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NEB

Nebraska 21 at Minnesota 54

MINN
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:40 · Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 11 yds to the Minn 14 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginPregame prior
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Home team on offense+12.2Score differential+10.6Garbage-time factor+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Blowout margin+0.8Pregame prior+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:08: Demry Croft run for 3 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +4.6 pts (now 61%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:42: Demry Croft 73 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — MINN win probability +7.9 pts (now 68%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:40: Kobe McCrary run for 11 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +17.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:50: Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 14 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +11.5 pts (now 30%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:06: Kobe McCrary run for 9 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +9.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 5:02MINN 4th & 2 at NEB 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    56.3%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    56.0%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00NEB 4th & 1 at MINN 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.5%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    38.2%−1.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−4.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:42NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 36, down 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:40NEB 4th & 3 at MINN 25, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%−0.9
    66% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−6.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:04MINN 4th & 10 at NEB 18, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    72.6%−6.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 30, down 16
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:01MINN 4th & 23 at NEB 41, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    81.7%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:50NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 27, down 16
    Close callPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:06NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 44, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.9%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:13MINN 4th & 1 at NEB 13, up 23
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%−0.5
    85% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00NEB 4th & 6 at MINN 23, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:05NEB 4th & 1 at midfield, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:13NEB 4th & 17 at MINN 21, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:47MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:57NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:08MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:42MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    70.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:40MINN Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:50NEB Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:06MINN Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:17NEB Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:05MINN Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:21MINN Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:5046% → 46%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
54.2%
De'Mornay Pierson-El run for 2 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
54.2%
Mikale Wilbon run for 6 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+23
54.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 8 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, personal foul (Adekunle Ayinde) to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
54.2%
Mikale Wilbon run for 3 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+12
54.2%
Mikale Wilbon run for 12 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
54.2%
Mikale Wilbon run for 1 yd to the Minn 28Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+7
54.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Jack Stoll for 7 yds to the Minn 21Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+2
54.2%
Luke McNitt run for 2 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
54.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 6 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
54.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+12
54.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 12 yds to the Minn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.7%
Mikale Wilbon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:4955% → 61%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
54.7%
Demry Croft pass complete to Kobe McCrary for 2 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
54.7%
Demry Croft pass complete to Kobe McCrary for 7 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+10
54.7%
Demry Croft run for 10 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
55.2%
Demry Croft pass complete to Phillip Howard for 5 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+12
55.3%
Rodney Smith run for 12 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
55.4%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+9
55.4%
Rodney Smith run for 9 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 1
OPP 30
-1
55.4%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 5:02
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+7
55.2%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
56.2%
Kobe McCrary run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 25Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+22
56.2%
Demry Croft run for 22 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
60.8%
Demry Croft run for 3 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:0841% → 41%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.3%
Mikale Wilbon run for 5 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+44
58.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 44 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
57.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+4
56.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
56.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Minn 11Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-1
56.9%
Mikale Wilbon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+6
58.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 6 yds to the Minn 6Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 6
-1
58.6%
Mikale Wilbon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5TD
5 plays · 93 yds · 2:3260% → 68%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
59.8%
Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+5
60.0%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
60.2%
Kobe McCrary run for 7 yds to the Minn 25Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+2
60.3%
Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+73
68.2%
Demry Croft 73 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
66.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Tyjon LindseySimilar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
67.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+4
66.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 4 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q2 11:42
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
66.6%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Antonio Shenault at the Minn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:1770% → 88%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
69.8%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Brandon LingenSimilar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+14
69.6%
Rodney Smith run for 14 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
71.0%
Rodney Smith run for 17 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
71.3%
Demry Croft pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+11
71.1%
Kobe McCrary run for 11 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
71.3%
Demry Croft pass complete to Phillip Howard for 15 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
71.3%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+11
88.3%
Kobe McCrary run for 11 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 3:5016% → 30%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
84.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+10
84.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 10 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
84.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 18 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+27
83.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 27 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
81.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete, broken up by Jacob HuffSimilar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
82.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Merrick JacksonSimilar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+7
83.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 7 yds to the Minn 25Similar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+11
82.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 11 yds to the Minn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
81.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
70.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 14 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 2:4674% → 80%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
73.8%
Rodney Smith run for 13 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+21
73.7%
Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 21 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
75.2%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 46Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+23
74.9%
Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 23 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
75.4%
Demry Croft run for 8 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 2
OPP 23
0
79.4%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+5
78.0%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
79.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
79.9%
Demry Croft pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
78.7%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Lamar JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+36
79.9%
Emmit Carpenter 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
79.1%
Mikale Wilbon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+3
79.3%
Mikale Wilbon run for 3 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+7
79.5%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 7 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
78.9%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Antonio Shenault at the Minn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
82.2%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+25
82.2%
Demry Croft pass complete to Rodney Smith for 10 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (Antonio Reed) to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
82.9%
Croft, Demry pass incomplete to Still, Rashad, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Lamar Jackson) 15 yards to the NEB28, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
82.9%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
82.9%
Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 9
OPP 27
-14
82.3%
Demry Croft sacked by Ben Stille for a loss of 14 yards to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 23
OPP 41
0
80.8%
Ryan Santoso punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
83.7%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 7 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
82.8%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
83.2%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Mikale Wilbon, broken up by Thomas BarberSimilar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+24
84.3%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Antonio Shenault at the MINNESOTA 34 NEBRASKA Penalty, kick catching interference (Jeremiah Stovall) to the Minn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:5486% → 97%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
86.4%
Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+7
86.6%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
86.6%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+13
86.5%
Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 13 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
86.6%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+10
86.6%
Rodney Smith run for 10 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.5%
Kobe McCrary run for 9 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
95.5%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 11 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.3%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Tyler HoppesSimilar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
95.3%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+9
95.6%
Patrick O'Brien run for 9 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-6
95.4%
Patrick O'Brien sacked by Blake Cashman for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16FG
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:2397% → 99%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
97.3%
Demry Croft pass complete to Phillip Howard for 9 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+7
97.4%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
97.4%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+7
97.4%
Demry Croft run for 7 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
97.3%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Neb 13Similar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+30
99.1%
Emmit Carpenter 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:561% → 5%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
99.5%
Patrick O'Brien sacked by Tai'yon Devers for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 25Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+25
99.6%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to JD Spielman for 25 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.5%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 5 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+15
99.5%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete, PENALTY MINN pass interference (Ayinde,Adekunle) 15 yards to the MINN27, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-12
99.4%
Patrick O'Brien sacked by Merrick Jackson and Andrew Stelter for a loss of 12 yards to the Minn 35 Patrick O'Brien fumbled, recovered by Neb Patrick O'Brien , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 35
+12
99.5%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 12 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+21
99.4%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 21 yds to the Minn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Minn 1Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:1298% → 100%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
97.7%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 26Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+9
97.6%
Demry Croft run for 9 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+64
97.7%
Demry Croft run for 64 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 0
OPP 1
-5
98.0%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (Sam Schlueter) to the Neb 6Similar
Q4 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
97.9%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Demry Croft run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.8%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 5 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-2
99.8%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+6
99.8%
Patrick O'Brien run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 1
50
0
99.8%
Patrick O'Brien run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 1:30100% → 100%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.8%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+5
99.8%
Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+43
99.9%
Kobe McCrary run for 43 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21DOWNS
15 plays · 59 yds · 3:080% → 0%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
99.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Thomas BarberSimilar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+14
99.9%
Patrick O'Brien run for 14 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
99.9%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Jack Stoll for 14 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete, broken up by Blake CashmanSimilar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+26
99.9%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to JD Spielman for 26 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
99.9%
Patrick O'Brien run for 12 yds to the Minn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-6
99.9%
Patrick O'Brien sacked by Thomas Barber for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 20Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 16
OPP 20
+6
100.0%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to JD Spielman for 6 yds to the Minn 14Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-7
100.0%
Patrick O'Brien sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 21Similar
Q4 0:13
4TH & 17
OPP 21
-5
100.0%
Patrick O'Brien sacked by Winston DeLattiboudere for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:40
Kobe McCrary run for 11 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
+17.1
TD · Q2 2:50
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 14 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
-11.5
TD · Q3 5:06
Kobe McCrary run for 9 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
+9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com