Try the model
IU

Indiana 39 at Maryland 42

MD
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · SECU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:42 · Henry Darmstadter 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jacob Robinson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Pregame prior−7.5Home team on offense+6.6Garbage-time factor+2.1Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:37: Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D.J. Moore for 2 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK) — MD win probability +15.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:03: Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 11 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) MARYLAND Penalty, roughing the kicker (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line — IU win probability +12.4 pts (now 64%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:56: Jake Funk run for 1 yd for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK) — MD win probability +21.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:14: Jake Funk run for 1 yd for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK) — MD win probability +17.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:09: Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes PAT BLOCKED) — IU win probability +24.8 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 2 of 5IU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 8:58MD 4th & 12 at IU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    33.0%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:59IU 4th & 13 at MD 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    64.9%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00IU 4th & 7 at MD 43, up 9
    Close callPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    65.9%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:52MD 4th & 3 at MD 44, down 9
    Close callPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:51IU 4th & 10 at IU 36, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:38IU 4th & 10 at IU 25, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:37IU 4th & 1 at IU 44, down 5
    Close callPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:42MD 4th & 2 at IU 19, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.0%−1.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    47.6%−10.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:03MD 4th & 7 at MD 28, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−2.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:56IU 4th & 3 at MD 23, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.5%−1.7
    70% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−17.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:50IU 4th & 11 at IU 19, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−2.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:38IU 4th & 7 at IU 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:10MD 4th & 2 at MD 48, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.0 ptsPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%−5.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:00IU 4th & 10 at IU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.1%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.7%−2.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 5IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:18IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:03IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:59MD Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:59IU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:46MD Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:37MD Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:03IU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:56MD Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:14MD Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:09IU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    35.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.3%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4266% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
33.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ian Thomas for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
33.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 5 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
33.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 9 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
33.7%
Cole Gest run for 4 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
33.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 4 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
33.7%
Cole Gest run for 4 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+5
33.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Cole Gest for 5 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
33.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
33.7%
Cole Gest run for no gain to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+5
33.7%
Ramsey, Peyton sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UMD47 (Carter, J.), PENALTY UMD offside (Carter, J.) 5 yards to the UMD34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+34
33.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 34 yds for a TD MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
34.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D.J. Moore for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 33Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+34
34.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass intercepted Tony Fields return for 34 yds to the Mary 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:3266% → 68%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
33.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 2 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+3
33.6%
Cole Gest run for 3 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+10
33.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 10 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
31.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Cole Gest for 23 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+29
32.0%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 29 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
32.5%
D.J. Moore run for 11 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
32.5%
Ty Johnson run for 1 yd to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+2
32.5%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 2 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-5
32.5%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Robert McCray III and Tegray Scales for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 42Similar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
32.1%
Wade Lees punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 7 , Tegray Scales returns for no gain to the Ind 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
30.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ryan Watercutter for 4 yds to the Ind 11Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+4
30.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 4 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+4
30.8%
Cole Gest run for 4 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
30.6%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 16Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+8
30.7%
Cole Gest run for 8 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+18
30.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Darnell Savage Jr. return for 18 yds to the Ind 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6TD
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
35.9%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 14 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
33.8%
Alex Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
33.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Devonte Williams for 5 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+14
33.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive holding (JC Jackson) to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
33.1%
Devonte Williams run for 3 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+9
33.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 9 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
33.0%
Cole Gest run for 2 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-5
33.0%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Keiron Howard for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 13
OPP 45
0
33.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
34.1%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 42 yds, downed at the Mary 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8SF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:3834% → 33%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
33.8%
Jake Funk run for 3 yds to the Mary 6Similar
Q1 0:06
2ND & 7
OWN 6
-6
32.7%
Ty Johnson run for a loss of 6 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
33.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
32.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-4
32.7%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Kingsley Opara for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+14
33.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 14 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
32.5%
Ricky Brookins run for 3 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
32.6%
Peyton Ramsey run for no gain to the Mary 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
32.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ian ThomasSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
33.2%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:1732% → 33%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
32.2%
Ty Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+15
32.4%
Ty Johnson run for 15 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
32.7%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 2 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
33.0%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for no gain to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+5
32.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to DJ Turner for 5 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
32.5%
Wade Lees punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Luke Timian at the Ind 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT TD
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:1466% → 60%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
33.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 9 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+3
33.1%
Cole Gest run for 3 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
33.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Taysir Mack, broken up by Tino EllisSimilar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
33.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Cole GestSimilar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
33.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+16
40.2%
Haydon Whitehead punt blocked by Darnell Savage Jr. blocked by Darnell Savage Jr. Darnell Savage Jr. return for 16 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 3:4561% → 66%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
39.0%
Devonte Williams run for 4 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-10
38.4%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Mack, Taysir, PENALTY IND holding (Martin, Wes) 10 yards to the IND24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+3
39.6%
Ricky Brookins run for 3 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+5
41.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+22
40.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 22 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
37.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 7 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
37.5%
Ricky Brookins run for 2 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+15
39.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for 15 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
38.6%
Whop Philyor run for 2 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-3
38.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for a loss of 3 yards Luke Timian fumbled, forced by Jermaine Carter Jr., recovered by IndSimilar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+23
34.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 23 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:1332% → 47%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
31.6%
Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Moore, D., PENALTY IND pass interference (Brown, Andre) 11 yards to the UMD46, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
32.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Ty Johnson for 24 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
35.0%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 1 yd to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+15
34.8%
INDIANA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Greg Gooch) to the Ind 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
35.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
47.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 14 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:0359% → 57%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
41.0%
INDIANA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ind 20Similar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+8
41.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 8 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
40.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 3 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-6
40.7%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Chandler Burkett for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
43.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 0:5543% → 60%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
50
0
42.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
50
+12
42.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 12 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+33
43.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D.J. Moore for 33 yds to the Ind 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
44.9%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the Ind 4Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
44.9%
Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Moore, D., PENALTY IND pass interference (Brown, Andre) 2 yards to the IND2, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
45.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Derrick HaywardSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
60.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D.J. Moore for 2 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0042% → 44%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
58.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 9 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
54.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
54.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ricky BrookinsSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+5
55.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 49 yds , D.J. Moore returns for 5 yds to the Mary 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
57.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18MISSED FG
7 plays · 56 yds · 3:1855% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.1%
Ty Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+46
55.1%
Ty Johnson run for 46 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
58.5%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for no gain to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
58.4%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 9 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-1
57.3%
Ty Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 19Similar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+37
57.8%
Henry Darmstadter 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jacob RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:3946% → 64%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
54.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 11 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
53.7%
Cole Gest run for 2 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+11
53.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 11 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
51.6%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+6
50.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for 6 yds to the MARYLAND 46 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
50.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 10 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
50.3%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Oluwaseun Oluwatimi and Chandler Burkett for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 41Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+6
52.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 6 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+12
50.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 12 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
48.8%
MARYLAND Penalty, roughing passer (12 Yards) to the Mary 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
36.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 11 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) MARYLAND Penalty, roughing the kicker (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0043% → 40%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
42.9%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
43.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
41.3%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Jerome Johnson for 0 yards to the Mary 28 MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
40.4%
Wade Lees punt for 45 yds, downed at the Ind 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 4:5359% → 70%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
40.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 7 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 3
OWN 34
-15
39.5%
Ramsey, Peyton pass complete to Timian, Luke for 8 yards to the IND42, out-of-bounds (Savage, D.), PENALTY IND pass interference (Timian, Luke) 15 yards to the IND19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 18
OWN 19
+5
41.7%
Devonte Williams run for 5 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 13
OWN 24
-9
42.8%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Jermaine Carter Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the Ind 15Similar
Q3 6:49
4TH & 22
OWN 15
+15
44.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, roughing passer (Cavon Walker) to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
40.6%
MARYLAND Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
38.5%
Cole Gest run for 7 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+8
37.4%
Peyton Ramsey run for 8 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
37.8%
Cole Gest run for no gain to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+10
37.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 10 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
36.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 6 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+1
36.3%
Cole Gest run for 1 yd to the Mary 23Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
37.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q3 1:56
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+41
29.6%
Griffin Oakes 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22TD
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:4843% → 64%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
42.8%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+6
42.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Ty Johnson for 6 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+1
40.4%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the Ind 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
42.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
42.8%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 7 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.9%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0044% → 40%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
56.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ricky Brookins for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 15Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
56.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for no gain to the Ind 15Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+4
58.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 4 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
59.8%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 45 yds, fair catch by D.J. Moore at the Mary 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 2:4664% → 85%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
63.7%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+44
64.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D.J. Moore for 44 yds to the Ind 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
68.5%
Ty Johnson run for 5 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+4
68.5%
Ty Johnson run for 4 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 0
0
60.3%
PENALTY UMD unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY IND unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
65.9%
Jake Funk run for 2 yds to the Ind 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
67.8%
Jake Funk run for 5 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.2%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 1:5715% → 45%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
85.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 18 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
83.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 11 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
82.0%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Cobbs, Simmie, PENALTY UMD holding (Davis, R.) 10 yards to the UMD35, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
80.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 13 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+17
80.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 17 yds to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
80.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q4 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
55.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0069% → 66%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+33
68.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 33 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
72.8%
Harrison, L. rush for 2 yards to the IND35 (Scales, Tegray), PENALTY UMD holding 10 yards to the IND47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 20
OPP 47
0
70.9%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for no gain to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 20
OPP 47
-5
70.4%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Mike Barwick Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 25
OWN 48
-6
67.5%
Bortenschlager pass incomplete, PENALTY UMD illegal forward pass (Bortenschlager) 6 yards to the UMD42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:04
4TH & 31
OWN 42
+48
65.6%
Wade Lees punt for 48 yds , Rashard Fant returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0033% → 31%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
67.4%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke Timian, broken up by Darnell Savage Jr.Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+7
68.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 7 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+17
68.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 17 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
64.4%
Ricky Brookins run for 3 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
63.4%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
65.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
68.8%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 50 yds, downed at the Mary 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 28PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 1:3577% → 89%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
76.7%
INDIANA Penalty, illegal touching (12 Yards) to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
77.3%
Ty Johnson run for 14 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
79.8%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 39Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+1
84.7%
Ty Johnson run for 1 yd to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+8
84.9%
Max Bortenschlager run for no gain to the Mary 48 Max Bortenschlager fumbled, recovered by Mary Max Bortenschlager , return for 8 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
88.8%
Wade Lees punt for 51 yds, downed at the Ind 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 29DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
85.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Taysir Mack, broken up by Tino EllisSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+7
85.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 7 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 8
0
86.7%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky Brookins, broken up by Jermaine Carter Jr.Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 3
OWN 8
+15
87.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jermaine Carter Jr.) to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
84.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Whop Philyor for 14 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
83.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky BrookinsSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
83.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
85.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+7
85.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 7 yds to the Ind 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
95.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-3
94.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:09
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes PAT BLOCKED)
-24.8
TD · Q4 14:56
Jake Funk run for 1 yd for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)
+21.2
TD · Q4 10:14
Jake Funk run for 1 yd for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)
+17.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com