Try the model
NEB

Nebraska 25 at Purdue 24

PUR
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Ross-Ade Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:52 · Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Pregame prior+1.5Home team on offense+8.6Garbage-time factor+2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Score differential+0.4Blowout margin+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:24: David Blough run for 5 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +8.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 2:06: Drew Brown 25 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +8.7 pts (now 34%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:23: David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 14 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +14.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:03: Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 27 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +23.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 0:14: Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 13 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — NEB win probability +67.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 9NEB made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:42NEB 4th & 19 at PUR 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:42PUR 4th & 13 at NEB 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    61.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:00NEB 4th & 16 at NEB 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:08PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:27NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:32PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  8. Q1 1:26NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.0%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 15:00NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.8%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:04NEB 4th & 4 at PUR 4, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.5%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−5.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:04PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  12. Q2 6:00NEB 4th & 8 at PUR 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    36.4%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:57NEB 4th & 5 at PUR 20, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−9.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:24PUR 4th & 3 at NEB 3, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.0%−2.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−14.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:06NEB 4th & 8 at PUR 8, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−13.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:53PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 21, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−2.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:05NEB 4th & 21 at NEB 37, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−4.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:51PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 37, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%−3.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:52NEB 4th & 6 at PUR 15, down 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.6 ptsWent for it · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.2%−3.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    28.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−16.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:29PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 33, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 12:30PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:24PUR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:23PUR Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:03NEB Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:14NEB Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    73.6%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    73.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.4%
Richie Worship run for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
63.4%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
63.4%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
63.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2FG
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:1137% → 37%
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+46
63.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 46 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
63.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Prdue 18Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
63.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-10
63.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 12 yards to the PUR6 (Josh Okonye), PENALTY NEB holding (Michael Decker) 10 yards to the PUR28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 20
OPP 28
+1
63.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 19
OPP 27
+44
63.1%
Drew Brown 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
62.9%
Richie Worship run for 9 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+6
63.1%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 6 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
63.0%
Richie Worship run for 25 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
63.3%
Richie Worship run for 5 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-3
63.4%
David Blough sacked by Khalil Davis and Ben Stille for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-5
63.2%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 13
OPP 43
0
63.0%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 13
OPP 43
0
62.8%
Joe Schopper punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
62.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 15Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+11
62.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 11 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+2
62.5%
Luke McNitt run for 2 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
62.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 11
OWN 27
-5
62.5%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 22Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 16
OWN 22
+7
62.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 7 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-2
62.7%
Tanner Lee sacked by Gelen Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 11
OWN 27
-5
62.9%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 22Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 16
OWN 22
0
62.9%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0162% → 62%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
61.5%
D.J. Knox run for 6 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
62.3%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for no gain to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+2
62.2%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
61.9%
Joe Schopper punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
61.7%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
61.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
62.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr. NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 3:27
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
62.4%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
61.8%
Jared Sparks run for 1 yd to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+3
61.8%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
61.9%
David Blough pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins, broken up by Chris Weber PURDUE Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
61.1%
Joe Schopper punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:2639% → 40%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
60.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
60.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
61.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 5 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 1:26
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
61.2%
Tanner Lee run for 2 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
59.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Ja'Whaun BentleySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
60.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Da'Wan HunteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+9
60.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 9 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
59.9%
Luke McNitt run for no gain to the Neb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:3863% → 67%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
62.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+23
62.4%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 23 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
63.2%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 1 yd to the Neb 21Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+2
63.2%
Richie Worship run for 2 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+15
62.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Mahoungou, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Chris Jones) 15 yards to the NEB4, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
67.0%
Richie Worship run for 4 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:2635% → 37%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
65.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 6 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
64.5%
Mikale Wilbon run for 3 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+9
64.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to D. Pierson-El, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Josh Okonye) 9 yards to the NEB49, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
63.9%
Tanner Lee sacked by Gelen Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 42 Tanner Lee fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 17
OWN 42
+4
65.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 4 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+14
65.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 14 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
63.8%
Tyjon Lindsey run for 3 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+33
63.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 29 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, face mask (4 yards) (Markus Bailey) to the Prdue 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
63.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Prdue 4Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
63.1%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
63.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q2 7:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
62.9%
Drew Brown 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
65.5%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
65.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell Jones, broken up by Freedom AkinmoladunSimilar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+1
64.5%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the Prdue 22Similar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
63.9%
Joe Schopper punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0039% → 36%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
61.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 4 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-10
61.4%
Jaylin Bradley rush for 4 yards to the PUR40 (Bentley), PENALTY NEB holding (Nick Gates) 10 yards to the NEB46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+8
63.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Jaylin Bradley for 8 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
62.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
63.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13TD
14 plays · 86 yds · 3:5265% → 77%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
65.4%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 7 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 3
OWN 21
-5
65.8%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 16Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+4
65.4%
Richie Worship run for 4 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+14
64.6%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 14 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
65.9%
Richie Worship run for 8 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
67.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry WrightSimilar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+4
66.7%
Richie Worship run for 4 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
67.6%
David Blough pass complete to Richie Worship for 7 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+2
68.1%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+30
67.8%
D.J. Knox run for 30 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
68.8%
David Blough run for 9 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+1
68.1%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Neb 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
76.9%
David Blough run for 5 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 5:0326% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+37
74.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 37 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
71.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 22 yards to the PUR14, PENALTY NEB holding (Nick Gates) 10 yards to the PUR46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+10
72.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 10 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
71.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 7 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+4
71.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 4 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
70.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+6
70.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 6 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
71.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Antonio BlackmonSimilar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
65.9%
Drew Brown 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 3:3370% → 81%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
69.9%
Richie Worship run for 5 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+8
70.3%
D.J. Knox run for 8 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
71.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Phillips, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Lamar Jackson) 15 yards to the NEB46, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
72.6%
Richie Worship run for 2 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+10
72.5%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 10 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+19
73.4%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 19 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
73.3%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 3 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+8
73.3%
Richie Worship run for 8 yds to the Neb 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
73.3%
Richie Worship run for 3 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
73.3%
Richie Worship run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 3Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
72.1%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
80.5%
Spencer Evans 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:1822% → 34%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
77.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 23 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
75.5%
Jaylin Bradley run for 13 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
74.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 9 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 1
OPP 30
0
73.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+1
74.6%
Tanner Lee run for 1 yd to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
73.0%
Jaylin Bradley run for 20 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
73.0%
Jaylin Bradley run for 4 yds to the Prdue 5Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
73.0%
Jaylin Bradley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 8Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
74.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q3 2:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
66.0%
Drew Brown 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 2:4373% → 90%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
73.0%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+11
73.7%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 11 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
74.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Gregory Phillips, broken up by Dedrick Young IISimilar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
74.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+6
72.7%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 6 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 4
OPP 34
-15
71.5%
David Blough pass complete to Phillips for 15 yards to the NEB19 (Marquel Dismuke), PENALTY PUR pass interference (Jackson Anthrop) 15 yards to the NEB49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 19
OPP 49
+15
68.8%
Joe Schopper pass incomplete to Jared Sparks, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Dicaprio Bootle) 15 yards to the NEB34, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
75.1%
David Blough run for 17 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
75.6%
David Blough run for 3 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
89.9%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 14 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:2014% → 39%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
86.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-El, broken up by Josh OkonyeSimilar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
87.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Jaylin Bradley for 10 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
85.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Jaylin Bradley for 13 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
84.8%
Jaylin Bradley run for 3 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+5
85.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 5 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+12
84.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for 12 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
61.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 27 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:1076% → 76%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
76.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
77.6%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
76.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to D.J. Knox, broken up by Chris WeberSimilar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
76.0%
Joe Schopper punt for 41 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0026% → 22%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
74.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan, PENALTY PUR holding (Kamal Hardy) 10 yards to the NEB48, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
72.1%
Jaylin Bradley run for 1 yd to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
72.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Markus BaileySimilar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-12
74.0%
Tanner Lee sacked by Markus Bailey for a loss of 12 yards to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 10:05
4TH & 21
OWN 37
0
77.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
80.3%
Richie Worship run for 1 yd to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+6
80.2%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 6 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+2
80.0%
Richie Worship run for 2 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
79.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 42 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 64 yds · 0:0020% → 22%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+29
80.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
50
-10
75.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 9 yards to the PUR41 (Bentley), PENALTY NEB holding (Cole Conrad) 10 yards to the NEB40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 20
OWN 40
0
79.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devine OzigboSimilar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+41
79.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 26 yds to the PURDUE 34 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Kamal Hardy) to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
73.2%
JD Spielman run for no gain to the Prdue 19Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
73.7%
Jaylin Bradley run for 4 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
75.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Mikale WilbonSimilar
Q4 6:52
4TH & 6
OPP 15
0
78.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:1587% → 93%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
87.4%
D.J. Knox run for 7 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+5
87.8%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
87.8%
Richie Worship run for 1 yd to the Prdue 28Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+1
90.3%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+4
91.0%
Richie Worship run for 4 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
93.1%
Joe Schopper punt for 37 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 1:0811% → 90%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
88.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 7 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+17
87.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 17 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
86.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 11 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
81.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 6 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+10
78.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 10 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
79.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 6 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
77.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+13
9.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 13 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 37 yds · 0:0932% → 27%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
31.7%
David Blough pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 12 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+25
27.4%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 25 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:14
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 13 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-67.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-27.4
TD · Q4 11:03
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 27 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
-23.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com