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NU

Northwestern 31 at Nebraska 24

NEB
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:35 · Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Neb 7 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialTime remainingGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsDefense timeouts
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 150Home team on offense+8.6Score differential+2.6Time remaining+2.6Garbage-time factor+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Defense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:21: Tanner Lee pass complete to Jack Stoll for 32 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +12.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:08: Clayton Thorson pass intercepted for a TD Marcus Newby return for 49 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +13.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 3:04: Drew Brown 23 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +12.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:32: Clayton Thorson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +34.9 pts (now 58%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Clayton Thorson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +9.4 pts (now 67%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 7 of 8NU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:54NU 4th & 1 at NEB 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    45.5%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    45.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:54NEB 4th & 1 at NU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.3%−0.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:54NEB 4th & 1 at NU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.6%−0.6
    66% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00NU 4th & 6 at NEB 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    45.1%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:53NEB 4th & 18 at NEB 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−1.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:21NU 4th & 2 at NEB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    44.8%−1.7
    23% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:09NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:12NU 4th & 5 at NEB 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−6.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00NU 4th & 2 at NEB 27, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.5%−1.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−7.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:08NU 4th & 6 at NEB 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:04NEB 4th & 5 at NU 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−10.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:04NU 4th & 6 at NU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:48NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00NU 4th & 9 at NU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−2.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:35NU 4th & 1 at NEB 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.4%−2.8
    89% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−17.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:00NEB 4th & 5 at NU 40, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.8 ptsPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    57.0%−2.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%−5.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:36NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:33NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:06NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:21NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:08NEB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:32NU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.9%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
49.4%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+4
49.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
49.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
49.4%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:1851% → 52%
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
49.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 6 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q1 13:54
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+7
49.4%
Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
49.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 5 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 13:54
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+8
49.4%
Justin Jackson run for 8 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
49.4%
Jeremy Larkin run for no gain to the Neb 33Similar
Q1 13:54
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+7
49.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Jeremy Larkin for 7 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+2
49.4%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q1 13:54
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+3
49.5%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
49.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 4 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+17
47.7%
Justin Jackson run for 17 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3INT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
48.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 21Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
48.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+7
48.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 7 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
48.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
48.4%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+3
48.2%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted Kyle Queiro return for 3 yds to the Neb 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
47.0%
Jeremy Larkin run for 9 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+7
46.9%
Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
46.9%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+32
46.9%
Clayton Thorson pass intercepted Joshua Kalu return for 32 yds to the Neb 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 5:2148% → 54%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
47.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 16 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
48.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete, broken up by Montre HartageSimilar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
48.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+6
48.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 6 yds to the Nwest 36Similar
Q1 5:54
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
47.9%
Mikale Wilbon run for 2 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
48.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Nwest 33Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+4
48.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+4
48.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for 4 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q1 5:54
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+3
48.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Nwest 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
53.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Bryan Reimers for 22 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:2350% → 49%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
50.4%
Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+10
49.8%
Justin Jackson run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 35
+10
51.0%
Justin Jackson run for 10 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 45
0
50.6%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Macan WilsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 45
-5
51.0%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Rashawn Slater) to the Nwest 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 40
+14
51.1%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 14 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
50.7%
Hunter Niswander punt for 33 yds, downed at the Neb 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
52.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 12 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
52.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 21Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-11
52.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 3 yards to the NEB24, PENALTY NEB illegal block (Devine Ozigbo) 11 yards to the NEB10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 25
OWN 10
0
52.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+7
51.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
51.0%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:1849% → 59%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+28
50.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 28 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
48.8%
Jeremy Larkin run for 7 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+4
48.6%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 4 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
41.1%
Jeremy Larkin run for 24 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:4044% → 56%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+40
43.9%
JD Spielman run for 40 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
56.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Jack Stoll for 32 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0049% → 50%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
51.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 21 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
49.4%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 47Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
49.6%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Garrett Dickerson, broken up by Marcus NewbySimilar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+5
50.6%
Thorson, C. sacked for loss of 7 yards to the NU40 (Ben Stille), PENALTY NEB offside defense (Khalil Davis) 5 yards to the NEB48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+2
49.4%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
50.5%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Riley Lees, broken up by Lamar JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0056% → 52%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
55.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 12
OWN 44
0
54.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+2
53.2%
Tanner Lee run for 2 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
52.4%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 41 yds, downed at the Nwest 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12FG
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:2249% → 55%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
50.6%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 14Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+5
50.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 5 yds to the Nwest 19Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+10
51.5%
Thorson, C. pass incomplete to Skowronek, B., PENALTY NEB holding (Lamar Jackson) 10 yards to the NU29, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
50.2%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 17 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+42
48.1%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 42 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
46.8%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+2
46.8%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Neb 7Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
47.4%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Justin JacksonSimilar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
45.2%
Charlie Kuhbander 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0049% → 51%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
49.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 11 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
51.4%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted Kyle Queiro return for 20 yds to the Neb 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14MISSED FG
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:3658% → 56%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
42.3%
Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
42.2%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Macan WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+1
43.3%
Clayton Thorson run for 1 yd to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+44
44.3%
Charlie Kuhbander 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15INT TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:5254% → 43%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
45.8%
Justin Jackson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
44.5%
Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+49
57.5%
Clayton Thorson pass intercepted for a TD Marcus Newby return for 49 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
59.1%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 9 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
56.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 13 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
56.0%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel, broken up by Joshua KaluSimilar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
56.9%
Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
55.9%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn NagelSimilar
Q3 14:08
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
58.6%
Hunter Niswander punt for 34 yds, downed at the Neb 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17FG
19 plays · 79 yds · 9:2460% → 75%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
59.8%
De'Mornay Pierson-El run for 7 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+8
60.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 8 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
60.3%
Tyjon Lindsey run for 2 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
60.3%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+9
59.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 9 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
62.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 8 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+5
62.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
63.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+16
62.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 16 yds to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
63.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Nwest 23Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 3
OPP 23
-8
63.8%
Tyjon Lindsey run for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 31Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+10
61.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman, PENALTY NU holding (Queiro, Kyle) 10 yards to the NU21, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
63.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Jack Stoll for 4 yds to the Nwest 17Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+5
63.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Nwest 12Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+1
62.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Nwest 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
63.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
63.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Nwest 10Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+4
62.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for 4 yds to the Nwest 6Similar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+23
75.4%
Drew Brown 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.3%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
71.0%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
72.0%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+26
73.4%
Hunter Niswander punt for 41 yds NORTHWESTERN Penalty, kick catching interference (Moe Almasri) to the Neb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0079% → 76%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
79.3%
JD Spielman run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 5
50
-2
79.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 48Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
78.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Kyle QueiroSimilar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
76.2%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:3025% → 23%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
74.6%
Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+5
74.3%
Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
74.6%
Justin Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 22
0
75.1%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn NagelSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 22
-5
76.4%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Rashawn Slater) to the Nwest 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 17
+8
76.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 8 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 25
+6
77.0%
Hunter Niswander punt for 41 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 6 yds to the Neb 31 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Neb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21INT
5 plays · 51 yds · 0:0083% → 85%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
82.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+9
82.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 9 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
84.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+38
84.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 23 yds to the NEBRASKA 34 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, personal foul (Paddy Fisher) to the Nwest 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
85.0%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted Godwin Igwebuike return for no gain to the Nwest 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22TD
13 plays · 84 yds · 5:0320% → 58%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
79.6%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett SkowronekSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+15
80.1%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 15 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
78.7%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett SkowronekSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+20
79.5%
Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (Lamar Jackson) to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
75.6%
Clayton Thorson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
76.8%
Jeremy Larkin run for 1 yd to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+20
77.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 20 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
73.1%
Jeremy Larkin run for 10 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
73.1%
Jeremy Larkin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 19Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+10
73.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 10 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
75.2%
Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Neb 9Similar
Q4 10:35
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
76.9%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Neb 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
41.9%
Clayton Thorson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23PUNT
13 plays · 53 yds · 4:2455% → 58%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
55.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 15 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
56.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 23Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+3
55.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 3 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+16
54.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 16 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
60.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 43Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+5
60.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+7
59.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 7 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
62.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
62.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Jack Stoll for 5 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
61.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Kyle QueiroSimilar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
58.1%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 31 yds, downed at the Nwest 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 49 yds · 0:2551% → 60%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
49.3%
Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 13Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+20
49.1%
Justin Jackson run for 20 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
46.5%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Jeremy Larkin, broken up by Mick StoltenbergSimilar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
47.6%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Jeremy Larkin for 5 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+10
45.0%
Thorson, C. rush over right end for 2 yards to the NU40, PENALTY NEB holding (Chris Jones) 10 yards to the NU48, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
41.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 10 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
39.8%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett Skowronek, broken up by Joshua KaluSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 25TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 67%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
40.5%
Jeremy Larkin run for 12 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
40.5%
Jeremy Larkin run for 6 yds to the Neb 7Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+5
40.5%
Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Neb 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
40.6%
Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Neb 2Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
40.5%
Jeremy Larkin run for 1 yd to the Neb 1Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
42.6%
Clayton Thorson run for no gain to the Neb 1Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.1%
Clayton Thorson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0028% → 17%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-10
24.0%
Tanner Lee sacked by Sam Miller for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 35Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 20
OPP 35
+8
18.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 8 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 12
OPP 27
0
16.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Kyle QueiroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:32
Clayton Thorson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
-34.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-16.8
TD · Q3 14:08
Clayton Thorson pass intercepted for a TD Marcus Newby return for 49 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
+13.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com