Try the model
ILL

Illinois 14 at Ohio State 52

OSU
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Ohio Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFUMBLETDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:46 · Drue Chrisman punt for 40 yds , Nate Hobbs returns for 1 yd to the Illin 29 Nate Hobbs fumbled, forced by Jake Metzer, recovered by OhSt Jeffrey Okudah
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior+33.7Home team on offense+30.4Score differential+23.7Blowout margin+9.1Garbage-time factor+9.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:59: J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:08: Mike Weber run for 43 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:44: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 11 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:10: J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ILL made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 10:06ILL 4th & 1 at ILL 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:21ILL 4th & 9 at ILL 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:28ILL 4th & 22 at ILL 13, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:38ILL 4th & 7 at ILL 7, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:14OSU 4th & 2 at ILL 18, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:19OSU 4th & 10 at ILL 16, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:18ILL 4th & 4 at ILL 31, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:17OSU 4th & 1 at ILL 26, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:10ILL 4th & 7 at ILL 28, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:48OSU 4th & 10 at OSU 42, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:20ILL 4th & 2 at ILL 38, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:29ILL 4th & 16 at ILL 7, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:46OSU 4th & 3 at OSU 32, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:06ILL 4th & 11 at ILL 21, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:33OSU 4th & 20 at ILL 48, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:47ILL 4th & 15 at ILL 18, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:01OSU 4th & 12 at OSU 49, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:25ILL 4th & 8 at ILL 37, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ILL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:42OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:59OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:08OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:44OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:10OSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:58OSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:41OSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:11ILL Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:0999% → 99%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 7 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
99.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 31Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
99.1%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Mack, Austin, PENALTY ILLINOIS pass interference (Dunlap, Jaylen) 10 yards to the OHIOST41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
99.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 14 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurinSimilar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 8 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+8
99.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the Illin 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
99.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+18
99.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 18 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.1%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:221% → 1%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.0%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.0%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 8 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
99.0%
Kendrick Foster run for 1 yd to the Illin 35Similar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 2:0199% → 99%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
99.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 14 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
98.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 3
50
+1
98.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 1 yd to the Illin 49Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+2
98.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+44
98.9%
Parris Campbell run for 44 yds to the Illin 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:271% → 1%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
98.9%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Reggie Corbin for no gain to the Illin 16Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+1
98.9%
Chayce Crouch run for 1 yd to the Illin 17Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
98.9%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 9
OWN 17
0
98.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 1:0399% → 99%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
98.9%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
98.9%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+43
99.1%
Mike Weber run for 43 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · -12 yds · 1:331% → 1%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.0%
Kendrick Foster run for 6 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-10
99.0%
Crouch, Chayce pass incomplete to Walker, Bobby, PENALTY ILLINOIS holding (Kramer, Doug) 10 yards to the ILLINOIS21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-3
99.0%
Dre Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 18Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-5
99.1%
ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 13Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 22
OWN 13
0
99.1%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
99.1%
Blake Hayes punt for 36 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the Illin 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:3499% → 99%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+38
99.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 38 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 11 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:521% → 1%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
99.4%
Kendrick Foster run for no gain to the Illin 4Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+2
99.4%
Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Illin 6Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+1
99.4%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Kendrick Foster for 1 yd to the Illin 7Similar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 7
OWN 7
+42
99.5%
Blake Hayes punt for 42 yds , K.J. Hill returns for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9FG
13 plays · 34 yds · 2:51100% → 99%
Q1 0:10
2ND & 10
50
+6
99.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+8
99.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 8 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
99.5%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete, PENALTY ILLINOIS holding 10 yards to the ILLINOIS26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
99.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 27Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
-4
99.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Illin 21 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Marcus Baugh) to the Illin 31Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 15
OPP 31
0
99.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 15
OPP 31
+13
99.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 13 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+2
99.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
99.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
99.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
99.4%
Sean Nuernberger 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:571% → 1%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Louis DorseySimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.4%
Chayce Crouch run for 6 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+22
99.4%
Blake Hayes punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIOST 37 ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 4:0099% → 100%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.4%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 7
50
+15
99.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to C.J. Saunders for 15 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
99.4%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Billy Price) to the Illin 40Similar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+6
99.4%
Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+4
99.4%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+4
99.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Illin 26Similar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+22
99.4%
Mike Weber run for 22 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Illin 1Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Reggie CorbinSimilar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Chayce Crouch run for 3 yds to the Illin 28Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Kendrick FosterSimilar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Blake Hayes punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:14100% → 100%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
99.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 12 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
99.7%
Dwayne Haskins sacked by Tre Watson for a loss of 10 yards to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+4
99.7%
Antonio Williams run for 4 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 16
OWN 36
+6
99.7%
Dwayne Haskins run for 6 yds to the OhSt 42 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brady Taylor) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:48
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Drue Chrisman punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Blake HayesSimilar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.8%
Dre Brown run for 10 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.7%
Dre Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
99.7%
Dre Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Dre Brown run for no gain to the Illin 38Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Blake Hayes punt for 53 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
99.7%
Antonio Williams run for 7 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+6
99.8%
Antonio Williams run for 6 yds to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.8%
Jared Drake run for 4 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.8%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Kendall SmithSimilar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-5
99.8%
ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Bobby Walker) to the Illin 8Similar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 15
OWN 8
+8
99.8%
Dre Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 16Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 7
OWN 16
-9
99.8%
Chayce Crouch sacked by Jonathon Cooper for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 7Similar
Q3 13:29
4TH & 16
OWN 7
+52
99.8%
Blake Hayes punt for 42 yds , K.J. Hill returns for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 6 OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:11100% → 100%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.8%
Antonio Williams run for 6 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
99.8%
Antonio Williams run for 3 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
99.8%
Antonio Williams run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the Illin 48Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+6
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 6 yds to the Illin 42Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+54
99.8%
Dwayne Haskins run for a loss of 4 yards Dwayne Haskins fumbled, forced by Stanley Green, recovered by Illin Ahmari Hayes , return for 54 yds, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:06100% → 100%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+1
99.8%
Drue Chrisman punt for 40 yds , Nate Hobbs returns for 1 yd to the Illin 29 Nate Hobbs fumbled, forced by Jake Metzer, recovered by OhSt Jeffrey OkudahSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+12
99.9%
Mike Weber run for 12 yds to the Illin 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.9%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the Illin 12Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Mike Weber run for no gain to the Illin 12Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 12 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
99.9%
Chayce Crouch run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 19Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+2
99.9%
Dre Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 21Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 11
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 11
OWN 21
+8
99.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 38 yds , K.J. Hill returns for 8 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 5 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 3 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 5 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
99.9%
Joe Burrow run for a loss of 10 yards to the Illin 48 Joe Burrow fumbled, recovered by OhSt Joe BurrowSimilar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 20
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 20
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 20
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Drue Chrisman punt for 36 yds, downed at the Illin 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 3:360% → 0%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Dre Brown run for no gain to the Illin 12Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Dre Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 16Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+7
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 7 yds to the Illin 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Dre Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 25Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Chayce Crouch run for 1 yd to the Illin 26Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
-8
99.9%
Chayce Crouch sacked by Jonathon Cooper for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 18Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 15
OWN 18
+9
99.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 64 yds , K.J. Hill returns for 9 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:59100% → 100%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 3 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+33
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 33 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins run for 2 yds to the Illin 35Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+13
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 13 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins run for 1 yd to the Illin 21Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+21
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 21 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 24TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+30
99.9%
Dre Brown run for 30 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
99.9%
Dre Brown run for 13 yds to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
99.9%
Chayce Crouch run for 4 yds to the OhSt 18 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Alex Backenstoe) to the OhSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Cam Miller run for 9 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25PUNT
14 plays · 24 yds · 4:59100% → 100%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to C.J. Saunders for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins run for 16 yds to the OhSt 44 OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Rashod Berry) to the OhSt 30Similar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 3 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+7
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 7 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 39Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+10
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins run for 10 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
100.0%
Antonio Williams run for 1 yd to the Illin 48Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
100.0%
Dwayne Haskins run for 2 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-5
100.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Joshua Alabi) to the OhSt 49Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
100.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Drue Chrisman punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:360% → 0%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
100.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Illin 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
100.0%
Dre Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 31Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+4
100.0%
Dre Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 35Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Dre Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Blake Hayes punt for 49 yds, downed at the OhSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 16 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
100.0%
Antonio Williams run for 5 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+6
100.0%
Antonio Williams run for 6 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Antonio Williams run for 7 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 2:44
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 11 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 5:08
Mike Weber run for 43 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q1 7:59
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com