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PUR

Purdue 24 at Iowa 15

IOWA
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Joe Schopper punt for 20 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Home team on offense−25.0Pregame prior+3.2Score differential−9.9Garbage-time factor−8.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:01: Elijah Sindelar pass complete to D.J. Knox for 5 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +3.5 pts (now 41%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:07: Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +8.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:03: Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 42 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +16.3 pts (now 55%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:59: Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 16 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +10.9 pts (now 68%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:27: Markell Jones run for 11 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST down — PUR win probability +13.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:01IOWA 4th & 20 at IOWA 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:56PUR 4th & 21 at IOWA 35, up 7
    Close callPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    38.2%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00IOWA 4th & 20 at PUR 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    58.7%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:44IOWA 4th & 5 at PUR 20, down 5
    Close callWent for it · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    55.3%−5.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:07PUR 4th & 29 at PUR 42, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−2.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:03IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 29, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:59IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 27, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−1.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:29PUR 4th & 3 at IOWA 39, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    63.8%−2.9
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:33IOWA 4th & 12 at PUR 47, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−1.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:29PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 8, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%−1.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:20IOWA 4th & 12 at IOWA 27, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−2.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00PUR 4th & 3 at IOWA 37, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    79.5%−2.8
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%−3.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:27PUR 4th & 4 at IOWA 41, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    88.1%−1.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%−1.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:55PUR 4th & 10 at IOWA 10, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−5.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:04IOWA 4th & 6 at PUR 6, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:01PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:07IOWA Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:03PUR Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:59PUR Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:04IOWA Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    5.3%−2.4
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.0%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Noah Fant, broken up by Jacob ThienemanSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
63.0%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Nick EasleySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
63.0%
Colten Rastetter punt for 38 yds, downed at the Prdue 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2TD
17 plays · 67 yds · 5:5437% → 41%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
62.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to D.J. Knox for 1 yd to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
62.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete, broken up by Manny RugambaSimilar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+9
63.0%
Elijah Sindelar run for 9 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
62.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete, broken up by Josey JewellSimilar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
62.9%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-6
62.9%
Elijah Sindelar sacked by A.J. Epenesa for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 13:55
4TH & 13
OWN 40
+15
63.0%
Joe Schopper punt 43 yards to the IOWA17, fair catch by Vandeberg, Matt, PENALTY IOWA roughing the kicker (Jones, Amani) 15 yards to the IOWA45, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
62.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jarrett Burgess for 8 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+3
62.8%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
62.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Terry Wright for 5 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+10
62.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 10 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
62.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jarrett Burgess for 6 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
62.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Terry WrightSimilar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+6
62.8%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Iowa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
62.8%
Jackson Anthrop run for 2 yds to the Iowa 5Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
62.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jarrett Burgess, broken up by Joshua JacksonSimilar
Q1 8:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
59.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to D.J. Knox for 5 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
60.1%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 20Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+16
60.0%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 16 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
60.3%
IOWA Penalty, false start (Tristan Wirfs) to the Iowa 31Similar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+2
60.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
60.0%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 13
OWN 33
-7
59.8%
Nathan Stanley sacked by Antoine Miles for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 26Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 20
OWN 26
0
59.6%
Colten Rastetter punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
50
+3
57.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Markell Jones for 3 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+6
57.5%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+1
57.5%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
57.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Terry Wright for 8 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 2
OPP 32
0
57.3%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Iowa 32Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+8
57.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jarrett Burgess for 8 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
57.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Terry Wright, broken up by Josey JewellSimilar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-11
57.4%
Elijah Sindelar sacked by Josey Jewell for a loss of 11 yards to the Iowa 35Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 21
OPP 35
0
58.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to D.J. Knox, broken up by Bo BowerSimilar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 21
OPP 35
0
58.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:5356% → 55%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
56.3%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+25
56.4%
James Butler run for 25 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
57.0%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+11
57.1%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 11 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
57.7%
IOWA Penalty, illegal block (Noah Fant) to the Iowa 40Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 40
+36
56.3%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 21 yds to the IOWA 39 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Derrick Barnes) to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
58.4%
James Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
58.3%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to James ButlerSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 25
-9
57.3%
Nathan Stanley sacked by Eddy Wilson for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OPP 34
0
55.3%
Nathan Stanley punt for 31 yds, downed at the Prdue 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6SF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:4046% → 43%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
54.2%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Prdue 3Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 3
-3
57.4%
Nathan Bazata SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:3759% → 67%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
50
+15
59.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 15 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
60.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 7 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
60.6%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+3
59.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
60.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Prdue 24Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
60.6%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Noah Fant, broken up by Lorenzo NealSimilar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+4
59.4%
Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for 4 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+18
58.3%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 18 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
13 plays · 17 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.3%
Jared Sparks run for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
62.3%
Jared Sparks run for 1 yd to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
63.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 7 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
61.9%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+10
62.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
50
+1
60.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 1 yd to the Iowa 49Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+10
60.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 10 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
60.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 5 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-9
59.8%
Elijah Sindelar sacked by Josey Jewell for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 43 PURDUE Penalty, intentional grounding (Elijah Sindelar) to the Iowa 43Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 14
OPP 43
-15
62.8%
[SG], Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 5 yards to the IOWA38 (Jewell, Josey;Taylor, Miles), PENALTY PUR E (Cole Herdman) 15 yards to the PUR42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 29
OWN 42
0
63.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Markell Jones, broken up by Josey JewellSimilar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 29
OWN 42
0
64.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9END OF HALF
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
64.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 9 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+11
65.3%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 11 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
65.2%
Nathan Stanley sacked by Antoine Miles for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 18
OWN 30
+3
64.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5737% → 55%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
63.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 11 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
62.2%
[SG], Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Mahoungou, PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Rugamba, Manny) 8 yards to the PUR44, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
60.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 14 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
44.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 42 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
49.4%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
48.3%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q3 14:03
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
47.0%
Colten Rastetter punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 1:0656% → 68%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
50
+35
44.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 35 yds to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
42.8%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 16Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+16
31.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 16 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.0%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
34.9%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the Iowa 26Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+1
33.9%
Nathan Stanley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 27Similar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
33.9%
Colten Rastetter punt for 19 yds, downed at the Iowa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
30.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jarrett BurgessSimilar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
30.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+7
30.5%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
32.1%
Joe Schopper punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
13 plays · 39 yds · 2:5333% → 29%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
32.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 7 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+1
33.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 22Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+5
32.5%
Nathan Stanley run for 5 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
33.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+2
33.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+11
28.9%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 11 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
30.4%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 4
50
+5
31.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
31.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-5
31.5%
Nathan Stanley sacked by Markus Bailey for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
29.9%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Ivory Kelly-MartinSimilar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
28.5%
Colten Rastetter punt for 42 yds, downed at the Prdue 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
22.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Anthony MahoungouSimilar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+3
22.8%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 7
OWN 8
0
23.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jarrett Burgess, broken up by Jake GervaseSimilar
Q3 3:29
4TH & 7
OWN 8
+5
23.9%
Joe Schopper punt for 68 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 29 , Matt VandeBerg returns for 5 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
24.9%
James Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 28Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 11
OWN 28
-10
24.0%
Nathan Stanley sacked by T.J. McCollum for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 18Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 21
OWN 18
+9
23.0%
James Butler run for 9 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q3 2:20
4TH & 12
OWN 27
0
23.0%
Colten Rastetter punt for 34 yds, downed at the Prdue 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:1383% → 82%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
16.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Gregory Phillips, broken up by Brady ReiffSimilar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+17
17.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 17 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
16.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Cole Herdman for 6 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+1
15.8%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
16.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to D.J. KnoxSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
18.0%
Joe Schopper punt for 20 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19INT
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:0020% → 23%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
19.9%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to James ButlerSimilar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
19.6%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the Iowa 17Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+12
19.0%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 12 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
20.6%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Nick EasleySimilar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
19.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+7
20.0%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 7 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
21.4%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+6
19.8%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 6 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+11
20.4%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 11 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
22.8%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to James Butler for 2 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
22.6%
Nathan Stanley pass intercepted Navon Mosley return for no gain to the Prdue 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
8.9%
Markell Jones run for 11 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
8.7%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
8.5%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
9.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q4 8:27
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
9.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 17 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for no gain to the Iowa 16 Matt VandeBerg fumbled, recovered by Prdue Antonio BlackmonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21FG
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:0793% → 97%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
6.8%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Iowa 16 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, face mask (8 yards) (A.J. Epenesa) to the Iowa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
6.8%
Elijah Sindelar run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 11 Elijah Sindelar fumbled, recovered by Prdue Elijah SindelarSimilar
Q4 6:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
6.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q4 6:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
7.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 1 yd to the Iowa 10Similar
Q4 3:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
2.9%
J.D. Dellinger 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22TD
10 plays · 45 yds · 2:514% → 7%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
3.9%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Matt VandeBerg, broken up by Eddy WilsonSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
3.9%
Nathan Stanley sacked by Gelen Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
4.3%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 9 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+6
4.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
4.6%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
4.6%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Nick EasleySimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
4.6%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q4 3:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
4.4%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to T.J. HockensonSimilar
Q4 1:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
6.9%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:1195% → 96%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
4.8%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+2
4.5%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+32
4.5%
Markell Jones run for 32 yds to the Iowa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
4.1%
Elijah Sindelar run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:03
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 42 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)
-16.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:27
Markell Jones run for 11 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST down
-13.7
TD · Q3 11:59
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 16 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
-10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com