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OSU

Ohio State 24 at Iowa 55

IOWA
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:39 · J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior−37.0Home team on offense−1.9Score differential−2.0Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:41: T.J. Hockenson 10 Yd pass from Nathan Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick) — IOWA win probability +3.4 pts (now 17%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:22: Johnnie Dixon 44 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Sean Nuernberger Kick) — OSU win probability +3.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:06: Noah Fant 25 Yd pass from Nathan Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick) — IOWA win probability +9.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:30: Noah Fant 3 Yd pass from Nathan Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick) — IOWA win probability +11.0 pts (now 50%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:30: T.J. Hockenson 2 Yd pass from Nathan Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick) — IOWA win probability +13.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 7OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 9:19IOWA 4th & 8 at OSU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    12.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:32OSU 4th & 7 at IOWA 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    83.2%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:14IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:39OSU 4th & 1 at IOWA 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    78.7%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:38OSU 4th & 19 at OSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−1.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:51IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 13, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:29OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:14IOWA 4th & 2 at OSU 47, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%−2.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:16OSU 4th & 3 at OSU 27, down 14
    Close callPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:43IOWA 4th & 3 at OSU 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    81.8%−1.0
    75% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−10.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:33OSU 4th & 10 at OSU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:16IOWA 4th & 1 at OSU 13, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:42IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 15, up 31
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:52IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:42OSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:41IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:22OSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:06IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:30IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:30IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:56IOWA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:37OSU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:43IOWA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
6.0%
Amani Hooker 30 Yd Interception Return (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:5894% → 93%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
6.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
6.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 4 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+6
6.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
6.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+29
6.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 29 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
6.6%
Terry McLaurin 29 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 3:197% → 8%
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.7%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Nick EasleySimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+30
6.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 30 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
7.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Dre'Mont Jones) to the OhSt 40Similar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 5
OPP 40
+15
7.2%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Chris Worley) to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
7.2%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Noah FantSimilar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
7.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+6
7.5%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 6 yds to the OhSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
7.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the OhSt 12Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
8.1%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
8.0%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+30
8.1%
Miguel Recinos 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4FG
14 plays · 74 yds · 4:3392% → 90%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
8.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the OhSt 23Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+2
8.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+3
8.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
8.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 10 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+35
9.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 35 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
9.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 4
OPP 21
-10
9.3%
Barrett, J.T. rush for 10 yards to the IOWA11, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Knox, Demetrius) 10 yards to the IOWA31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 14
OPP 31
+18
9.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 18 yds to the Iowa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
9.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
9.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
10.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
9.7%
Sean Nuernberger 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:3910% → 17%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
10.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 10 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
10.4%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 14 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
11.0%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 4
50
+2
11.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+9
11.8%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 9 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
12.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+2
13.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+2
13.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
13.6%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 20 yds to the OhSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
14.0%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 10Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
17.4%
T.J. Hockenson 10 Yd pass from Nathan Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 3:0584% → 86%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
16.4%
Mike Weber run for 8 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+2
16.1%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
17.0%
Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+3
16.7%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
17.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 5
50
+6
17.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
13.6%
Johnnie Dixon 44 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5616% → 16%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
15.7%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Noah FantSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
15.8%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the Iowa 21Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
15.9%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
15.6%
Colten Rastetter punt for 36 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 2:0085% → 83%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
14.7%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the OhSt 48 Mike Weber fumbled, forced by Brady Reiff, recovered by OhSt Mike WeberSimilar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+4
14.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
14.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the Iowa 48Similar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+3
15.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
14.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-9
14.7%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Ben Niemann for a loss of 9 yards to the OhSt 46 J.T. Barrett fumbled, forced by Ben Niemann, recovered by OhSt Joshua Alabi , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 19
OWN 46
0
16.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 19
OWN 46
0
17.0%
Drue Chrisman punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 3:2518% → 32%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
18.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 9 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+2
19.2%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 2 yds to the Iowa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
19.3%
Wadley, Akrum rush for no gain to the IOWA22, PENALTY IOWA holding (Fant, Noah) 10 yards to the IOWA12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+22
19.5%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 22 yds to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+24
20.4%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 24 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
22.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
23.2%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+15
22.9%
Stanley, Nathan pass incomplete to Easley, Nick, PENALTY OHIOST roughing passer (Bosa, Nick) 15 yards to the OHIOST25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA. (Nick Bosa ejected for Targeting.)Similar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
32.3%
Noah Fant 25 Yd pass from Nathan Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:1070% → 69%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
29.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 2 yds to the OhSt 12Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+6
30.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 6 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+10
31.8%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Victor, Binjimen, PENALTY IOWA holding (Jackson, Joshua) 10 yards to the OHIOST28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
30.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+19
31.4%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted Joshua Jackson return for 19 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:5935% → 50%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
35.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 7
OPP 19
-5
35.8%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Austin Schulte) to the OhSt 24Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+21
36.5%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 21 yds to the OhSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
50.4%
Noah Fant 3 Yd pass from Nathan Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
50.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0447% → 49%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
46.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+3
48.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 13
0
49.2%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the Iowa 13Similar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 1
OWN 13
-3
49.4%
Colten Rastetter punt for 42 yds , K.J. Hill returns for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1351% → 47%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
49.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
49.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
50.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q3 11:29
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
52.7%
Drue Chrisman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 43 yds · 3:0856% → 63%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
55.6%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 13 yds to the Iowa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
56.9%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+18
58.3%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 18 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
62.2%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 7 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+1
63.4%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 1 yd to the OhSt 47Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
64.0%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to James ButlerSimilar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
62.8%
Nathan Stanley punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5239% → 34%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
60.9%
Barrett, J.T. rush for 3 yards to the OHIOST23, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Jordan, Michael) 10 yards to the OHIOST10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+10
61.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 10 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
63.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 5 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+2
64.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
65.9%
Drue Chrisman punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:3969% → 93%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
69.4%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+15
69.4%
Stanley, Nathan pass incomplete to Hockenson, T.J., PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Worley, Chris) 15 yards to the IOWA37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
70.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+11
72.2%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 11 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+22
74.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 22 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
75.7%
Nathan Stanley sacked by Tyquan Lewis for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 30Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+10
76.6%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 10 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 3
OPP 20
0
77.0%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q3 2:43
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+18
79.3%
Colten Rastetter pass complete to Tyler Kluver for 18 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.2%
T.J. Hockenson 2 Yd pass from Nathan Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:498% → 6%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurinSimilar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the OhSt 25Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
93.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Drue Chrisman punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:2795% → 99%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
94.9%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+53
95.4%
James Butler run for 53 yds to the OhSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
96.9%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the OhSt 2Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Drake Kulick 2 Yd pass from Nathan Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:101% → 1%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurinSimilar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.4%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted Joshua Jackson return for 3 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21FG
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0499% → 100%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the OhSt 17Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+4
99.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the OhSt 13Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
99.5%
Nathan Stanley run for no gain to the OhSt 13Similar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+30
99.5%
Miguel Recinos 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22INT
13 plays · 52 yds · 3:330% → 0%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 10 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 6 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
99.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 4 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
99.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+7
99.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 7 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 5 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+4
99.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 4 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+7
99.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to C.J. Saunders for 7 yds to the Iowa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to C.J. SaundersSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
99.7%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted Joshua Jackson return for no gain to the Iowa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 4:56100% → 100%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
99.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Dre'Mont Jones) to the Iowa 6Similar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+1
99.7%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the Iowa 7Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+3
99.8%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+4
99.8%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Iowa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
99.8%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 6
OWN 18
-5
99.8%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Alaric Jackson) to the Iowa 13Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 11
OWN 13
-1
99.9%
James Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 12 James Butler fumbled, forced by Damon Arnette, recovered by Iowa James ButlerSimilar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 12
OWN 12
+3
99.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 9
OWN 15
+7
99.9%
Colten Rastetter run for 7 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24TD
1 play · 22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
98.7%
Johnnie Dixon 22 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:47100% → 100%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.5%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+34
99.6%
Toren Young run for 34 yds to the OhSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.6%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the OhSt 9Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+3
99.7%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the OhSt 6Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Toren Young 6 Yd Run (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 8 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 4 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 6 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+5
100.0%
Antonio Williams run for 5 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:30
T.J. Hockenson 2 Yd pass from Nathan Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)
+13.9
TD · Q2 0:30
Noah Fant 3 Yd pass from Nathan Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)
+11
TD · Q2 3:06
Noah Fant 25 Yd pass from Nathan Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)
+9.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com