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RUTG

Rutgers 0 at Indiana 41

IU
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Ryan Anderson punt for 32 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Home team on offense+6.5Pregame prior+21.0Score differential+2.6Garbage-time factor+1.3Blowout margin+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:17: Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 57 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +2.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 2:29: Griffin Oakes 26 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +2.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 9:09: Griffin Oakes 20 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +3.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:43: Timeout RUTGERS, clock 00:43 — IU win probability +3.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:38: Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 20 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +3.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00RUTG 4th & 18 at RUTG 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:55IU 4th & 9 at RUTG 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    77.2%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:12RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:17RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:29IU 4th & 8 at RUTG 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−3.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00RUTG 4th & 8 at IU 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    15.2%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:09IU 4th & 2 at RUTG 2, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.4%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−6.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:09RUTG 4th & 19 at IU 48, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−1.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:59IU 4th & 2 at IU 40, up 20
    Close callPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:43RUTG 4th & 23 at IU 47, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:33RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 30, down 27
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:12RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 29, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00IU 4th & 2 at RUTG 49, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:06RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 17, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:20RUTG 4th & 6 at IU 8, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:15IU 4th & 3 at IU 15, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:53RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 41, down 41
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:12IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:17IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:38IU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:19IU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:27IU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
77.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-12 Yards) to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 22
OWN 13
0
77.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+9
77.4%
Gus Edwards run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-5
77.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
77.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+7
77.4%
Ryan Anderson punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 34 , Luke Timian returns for 7 yds to the Ind 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
77.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 9 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 1
OWN 43
-7
77.2%
Richard Lagow run for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 36Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+17
77.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 17 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
77.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Morgan Ellison for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 13
50
+4
77.2%
Morgan Ellison run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
77.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q1 13:55
4TH & 9
OPP 46
+1
77.2%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 36 yds , Hunter Hayek returns for 1 yd to the Rutgr 6 Hunter Hayek fumbled, recovered by Ind Rashard FantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
77.9%
Morgan Ellison run for 6 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.4%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
77.4%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-9
77.5%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Greg Gooch for a loss of 9 yards to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
77.7%
Ryan Anderson punt for 49 yds, downed at the Ind 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:5078% → 80%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
77.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 3 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+9
77.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 9 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
80.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 57 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
79.2%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Bo Melton for 6 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
79.1%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
79.2%
Ryan Anderson punt for 55 yds, downed at the Ind 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7FG
13 plays · 81 yds · 3:3781% → 83%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
80.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 3 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+1
80.6%
Cole Gest run for 1 yd to the Ind 15Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+36
80.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 36 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
81.0%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Lagow, Richard, PENALTY RU pass interference 12 yards to the RU37, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
81.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ryan Watercutter for 7 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+3
81.1%
Cole Gest run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
81.1%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
81.0%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+19
80.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 19 yds to the Rutgr 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
81.1%
Ricky Brookins run for no gain to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
81.1%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
80.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky BrookinsSimilar
Q1 2:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
83.0%
Griffin Oakes 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:2918% → 16%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.4%
Gus Edwards run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
82.3%
Gus Edwards run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
82.3%
Gus Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+18
82.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jonathan Crawford) to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
82.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Everett Wormley for 4 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
83.4%
Gus Edwards run for no gain to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+3
83.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Mohamed Jabbie for 3 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 40
-5
83.6%
RUTGERS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
84.1%
Ryan Anderson punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9FG
13 plays · 85 yds · 4:1186% → 91%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
85.5%
Cole Gest run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 12Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+5
85.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Taysir Mack for 5 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+9
85.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Cole Gest for 9 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
85.5%
Cole Gest run for 9 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+6
85.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 6 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
86.0%
Cole Gest run for 4 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+7
86.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 7 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+39
86.0%
Morgan Ellison run for 39 yds to the Rutgr 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
86.0%
Morgan Ellison run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
86.0%
Morgan Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
85.8%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete, broken up by Isaiah WhartonSimilar
Q2 9:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
91.0%
Griffin Oakes 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
90.6%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
90.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Everett Wormley for 4 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-1
90.1%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+19
90.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Robert Martin for 19 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
89.9%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 5 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+4
89.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jerome Washington for 4 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 1
OPP 30
-10
89.9%
Martin, Robert rush for no gain to the IND30 (Scales, Tegray), PENALTY RU holding 10 yards to the IND40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 11
OPP 40
-8
90.5%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Tony Fields for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 9:09
4TH & 19
OPP 48
0
90.8%
Ryan Anderson punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:5493% → 93%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
93.2%
Cole Gest run for 12 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
93.2%
Cole Gest run for 1 yd to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+4
93.2%
Cole Gest run for 4 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+3
93.8%
Richard Lagow run for 3 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
93.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
14 plays · 38 yds · 2:287% → 4%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
92.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 14 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
92.6%
Gus Edwards run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+3
92.2%
Gus Edwards run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
92.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Everett WormleySimilar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+13
92.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jerome Washington for 13 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
92.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Gus EdwardsSimilar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+13
92.3%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 13 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
91.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-8
92.3%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Ja'merez Bowen and Robert McCray III for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 42Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 18
OPP 42
0
95.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jerome Washington, broken up by Chris CovingtonSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 18
OPP 42
-5
96.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 23
OPP 47
0
96.0%
Ryan Anderson punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
95.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14INT
10 plays · 37 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
95.2%
Cole Gest run for 1 yd to the Ind 23Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
95.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+12
95.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 12 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
95.3%
Cole Gest run for 1 yd to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
95.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+20
95.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 20 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
95.5%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
95.5%
Cole Gest run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
95.4%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted Jawuan Harris return for no gain to the Rutgr 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · -3 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
94.0%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Greg Gooch for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 24 Giovanni Rescigno fumbled, recovered by Ind Tony Fields , return for 0 yards , return for 4 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:4396% → 99%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
95.8%
Devonte Williams run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
95.8%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+20
99.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 20 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
99.0%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+2
98.9%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+1
98.8%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
98.8%
Ryan Anderson punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:1999% → 100%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.2%
Cole Gest run for 7 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
99.1%
Cole Gest run for 2 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
99.1%
Cole Gest run for 3 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.2%
Cole Gest run for 3 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+8
99.2%
Richard Lagow run for 8 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
99.2%
Cole Gest run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
99.2%
Cole Gest run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
99.2%
Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+45
99.3%
Morgan Ellison run for 45 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.1%
Morgan Ellison run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Morgan Ellison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Johnathan Lewis pass incomplete to Raheem BlackshearSimilar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Johnathan Lewis pass complete to Mohamed Jabbie for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+9
99.7%
Ryan Anderson punt for 59 yds , Luke Timian returns for 9 yds to the Ind 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:31100% → 100%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
99.7%
Cole Gest run for 7 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+15
99.7%
Cole Gest run for 15 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.7%
Morgan Ellison run for 3 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-1
99.7%
Morgan Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+6
99.8%
Cole Gest run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+1
99.8%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 36 yds , Jawuan Harris returns for 1 yd to the Rutgr 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.8%
Johnathan Lewis run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
99.8%
Johnathan Lewis pass incomplete to Jerome Washington, broken up by Chris CovingtonSimilar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 7
OWN 17
0
99.8%
Johnathan Lewis pass incomplete, broken up by A'Shon RigginsSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
99.8%
Ryan Anderson punt for 40 yds, downed at the Ind 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 4:41100% → 100%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.8%
Morgan Ellison run for 6 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+9
99.8%
Morgan Ellison run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.8%
Morgan Ellison run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+25
99.8%
Morgan Ellison run for 25 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.8%
Cole Gest run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+5
99.8%
Cole Gest run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Cole Gest run for 8 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:000% → 0%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.9%
Johnathan Lewis pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 7 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+10
99.9%
Johnathan Lewis run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
99.9%
Johnathan Lewis pass complete to Bo Melton for 25 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Johnathan Lewis run for 8 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+1
99.9%
Johnathan Lewis run for 1 yd to the Ind 21Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+9
99.9%
Robert Martin run for 9 yds to the Ind 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Johnathan Lewis run for 2 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+2
99.9%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Johnathan Lewis pass incomplete to Robert Martin, broken up by A'Shon RigginsSimilar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 6
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Johnathan Lewis pass incomplete to Jerome Washington, broken up by Zeke WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
100.0%
Alex Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the Ind 9Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+1
100.0%
Alex Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the Ind 10Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+5
100.0%
Alex Rodriguez run for 5 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 3
OWN 15
-6
99.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 39 yds , Jawuan Harris returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-11
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 21
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Johnathan Lewis pass incomplete to Gus EdwardsSimilar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 21
OWN 29
+12
100.0%
Johnathan Lewis run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Johnathan Lewis pass incomplete to Hunter HayekSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Connor Thomas run for no gain to the Rutgr 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:43
Timeout RUTGERS, clock 00:43
+3.6
TD · Q3 11:38
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 20 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+3.2
FG · Q2 9:09
Griffin Oakes 20 yd FG GOOD
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com