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ILL

Illinois 10 at Purdue 29

PUR
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:15 · Blake Hayes punt for 36 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Pregame prior+15.2Home team on offense+1.8Score differential+0.6Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:34: Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Louis Dorsey for 8 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK) — ILL win probability +3.5 pts (now 22%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:06: Chase McLaughlin 31 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +5.7 pts (now 31%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 3:47: J.D. Dellinger 30 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +3.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:37: Cole Herdman 3 Yd pass from Elijah Sindelar (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — PUR win probability +9.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:12: Richie Worship run for 1 yd for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +4.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ILL made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ILL 4th & 10 at ILL 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:24PUR 4th & 3 at ILL 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    81.5%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00PUR 4th & 1 at ILL 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    78.1%−0.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:30PUR 4th & 5 at ILL 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    75.7%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:48ILL 4th & 7 at PUR 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    21.8%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:25PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:00ILL 4th & 1 at PUR 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    23.8%−1.5
    74% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−5.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:06ILL 4th & 13 at PUR 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:25ILL 4th & 26 at ILL 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−3.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:15ILL 4th & 20 at PUR 36, down 3
    Close callPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−1.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    25.6%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:11PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:04ILL 4th & 4 at ILL 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:47PUR 4th & 13 at ILL 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−2.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−9.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:47ILL 4th & 15 at PUR 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%−2.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:17ILL 4th & 7 at PUR 32, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:32PUR 4th & 16 at PUR 46, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:26ILL 4th & 16 at ILL 27, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 3ILL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:24PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:34ILL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:37PUR Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    91.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:12PUR Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILLDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
82.2%
Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
82.2%
Cam Thomas run for 1 yd to the Illin 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
82.2%
Cam Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
82.2%
Blake Hayes punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:1682% → 82%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
81.9%
Richie Worship run for 14 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
81.9%
Richie Worship run for 1 yd to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+13
81.9%
Jared Sparks run for 13 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
82.0%
Jared Sparks run for 3 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+5
82.0%
Richie Worship run for 5 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-1
82.0%
David Blough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 33 David Blough fumbled, recovered by Prdue David BloughSimilar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+33
82.1%
D.J. Knox run for 33 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:5018% → 22%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
81.9%
Foster,K. rush for 3 yards to the ILL28 (Navon Mosley), PENALTY ILL illegal block (Turner,Malik) 11 yards to the ILL14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 21
OWN 14
+42
81.9%
Cam Thomas pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 42 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
81.6%
ILLINOIS Penalty, delay of game (Cam Thomas) to the Prdue 49Similar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+13
81.8%
Cam Thomas pass complete to Dominic Thieman for 13 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+10
81.6%
Kendrick Foster run for 10 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
81.5%
Kendrick Foster run for 4 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+5
81.5%
Thomas,Cam rush for loss of 1 yard to the PUR23 (Lorenzo Neal;Danny Ezechukwu), PENALTY PUR offside (Antoine Miles) 5 yards to the PUR17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 1
OPP 17
-1
81.5%
Cam Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 18Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+8
81.6%
Cam Thomas run for 8 yds to the Prdue 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
81.5%
Jeff George Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
81.5%
Kendrick Foster run for 1 yd to the Prdue 9Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 0
OPP 9
+1
81.6%
George, Jr., J. pass incomplete to Thieman,Dominic, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Josh Okonye) 1 yards to the PUR8, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
81.5%
Cam Thomas run for no gain to the Prdue 8Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
77.9%
Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Louis Dorsey for 8 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4FG
18 plays · 69 yds · 7:0479% → 78%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
79.0%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 6 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+2
79.2%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+3
78.9%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-7
79.1%
Terry Wright run for 3 yds to the Prdue 36 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 17
OWN 26
0
79.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry Wright, broken up by Cameron WatkinsSimilar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 17
OWN 26
+5
79.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jackson Anthrop, PENALTY ILL offside (Crawford,James) 5 yards to the PUR31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+1
79.0%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 11
OWN 32
+13
78.7%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 13 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
79.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Mahoungou, PENALTY ILL offside declined, PENALTY ILL pass interference (Hobbs,Nate) 15 yards to the ILL40, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
79.9%
D.J. Knox run for 7 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
80.0%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Illin 33Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+2
79.7%
Richie Worship run for 2 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+17
78.2%
David Blough pass complete to Richie Worship for 17 yds to the Illin 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
79.1%
Richie Worship run for 2 yds to the Illin 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+3
79.1%
Richie Worship run for 3 yds to the Illin 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
78.7%
David Blough pass complete to Richie Worship for no gain to the Illin 9Similar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+26
78.1%
J.D. Dellinger 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:4222% → 22%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
78.0%
Cam Thomas run for 5 yds to the Illin 28Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+26
78.0%
Cam Thomas run for 26 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
76.9%
Kendrick Foster run for no gain to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
76.9%
Cam Thomas pass complete to Henry McGrew for 8 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 2
OPP 38
-5
77.0%
ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
77.1%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Dominic ThiemanSimilar
Q2 11:48
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
77.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
77.5%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 4Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+7
77.4%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 3
OWN 11
0
76.9%
David Blough pass incomplete, broken up by Jaylen DunlapSimilar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 3
OWN 11
0
76.5%
Joe Schopper punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7FG
18 plays · 40 yds · 7:0124% → 31%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
75.9%
Cam Thomas pass complete to Malik Turner for 12 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
75.7%
Cam Thomas run for no gain to the Prdue 41Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+9
75.8%
Cam Thomas pass complete to Dominic Thieman for 9 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
75.8%
Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
75.2%
Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 14
OPP 34
0
75.9%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 14
OPP 34
+8
76.9%
Kendrick Foster run for 8 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+5
76.9%
PURDUE Penalty, (5 Yards) to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
74.6%
Kendrick Foster run for 1 yd to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
72.7%
Kendrick Foster run for 9 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+5
72.7%
Cam Thomas run for 5 yds to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
72.7%
Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 7Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
72.7%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Louis DorseySimilar
Q2 1:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-6
73.7%
Jeff George Jr. sacked by Lorenzo Neal for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 13Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
69.4%
Chase McLaughlin 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 1:0672% → 79%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
72.3%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 16 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
73.8%
David Blough pass complete to Richie Worship for 7 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+4
74.7%
David Blough pass complete to Richie Worship for 4 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
74.9%
David Blough run for 13 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
75.8%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+10
75.8%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 10 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
75.8%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+42
79.4%
Spencer Evans 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
74.9%
David Blough pass complete to Richie Worship for 15 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
76.2%
Richie Worship run for 6 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
76.8%
Richie Worship run for no gain to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
76.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
74.8%
Joe Schopper punt for 44 yds, downed at the Illin 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0026% → 24%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+33
74.4%
Kendrick Foster run for 33 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
72.2%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-7
72.8%
Cam Thomas sacked by Markus Bailey for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 36Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 17
OWN 36
-9
75.2%
Cam Thomas sacked by Danny Ezechukwu for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 27Similar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 26
OWN 27
0
76.2%
Blake Hayes punt for 47 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for no gain to the Prdue 26 Jackson Anthrop fumbled, recovered by Illin Michael MarcheseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:0031% → 26%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
69.2%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
69.6%
Kendrick Foster run for no gain to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 10
OPP 26
-5
70.8%
ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (Vederian Lowe) to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 15
OPP 31
-5
72.5%
ILLINOIS Penalty, delay of game (Cam Thomas) to the Prdue 36Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 20
OPP 36
0
72.8%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Turner, broken up by Josh OkonyeSimilar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 20
OPP 36
0
74.3%
Blake Hayes punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
74.1%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 21 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
75.9%
Jackson Anthrop run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 14
OWN 37
0
74.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+5
73.3%
David Blough rush for 3 yards to the PUR40 (Milan,Jamal), PENALTY ILL offside (Roundtree,Bobby) 5 yards to the PUR42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+2
74.1%
David Blough pass complete to Jarrett Burgess for 2 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 10:11
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
73.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Malik Turner at the Illin 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0028% → 26%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
72.5%
Cam Thomas pass complete to Kendrick Foster for 6 yds to the Illin 25Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
71.8%
Cam Thomas run for no gain to the Illin 25Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
73.1%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Turner, broken up by Josh OkonyeSimilar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+5
74.5%
Blake Hayes punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 38 , Jackson Anthrop returns for 5 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 2:3675% → 78%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
75.0%
Jared Sparks run for 17 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
76.8%
Jared Sparks run for 5 yds to the Illin 40Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+2
76.3%
Jared Sparks run for 2 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-6
75.7%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the Illin 34 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive holding (Richie Worship) to the Illin 44Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+36
74.9%
David Blough pass complete to Jarrett Burgess for 36 yds Jarrett Burgess fumbled, forced by Jaylen Dunlap, recovered by Prdue for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 0
OPP 8
-5
78.3%
PURDUE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Illin 13Similar
Q3 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
77.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q3 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
76.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Richie Worship, broken up by Bobby RoundtreeSimilar
Q3 5:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
75.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q3 3:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
78.1%
J.D. Dellinger 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
75.6%
Cam Thomas pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 4 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+10
74.6%
Cam Thomas run for 10 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
74.2%
Cam Thomas pass complete to Malik Turner for 22 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
71.7%
Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Prdue 39 Kendrick Foster fumbled, forced by Derrick Barnes, recovered by IllinSimilar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+4
71.8%
Kendrick Foster run for 4 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 4
OPP 35
-11
71.2%
Cam Thomas sacked by Jacob Thieneman for a loss of 11 yards to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 15
OPP 46
0
76.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 4:2180% → 94%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+20
80.1%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 20 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
81.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jarrett BurgessSimilar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+12
80.9%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 12 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
83.2%
Markell Jones run for 11 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
83.9%
David Blough pass complete to Jarrett Burgess for 5 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+10
83.9%
Markell Jones run for 10 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
84.2%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 10 yds to the Illin 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
84.2%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Illin 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+10
84.2%
Richie Worship run for 10 yds to the Illin 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
84.2%
David Blough run for 4 yds to the Illin 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+5
84.2%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Illin 3Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
93.8%
Cole Herdman 3 Yd pass from Elijah Sindelar (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17INT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.1%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Louis DorseySimilar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
90.4%
Cam Thomas run for 3 yds to the Illin 28 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Markus Bailey) to the Illin 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
88.4%
George, Jr., J. pass incomplete to Thieman,Dominic, PENALTY ILL holding (Lowe,Vederian) 10 yards to the ILL33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+3
90.2%
Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Louis Dorsey for 3 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 17
OWN 36
0
90.4%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 17
OWN 36
0
90.7%
Jeff George Jr. pass intercepted Jacob Thieneman return for no gain to the Prdue 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 4:0794% → 99%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
94.3%
D.J. Knox run for 9 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+5
94.4%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
94.4%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
94.4%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+29
94.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 29 yds to the Illin 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
94.4%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Illin 1Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Richie Worship run for 1 yd for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:553% → 2%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
97.2%
Cam Thomas pass complete to Kendrick Foster for 40 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
96.5%
Cam Thomas pass complete to Dominic Thieman for 3 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
96.2%
Kendrick Foster run for no gain to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
96.8%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 7
OPP 32
-9
98.0%
Team run for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 41 Team fumbled, recovered by Illin Cam ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:4199% → 99%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
99.1%
D.J. Knox run for 11 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.1%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
99.1%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Illin 45Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 7
OPP 45
-9
99.3%
Elijah Sindelar sacked by James Crawford for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 16
OWN 46
0
99.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Nate Hobbs at the Illin 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+18
99.4%
Jeff George Jr. run for 3 yds to the Illin 18 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Eddy Wilson) to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.4%
Kendrick Foster run for 5 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-11
99.3%
Jeff George Jr. sacked by Danny Ezechukwu for a loss of 11 yards to the Illin 27Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 16
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Kendrick FosterSimilar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 16
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete, broken up by Gelen RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
99.5%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 28Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 11
OPP 28
-1
99.5%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:37
Cole Herdman 3 Yd pass from Elijah Sindelar (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+9.6
FG · Q2 1:06
Chase McLaughlin 31 yd FG GOOD
-5.7
TD · Q4 6:12
Richie Worship run for 1 yd for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com