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RUTG

Rutgers 6 at Penn State 35

PSU
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:16 · Ryan Anderson punt for 48 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Pregame prior+37.3Home team on offense+1.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Blowout margin+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 11:16: Andrew Harte 25 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +2.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:13: Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 22 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:00: Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:53: Trace McSorley run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 38 — PSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:42: Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5RUTG made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 12:48RUTG 4th & 3 at PSU 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.5%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:41PSU 4th & 10 at RUTG 37, down 3
    Close callPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:23RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 44, up 3
    Close callPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:01PSU 4th & 8 at PSU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:01RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:16RUTG 4th & 8 at PSU 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:26RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 10, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:48PSU 4th & 5 at RUTG 47, up 1
    Close callPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:16RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00PSU 4th & 23 at RUTG 36, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:10RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 17, down 8
    Close callPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:04RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 48, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:31RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 31, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00PSU 4th & 2 at PSU 48, up 22
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:32RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 14, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:45RUTG 4th & 3 at PSU 36, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:01RUTG 4th & 9 at PSU 9, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 9:32PSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:13PSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:00PSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:42PSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:52PSU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1FG
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:122% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
97.7%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the PnSt 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+7
97.7%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 7 yds to the PnSt 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 12
-5
97.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+3
97.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jerome Washington for 3 yds to the PnSt 14Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+33
97.3%
Andrew Harte 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
97.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 3 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+14
97.3%
Miles Sanders run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
97.3%
Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
97.4%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 6
OPP 33
-4
97.3%
Trace McSorley sacked by Jon Bateky for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
97.3%
Blake Gillikin punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+18
97.0%
Robert Martin run for 18 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
96.9%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
96.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Damon Mitchell, broken up by Grant HaleySimilar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+8
97.0%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
96.9%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
96.9%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
96.9%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 10:23
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
96.9%
Ryan Anderson punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:1096% → 96%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
96.1%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 16Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 16
OWN 16
+10
96.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 10 yds to the PnSt 26Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+3
95.7%
Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 29Similar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 3
OWN 29
-5
95.7%
PENN ST Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 24Similar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+12
95.7%
Blake Gillikin punt for 53 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 12 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5FG
15 plays · 57 yds · 7:454% → 8%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
95.6%
Gus Edwards run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
95.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
95.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Gus Edwards for 1 yd to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 4:01
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+3
95.6%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
95.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
95.5%
Gus Edwards run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+12
95.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Mohamed Jabbie for 12 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
94.0%
Gus Edwards run for 3 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+7
94.0%
Gus Edwards run for 7 yds to the PnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
93.9%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 2 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+18
93.8%
Gus Edwards run for 18 yds to the PnSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
93.8%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the PnSt 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete, broken up by Tyrell ChavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
94.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
91.6%
Andrew Harte 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:4492% → 94%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
92.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 19 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
92.8%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+25
92.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 25 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
94.3%
Trace McSorley run for 20 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
93.5%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 10
0
93.4%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 7
OWN 10
0
93.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 7
OWN 10
0
93.7%
Ryan Anderson punt for 42 yds, downed at the PnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
93.8%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saeed BlacknallSimilar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
93.7%
Trace McSorley run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-2
93.8%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 7:48
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
93.5%
Blake Gillikin punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
92.4%
Gus Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
92.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+8
92.7%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q2 6:16
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
92.8%
Ryan Anderson punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:2692% → 95%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
92.4%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 27Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+6
92.2%
Trace McSorley run for 6 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+17
92.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
50
+3
93.0%
Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
93.0%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saeed BlacknallSimilar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+10
92.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 10 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
93.0%
McSorley, Trace pass incomplete to Johnson, Juwan, PENALTY RU pass interference (Hayes, Damon) 15 yards to the RU22, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
94.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 22 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
93.6%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
93.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Dacoven Bailey for 4 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
94.5%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saquon Barkley, broken up by Kiy HesterSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-1
94.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 24
-12
94.2%
Trace McSorley sacked by Dacoven Bailey for a loss of 12 yards to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 23
OPP 36
0
93.5%
Blake Gillikin punt for 28 yds, downed at the Rutgr 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
93.1%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+1
93.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 7
OWN 11
+6
93.4%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+38
93.5%
Ryan Anderson punt for 38 yds, downed at the PENNST 45 RUTGERS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the PnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 4:5094% → 96%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
93.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 17 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
93.6%
Saquon Barkley run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
93.7%
Trace McSorley run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+4
93.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 4 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
93.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-2
93.7%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+21
93.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST down to Saquon Barkley for 21 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.8%
Saquon Barkley run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.3%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:565% → 5%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
95.0%
Rescigno, G. sacked for loss of 6 yards to the RU34 (Gross-Matos, Y.), PENALTY PSU offside defense (Brown, Cam) 5 yards to the RU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 5
OWN 45
0
94.8%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
94.9%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
95.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Myles Nash, broken up by Cam BrownSimilar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 2
OWN 48
-2
95.5%
Jerome Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 2:1197% → 99%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
97.4%
Trace McSorley run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+25
97.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 25 yds to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
97.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 9 yds to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
99.3%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
99.0%
Gus Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 11
OWN 31
0
99.0%
Gus Edwards run for no gain to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 11
OWN 31
0
99.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Raheem BlackshearSimilar
Q3 1:31
4TH & 11
OWN 31
+8
99.0%
Ryan Anderson punt for 37 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 8 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.3%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
99.3%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Mike GesickiSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+7
99.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 7 yds to the PnSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
99.2%
Blake Gillikin punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
99.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jerome Washington, broken up by Jason CabindaSimilar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+2
99.3%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+4
99.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Bo Melton for 4 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 4
OWN 14
+2
99.3%
Ryan Anderson punt for 50 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 2 yds to the PnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 5:0099% → 100%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.4%
Saquon Barkley run for 7 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+3
99.4%
Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.4%
Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
99.4%
Trace McSorley run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
99.4%
Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.4%
Saquon Barkley run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+17
99.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Brandon Polk for 17 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
99.4%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 16 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22DOWNS
18 plays · 69 yds · 5:440% → 0%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
99.9%
Gus Edwards run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+12
99.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 12 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
99.9%
Robert Martin run for 17 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
99.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 7 yds to the PnSt 36Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Nakia Griffin-StewartSimilar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+18
99.9%
Robert Martin run for 18 yds to the PnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.9%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the PnSt 16Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+5
99.9%
PENN ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the PnSt 11Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+1
99.9%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the PnSt 10Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+3
99.9%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the PnSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
100.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Hunter Hayek, broken up by Grant HaleySimilar
Q4 3:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
100.0%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 2 yds to the PnSt 5Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
99.9%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Ayron Monroe and Antonio Shelton for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 9Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
0
100.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Hunter HayekSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-5
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 4Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 15
OWN 4
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:00
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)
+2.5
FG · Q2 11:16
Andrew Harte 25 yd FG GOOD
-2.3
TD · Q2 1:13
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 22 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com