.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:32: Akrum Wadley run for 29 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +9.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 7IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00NEB 4th & 6 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:22IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:34IOWA 4th & 1 at NEB 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.8%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00NEB 4th & 2 at IOWA 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    44.1%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    42.0%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:18IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:24NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 34, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:24NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 12, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:27IOWA 4th & 2 at NEB 29, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−0.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    89.2%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:45NEB 4th & 5 at IOWA 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:20NEB 4th & 11 at NEB 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 32, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:24NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 34, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:47IOWA 4th & 11 at NEB 15, up 42
    Close callWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2IOWA made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:34NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:16IOWA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:18NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:25IOWA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:24IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:53IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:32IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:20IOWA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:24IOWA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:34IOWA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.2%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.2%
Mikale Wilbon run for 2 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+19
38.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Keyan Williams for 19 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
38.2%
Mikale Wilbon run for no gain to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
38.2%
Mikale Wilbon run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
50
0
38.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete, broken up by Parker HesseSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
50
0
38.2%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2DOWNS
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
39.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 7
OWN 19
-3
39.1%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 16Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+8
39.3%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 8 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
39.3%
Colten Rastetter run for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 15 Colten Rastetter fumbled, recovered by Iowa Colten Rastetter , return for no gain to the Iowa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:4341% → 43%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
40.6%
Mikale Wilbon run for 1 yd to the Iowa 14Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
40.6%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+14
42.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 14 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4TD
14 plays · 99 yds · 7:1858% → 59%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
42.0%
Nathan Stanley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 3Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+19
42.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 19 yds to the Iowa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
41.9%
James Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 21Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+21
42.0%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 21 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
41.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 43Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
41.7%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
41.7%
Nathan Stanley run for 2 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
41.4%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 2 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+9
41.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 9 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
41.4%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Nick EasleySimilar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-2
41.1%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 20Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+20
41.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 20 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5DOWNS
12 plays · 51 yds · 2:1643% → 45%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
43.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 6 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
43.5%
Jaylin Bradley run for 4 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
45.5%
Jaylin Bradley run for no gain to the Neb 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+12
44.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Jack Stoll for 12 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
45.8%
Jaylin Bradley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+19
45.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 19 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
46.5%
Jaylin Bradley run for 7 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+1
46.5%
Jaylin Bradley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
45.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-El, broken up by Matt NelsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 19
-5
45.1%
Zack Darlington pass complete to Luke McNitt for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
44.1%
James Butler run for 11 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
43.7%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 5 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
42.6%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 1 yd to the Iowa 41Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
42.6%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Nick EasleySimilar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
44.1%
Colten Rastetter punt for 34 yds , Tyjon Lindsey returns for no gain to the Neb 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0447% → 59%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
46.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 10 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
47.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 9 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+14
48.8%
Mikale Wilbon run for 14 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
49.0%
Tyjon Lindsey run for 1 yd to the Iowa 41Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+13
49.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 13 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
49.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
49.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Tyjon LindseySimilar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+28
58.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 28 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:5343% → 58%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.7%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 4 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
56.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
56.8%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
57.7%
Rastetter, C. punt 42 yards to the NEB27, D. Pierson-El return to the NEB29, PENALTY NEB roughing the kicker (Tony Butler) 5 yards to the IOWA36, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
56.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 29 yds to the Neb 30 Akrum Wadley fumbled, forced by Joshua Kalu, recovered by Iowa Ihmir Smith-Marsette for a 1ST down , return for 5 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
53.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 8 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+3
52.9%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
52.9%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 9 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+2
52.9%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
52.9%
James Butler run for 5 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
52.9%
James Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 4Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
41.6%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 4 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
49.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for 7 yds to the Neb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:2159% → 71%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
40.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 11 yds to the Neb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
40.7%
Nick Easley run for 6 yds to the Neb 5Similar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+3
40.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Neb 2Similar
Q3 14:45
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+1
41.8%
Drake Kulick run for 1 yd to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
33.0%
Tanner Lee sacked by Parker Hesse for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+10
32.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 10 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
32.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 4 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 12:24
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+14
32.4%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 36 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for 14 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12TD
2 plays · 56 yds · 0:3471% → 84%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+44
29.1%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 44 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
16.2%
James Butler run for 12 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
19.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
19.8%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted Ben Niemann return for no gain to the Neb 40Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
20.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Josey JewellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14TD
2 plays · 40 yds · 0:3684% → 93%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
16.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 11 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
7.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 29 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
9.6%
Jaylin Bradley run for 2 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
9.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Jack Stoll, broken up by Josey JewellSimilar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
9.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-El, broken up by Matt HankinsSimilar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 8
OWN 12
+17
9.6%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 52 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for 17 yds to the Neb 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
6.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 10 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
6.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-1
6.1%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+3
6.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+1
7.0%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the Neb 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:197% → 5%
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
6.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Joshua JacksonSimilar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+18
6.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 18 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
7.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 7
50
+11
7.0%
Mikale Wilbon run for 11 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
7.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
7.2%
Mikale Wilbon run for 7 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
7.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for 2 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 1
OPP 30
-4
5.3%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Stanley Morgan Jr.) to the Iowa 34Similar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+2
5.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 2 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:1997% → 98%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
3.0%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to T.J. HockensonSimilar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+68
2.1%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 68 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Josey JewellSimilar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
1.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Keyan WilliamsSimilar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-1
1.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24Similar
Q3 1:20
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
1.0%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 48 yds, downed at the Iowa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:2899% → 99%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
1.1%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
1.1%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
0.8%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Noah FantSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
1.0%
Colten Rastetter punt for 20 yds, downed at the Neb 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
1.0%
Jaylin Bradley run for 1 yd to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
0.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+4
0.9%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted Josey Jewell return for 4 yds to the Neb 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22TD
7 plays · 39 yds · 4:3399% → 100%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
0.6%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the Neb 38Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+11
0.7%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 11 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
0.6%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 10 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
0.6%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 4 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+5
0.6%
Toren Young run for 5 yds to the Neb 8Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+5
0.5%
Toren Young run for 5 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.2%
Toren Young run for 3 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
0.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for 6 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
0.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Tyler HoppesSimilar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+12
0.2%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 43 yds , Max Cooper returns for 12 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+57
0.2%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 57 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
0.2%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 3 yds to the Neb 5Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 5 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
0.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 6 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+33
0.1%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted Kristian Welch return for 33 yds to the Neb 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
0.2%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the Neb 13Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-5
0.2%
IOWA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 18Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 14
OPP 18
+1
0.2%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the Neb 17Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+2
0.2%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+3
0.2%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the Neb 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
0.1%
Jaylin Bradley run for 2 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+4
0.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 4 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+7
0.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 7 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
0.1%
Jaylin Bradley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
0.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
0.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Jaylin Bradley for 7 yds to the Neb 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:24
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)
-13
TD · Q3 9:53
James Butler run for 12 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)
-12.9
TD · Q2 0:25
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 4 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)
-11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com