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WIS

Wisconsin 45 at Indiana 17

IU
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:21 · Haydon Whitehead punt for 41 yds , Nick Nelson returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 20 Nick Nelson fumbled, recovered by Wisc Nick Nelson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Pregame prior−18.2Home team on offense−2.3Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:28: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Alec Ingold for 18 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +7.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:21: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 8 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +6.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:47: Jonathan Taylor run for 32 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +11.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:12: Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 17 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +16.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:15: Alec Ingold run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +13.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:52IU 4th & 13 at IU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:58WIS 4th & 11 at WIS 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:11IU 4th & 4 at WIS 8, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.2%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−3.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:05IU 4th & 19 at IU 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−2.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:21IU 4th & 3 at IU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:38WIS 4th & 23 at WIS 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:04WIS 4th & 3 at IU 3, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%−1.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    57.2%−11.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:39IU 4th & 22 at IU 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−4.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:48WIS 4th & 11 at IU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    76.6%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:42WIS 4th & 1 at IU 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.8%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    76.2%−3.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−12.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:22IU 4th & 8 at IU 27, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 3:57IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:28WIS Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:21WIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:47WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:12IU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:15WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−0.5
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:19WIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:19WIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0122% → 23%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
22.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 8 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
22.3%
Morgan Ellison run for 8 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-8
22.6%
Richard Lagow sacked by Alec James and Leon Jacobs for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 18
OWN 33
0
22.8%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 18
OWN 33
+5
22.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 5 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 13
OWN 38
0
23.0%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2INT
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:4677% → 75%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+45
23.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 45 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
23.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+9
23.4%
Bradrick Shaw run for 9 yds to the Ind 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
23.5%
Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+2
23.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
24.1%
Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the Ind 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
24.3%
Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd to the Ind 5Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
24.4%
Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 6Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
24.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted, touchback. Tegray Scales return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:0926% → 32%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
25.5%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
25.5%
Morgan Ellison run for 11 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
25.8%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
25.8%
Devonte Williams run for 9 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
26.3%
Morgan Ellison run for 3 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
26.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 1 yd to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+2
27.2%
Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+7
27.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 7 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+22
28.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 22 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
28.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Morgan Ellison for 2 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+23
32.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devonte Williams for 23 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:5569% → 67%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
31.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Zander Neuville for 2 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
32.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-6
32.5%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Robert McCray III for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 19Similar
Q1 1:58
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
33.5%
Connor Allen punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Luke Timian at the Ind 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 2:4733% → 37%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
33.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 10 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
34.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 16 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
34.6%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Brandon Knight) to the Wisc 42Similar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+6
34.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 6 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+7
35.1%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Cobbs Jr., Simmie, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Nelson, Nick) 7 yards to the WISCONSIN29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
35.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+15
35.7%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Cobbs Jr., Simmie, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Nelson, Nick) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
36.2%
Morgan Ellison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 16
0
36.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 12
OPP 16
+8
35.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 8 yds to the Wisc 8Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
36.6%
Griffin Oakes 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:4364% → 68%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
36.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-2
37.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+32
38.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 32 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
37.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 1 yd to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+4
38.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+16
38.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 16 yds to the Ind 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
31.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Alec Ingold for 18 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:2334% → 35%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+21
33.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 21 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
35.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devonte Williams for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 2
50
-10
36.5%
Williams, Devonte rush for 1 yard to the WISCONSIN49, PENALTY INDIANA holding 10 yards to the INDIANA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 12
OWN 40
-9
35.2%
Richard Lagow sacked by Alec James for a loss of 9 yards to the Ind 31Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 21
OWN 31
+2
34.3%
Richard Lagow run for 2 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 8:05
4TH & 19
OWN 33
+8
35.0%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 48 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 8 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:4364% → 63%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
36.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 26Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
36.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
37.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
37.4%
Morgan Ellison run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 21 Morgan Ellison fumbled, forced by Tyler Johnson, recovered by Wisc Joe FergusonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:4166% → 73%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
33.6%
INDIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (10 Yards) to the Ind 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
33.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
26.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 8 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0030% → 29%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
29.6%
Devonte Williams run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
29.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
28.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 6 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-7
29.1%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 41 yds , Nick Nelson returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 20 Nick Nelson fumbled, recovered by Wisc Nick NelsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 4:4371% → 69%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
29.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 13 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
29.3%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 5
OWN 45
-3
28.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 45 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Beau Benzschawel) to the Wisc 35Similar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 8
OWN 35
+10
29.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
28.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 18 yds to the INDIANA 37 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Quintez Cephus) to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 2
OPP 47
0
27.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+8
27.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 8 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
27.3%
Groshek, Garrett rush for 2 yards to the INDIANA37, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Neuville, Zander) 10 yards to the INDIANA49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 20
OPP 49
0
28.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 20
OPP 49
-2
28.5%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Tegray Scales for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 49Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 22
OWN 49
-1
29.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 48Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 23
OWN 48
0
31.1%
Anthony Lotti punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Luke Timian at the Ind 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
31.2%
Ricky Brookins run for 2 yds to the Ind 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14FG
14 plays · 72 yds · 5:5670% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
30.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-10
29.8%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wisc 19Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+23
30.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 23 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
28.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 7 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+8
28.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
28.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+7
28.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
28.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+15
27.8%
Hornibrook, Alex pass incomplete to Fumagalli, Troy, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference (Brown Jr., Andre) 15 yards to the INDIANA10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.Similar
Q3 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
27.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
28.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ind 3Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
29.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
23.9%
Rafael Gaglianone 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:2526% → 24%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-9
26.0%
Richard Lagow sacked by Leon Jacobs for a loss of 9 yards to the Ind 8Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 19
OWN 8
-3
25.6%
Devonte Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 5Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 22
OWN 5
0
24.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky BrookinsSimilar
Q3 7:39
4TH & 22
OWN 5
0
24.1%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 49 yds, downed at the Wisc 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:5278% → 89%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
22.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 46Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
22.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 8 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+14
22.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 14 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
10.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 32 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 1:3514% → 32%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
14.1%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Timian, Luke, PENALTY INDIANA personal foul 15 yards to the INDIANA20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 25
OWN 20
+19
13.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 19 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+24
14.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 24 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
15.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Devonte WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+14
14.8%
Richard Lagow run for 14 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
15.5%
Richard Lagow run for 6 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+17
31.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 17 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 4:2478% → 77%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
21.8%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wisc 44Similar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 5
OWN 44
+1
21.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 45Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
21.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
50
-1
20.7%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Robert McCray III for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 49 Alex Hornibrook fumbled, forced by Robert McCray III, recovered by Wisc Alex Hornibrook , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+10
21.1%
A.J. Taylor run for 10 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
20.8%
Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
20.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-4
19.9%
Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
20.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
22.7%
Connor Allen punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19INT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:0224% → 24%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
24.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 6 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 4
OWN 16
0
24.5%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+5
23.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 5 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
24.1%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete, PENALTY INDIANA holding 10 yards to the INDIANA11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 20
OWN 11
0
23.9%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 20
OWN 11
0
23.8%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted Joe Ferguson return for no gain to the Ind 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:3183% → 94%
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
17.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+13
17.5%
Garrett Groshek run for no gain to the Ind 25 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Face Mask (13 yards) (Chris Covington) to the Ind 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
17.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Ind 12 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, recovered by Wisc Michael DeiterSimilar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+6
17.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 6 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+3
18.1%
Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Ind 3Similar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+2
19.5%
Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the Ind 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.8%
Alec Ingold run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.5%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted Joe Ferguson return for no gain to the Ind 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22TD
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:5194% → 99%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
5.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+10
5.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 10 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
5.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ind 19Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+7
5.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 7 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+6
5.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 6 yds to the Ind 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
4.7%
Garrett Groshek run for no gain to the Ind 6Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
3.5%
Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.6%
Alec Ingold run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · -9 yds · 0:571% → 1%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
1.2%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ind 15Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+12
1.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 12 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
1.1%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:22
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-11
1.1%
Richard Lagow sacked by Andrew Van Ginkel for a loss of 11 yards to the Ind 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24TD
4 plays · 16 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
0.4%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+3
0.4%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 3 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+9
0.4%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 9 yds to the Ind 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:190% → 0%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
0.1%
Alex Rodriguez run for 6 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+19
0.1%
Alex Rodriguez run for 19 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
0.1%
Alex Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+1
0.1%
Alex Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the Wisc 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:12
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 17 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+16.2
TD · Q4 10:15
Alec Ingold run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
-13.8
TD · Q3 5:47
Jonathan Taylor run for 32 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
-11.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com