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MINN

Minnesota 10 at Michigan 33

MICH
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:51 · O'Maury Samuels run for no gain to the Mich 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:24: Rodney Smith run for 10 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +4.2 pts (now 16%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:58: Karan Higdon run for 77 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin PAT MISSED) — MICH win probability +1.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:00: Chris Evans run for 60 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +4.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:44: Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Khalid Hill — MICH win probability +2.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:27: Karan Higdon run for 5 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +6.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MINN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:26MINN 4th & 2 at MICH 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00MINN 4th & 7 at MINN 28, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:47MICH 4th & 12 at MICH 42, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:39MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:00MINN 4th & 16 at MINN 12, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:11MICH 4th & 15 at MINN 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00MICH 4th & 12 at MICH 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:10MICH 4th & 11 at MICH 22, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:27MINN 4th & 17 at MINN 7, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−1.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00MINN 4th & 12 at MINN 21, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:46MICH 4th & 17 at MICH 37, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:44MINN 4th & 3 at MINN 38, down 26
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:48MICH 4th & 4 at MICH 26, up 26
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:51MINN 4th & 4 at MICH 5, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MINN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:43MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:24MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:58MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:00MICH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:27MICH Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:35MICH Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 2:3411% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
89.1%
Demry Croft run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+4
89.1%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+25
89.1%
Demry Croft pass complete to Phillip Howard for 25 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
89.1%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 45Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
88.4%
Demry Croft pass complete to Rodney Smith for 8 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
88.3%
Demry Croft pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
88.4%
Ryan Santoso punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 3:5788% → 89%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
88.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 8 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+47
88.3%
Karan Higdon run for 47 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
88.5%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Sean McKeon for 4 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+5
88.5%
Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+1
88.4%
Khalid Hill run for 1 yd to the Minn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
88.5%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Minn 15Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 7
OPP 15
-5
88.5%
MICHIGAN Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the Minn 20Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+20
88.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Sean McKeon for 20 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:1912% → 16%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
88.2%
Demry Croft pass complete to Phillip Howard for 16 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
88.0%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
88.0%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+8
88.0%
Demry Croft run for 8 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
88.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Mich 42Similar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 5
OPP 42
0
88.0%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Mich 42Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+12
88.0%
Phillip Howard run for 12 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
87.9%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Mich 29Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+12
87.9%
Demry Croft run for 12 yds to the Mich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
87.8%
Kobe McCrary run for 7 yds to the Mich 10Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
83.6%
Rodney Smith run for 10 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 0:2685% → 87%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
85.3%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+77
87.2%
Karan Higdon run for 77 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5813% → 13%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.3%
Demry Croft run for 6 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
87.0%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
87.1%
Kobe McCrary run for no gain to the Minn 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
87.3%
Demry Croft run for 2 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
87.4%
Ryan Santoso punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
87.1%
Karan Higdon run for 12 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-9
87.6%
Brandon Peters sacked by Antonio Shenault for a loss of 9 yards to the Mich 35Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 19
OWN 35
+7
87.0%
Chris Evans run for 7 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 12
OWN 42
0
87.0%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:47
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
86.7%
Brad Robbins punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
86.6%
Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the Minn 17Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+13
86.3%
Kobe McCrary run for 13 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
86.2%
Phillip Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 28Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
86.3%
Demry Croft pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+2
86.5%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+61
86.7%
Ryan Santoso punt for 51 yds MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Mich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8TD
5 plays · 91 yds · 2:0386% → 91%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
86.3%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 10Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+12
86.3%
Karan Higdon run for 12 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
86.7%
Chris Evans run for 18 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
91.4%
Chris Evans run for 60 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
90.0%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 16Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 12
OWN 16
-6
90.2%
Demry Croft sacked by Maurice Hurst for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 10Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 18
OWN 10
+2
90.3%
Phillip Howard run for 2 yds to the Minn 12Similar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 16
OWN 12
+7
90.3%
Ryan Santoso punt for 57 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 7 yds to the Mich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 31 yds · 4:4592% → 91%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
91.5%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 39Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+6
91.5%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Sean McKeon for 6 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+7
91.3%
Karan Higdon run for 7 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
91.7%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+19
91.7%
Chris Evans run for 19 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
91.8%
Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-15
91.8%
MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Minn 39Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 23
OPP 39
0
91.5%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 23
OPP 39
+8
91.3%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Nate Schoenle for 8 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 15
OPP 31
+49
90.8%
Quinn Nordin 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
89.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
90.5%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
90.6%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 37
-7
90.4%
Brandon Peters sacked by Blake Cashman for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 30Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
89.6%
Brad Robbins punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
89.3%
MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Rashan Gary) to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
88.6%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 49Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-17
89.2%
Demry Croft sacked by Chase Winovich for a loss of 17 yards to the Minn 32 MINNESOTA Penalty, intentional grounding (Demry Croft) to the Minn 32Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 29
OWN 32
-6
90.0%
Demry Croft sacked by Mike McCray and Maurice Hurst for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 26Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 35
OWN 26
0
90.1%
Ryan Santoso punt for 51 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for no gain to the Mich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
90.6%
Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+1
91.0%
Eddie McDoom run for 1 yd to the Mich 29Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 4
OWN 29
-7
90.7%
Brandon Peters sacked by Merrick Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 22Similar
Q3 11:10
4TH & 11
OWN 22
0
89.5%
Brad Robbins punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
89.9%
Rodney Smith run for 9 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+4
89.3%
Kobe McCrary run for 4 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
89.5%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-12
89.6%
Demry Croft sacked by Khaleke Hudson for a loss of 12 yards to the Minn 46 Demry Croft fumbled, recovered by Mich Chase Winovich , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:1792% → 98%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
92.2%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Khalid HillSimilar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+15
92.1%
Karan Higdon run for 15 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
92.2%
Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+3
92.2%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+4
91.9%
Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
92.2%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Minn 16Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+1
92.2%
Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Minn 15Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+10
91.9%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 10 yds to the Minn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.9%
Karan Higdon run for 5 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-4
97.5%
Demry Croft pass complete to Rodney Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 10Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 14
OWN 10
0
97.6%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 14
OWN 10
-3
97.6%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 7Similar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 17
OWN 7
+8
97.7%
Ryan Santoso punt for 58 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 8 yds to the Mich 15 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyree Kinnel) to the Mich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18TD
1 play · 67 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
99.5%
Chris Evans 67 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 23Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-5
99.7%
Demry Croft sacked by Khaleke Hudson for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 18Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 15
OWN 18
+3
99.7%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 21Similar
Q3 1:35
4TH & 12
OPP 0
0
99.5%
PENALTY MINN unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY MICH unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 21
+14
99.7%
Ryan Santoso punt for 49 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 14 yds to the Mich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
99.6%
MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Juwann Bushell-Beatty) to the Mich 39Similar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 15
OWN 39
0
99.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Maurice Ways for no gain to the Mich 39Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 15
OWN 39
-2
99.6%
Chris Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 37Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 17
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Chris Evans for no gain to the Mich 37Similar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 17
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Brad Robbins punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.8%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 16Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+15
99.8%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Tyree Kinnel) to the Minn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.8%
Demry Croft run for 3 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
99.7%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-1
99.7%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 38Similar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 3
OWN 38
+10
99.7%
Ryan Santoso punt for 52 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 10 yds to the Mich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.7%
Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Mich 26Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Eddie McDoomSimilar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Brad Robbins punt for 41 yds , Drew Hmielewski returns for no gain to the Minn 33 Drew Hmielewski fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 23FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 6:170% → 1%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Rashad StillSimilar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Jonathan Femi-Cole run for no gain to the Minn 33Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+21
99.9%
Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 21 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
99.9%
Phillip Howard run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 14
50
+29
99.8%
Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 29 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.8%
Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 1 yd to the Mich 20Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+5
99.8%
Demry Croft run for 5 yds to the Mich 15Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+4
99.8%
Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 4 yds to the Mich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.8%
Demry Croft pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+6
99.8%
Demry Croft run for 6 yds to the Mich 5Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-5
99.8%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 10Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+5
99.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Mich 5Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
99.8%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Tyree KinnelSimilar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
99.3%
Emmit Carpenter 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
99.7%
O'Maury Samuels run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 18Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+2
99.7%
O'Maury Samuels run for 2 yds to the Mich 20Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
99.7%
O'Maury Samuels run for no gain to the Mich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:27
Karan Higdon run for 5 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)
+6
TD · Q2 7:00
Chris Evans run for 60 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q1 1:24
Rodney Smith run for 10 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com