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IOWA

Iowa 14 at Wisconsin 38

WIS
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFUMBLETDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:45 · Anthony Lotti punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+12.3Home team on offense+5.1Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:55: Kendric Pryor run for 25 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +4.8 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:19: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 12 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +7.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:18: Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted for a TD Joshua Jackson return for 52 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +11.6 pts (now 27%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. FUMBLE · Q3 6:10: TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wisc Leon Jacobs , return for 21 yds, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +13.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:05: Bradrick Shaw run for 8 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +8.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 6IOWA made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 5:43WIS 4th & 5 at IOWA 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    71.9%−1.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:59IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:48IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:45WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:13IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 15, up 4
    Close callPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:09IOWA 4th & 21 at IOWA 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−2.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:53IOWA 4th & 7 at WIS 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:39WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:34IOWA 4th & 17 at IOWA 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−4.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:40IOWA 4th & 16 at IOWA 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:45WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 48, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:39IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:08WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 39, up 10
    Close callPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:13IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:51WIS 4th & 1 at IOWA 43, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:25IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 18, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:30IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:55WIS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:19WIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:18IOWA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:05WIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:02WIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1INT TD
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:0080% → 80%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
80.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 19 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
80.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 36Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 13
OWN 36
0
80.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+43
79.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted for a TD Joshua Jackson return for 43 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2FG
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:2379% → 77%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
79.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
79.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 1 yd to the Wisc 25Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
78.9%
IOWA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Anthony Nelson) to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
78.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+18
78.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 18 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
78.3%
Bradrick Shaw run for 14 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
78.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
78.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+16
77.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 16 yds to the Iowa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
77.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+6
77.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Iowa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
77.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Iowa 1Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
76.6%
Austin Ramesh run for no gain to the Iowa 1Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
76.1%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Kyle Penniston) to the Iowa 5Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
75.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q1 5:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
76.8%
Rafael Gaglianone 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2124% → 24%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
76.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
76.0%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to James Butler for no gain to the Iowa 20Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
76.1%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 6
OWN 20
+52
76.3%
Colten Rastetter punt for 52 yds , Nick Nelson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:5376% → 76%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
75.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+11
75.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
76.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Jake Gervase return for no gain to the Iowa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:3425% → 25%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
75.1%
James Butler run for 6 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+4
74.7%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Iowa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
74.4%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-1
74.3%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 15Similar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 11
OWN 15
-5
74.5%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Tristan Wirfs) to the Iowa 10Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 16
OWN 10
+9
74.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 9 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 7
OWN 19
+3
74.6%
Colten Rastetter punt for 51 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 3 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4074% → 72%
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
73.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
74.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
-5
73.4%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by A.J. Epenesa for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 34Similar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
71.7%
Anthony Lotti punt for 59 yds, downed at the Iowa 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0228% → 27%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
72.3%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 5 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+3
71.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 2
OWN 15
0
72.2%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 2
OWN 15
0
72.7%
Colten Rastetter punt for 36 yds, downed at the Wisc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:5773% → 77%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
73.2%
Bradrick Shaw run for no gain to the Wisc 49Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
72.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+9
72.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Zander Neuville for 9 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
72.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 11 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
77.4%
Kendric Pryor run for 25 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
7 plays · -11 yds · 1:1625% → 23%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
75.2%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
75.5%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-5
76.1%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Tristan Wirfs) to the Iowa 21Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 13
OWN 21
-8
76.7%
Nathan Stanley sacked by Andrew Van Ginkel for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 13Similar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 21
OWN 13
0
77.2%
Colten Rastetter punt for 47 yds, downed at the Wisc 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · 11 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
77.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the Iowa 49 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, forced by Joshua Jackson, recovered by Iowa Manny RugambaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3726% → 25%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
73.9%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
73.7%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
73.9%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:53
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
75.5%
Colten Rastetter punt for 21 yds, downed at the Wisc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:0176% → 74%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
76.2%
Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
76.0%
Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 3
OWN 34
-4
75.8%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Brady Reiff for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 30Similar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
74.2%
Anthony Lotti punt for 62 yds, downed at the Iowa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 0:2424% → 24%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-7
75.7%
Nathan Stanley sacked by Olive Sagapolu for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 1Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 17
OWN 1
+2
74.8%
Nathan Stanley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 3Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 15
OWN 3
-2
75.1%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 1Similar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 17
OWN 1
+20
75.7%
Colten Rastetter punt for 45 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 20 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 1:1577% → 85%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
77.3%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Beau Benzschawel) to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+5
77.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+14
77.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 14 yds to the Iowa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
85.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 12 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1118% → 17%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.5%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
82.8%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Akrum Wadley for no gain to the Iowa 25Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
83.0%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the Iowa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:5018% → 16%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.0%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
81.5%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Nick EasleySimilar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-10
83.4%
Nathan Stanley sacked by Leon Jacobs for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 19Similar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
84.4%
Colten Rastetter punt for 43 yds, downed at the Wisc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17INT TD
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:0284% → 74%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
84.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+16
84.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 16 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
84.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-12
85.1%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Iowa 33 WISCONSIN Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the Iowa 48Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 18
OPP 48
+52
73.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted for a TD Joshua Jackson return for 52 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:5073% → 74%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
73.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
75.2%
Taylor, Jonathan rush for 6 yards to the WISCONSIN46, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Neuville, Zander) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+8
73.5%
Bradrick Shaw run for 8 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+1
73.8%
Alex Hornibrook run for 1 yd to the Wisc 39 Alex Hornibrook fumbled, recovered by Wisc Alex HornibrookSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+9
72.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 9 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
73.7%
Anthony Lotti punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19FUMBLE TD
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1029% → 15%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
71.5%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 6 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
70.6%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
70.8%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Noah FantSimilar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
71.3%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Nick EasleySimilar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+21
84.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wisc Leon Jacobs , return for 21 yds, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1116% → 15%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.2%
Nick Easley run for 5 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
83.9%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
84.5%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:39
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
85.2%
Colten Rastetter punt for 35 yds, downed at the Wisc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0786% → 85%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
85.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+3
86.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
86.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q3 3:08
4TH & 3
OWN 39
+41
85.1%
Anthony Lotti punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the WISCONSIN 30 IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Iowa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22INT
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:2615% → 16%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
85.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+9
84.7%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 9 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
84.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+10
83.8%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 10 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
83.4%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q3 0:18
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
84.3%
Nathan Stanley pass intercepted T.J. Edwards return for no gain to the Wisc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:5688% → 97%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
88.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+1
87.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 48Similar
Q4 14:04
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+12
86.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 12 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
88.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Iowa 40Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
88.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+28
88.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 28 yds to the Iowa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
89.0%
Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
97.1%
Bradrick Shaw run for 8 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:224% → 4%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
96.3%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 2 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
96.3%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-12
96.4%
Nathan Stanley sacked by Ryan Connelly for a loss of 12 yards to the Iowa 14 Nathan Stanley fumbled, recovered by Wisc Leon Jacobs , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 25TD
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:1597% → 100%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
97.2%
Taylor, Jonathan rush for 14 yards to the IOWA0, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding 10 yards to the IOWA24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 20
OPP 24
+6
97.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 14
OPP 18
+9
97.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q4 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
98.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 3 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, forced by Bo Bower, recovered by Wisc Zander NeuvilleSimilar
Q4 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
98.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 5Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:271% → 1%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.2%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 9 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Nick EasleySimilar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Colten Rastetter punt for 32 yds, downed at the Wisc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:59100% → 100%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.7%
Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+11
99.7%
Chris James run for 11 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.7%
Chris James run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 8
50
+5
99.7%
Chris James run for 5 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+2
99.7%
Bradrick Shaw run for 12 yds to the Iowa 33 WISCONSIN Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for no gain to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Anthony Lotti punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:201% → 1%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
99.4%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+5
99.4%
Toren Young run for 5 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+4
99.4%
Toren Young run for 4 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 1
OWN 18
+2
99.4%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q3 6:10
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wisc Leon Jacobs , return for 21 yds, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+13.7
TD · Q3 11:18
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted for a TD Joshua Jackson return for 52 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)
-11.6
TD · Q4 11:05
Bradrick Shaw run for 8 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com