Try the model
RUTG

Rutgers 14 at Michigan 35

MICH
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Michigan Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:14 · Ryan Anderson punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Pregame prior+41.8Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:52: Janarion Grant run for 65 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK) — RUTG win probability +3.3 pts (now 13%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:23: Brandon Peters pass complete to Chris Evans for 20 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +4.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:30: Kareem Walker run for 5 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +4.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:01: Gus Edwards run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK) — RUTG win probability +6.4 pts (now 10%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:10: Karan Higdon run for 49 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 4 of 6RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00MICH 4th & 9 at RUTG 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:14RUTG 4th & 22 at RUTG 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:48RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:59MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    88.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:52MICH 4th & 9 at MICH 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:50RUTG 4th & 8 at MICH 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:56RUTG 4th & 22 at RUTG 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00RUTG 4th & 14 at RUTG 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:00MICH 4th & 1 at RUTG 19, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%−1.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−4.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00RUTG 4th & 14 at RUTG 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:10RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:56MICH 4th & 3 at RUTG 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:28RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:12MICH 4th & 3 at midfield, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 12:06MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:52RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:49MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:23MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:30MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:01RUTG Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:10MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.9%
Karan Higdon run for 9 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
93.9%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
93.9%
Eddie McDoom run for 9 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
93.9%
Ty Isaac run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
93.9%
John O'Korn pass complete to Eddie McDoom for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 48
-5
93.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Mich 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 43
+2
93.9%
Kareem Walker run for 2 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 45
+7
93.9%
John O'Korn pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 7 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
93.9%
Brad Robbins punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-8
92.7%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Maurice Hurst for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 18
OWN 11
+2
92.7%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 16
OWN 13
-1
92.8%
Gus Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 17
OWN 12
-5
92.8%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (Darnell Davis) to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 22
OWN 7
0
92.8%
Ryan Anderson punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
92.2%
Karan Higdon run for 7 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+4
92.3%
Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
92.3%
John O'Korn pass intercepted Jawuan Harris return for 3 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
91.6%
Janarion Grant run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+9
91.5%
Robert Martin run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
91.4%
Janarion Grant run for 4 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-3
91.4%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Rashan Gary for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
91.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
91.7%
Ryan Anderson punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 6:5391% → 91%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
90.8%
Ty Isaac run for 9 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
91.0%
Ty Isaac run for 3 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-13
90.9%
John O'Korn run for a loss of 13 yards to the Mich 19 John O'Korn fumbled, recovered by Mich John O'KornSimilar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 23
OWN 19
+6
90.8%
Chris Evans run for 6 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 17
OWN 25
+16
90.6%
Ty Isaac run for 16 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+1
90.8%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
91.1%
John O'Korn pass complete to Sean McKeon for 9 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+13
90.1%
Kareem Walker run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
90.1%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+9
90.3%
Ty Isaac run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
90.3%
Ty Isaac run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+21
90.3%
Ty Isaac run for 21 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.4%
Khalid Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:149% → 13%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Everett Wormley for 6 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
90.4%
Gus Edwards run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
87.1%
Janarion Grant run for 65 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
87.9%
John O'Korn run for 1 yd to the Mich 24 John O'Korn fumbled, recovered by Mich John O'KornSimilar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
87.9%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Eddie McDoom, broken up by Ross DouglasSimilar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
87.5%
John O'Korn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
87.2%
Brad Robbins punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
86.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-1
86.7%
Janarion Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+28
87.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Josh Hicks for 28 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
85.7%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 46Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+3
85.9%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 3 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
85.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
86.7%
Ryan Anderson punt for 20 yds, downed at the Mich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 4:1286% → 90%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
86.2%
Karan Higdon run for 8 yds to the Mich 31Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+12
86.8%
Karan Higdon run for 12 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
87.1%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Tyrone Wheatley for 15 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
87.4%
Kareem Walker run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+10
87.4%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Henry Poggi for 10 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
87.6%
Ty Isaac run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+12
87.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Nico Collins for 12 yds to the Rutgr 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
90.2%
Karan Higdon run for 10 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · -12 yds · 0:5312% → 11%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
88.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Damon MitchellSimilar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-10
88.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 20
OWN 21
+3
88.9%
Gus Edwards run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 17
OWN 24
-5
88.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Gus Edwards for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 22
OWN 19
0
89.1%
Ryan Anderson punt for 30 yds, downed at the Rutgr 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:2690% → 94%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
89.5%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+4
89.5%
Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+12
89.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Zach Gentry for 12 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
89.7%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+10
89.6%
Ty Isaac run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
89.7%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
93.7%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Chris Evans for 20 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
92.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.0%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
92.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jerome Washington, broken up by Khaleke HudsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-6
93.1%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Chase Winovich and Devin Bush for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+3
93.3%
Ryan Anderson punt for 36 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 3 yds to the Mich 46 Donovan Peoples-Jones fumbled, forced by Zane Campbell, recovered by Mich Brad HawkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:4794% → 98%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
93.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ty Isaac for 10 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
93.6%
Ty Isaac run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+32
93.6%
Karan Higdon run for 32 yds to the Rutgr 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.7%
Kareem Walker run for 5 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:293% → 10%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.1%
Janarion Grant run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
97.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+30
97.2%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jerome Washington for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
50
+4
96.7%
Gus Edwards run for 4 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+4
96.6%
Gus Edwards run for 4 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+4
96.5%
Gus Edwards run for 4 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
96.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Hunter Hayek for 21 yds to the Mich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
96.3%
Gus Edwards run for 4 yds to the Mich 13Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+10
96.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Gus Edwards for 10 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
96.3%
Gus Edwards run for 1 yd to the Mich 2Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.0%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16MISSED FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 6:0193% → 96%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
93.0%
Karan Higdon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 33Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+15
92.8%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Grant Perry for 15 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
93.5%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Tyrone WheatleySimilar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-1
93.4%
Brandon Peters run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 47Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+15
93.0%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Sean McKeon for 15 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
93.6%
Kareem Walker run for no gain to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+10
93.6%
Kareem Walker run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
93.6%
Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 6
OPP 24
-2
93.6%
Karan Higdon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+7
93.3%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Sean McKeon for 7 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+37
95.9%
Quinn Nordin 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:006% → 5%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
94.3%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
94.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Hunter Hayek, broken up by Tyree KinnelSimilar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 11
OWN 19
-3
94.6%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Chase Winovich for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 16 Giovanni Rescigno fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Giovanni Rescigno , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+8
95.3%
Ryan Anderson punt for 53 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 8 yds to the Mich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18TD
2 plays · 61 yds · 0:3696% → 99%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
96.4%
Karan Higdon run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
99.4%
Karan Higdon run for 49 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
99.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jerome Washington for 3 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+15
99.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, roughing passer (Maurice Hurst) to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.9%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
98.9%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
98.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Josh HicksSimilar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
98.9%
Ryan Anderson punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 52 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.4%
Ty Isaac run for 9 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
99.4%
Ty Isaac run for 2 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.4%
Ty Isaac run for 6 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+15
99.4%
Chris Evans run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.5%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+2
99.5%
Ty Isaac run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+8
99.5%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Karan Higdon for 8 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
99.5%
Chris Evans run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 4
OPP 29
-1
99.5%
Chris Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+2
99.5%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 3
OPP 28
0
99.4%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Damon Mitchell for 8 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 2
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 2
OWN 36
-5
99.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (Kamaal Seymour) to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 7
OWN 31
-5
99.4%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Kwity Paye and Michael Dwumfour for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 12
OWN 26
+17
99.5%
Ryan Anderson punt for 48 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 17 yds to the Mich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.7%
O'Maury Samuels run for 3 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
99.7%
O'Maury Samuels run for 3 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+1
99.7%
O'Maury Samuels run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 3
50
0
99.7%
Brad Robbins punt for 48 yds, downed at the Rutgr 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
99.5%
Gus Edwards run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+2
99.5%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:01
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK)
-6.4
TD · Q3 11:30
Kareem Walker run for 5 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)
+4.5
TD · Q2 0:23
Brandon Peters pass complete to Chris Evans for 20 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com